Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund Presentation

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Transcription:

NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION. Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund Presentation Presentation to: William M. Bellamy, CFA Director of Income Strategies Matthew Soule, CFA Client Portfolio Manager January 25, 2018

ABOUT US VALUE INVESTING IS OUR SINGULAR FOCUS STABILITY TEAM Serving clients since 1969 Located in Richmond, Virginia 27 equity owners 74 associates 13 years average employee tenure 25 portfolio managers and research analysts $25.0 Billion AUM as of December 31, 2017* 21 years average industry experience *A portion of these assets is non-discretionary (i.e. UMA accounts). 1

LARGE ENOUGH TO HAVE DEEP RESOURCES; SMALL ENOUGH TO BE CLIENT-FOCUSED $25.0 BILLION AUM * TSW STRATEGIES DIVERSIFIED CLIENT BASE Income Strategies Fixed Income Strategic High Income Domestic Equity Strategies Small Cap Value SMID Cap Value Mid Cap Value Large Cap Core Fortune 500 companies Sovereign wealth fund Insurance companies U.S. and non-u.s. public pension funds Endowments and Foundations Multi-employer and Taft Hartley International Strategies International Small Cap International Large Cap Alternative Strategies Long/Short Equity Data as of December 31, 2017. *A portion of these assets is non-discretionary (i.e. UMA accounts). 2

MEET OUR TEAM TSW Income Strategies William M. Bellamy, CFA Director of Income Strategies Portfolio Manager Joined TSW in 2002 Cornell University, BS; Duke University, MBA Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. - Assistant Vice President Clayton Brown & Associates - VP, Institutional Fixed Income First Union Corporation - Vice President Trusco Capital Management, Inc.- Vice President David L. McMackin, CFA Research Analyst Income Strategies Joined TSW in 2004 Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University, BS Crestar Asset Management - Trading Assistant Trusco Capital Management, Inc. - Portfolio Analyst Gregory T. Cole Research Analyst Income Strategies Joined TSW in 2015 Virginia Polytechnic Institute & State University, BS Sidoti & Company - Research Analyst Sterne Agee - Investment Banking Analyst ADDITIONAL RESOURCES International Equity Small/SMID Cap Equity Mid Cap Equity FIRM RESOURCES Portfolio Managers & Research Analysts 25 Client Services & Marketing 8 Compliance 3 Operations 15 3

INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY History repeats itself Yield wins over time Evaluate risk return trade off Inefficient-markets favor active-management 4

EVALUATE RISK/BUSINESS CYCLE AND POSITION THE PORTFOLIO Investment Process Employment GDP Growth Portfolio Positioning Credit Growth Central Bank Policy Duration Yield Curve Sector Allocation Geopolitical Environment Portfolio Construction Interest Risk/ Risk Off Credit Risk/ Risk On Bonds by Rating * CCC B BB BBB A AA AAA CMBS ABS MBS Agency Treasury Our Plus Max 20% HY 5

SECURITY SELECTION PROCESS Fundamental analysis leading to strong risk adjusted returns Credit Metrics Cash flow Leverage Interest/Coverage Asset coverage Duration OAS Liquidity Structure Analysis Fundamental Analysis Security Selection Relative value Portfolio diversification Liquidity analysis 6

JACKSONVILLE POLICE & FIRE PENSION FUND BUMPER GUARDS Risk Controls are an Integral Part of the Investment Process Duration +/- 20% around benchmark Maximum 10% high yield exposure Maximum 5% corporate bond positions Diversification between sectors 7

Annualized Return % RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNS IN HIGH YIELD Index Returns and Risk Profile * January 1997 December 2017 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.4 BofA ML CCC Rated & Below 7.2 BofA ML High Yield Master 7.0 6.8 6.6 BofA ML BB-/B Constrained Index 6.4 6.2 6.0 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Risk % (annualized standard deviation of monthly returns) *Source: evestmentalliance 8

