Banco do Brasil. 2Q10 Conference Call

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Transcription:

Banco do Brasil 2Q10 Conference Call 1

Disclaimer This presentation may include references and statements, planned synergies, increasing estimates, projections of results and future strategy for Banco do Brasil, it s Associated and Affiliated Companies and Subsidiaries. Although these references and statements reflect the management s belief, they also involve imprecision and high difficult risks to be foreseen, consequently, they may conduct to a different result than the one anticipated here. These expectations are highly dependent on market conditions, on Brazil s economic and banking system performances, as well as on international market one. Banco do Brasil is not responsible for bringing up to date any estimate in this presentation. 2

Favorable economic dynamics... Middle and Low Income Compelling Demographic Dynamics - % Classes (% Households) (1) 8.6 7.9 8.3 8.5 7.3 7.6 7.7 42% 46% 46% 48% 50% 52% 53% 44% 46% 41% 38% 37% 33% 31% 90% 80% 70% Demographic bonus 60% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 50% 40% 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Middle Income Class Low Income Class GDP per Capita (U$'000) Economic Active Population = 15-64 years Economic Inactive Population Source: IBGE, Brazilian Central Bank, FGV and Ipeadata. (1) Data as of June of each year. Income classes classified according to income by household. Low income class: households with incomes up to R$1,063 per month. Middle income class: between R$1,064 and R$4,590 per month. Total Payroll Index² Unemployment Index³ - % 106.5 111.6 119.1 121.7 124.8 10.0 9.3 7.9 8.1 7.5 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun/10 (2) Base 100 Dec/2005 Source: IBGE 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun/10 (3) 12 months average Source: IBGE 3

...supports credit performance of the banking industry. Banking Industry Loan Portfolio¹ R$ billion 1,414 1,227 936 733 778.4 695.0 510.6 207.8 425.4 532.3 636.0 238.0 1,529 836.4 692.6 12.3 months 7.8 Operations Average Term 14.6 16.3 17.4 9.2 10.1 9.5 17.6 12.7 2006¹ 2007 2008 2009 Jun/10 Loan Portfolio - Banking Industry Businesses Individuals Credit Risk 4.3 3.7 3.7 3.2 3.2 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun/10 Individuals Businesses Loan / GDP 40.8 30.2 34.2 12.8 8.6 10.0 9.8 11.6 13.1 45.0 45.7 13.7 13.7 14.9 15.1 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun/10 Past Due Loan + 90 days / Loan Portfolio¹ - % (1) Free Resources 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun/10 Loan / GDP - % Loan / GDP - Businesses¹ - % 4 Loan / GDP - Individuals¹ - %

BB maintains its leadership in the main segments... R$ billion Jun/10 Market Share Position Total Assets¹ Total Loan Portfolio² Agribusiness Loan Portfolio 755.7 21.5% 349.8 20.1% 70.3 60.5% 1 st 1 st 1 st Total Deposits¹ 344.0 26.7% 1 st Demand Deposits¹ Time Deposits¹ Assets Under Management³ 59.0 33.1% 192.7 26.3% 354.4 22.9% 1 st 1 st 1 st Trade Finance (ACC/ACE) 4 - US$ 6.2 BNDES Onleading Withdrawal 5 8.5 Customers (million) 53.3 33.5% 1 st 1 st 1 st Points of Service 18,286 1 st (1) Banco Central do Brasil (Central Bank of Brazil) - Top 50 banks: Total Banking - Consolidated I + II (as of Dec/09) (2) Including guarantees and securities. Market Share: Banco Central do Brasil (Central Bank of Brazil) - Press Releases (3) Ranking ANBIMA (assets managed by Banco do Brasil + 50% of the assets managed by Banco Votorantim) (4) Banco Central do Brasil (Central Bank of Brazil) - Economic indicators 5

...and delivers a solid result. R$ million 33.2 28.0 31.5 27.4 28.7 ROAE - % 23.7 24.2 26.5 22.0 24.6 Recurring ROAE - % 5,076 4,014 4,383 2,348 2,351 1,727 2,056 2,725 2,327 3,250 = 34.9% Net Income Recurring Net Income 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 1H09 1H10 6

