CEVA Logistics AG Investor Call First Quarter May 2018

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Transcription:

CEVA Logistics AG Investor Call First Quarter 2018 15 May 2018

1Executive Summary Successful IPO on SIX Swiss Exchange, opening a new chapter for CEVA c.$1.2bn capital raised reduced leverage of c.3.0x Strategic investment by CMA CGM, future 24.99% shareholder Continued good performance in Q1 2018 Good top-line growth 5.4% in const. FX Strong sales momentum with good new business wins Adjusted EBITDA up $12m year on year EBITDA margin improvement in both FM and CL Aiming to repay and refinance majority of debt facilities at much reduced cost in the coming months Ongoing initiatives on productivity, efficiencies, pricing and growth progressing well committed to improve Adjusted EBITDA by c.$100m in the medium term 2

Agenda 1 IPO recap 2 Q1 2018 results 3 Refinancing 4 Outlook 3

CEVA Logistics A Leading Global Logistics Company Global Player Blue-Chip Customer Base Broad Service Range $ c.7.0 Bn Revenue Present in over 160 countries 1 57% of Gross Revenue with top 100 customers Manages c. 9 MM sqm warehouse space across c. 750 locations 480,000 Tons Air Freight More than 56,000 #5 #10 employees and temporary in Contract in Freight workers 2 Logistics 3 Management 4 Average relationship of 15 years with the top 30 customers 729,000 TEUs Ocean Freight 1.9 MM Tons Ground 1 Direct presence in more than 60 countries and exclusive agents in more than 100 2 As of 31 December 2017 3 Transport Intelligence report, Global Contract Logistics 2017 4 Transport Intelligence report, Global Freight Forwarding 2017, #7 in Air ranked by Revenue, #12 in Ocean ranked by Volume 4

CEVA IPO First day of trading on SIX Swiss Exchange on 4 th May 2018 Primary proceeds of c. CHF 1.2bn 1 used primarily to reduce debt, resulting in much stronger financial position CMA CGM as future shareholder with 24.99% in CEVA important benefits from strategic investment expected Opens a new chapter for CEVA significant opportunities to accelerate growth and improve margins 1 Actual proceeds depending on exercise of greenshoe 5

1Shareholder Structure post IPO After conversion of CMA securities, pre-greenshoe 24.99% CMA CGM Various institutional and retail investors ~60% ~15% Apollo, Franklin, Capital Research Diversified, long-term shareholder base CMA CGM securities to mandatorily convert into common shares following regulatory approvals 6

CMA CGM our new Strategic Partner 3rd largest container shipping group worldwide with >500 vessels, flagship carrier of the Ocean Alliance (with COSCO, others) Eventually 24.99% shareholder, has nominated two directors to CEVA s Board Arms length supplier to CEVA in ocean freight CEVA will continue to work as always with other ocean carriers CEVA and CMA CGM are exploring business opportunities to expand geographic coverage and offer integrated end-to-end solutions The photos are credited to CMA CGM Source: CMA CGM 7

Pro-forma Financials, 2017 1 $ million As reported Pro forma Revenue 6,994 6,994 Adjusted EBITDA 280 280 Net Debt 2,089 c. 900 Leverage 7.5x c. 3.2x Free Cash Flow (93) 11 1 Pro forma for net IPO/convertible proceeds, interest and tax changes as disclosed in prospectus. Without exercise of greenshoe. Leverage is Net debt/ltm Adjusted EBITDA 8

Deleveraging Will Unlock Additional Opportunities Additional business opportunities with existing and new clients where CEVA is currently not considered Positive client reaction to IPO Already engaging on several new discussions, expect impact in 2018 More favourable terms and conditions with suppliers/customers (pricing, payment terms, guarantees) benefit to cost and NWC Interest cost reduction from lower debt and refinancing expect >$100m reduction in annual finance charges Ability to undertake selected value-creating investments and, at some stage, bolt-on acquisitions Freeing up management time talking business rather than financial position 9

Agenda 1 IPO recap 2 Q1 2018 results 3 Refinancing 4 Outlook 10

Business Update Good sales momentum, important new business wins, many yet to be implemented. Selected wins: CL: e-commerce, retail, industrial, etc. Air/Ocean: industrial, technology, consumer, etc. Certain clients/contracts lost, not least due to financial position pre IPO, with impact on Air but also CL Decent revenue growth in CL at 2.8% despite CL China transfer to Anji-CEVA JV (July 2017) Winning market share in Ocean with good growth on all key tradelanes Strong yields in Air, up 17%, through procurement and active margin management, robust yields in Ocean Positive reaction of clients to IPO, expect positive impact on future business 11

