EU Market Situation for Poultry. Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 24 August 2017

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Transcription:

EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 24 August 217

-7.2% -7.7% -1.6% -1.7% -1.7% -2.1% -2.5% 4.1% 3.6% 3.5% 2.8% 1.9% 1.2%.8%.8%.6%.4%.2%.%.%.%.% 1.2% 6.8% 8.4% 9.8% 11.9% 11.% 21.4% P R O D U C T I O N Change in Poultry slaughter 217/216 (up to May) + 25% + 2% + 15% + 1% + 5% + % - 5% - 1% - 15% - 2% SK LV SE IE UK SI CY PL EL AT PT BE FI LT RO ES CZ MT HR EE LU IT DE FR NL DK HU BG EU

P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Placings of broiler chicks (1 pieces) 215 216 217 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS Forecast and Production of broiler (In tonnes) 215 216 217 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

P R O D U C T I O N Euro US Dollar exchange rate 1.6 18/8/217: 1 EUR = 1.17 USD 1.4 1.2 1. Exchange rate: Spot, ECB reference - U.S. Dollar/Euro.8 1/99 1/ 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 1/17

P R O D U C T I O N 22. 2. 18. 16. Euro Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real exchange rate 18/8/217: 1 EUR = 2.37 ARS = 3.72 BRL Exchange rate: ARG Peso/Euro, Spot, ECB reference and local market quotes Exchange rate: BRA Real/Euro, Spot, ECB reference 14. 12. 1. 8. 6. 4. 2.. 1/99 1/ 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 1/17

$ / tonne C e r e a l P r i c e s World cereal prices ($/t) 3 28 26 24 22 2 18 16 14 Wheat - Black Sea Milling $ 193 Wheat - FR Cl. 1 Rouen $ 19 Maize - FR Bordeaux $ 18 Wheat - US SRW Gulf $ 179 Barley-FR Dlvd Rouen feed $ 167 Maize - US 3YC Gulf $ 158

Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) C e r e a l P r i c e s US CME SRW wheat futures 4 35 3 25 Daily volume SEP 217 (R) MAR 218 (R) SEP 218 (R) 32 27 25 2 15 Last 14 days 21 2 19 187 2 15 22 $/t 1 18 171 17 $/t 1 5 17 5 16 Chicago (CME) SRW futures 7/14 1/15 7/15 1/16 7/16 1/17 7/17 12 Chicago (CME) SRW futures 5/8/17 9/8/17 13/8/17 17/8/17 153 15

Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) C e r e a l P r i c e s CME maize futures 4 35 3 25 Daily volume SEP 217 (R) MAR 218 (R) SEP 218 (R) 32 27 25 2 15 Last 14 days 21 2 19 187 2 15 22 $/t 1 18 171 17 $/t 1 5 17 5 16 Chicago (CME) SRW futures 7/14 1/15 7/15 1/16 7/16 1/17 7/17 12 Chicago (CME) SRW futures 5/8/17 9/8/17 13/8/17 17/8/17 153 15

Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) C e r e a l P r i c e s CME soya futures 9 8 7 Daily volume SEP 217 (R) NOV 217 (R) JAN 218 (R) SEP 218 (R) 5 45 375 3 Last 14 days 375 365 6 5 4 4 $/t 225 15 355 352 $/t 3 348 2 1 Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 11/13 5/14 11/14 5/15 11/15 5/16 11/16 5/17 35 3 75 Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 5/8/17 12/8/17 345 345 344 335

$/tonne C e r e a l P r i c e s Soyameal world quotations $/ton 6 55 Brazil Paranagua US Gulf Argentina Up River 34. 299. 325. 5 Source: IGC 45 4 35 3 25 mai-16 juin-16 juil.-16 août-16 sept.-16 oct.-16 nov.-16 déc.-16 janv.-17 févr.-17mars-17 avr.-17 mai-17 juin-17 juil.-17

Prices / 1 kg P R I C E S E V O L U T I O N S I N C E EU W E E K P R I C E S 33 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER 186.5 /1 kg carcase weight +.4% + 1.3% + 4.9%

uro/ 1kg P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N B R O I L E R Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler Latest price ==> 186.5 EUR/1 kg 25 Evolution compared same period last year (Week 33) : + 4.9% 195 185 175 165 Avg. 212-16 215 216 217 Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 217/1185)

In uro/1 kg P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N B R O I L E R Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil 23 21 186.5 161.8 88.71 19 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A,Chicago BR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br) EU US BR

T R A D E E U I M P O R T S B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins 213 214 215 216 Jan-Jun 17 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 16 Brazil 56 374 62.7% 57 355 6.% 51 327 57.3% 53 291 55.9% 231 633 53.% - 15% Thailand 228 238 28.3% 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 29 186 32.2% 14 274 32.1% - 12% Ukraine 276.% 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 8 5.3% 34 952 8.% + 77% Chile 3 515 3.8% 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 875 3.2% 11 697 2.7% - 32% China 18 145 2.2% 19 761 2.3% 18 43 2.1% 16 946 1.9% 9 7 2.2% + 16% Argentina 1 783 1.3% 1 996 1.3% 8 529 1.% 6 463.7% 3 38.8% + 13% South Africa 55.% 71.1% 724.1% 32.% 2 88.5% +++ Sw itzerland 3 817.5% 4 37.5% 2 424.3% 2 548.3% 1 153.3% - 7% Others 9 71 1.1% 5 666.7% 4 26.5% 3 78.4% 2 284.5% #N/A Extra-EU 87 274 845 743 874 937 9 47 437 161 % change + 4.8% + 3.5% + 2.9% - 9.3%