Loan Revenues backs net interest income growth... R$ billion 18.8 15.5 = 21.6% 38.1 Net Interest Income¹ 8.5 9.4 9.5 31.3 12.6 7.5 16.0 5.9 9.2 18.6 19.5 6.1 6.5 10.1 15.8 12.2 19.1 19.3 25.5 Interest Expenses Other Interest Income Loan Income 10.1 12.5 13.0 = 33.5% 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 1H09 1H10 (1) Before allowance for loan losses 7

...that is stable when adjusted by risk. NIM by Product Spread vs. Selic 21.2 73.6 77.6 70.1 18.2 17.4 7.3 6.5 6.5 10.4 9.9 9.7 7.5 5.5 5.6 6.0 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Individuals - % Loan Operations Businesses - % Agribusinesses - % 6.7 6.2 4.5 4.4 4.5 9.9 8.4 9.2 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 Global Spread¹ /Cumulative Selic² - % Global Spread¹ - % NII adjusted by risk³ - % Cumulative Selic² - % (1) Net Interest Income over Earning Assets (2) Annualized (3) Net Financial Margim over Earning Assets 8

Total Deposits 81.2 89.2 94.9 Core Deposits grow more... Core Deposits¹ 49.8 55.9 52.6 310.8 342.6 344.0 188.7 206.9 213.1 = = 0.4% 0.4% = = 3.0% 3.0% Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 Loan Portoflioo / Deposits - % Balance - R$ billion Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 Cost / Selic - % Balance - R$ billion Foreign Borrowing R$ billion 24.1 23.6 1.9 1.9 15.1 6.2 5.4 1.9 6.5 6.9 5.4 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.6 7.1 7.2 4.1 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 Individuals Businesses Issues Repo Interbanking Assets under Management 22.6 22.3 22.9 339.8 354.4 293.9 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 (1) Demand, judicial and special deposits (2) Including 50% of BV managed resources (3) Source: ANBIMA Ranking Asset Management² - R$ billion Market Share³ -% 9

R$ billion 18.8... supporting loan portfolio performance, that reaches a 20% market share. 19.8 20.1 Market Share¹ - % Offshore Agribusiness Businesses Agribusiness Individuals 252.5 13.1 20.2 47.4 68.5 5.2% 26.8% 27.1% 305.6 17.5 17.2 47.7 95.1 5.7% 21.2% 31.1% 326.5 19.5 22.5 47.8 101.1 6.0% 21.5% 31.0% Individuals Businesses 103.4 40.9% 128.1 41.9% 135.6 41.5% Jun/09 Mar/10 = 6.9% Jun/10 = 29.3% (1) Brazilian Central Bank - Press Releases - domestic loan portfolio 10

Vehicles Loan Credit Card Other Payroll Loan R$ billion Market Share¹ - % Mortgage Overdraft Account Consumer Finance Backed by Direct Deposits Individuals loan portfolio surpass R$ 100 billion and 18.0 68.5 1.1 2.9 7.8 8.2 7.8 11.1 29.5 22.6 22.8 95.1 1.9 2.7 11.2 21.0 8.9 10.8 expands its market share. 101.1 2.1 3.2 11.6 22.8 9.3 11.6 38.5 40.5 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 + 8.3% 5.0% % over Jun/09 47.7 178.4 37.1 = 6.3% (1) Source: Banco Central do Brasil - Press Releases: Loan as Reference for Interest Rate 11

R$ billion 18.3 Business loan portfolio expands its market share, growing more than 31% in the last 12 months... 21.3 21.7 % over Jun/09 Market Share¹ - % 128.1 135.6 31.2 103.4 45.2 4.8% 47.4 20.0 Small and Micro Enterprises 39.5 Medium and Large Enterprises 63.9 6.4% 82.9 88.2 38.1 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 = 5.9% (1) Source: Banco Central do Brasil - Press Releases: Loan as Reference for Interest Rate 12

... with the highlight on investment and working capital operations. Other R$ billion 103.4 6.0 14.7 5.8% 14.2% 128.1 8.7 13.3 26.2-9.6% 9.3% 135.6 6.4 12.0 28.7 4.7% 8.9% 21.2% % over Jun/09 31.2 43.9 Foreign Trade 19.9 19.3% Investment 62.7 60.7% 79.8 10.7% 88.4 65.2% 41.0 Working Capital Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 = 5.9% 13