JACKSONVILLE POLICE & FIRE PENSION FUND Performance Summary * As of 12/31/2017 Total Market Value w/accruals: $74,223,652 Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund (%) Annualized Performance 4Q 2017 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 7 Years 10 Years Inception to Date (8/31/84) Total Return - Gross 0.65 4.40 3.37 2.87 3.97 4.82 7.69 Total Return - Net 0.59 4.14 3.16 2.67 3.77 4.62 7.52 Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index 0.39 3.54 2.24 2.10 3.20 4.01 7.20 *Includes reinvestment of dividends and other income. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. 9

Sector Contribution to Duration PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund As of 12/31/2017 Sector Distribution Summary Cash ABS Agency 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 79% benchmark effective duration (4.7 vs 6.0 years) 3.2% yield to worst vs 2.7% for benchmark Overweight corporate sector (9.8% high yield) A2 average quality vs AA2 for benchmark * Contribution to Sector Duration * CMBS Corporates 1.4 1.6 26.0 55.8 7 6 5 4.7 5.9 28.6 Mortgages 28.6 0.0 Non-Corp. 4.8 12.9 Treasury 38.1 0 20 40 60 Weight (%) Jacksonville Police & Fire Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index 4 3 2.7 2.2 2.3 2 1.2 1.3 1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0 Credit CMBS MBS U.S.Govt. Total Sector Jacksonville Police & Fire ishare Core U.S.Aggregate Bond ETF Note: Index information is as of 12/31/2017. Weights may not add up to 100% due to rounding. *Contribution to Sector Distribution benchmark is the ishares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF. Source: Factset 10

Reason Sector PERFORMANCE Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund: Total Return (Gross)* Q4 2016 Q4 2017 Relative Performance ** Relative Performance by Sector ** Total 1.1 Total 1.1 Selection 1.0 Credit 0.7 Allocation 0.5 Securitized 0.5 Yield Curve (0.5) U.S. Government 0.0 Duration 0.1 Cash(0.1) (1.0) (0.5) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Relative Performance vs. ishares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (%) (0.2) 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Relative Performance vs. ishares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (%) *Performance shown is preliminary. Attribution data should not be used as a measurement for strategy performance reporting. Differences in performance returns and attribution results may vary due to methodologies. Performance returns are transaction based and attribution is holdings based. Attribution is presented gross. Performance is not calculated on real time data. Results include transaction costs and the reinvestment of dividends and other income, but do not reflect the deduction of investment advisory fees, and the client s return will be reduced by the advisory fees and other expenses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. TSW s advisory fees are described in its Form ADV Part 2A. The following illustrates the impact of fees on performance: assuming a $2 million account and an annual rate of return of 5%, with an investment management fee of 1% the gross and net returns for year one would be 5.0% and 4.0% respectively; cumulative over three and five years would be 15.8% (gross) and 12.4% (net) and 27.6% (gross) and 21.5% (net) respectively. Please see the Disclosure section for detailed performance disclosures. Source: FactSet. **Relative performance benchmark is the ishares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF. 11

Return (%) PERFORMANCE Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund: Total Return (Gross) * As of 12/31/2017 9 8 7 7.7 7.2 6 5 4 3 2 4.4 3.5 3.4 2.2 2.9 2.1 4.0 3.2 4.8 4.0 1 0.7 0.4 0 QTD 1 Year 3 Years Annualized 5 Years Annualized 7 Years Annualized 10 Years Annualized Since Inception Time Period Jacksonville Police & Fire - Total Return (Gross)* Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index *Performance is preliminary and is presented gross. Results include transaction costs and the reinvestment of dividends and other income, but do not reflect the deduction of investment advisory fees, and the client s return will be reduced by the advisory fees and other expenses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. TSW s advisory fees are described in its Form ADV Part 2A. The following illustrates the impact of fees on performance: assuming a $2 million account and an annual rate of return of 5%, with an investment management fee of 0.85% the gross and net returns for year one would be 5.0% and 4.1% respectively; cumulative returns over three and five years would be 15.8% (gross) and 12.9% (net) and 27.6% (gross) and 22.4% (net) respectively. Please see the Disclosure section for important detailed performance disclosures. 12