FM Air and Ocean Volume and Yields Air export volumes (t) quarterly growth (YoY, in %) Yield: Net Revenue/t ($) 15.6 659 641 657 11.8 10.2 8.6 626 772 +17.1% ~5%* 1.6 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Volumes (thousand t) 105.6 121.8 122.9 129.6 107.3 Market Q1 18 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 CEVA 2017 current quarter Q4 17 CEVA prior periods Q1 18 Market Ocean volumes (TEU) quarterly growth (YoY, in %) Yield: Net Revenue/TEU ($) 8.5 6.9 5.9 4-5%* 3.5 2.8 286 289 282 266 285 0% Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Volumes (thousand TEU) 167.4 180.0 192.4 189.1 181.6 1 Company s estimate Q1 18 Market Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q1 18 CEVA 2017 current quarter CEVA prior periods Market 12

Margin Improvement Good progress on margin improvement initiatives in CL, FM and SG&A in general Continued efficiency increases in FM Productivity in Air & Ocean up, rollout of automation bolt-ons and station program on track Losses in Other FM/VAS more than halved Conversion up 200 basis points in const. FX in seasonally low quarter CL contract initiatives yielding results Good productivity and margin increases at many focused contracts WMS standardisation progressing EBITDA margin up 40 basis points in const. FX 13

Financial Results Overview Quarter Ending 31 March Q1 2018 Q1 2017 Delta (%/$ million) Q1 2017 at const. FX Delta at const. FX (%/$ million) Revenue 1,790 1,596 12.2% 1,699 5.4% Adjusted EBITDA 1 66 54 12 55 11 EBITDA Margin 2 3.0% 2.8% 20 bps 2.6% 40 bps Net Income (67) (57) (10) Change in NWC (120) (97) (23) Free Cash Flow (130) (133) 3 Last financials with old capital structure Good growth in Air, Ocean and Contract Logistics 5.4% in const. FX 40 bps margin improvement in const. FX, better margin in both FM and CL Adjusted EBITDA up $11m in const. FX Net income as higher EBITDA, lower specific items but impacted by FX, higher finance charges, accelerated D&A Free Cash Flow improved yoy but seasonally negative 1 Adjusted EBITDA includes the Group s share of EBITDA from the Anji-CEVA joint venture, and excludes specific items and Share-based compensation (SBC) cost 2 Before specific items and SBC; EBITDA excludes the Group s share of EBITDA from the Anji-CEVA joint venture. 14

Quarterly Progression Revenue Growth (YoY, percent) 1 Adjusted EBITDA Growth (YoY, $ million) 1 3.9 4.7 6.2 5.0 5.7 5.4 Peaks trading 1 9 9 12 11 (4) Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Change in NWC (YoY, $ million) Change in Operating Cash Flow (YoY, $ million) 71 0 32 64 Revenue growth & PY comparative 70 13 55 68 Revenue growth & PY comparative (7) (31) (23) (71) Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 1 In constant FX 15

Group P&L All figures above EBITDA are before specific items and SBC 1 Quarter Ending 31 March Q1 2018 Q1 2017 Delta (%/$ million) Q1 2017 at const. FX Delta at const. FX (%/$ million) Revenue 1,790 1,596 12.2% 1,699 5.4% Purchased Transportation (875) (769) (816) Net Revenue 915 827 10.6% 883 3.6% Personnel (549) (500) (537) 10.2% Other Net Operating Expenses (313) (282) (301) EBITDA before specific items and SBC 53 45 8 45 8 EBITDA Margin 3.0% 2.8% 20 bps 2.6% 40 bps Share in Anji-CEVA EBITDA 13 9 4 10 3 Adjusted EBITDA 2 66 54 12 55 11 Specific items and SBC (7) (11) Depreciation & Amortization (36) (26) Net Finance Expense (76) (53) Net Result from joint venture 5 4 Tax (6) (16) Net Income (67) (57) 2.9% 1 SBC: Share-based compensation cost 2 Adjusted EBITDA includes the Group s share of EBITDA from the Anji-CEVA joint venture, and excludes specific items and SBC 16