55.1 The balance of working capital operations insured by FGO grows and surpasses 10% of SMEs loan portfolio. 81.9 102.5 122.8 140.5 156.3 179.7 212.4 380.5 932.2 30.4 33.7 30.2 29.7 28.1 26.8 28.2 27.1 28.3 33.2 35.3 0.9 11.4 28.9 5,104 3,156 3,469 3,745 4,276 2,789 2,404 28.0 1,689 Aug/09 Sep/09 Oct/09 Nov/09 Dec/09 Jan/10 Feb/10 Mar/10 Apr/10 May/10 Jun/10 Thousand Operations Operations Average amount R$ thousand Operations Balance R$ million = 47.1% 14

BB keeps its leadership in agribusiness financing... R$ billion 62.3 56.2 60.5 % over Jun/09 Other Market Share¹ - % 67.6 70.3 64.9 1.9 2.7 4.0% 2.6 17.4 18.7 27.7% 36.8% 12.7 2.8% 24.7% 4.0-7.3 Marketing 21.5 31.8% 5.2% 22.8 23.9 34.1% 11.4 Investment Costs 24.7 26.8 1.1% 27.1 36.5% 38.5% 9.7 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 = 8.4% 15

...expanding the use of agricultural insurance. Working Capital (R$ billion) 11.6 15.5 14.9 Crop Insurance Breakdown - % 50% 38% 39% 61.2% 73.4% 50% 62% 61% 71.8% Crop 2007/2008 Crop 2008/2009 Crop 2009/2010 With Insurance Without Insurance 36.1% 73.8% R$ million Costs Crop 2009/2010 % Insured Soybean 4,630 83.3 Corn 2,801 78.3 Rice 998 78.2 Wheat 547 88.6 Other 5,886 29.1 Total 14,862 60.7 16

Jun/09 BB s credit performance was followed by better risk ratios... SFN¹ 9.4% 9.5% 90.6% 90.5% Jun/10 SFN¹ AA-C D-H 7.5% 8.2% 92.5% 91.8% (1) Source: Banco Central do Brasil Press Releases. 17

Individuals Loan Portfolio¹ NPL Ratio - % 8.6 7.0 6.6 5.7 4.4 4.1... reflecting in the reduction of individuals and businesses delinquency ratios... Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 NPL Ratio (90 days) Banking Industry² NPL Ratio (90 days) BB Business Loan Portfolio¹ NPL Ratio - % 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.2 2.6 2.4 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 (1) Loan as Reference for Interest Rate. (2) Source: Banco Central do Brasil - Press Releases 18

Agribusiness Loan Portfolio NPL - past due 90 days - %... and agribusiness loan portfolio ratios. 8.2 5.5 5.3 3.2 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.3 1.9 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 Extended¹ Total Portfolio Unextended¹ Agribusiness Loan Portfolio Coverage³ - % Provision / Past Due Loans +90 days 456.2 367.1 222.6 282.4 291.4 269.9 227.7 179.3 182.9 Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 Unextended Total Extended (1) Not including third parties 19

Coverage and credit recovery are better than market average. Write Off¹ / Average Loan Porfolio (%) 3.2 Recovery¹ / Write - Offs (%) 22.8 17.8 1.9 BB Market Average 2 BB Market Average 2 Coverage Ratio³ 179.4 183.7 163.5 166.8 166.7 169.1 BB Coverage - % BI Coverage - % Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 (1) Half year flow (2) Three largest Brazilian banks average, excluding BB. (3) Required allowance for loan losses / Past Due Loans +90 days 20

Fund management, cards and insurance boost revenues... R$ billion Commercial Revenues¹ 27,3 12,4 13,4 13,9 0,5 0,4 0,5 3,4 3,6 30.3% 4,0 8,5 9,4 9,5 31.9% 22,6 0,8 6,4 15,5 0,9 7,6 18,8 Insurance Result Fee Income Net Interest Income 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 1H09 1H10 = 3.4% = 20.7% (1) Net Interest Income + Fee Income + Insurance Revenues (2) Including Banco Votorantim 21