WHY TSW? Client First Repeatable Investment Process Boutique Culture 13

APPENDIX Performance Bloomberg Barclays Indices Returns Why Sector Allocation Makes Sense Duration & Yield Curve Diversification In The Corporate Sector Disclosures 14

Return (%) PERFORMANCE Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund: Total Return (Gross) * 10 9.4 8 6 7.0 7.0 5.2 5.9 6.7 6.5 6.2 7.8 7.3 5.2 6.0 4 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.4 3.5 2.7 2 1.4 0.6 0-2 -0.9-2.0-4 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year Jacksonville Police & Fire Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index *Performance is preliminary and is presented gross. Results include transaction costs and the reinvestment of dividends and other income, but do not reflect the deduction of investment advisory fees, and the client s return will be reduced by the advisory fees and other expenses. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. TSW s advisory fees are described in its Form ADV Part 2A. The following illustrates the impact of fees on performance: assuming a $2 million account and an annual rate of return of 5%, with an investment management fee of 0.85% the gross and net returns for year one would be 5.0% and 4.1% respectively; cumulative returns over three and five years would be 15.8% (gross) and 12.9% (net) and 27.6% (gross) and 22.4% (net) respectively. Please see the Disclosure section for important detailed performance disclosures. 15

Return (%) BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS INDICES RETURNS Sector Returns 4Q 2017 1.4 1.2 1.17 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.47 0.4 0.2 0.15 0.05 0.0 U.S Treasury Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) Investment Grade Corporate High Yield Corporate Source: Bloomberg *Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 16

Return (%) BLOOMBERG BARCLAYS INDICES RETURNS Sector Returns Last 12 months as of 12/31/2017 8 7.50 7 6.42 6 5 4 3 2.31 2.47 2 1 0 U.S Treasury Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) Investment Grade Corporate High Yield Corporate Source: Bloomberg *Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 17

WHY SECTOR ALLOCATION MAKES SENSE Strategic allocation, tactical shifts and fund analysis drive returns Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. Indices 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 High Yield Index 17.4 16.7-1.0 20.5 11.2 13.3 3.0 2.5-5.1 4.5-1.9 28.0 10.9 2.7 11.8 2.2-26.4 57.5 15.2 4.4 15.6 7.4 2.5-4.6 17.5 7.5 Corporate Index 9.1 12.4-3.3 21.6 3.4 10.4 8.7-1.9 9.1 10.7 10.2 8.3 5.4 2.0 4.4 4.6-6.8 19.8 9.5 7.5 10.4-1.5 7.5-0.6 6.0 6.5 Mortgage Index 7.3 7.3-1.6 17.0 5.4 9.3 7.2 1.6 11.3 8.1 9.4 3.3 4.7 2.6 5.3 7.0 8.3 5.8 5.7 6.1 2.6-1.4 6.1 1.5 1.7 2.5 Treasury Index 7.2 10.6-3.3 18.5 2.6 9.6 10.0-2.4 13.4 6.7 11.6 2.3 3.5 2.8 3.1 9.1 14.0-3.7 5.9 9.8 2.2-3.4 6.0 0.8 1.1 2.4 Agency Index 7.3 10.4-2.7 17.4 3.8 9.5 8.8-0.8 11.9 8.3 10.8 2.6 3.3 2.3 4.4 8.0 9.7 0.9 4.6 5.3 2.4-1.8 4.0 1.0 1.5 2.1 High Low Source: Merrill Lynch 18