Results Freight Management All figures are before specific items and SBC Quarter Ending 31 March Q1 2018 Q1 2017 Delta ( %/$ million) Q1 2017 at constant FX Delta at constant FX ( %/$ million) Revenue 803 702 14.4% 739 8.7% Purchased Transportation (579) (499) 16.0% (527) 9.9% Net Revenue 224 203 10.3% 212 5.7% Personnel Cost (137) (127) (133) 8.3% Other Operating Expenses (72) (66) (69) EBITDA 15 10 5 10 5 EBITDA Margin 1.9% 1.4% 50 bps 1.4% 50 bps Conversion rate (EBITDA/Net Revenue) 3.5% 6.7% 4.9% 180 bps 4.7% 200 bps Revenue of Q1 2018 FM Products 1 YoY Growth (%) YoY Growth at constant FX (%) Air 335 21.8% 13.9% Ocean 247 13.8% 6.0% Other FM 221 6.3% 4.2% Comments Revenue growth of 8.7% from volume and price Cost growing less than revenue, reflecting productivity/efficiencies Margin up 50 bps Conversion up 200 bps in const. FX 1 Revenue by products excludes Miscellaneous operating income 17

Results Contract Logistics All figures are before specific items and SBC Quarter Ending 31 March Q1 2018 Q1 2017 Delta (%/$ million) Q1 2017 at constant FX Delta at constant FX (%/$ million) Revenue 987 894 10.4% 960 2.8% Net Revenue 691 624 10.7% 671 3.0% Personnel Cost (412) (373) (404) 10.9% Other Operating expenses (241) (216) (232) EBITDA 38 35 3 35 3 EBITDA Margin 3.9% 3.9% 0 bps 3.6% 30 bps 2.7% Comments Revenue growth of 2.8% in const. FX volume and new business partially offset by the transfer of the China CL activities to Anji JV (as of July 2017) and termination of certain contracts Growth particularly strong in Western/Central Europe, Turkey, Latin America and South-East Asia Productivity improvements at many contracts and cost savings Margin up 30 basis points in const. FX 18

Results Anji-CEVA not consolidated Quarter Ending 31 March Q1 2018 Q1 2017 Delta ( %/$ million) Q1 2017 at constant FX Delta at constant FX ( %/$ million) Revenue 346 245 41.5% 265 30.6% EBITDA 25 19 32.6% 21 22.4% EBITDA margin 7.3% 7.8% (50) bps 7.8% (70) bps CEVA s share of EBITDA 13 9 32.6% 10 22.4% Net Income 13 11 19.4% 12 8.8% Comments Strong Revenue growth from new business wins and CEVA CL China transfer (July 2017) Continued good EBITDA margins in seasonally weaker quarter, impacted by start-ups 19

Net Working Capital In 31.03.2018 31.03.2017 Delta NWC Evolution (end of period) (NWC/LTM Revenue %) NWC breakdown NWC (172) (83) (89) $ million 0 (-0.4%) Trade WC 331 287 45 Other WC 1 (503) (370) (134) (50) (-1.1%) (100) (-1.2%) Normalisation Trade WC estimated 31.03.2017 Delta Trade WC 331 287 45 (150) (200) (-2.2%) (-2.4%) (-2.7%) (-2.4%) Revenue growth impact (17) FX impact (19) Normalised Trade WC 295 287 8 (250) (300) Q2 Q3 (-3.6%) Q4 Q1 2017/2018 2016/2017 NWC more negative than PY although trade WC higher reflecting growth and FX Cash outflow from NWC $23m higher than PY largely from growth Driving further structural improvements billing, terms, collections 1 Other WC includes accruals incl. for freight charges, tax, social security, interest and other liabilities 20

Cash Flow Q1 2018 Q1 2017 Delta EBITDA before specific items and SBC 53 45 8 Specific items (6) (3) (3) Gain on disposal of PP&E 0 0 0 Retirement Benefit Obligations (2) (1) (1) Provisions 7 (1) 8 Change in working capital (120) (97) (23) Other 1 (3) 4 Operating cash flow (67) (60) (7) Net finance expenses (36) (37) 1 Tax (6) (11) 5 Capital expenditure (21) (25) 4 Dividends received 0 0 0 Free cash flow (130) (133) 3 21