...and Administrative¹ Expenses rise in line with the business growth... R$ million 9,877 10,771 4,892 5,300 5,471 4,638 4,983 Other Administrative Expenses Personnel Expenses 2,279 2,449 2,534 2,613 2,851 2,937 5,239 5,788 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 1H09 1H10 2 (1) Personnel Expenses + Other Administrative Expenses Does not include civil and labor claims, premiuns paid to customers and one-off items. = 9.1% 22

... resulting in improved productivity ratios. 137.1 118.7 123.2 Service Revenues / Personnel Expenses - %¹ 42.3 44.3 42.7 Cost / Income Ratio - %(1) (2) 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 (1) Without one-off items (2) Cost / Income Ratio = Administrative Expenses / Operating Revenuess, which: Administrative Expenses = Personnel Expenses + Other Administrative Expenses Operating Revenuess = Gross Income from Financial Intermediation Allowance for Loan Losses Expenses + Fee Income + Equity Interest in the Resultas of Subsidiaries and Affiliates + Income from Insurance, Pension Plans and Savings Bonds + Other Operating Income + Other Operating Expenses 23

BB keeps a consistent growth in the cards market. R$ billion 20.2 20.4 20.3 Market Share -% 21.2 24.0 25.5 Credit Card Total Revenues = 6.2% 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 = 20.0% Strategic Partnership 24

R$ million Corporate reestructure in the insurance segment will increase its share in BB income. 282.0 298.5 297.7 Insurance Net Income¹ = - 0.3% 2Q09 1Q10 2Q10 = 5.5% Strategic Partnership (1) Brokerage Net Revenue + Fee Income + Earning / Laws Equity 25

With Nossa Caixa, BB conquers leadership in São Paulo, expanding its operations. BEFORE AFTER + % 22 Credit Products (Individuals and Small and Medium Enterprises) 50 127.3 559 - Branch Network Integrated Branches (100%) 1.391 566 148.8 3,710 12,056 52 93-2,226 Automated Teller Machines - ATM Transaction Options Renewed ATM 225.0 78.8 1,251,201 700,691 Transactions¹ - ATM Transactions¹ - Internet 2,674,390 988,477 113.7 41.1 (1) 5th day 26

R$ billion 12.8 13.4 Strategic partnership with Banco Votorantim expands business production. 17.3 17.5 18.6 22.5 Market Share BV -- % 2.2 3.1 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.0 7,540 Total Loan Portfolio NPL - BV - % 5,762 6,043 6,636 3,704 4,579 BV - Retail Credit Production 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 + 27

With the public offering,, BB increases free float and... Before Public Offering Ownership Structure After Public Offering 21.9% 30.4% 2.4% 10.4% 65.3% 10.4% 59.2% Federal Government Free Float Previ BNDESPar Shareholder Shareholder Number Increase Before Offering After Offering Qtd. % Individuals 330,974 402,787 71,813 21% Businesses 10,466 16,870 6,404 57% Foreign Investors 1,076 1,289 213 24% Free Float 342,516 420,946 78,430 22% 28

... increases its leverage potential. Proforma after public offering 15.3 13.7 12.8 14.3 Basel Index -% 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.1 Tier II - % 10.8 9.5 8.8 10.3 Tier I - % Jun/09 Mar/10 Jun/10 Jul/10 Leverage Potential¹ of R$ 143 billion (1) 100% weighting 29

2Q10 performance confirms most estimates. Items Performance 2010 Guidance Recurring ROAE 24.6% 21% - 24% Net Interest Margin 6.4% 6.5% - 7.0% Total Deposits 6.6% 12% - 16% Domestic Loan Portfolio 18.8% 18% - 23% Individuals 27.6% 27% - 32% Businesses 21.5% 16% - 21% Agribusiness 4.0% 4% - 9% Allowance for Loan Losses 4.1% 4.0% - 4.4% Fee Income 10.8% 7% - 10% Administrative Expenses 9.1% 10% - 12% Tax Rate 33.9% 31% - 34% 30

Investor Relations Unit SBS - Quadra 1 - Bloco C - Ed. Sede III 5th floor 70073-901 - Brasília (DF) Phone: 55 (61) 3310 3980 Fax: 55 (61) 3310 3735 bb.com.br ri@bb.com.br For further information access bb.com.br/ir 31