3 Mth 2 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr 30 Yr Yield (%) Return (%) DURATION & YIELD CURVE POSITION 1-Year as of 12/31/2017 Modest tactical shifts around the benchmark Secondary contributor to portfolio return Important levers to consider at certain times in the cycle 4 3 Yield Curve 12/31/2016 10 9 8 Cumulative Returns of U.S. Treasuries by Maturity Over the Period 12/31/16 12/31/17 9.1 7 2 12/31/2017 6 5 1 4 3 2 2.1 0 1 0 0.3 0.7 2 Year 5 Year 10 Year 30 Year Maturity Maturity Sources left: Bloomberg. Source Right: Bank of America Merrill Lynch 19

Basic Materials Communications Consumer, Cyclical Consumer, Non-cyclical Diversified Energy Financial Industrial Technology Utilities Weight (%) DIVERSIFICATION IN THE CORPORATE SECTOR Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund As of 12/31/2017 25 23.0 20 15 10 5 0 1.6 0.8 5.4 2.7 3.4 1.8 6.7 4.5 0.0 0.0 7.2 2.4 8.0 3.3 4.5 2.0 1.9 2.0 0.0 Corporate Sector Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund ishares Core U.S. Agrregate Bond ETF Note:. See Sector Weightings and Portfolio Characteristics Disclosure. Index information is as of 12/31/2017. Weights may not add up to 100% due to rounding. *Corporate Sector Distribution benchmark is the ishares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF. 20

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION Some disclosures below may not apply to this presentation. CLIENT REPORTS AND CUSTODY STATEMENT It is important to receive and review the statement you receive from your custodian. Any client account report provided by our Firm is not intended to replace your custody statement, which should be considered your official record for all pertinent account information. And while our Firm s reports are provided in a different format from the custodian s, and may vary in content and scope, you should compare the asset information to that of your custody statement. Please notify us promptly if you do not receive statements on all accounts from the custodian on at least a quarterly basis. Certain additional reports, such as a Realized Gain/Loss Report, may also be included from your custodian or other third parties. All information contained in such reports is believed to be correct, but because this information is provided by a third party source and not directly from our Firm, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. TSW and its employees do not provide tax or legal advice. FIXED INCOME Fixed Income investments may or may not be subject to different tax charges. Bond investments are extremely sensitive to changes in interest rates and other related economic conditions. In a rising interest rate or inflationary environment, bond prices may fluctuate quickly. In addition to pre-payment and other early principal pay back, interest and reinvestment risk are also factors that may be considered. INTERNATIONAL INVESTING RISKS Investments in global/international markets involve special risks not associated with U.S. markets, including greater economic, political and currency fluctuation risks, which may be even higher in emerging markets. In addition, foreign countries may have different accounting standards than those of the U.S. HOLDINGS DISCLOSURE The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased. The securities discussed do not represent an account s entire portfolio and in the aggregate may represent only a small percentage of an account s portfolio holdings. It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein. A complete list of every holding s contribution to performance during the period and the methodology of the contribution to return is available by contacting TSW Marketing. GENERAL ECONOMIC AND MARKET COMMENTARY DISCLOSURE Comments and general market related projections are based on information available at the time of writing and believed to be accurate; are for informational purposes only, are not intended as individual or specific advice, may not represent the opinions of the entire firm and may not be relied upon for future investing. Ned Davis charts are created by a third party and are exempt from the internal compliance review process. Investors are advised to consult with their investment professional about their specific financial needs and goals before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. SECTOR WEIGHTINGS AND PORTFOLIO CHARACTERISTICS The sector weightings and portfolio characteristics are presented as of the date shown on this presentation, and may change without notice. A complete list of sector weightings and individual security positions are available upon request. 2018 Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley LLC ( TSW ). TSW is an investment adviser registered with the SEC. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. All information contained herein is believed to be correct but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. TSW and its employees do not provide tax or legal advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Certain GIPS disclosures are provided on TSW s website at www.tswinvest.com, others are available upon request. 21