PRELIMINARY RESULTS YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2014

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Transcription:

PRELIMINARY RESULTS YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2014

Efficient growth in a tougher environment North America growth and stability in Western Europe compensated for emerging market weaknesses Share gains despite top line pressure 2.7ppts positive price/mix offset volume decline Strong reserve growth net sales up 14% Innovation drove incremental sales in all regions Focus on cost drove 77bps operating margin improvement and 3% operating profit growth Majority shareholding in India s United Spirits

Our long term performance ambition is: To create one of the best performing, most trusted and respected consumer products companies in the world

Our strategy remains unchanged DIAGEO S STRATEGY AIMS TO DELIVER OUR PERFORMANCE AMBITION THROUGH: Prioritised investment in: Targeted investment in: Premium core spirits* Reserve Other spirits* Beer Wine *Spirits include ready to drink (RTDs)

A strong business in an attractive sector The number of consumers who can afford our brands is a sustained growth driver 8% 17% 72% 81% 36% 43% Population by income group $20K+ 24% 17% 4% 3% 2012 2020 F Developed 56% 40% 2012 2020 F Emerging $5-20 >$5k

Diageo is well positioned to capture this increase in demand bn 4 3 Forecast spirits category growth 2012-17 ( bn) Competitors Diageo 2 1 0 Scotch Vodka Cognac Indian whisky* Rum* Liqueur NAM whiskey Tequila Gin Irish whiskey Source: IWSR, Plato Logic. Group Strategy analysis. Excludes CWS. *Includes USL Confidential

In F14 we took action to manage the challenges we faced Reduced stock levels in South East Asia and West LAC to improve visibility Repositioned price points in Nigeria, up-weighted advertising and focussed on route to consumer Innovated in baijiu to broaden portfolio across price points Restated FX rate in Venezuela to remove exposure risk

North America, our biggest and most profitable region, continues to deliver Further top line growth and margin expansion Premium Core brands impacted by slower growth of spirits market Strong growth from our reserve portfolio Strength in innovation

Western Europe saw stronger performance and improved trends Remains challenging but has stabilised Targeted marketing delivering share gains Reserve and innovation driving growth Strengthening our route to consumer

Africa, Eastern Europe and Turkey has posted modest growth Share gains across a number of markets Strong performance in some markets offset by weakness in others Continued strong reserve growth Innovation to meet key consumer trends

Performance in Latin America was strong overall with share gains and an expanded portfolio Good performance despite mixed economic conditions Multi-category growth with some challenges in scotch Reserve continued strong growth Very strong innovation performance

Asia Pacific top line performance was challenged Top line decline impacted by performance in China and South East Asia Scotch and baijiu were particularly impacted Continued strong performance in reserve Innovation focused on super and ultra premium

United Spirits transforms Diageo s platform in India Acquired controlling stake in India s leading spirits producer and world s largest by volume Access to Indian spirits category and nationwide distribution Indian consumer fundamentals are strong young, growing population; long-term GDP; large whiskey category Complementary portfolios

Our six performance drivers are improving focus across the business Strengthen and accelerate our premium core brands Innovate at scale to meet new consumer needs Win in Reserve in every market Build and then continually extend our advantage in route to consumer Drive out costs to invest in growth Ensure we have the talent to deliver our performance ambition

Strong reserve performance with extended leadership position Market share (value) super deluxe spirits category 13.1% 11.1% 10.6% 9.2% 9.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.4% 7.9% 2011 2012 2013 5.7% 5.2% 4.7% 4.8% 4.4% 4.2% 3.7% 3.1% 2.7% Diageo Pernod Ricard LVMH Bacardi Remy Cointreau Confidential Patron Source: IWSR value share. *2013

Capturing incremental growth through an advantaged route to consumer Our brands in more places Global toolkit to drive rate of sale More brands through innovation and investment in talent and capability are key enablers Growing sales and gaining share

The year ahead Top line improvement Emerging market volatility is moderating Western Europe stabilised - right strategy and structure in place to capture growth North America will continue to grow Continued share gains and growth in reserve Expect decline in baijiu to stabilise