Liquidity $ million 31.03.2018 Total cash and cash equivalents 203 Availability under committed credit facilities 299 Total headroom 502 Capital structure and liquidity significantly improved through IPO 22

Agenda 1 IPO recap 2 Q1 2018 results 3 Refinancing 4 Outlook 23

Debt Repayment with IPO Proceeds $ million 31.12.2017 31.03.2018 Repayment Cash and cash equivalents 295 203 Revolver due March 2019 0 0 Term loans due March 2021 756 757 Partial US ABL Facility due August 2020 186 190 ABS Europe due March 2020 185 185 Australian Receivables Facility due September 2020 31 35 7.0% First Lien Senior Secured Notes due March 2021 297 298 Full 4% Senior Secured Notes due May 2018 39 39 Full 1 9% First Lien Senior Secured Notes due September 2020 371 422 Finance Leases and Other Secured Debt 33 34 Net First-Lien Debt 1,603 1,757 9.0% 1.5 Lien Priority Lien Notes due September 2021 322 323 Full Net Secured Debt 1,925 2,080 12.75% Senior Notes due March 2020 27 27 Full Other Debt 137 121 Partial Net Debt 2,089 2,228 Notices given for Notes, some debt already repaid Other facilities to be repaid following refinancing in due course 1 Repaid prior to completion of IPO 24

1Refinancing Intention Expect credit rating updates from Moody s and S&P in coming weeks ratings to reflect improved financial position Plan is to replace majority of remaining debt facilities in comprehensive refinancing New financing package to include term loan, bonds, revolver and asset backed facilities in USD and EUR terms and conditions commensurate for public company Expect average interest rate of c.4.5% (at current base rates) Debt paydown and reduction in interest rates are expected to reduce finance charges by >$100 million annually Execution in coming months subject to market conditions 25

Agenda 1 IPO recap 2 Q1 2018 results 3 Refinancing 4 Outlook 26

Significant Medium-Term Earnings Improvement Potential > 4.0% EBITDA Margin 1 3.3% Key Initiatives Margin Improvement Narrow FM productivity gap through process improvements/automation Improve performance at key CL operations $280 MM Address low-margin businesses (e.g. US other FM, CL low margin contracts) SG&A efficiency Adj. EBITDA FY 17A FM Margin: 2.3% to c.3.5% CL Margin: 4.1% to 4.5% 5.0% 2 2 Growth FM Margin CL Margin Anji JV Adj. EBITDA Target Medium Contribution to EBITDA improvement illustrative Term Commercial acumen, pricing Accelerated Revenue Growth Strengthen key account relations, increase share of wallet Develop more multi-national customers, new names Leverage products and solutions expertise, innovate Selective M&A 1 EBITDA margin excludes share of Anji JV EBITDA and is before specific items and share-based compensation 2 Including SG&A 27

Outlook Expect continued good volume and revenue growth in view of sales momentum/recent wins Pursuing further productivity improvements and cost savings in FM, CL and SG&A; expected to support EBITDA margin enhancement Additional growth and margin opportunities from deleveraging are expected to partially already materialize in 2018 Debt paydown and refinancing are expected to reduce finance charges substantially Confirming expectations of double-digit Adjusted EBITDA growth and positive free cash flow (normalized for IPO/ refinancing cost), subject to no change in market conditions 28

CEVA s Targets Vision: The provider of choice in selected segments through superior solutions and customer intimacy Mid-Term Long-Term Revenue Growth 4.0% +, Accelerating Above Market EBITDA Margin 1 > 4.0% > 5.0% 1 EBITDA margin excludes share of Anji JV EBITDA and is before specific items and share-based compensation 29

Appendix 30

Quarterly financial performance constant 2018 currency 2017 figures in constant 2018 currency 2018 2017 Delta (%) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 YTD Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 YTD Freight Management Revenue 803 - - - 803 739 - - - 739 8.7 - - - 8.7 Net Revenue 224 - - - 224 212 - - - 212 5.7 - - - 5.7 EBITDA 1 15 - - - 15 10 - - - 10 50.0 - - - 50.0 Contract Logistics Revenue 987 - - - 987 960 - - - 960 2.8 - - - 2.8 Net Revenue 691 - - - 691 671 - - - 671 3.0 - - - 3.0 EBITDA 1 38 - - - 38 35 - - - 35 8.6 - - - 8.6 Group Revenue 1,790 - - - 1,790 1,699 - - - 1,699 5.4 - - - 5.4 Net Revenue 915 - - - 915 883 - - - 883 3.6 - - - 3.6 EBITDA 1 53 - - - 53 45 - - - 45 17.8 - - - 17.8 Adjusted EBITDA 2 66 - - - 66 55 - - - 55 20.0 - - - 20.0 1 Excluding specific items and share-based compensation 2 Adjusted EBITDA includes the Group s share of Anji-CEVA but excludes specific items and share-based compensation 31