TONNES cw 1 EUR T R A D E E U I M P O R T S B r o i l e r EU Poultry meat Imports EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe) EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (1 EUR) 448 22 148 816 481 745 159 37 437 161 14 274 6 5 4 3 1 241 977 547 158 1 132 124 494 336 1 72 335 439 281 1 4 1 2 1 8 6 254 856 271 96 231 633 2 1 57 411 514 36 492 446 4 2 Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17 Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17 Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins

Canada Russia (up to May) Canada Russia (up to May) South Africa South Africa EU Japan Mexico (up to May) EU Japan Mexico (up to May) Qty in 1 Tonnes China + H. Kong China + H. Kong W O R L D M A R K E T E U I M P O R T S BROILER MAIN IMPORTERS Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Source : GTA 216 (up to June) 217 (up to June) Excl. Live animals

T R A D E E U E X P O R T S B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations 213 214 215 216 Jan-Jun 17 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 16 Hong Kong 116 963 8.2% 136 177 9.1% 1 945 6.8% 123 766 7.7% 71 918 9.3% + 18% Ukraine 75 965 5.3% 8 84 5.3% 9 85 6.1% 114 899 7.1% 65 617 8.5% + 41% Ghana 75 252 5.3% 56 9 3.8% 68 283 4.6% 77 159 4.8% 58 66 7.6% + 69% Benin 139 247 9.7% 163 844 1.9% 138 414 9.3% 116 882 7.2% 58 288 7.5% - 19% Saudi Arabia 154 787 1.8% 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.6% 121 645 7.5% 52 642 6.8% - 15% South Africa 158 548 11.1% 23 412 13.5% 213 577 14.3% 27 157 16.7% 49 993 6.5% - 63% Philippines 35 696 2.5% 57 641 3.8% 1 719 6.8% 126 741 7.8% 48 714 6.3% - 22% Congo (Dem. Rep.) 28 625 2.% 33 697 2.2% 35 269 2.4% 44 465 2.8% 29 744 3.8% + 96% Gabon 25 7 1.8% 29 49 2.% 37 33 2.5% 31 925 2.% 26 984 3.5% + 12% Vietnam 13 564.9% 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 14 2.2% 26 887 3.5% + 6% Russia 95 2 6.7% 68 363 4.5% 1 223.1% 1 19.1% 428.1% - 29% Other Destinations 59 552 35.7% 53 998 35.3% 533 195 35.8% 551 144 34.1% 284 525 36.7% Extra-EU 1 428 47 1 53 984 1 489 43 1 616 31 774 346 % change + 5.3% - 1.% + 8.5% - 1.2%

TONNES cw 1 EUR T R A D E E U E X P O R T S B r o i l e r EU Poultry meat Export EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe) 9 712 417 783 829 774 346 8 7 6 443 31 58 411 467 274 5 4 EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1 EUR) 1 2 1 41 133 949 86 919 426 1 8 672 495 669 84 69 653 6 52 642 7 639 61 892 58 288 87 54 71 593 58 66 34 723 33 6 32 672 46 49 65 617 45 285 6 719 71 918 Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17 3 2 1 124 857 7 755 87 499 118 5 51 248 53 325 25 364 42 489 34 634 35 22 261 732 38 329 65 732 81 239 16 952 Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17 4 2 Hong Kong Ukraine Ghana Benin Saudi Arabia Other destinations * Hong Kong Ukraine Ghana Benin Saudi Arabia Other destinations * * countries trading less than 92 (' EUR)

in 1 Tonnes cwe T R A D E B A L A N C E EU Poultry meat Trade Balance 1 8 IMP ORTS EXP ORTS 1 54 1 489 1 616 1 6 1 428 1 431 1 428 1 4 1 275 1 265 1 153 1 11 1 116 1 114 1 17 676 371 32 277 292 31 1 63 1 46 997 997 794 614 616 48 858867 1 16 982 891 876 821 857 855 87 846 875 9 437 774 1 2 1 8 6 4 2 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 Jan- Jun 17

T R A D E B A L A N C E EU Poultry meat trade balance (in 1 euros) 2 341 835 IMPORTS EXPORTS 2 24 55 2 233 613 2 19 262 2 66 277 2 97 428 2 89 25 2 12 87 2 55 412 1 852 975 2 158 198 1 954 748 in 1 Euros 2 5 2 1 5 1 72 335 919 426 1 5 211 212 213 214 215 216 Jan-Jun 17

EUROPA SITE MARKETS Where to find data: http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en. htm Click on link: Poultry Click on link: Presentations and prices (righthand side under: in this chapter) Choose the item (link) you want Poultry dashboard http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry -meat-dashboard_en.pdf