A stronger business in a tough environment In F14 we set out how we would deliver change Our strategy is unchanged and we are building on a position of strength Our goals are clear and we have the platform and clarity across the business of what we need to do We start F15 with a more agile organisation

Q&A

Cautionary statement concerning forward-looking statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. In particular, forward-looking statements include all statements that express forecasts, expectations, plans, outlook and projections with respect to future matters, including trends in results of operations, margins, growth rates, overall market trends, the impact of interest or exchange rates, the availability or cost of financing to Diageo, anticipated cost savings or synergies, the completion of Diageo's strategic transactions and restructuring programmes, anticipated tax rates, expected cash payments, outcomes of litigation, anticipated deficit reductions in relation to pension schemes, general economic conditions and all statements on the slide outlook statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including factors that are outside Diageo's control. These factors include, but are not limited to: changes in political or economic conditions in countries and markets in which Diageo operates, including changes in levels of consumer spending, failure of customer, supplier and financial counterparties or imposition of import, investment or currency restrictions; changes in consumer preferences and tastes, demographic trends or perceptions about health related issues, or contamination, counterfeiting or other circumstances which could harm the integrity or sales of Diageo s brands; developments in any litigation or other similar proceedings (including with tax, customs and other regulatory authorities) directed at the drinks and spirits industry generally or at Diageo in particular, or the impact of a product recall or product liability claim on Diageo s profitability or reputation; the effects of climate change and regulations and other measures to address climate change including any resulting impact on the cost and supply of water; changes in the cost or supply of raw materials, labour and/or energy; legal and regulatory developments, including changes in regulations regarding production, product liability, distribution, importation, labelling, packaging, consumption or advertising; changes in tax law, rates or requirements (including with respect to the impact of excise tax increases) or accounting standards; and changes in environmental laws, health regulations and the laws governing labour and pensions; the costs associated with monitoring and maintaining compliance with anti-corruption and other laws and regulations, and the costs associated with investigating alleged breaches of internal policies, laws or regulations, whether initiated internally or by external regulators, and any penalties or fines imposed as a result of any breaches; ability to maintain Diageo s brand image and corporate reputation, and exposure to adverse publicity, whether or not justified, and any resulting impacts on Diageo s reputation and the likelihood that consumers choose products offered by Diageo s competitors; increased competitive product and pricing pressures and unanticipated actions by competitors that could impact Diageo s market share, increase expenses and hinder growth potential; the effects of Diageo s strategic focus on premium drinks, the effects of business combinations, partnerships, acquisitions or disposals, existing or future, and the ability to realise expected synergies and/or costs savings; Diageo s ability to complete existing or future business combinations, restructuring programmes, acquisitions and disposals; contamination, counterfeiting or other events that could adversely affect the perception of Diageo s brands; increased costs or shortages of talent; disruption to production facilities or business service centres, and systems change programmes, existing or future, and the ability to derive expected benefits from such programmes; changes in financial and equity markets, including significant interest rate and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and changes in the cost of capital, which may reduce or eliminate Diageo s access to or increase the cost of financing or which may affect Diageo s financial results and movements to the value of Diageo s pension funds; renewal of supply, distribution, manufacturing or licence agreements (or related rights) and licenses on favourable terms when they expire; and technological developments that may affect the distribution of products or impede Diageo s ability to protect its intellectual property rights. All oral and written forward-looking statements made on or after the date of this presentation and attributable to Diageo are expressly qualified in their entirety by the above factors and the Risk factors contained in Diageo s annual report on Form 20-F for the year ended 30 June 2014. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Diageo speak only as of the date they are made. Diageo does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Diageo's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any additional disclosures that Diageo may make in any documents which it publishes and/or files with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. All readers, wherever located, should take note of these disclosures. This document includes names of Diageo's products, which constitute trademarks or trade names which Diageo owns, or which others own and license to Diageo for use. All rights reserved. Diageo plc 2014. The information in this presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or an invitation to buy shares in Diageo plc or an invitation or inducement to engage in any other investment activities. This presentation includes information about Diageo s target debt rating. A security rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities and may be subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating organisation. Each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating. Past performance cannot be relied upon as a guide to future performance. The contents of the company s website (www.diageo.com) should not be considered to form a part of or be incorporated into this presentation