Quarterly financial performance actual currency All figures in actual currency 2018 2017 Delta (%) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 YTD Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 YTD Freight Management Revenue 803 - - - 803 702 789 840 939 3,270 14.4 - - - - Net Revenue 224 - - - 224 203 217 224 231 875 10.3 - - - - EBITDA 1 15 - - - 15 10 20 26 20 76 50.0 - - - - Contract Logistics Revenue 987 - - - 987 894 932 942 956 3,724 10.4 - - - - Net Revenue 691 - - - 691 624 646 657 666 2,593 10.8 - - - - EBITDA 1 38 - - - 38 35 39 43 37 154 8.6 - - - - Group Revenue 1,790 - - - 1,790 1,596 1,721 1,782 1,895 6,994 12.2 - - - - Net Revenue 915 - - - 915 827 863 881 897 3,468 10.7 - - - - EBITDA 1 53 - - - 53 45 59 69 57 230 17.8 - - - - Adjusted EBITDA 2 66 - - - 66 54 70 85 71 280 22.2 - - - - 1 Excluding specific items and share-based compensation 2 Adjusted EBITDA includes the Group s share of Anji-CEVA but excludes specific items and share-based compensation 32

Balance sheet All figures in actual currency $ million 31.03.2018 31.03.2017 Assets Property, plant and equipment 169 150 Goodwill 1,380 1,283 Other intangibles 86 130 Others 377 234 Non-current assets 2,012 1,797 Trade receivables 1,138 990 Cash and cash equivalents 203 239 Others 278 250 Current assets 1,619 1,479 Total assets 3,631 3,276 $ million 31.03.2018 31.03.2017 Liabilities and equity Equity attributable to the equity holders of the parent company (703) (563) Non-controlling interests 3 3 Total equity (700) (560) Non-current liabilities 2,573 2,390 Trade and other payables 1,474 1,217 Borrowings 174 126 Others 110 103 Current liabilities 1,758 1,446 Total liabilities and equity 3,631 3,276 33

Note The results for the first quarter 2018 are for CEVA Holdings LLC, the predecessor company to CEVA Logistics AG. On 3 May 2018, CEVA Holdings LLC legally merged with CEVA Logistics AG with CEVA Logistics AG being the surviving entity that then listed on the Swiss Stock Exchange. 34

Safe harbor statement These materials may contain forward-looking statements. These statements include, but are not limited to, discussions regarding industry outlook, the Company s expectations regarding the performance of its business or joint ventures, its liquidity and capital resources, its guidance and targets for 2018 and beyond, its refinancing plan and the other non-historical statements. These statements can be identified by the use of words such as believes anticipates, expects, intends, plans, continues, estimates, predicts, projects, forecasts, and similar expressions. All forward-looking statements are based on management s current expectations and beliefs only as of the date of these materials and, in addition to the assumptions specifically mentioned in the above paragraphs, there are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements, including the effect of local and national economic, credit and capital market conditions, a downturn in the industries in which we operate (including the automotive industry and the airfreight business), risks associated with the Company s global operations, fluctuations and increases in fuel prices, the Company s substantial indebtedness, restrictions contained in its debt agreements and risks that it will be unable to compete effectively. Further information concerning the Company and its business, including factors that potentially could materially affect the Company s financial results, is contained in the Company s annual and quarterly reports, available on the Company s website, which investors are strongly encouraged to review. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize or the consequences of such a development worsen, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual outcomes may vary materially from those forecasted or expected. CEVA disclaims any intention or obligation to update publicly or revise such statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 35

Contact Investors: Pierre Benaich SVP Investor Relations pierre.benaich@cevalogistics.com +41 41 547 0048 Media: David Urbach SVP Corporate Development david.urbach@cevalogistics.com +41 799 333 083 36