THE NATURAL RESOURCES FORUM, 20 JUNE 2018 THE MINERS DILEMMA: BUY, BUILD OR BUYBACK NICK CLARKE, CHAIRMAN

Similar documents
RESERVES of 700,000 ounces Gold (43-101) RESOURCES of 4.2 million ounces Gold (43-101) 25 th February 2013 Annual General Meeting

Avocet Mining Full Year Results. 6 th March 2014

Shareholder Presentation. Michael Mulroney - Managing Director July 2012

RESERVES of 790,000 ounces Gold (43-101) RESOURCES of 4.2 million ounces Gold (43-101) PRODUCTION rate of 65,000 ounces/annum 2012

Interim Results for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2018

Xtract Resources Plc (AIM:XTR) First Quarter Update Presentation London 4 May 2016

KBL Mining Limited (ASX: KBL) Presentation May 2015 Resources Investment Symposium BROKEN HILL

KBL Mining Limited. Exciting Times Ahead. APP Securities Company Research 4 August 2015 KBL A$0.03 TARGET PRICE A$0.10 BUY

(the Group, the Company or CAML ) Interim Results for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2017

For personal use only

Avocet Mining. Annual General Meeting. 2 nd May 2013

Pan African Resources plc Precious Metals Summit Geneva April The African Focused Precious Metals Producer

KBL Mining Limited (ASX: KBL) Investor Presentation October KBL Mining Limited : : Investor Presentation

2016 Interim Results. Knowledge, design, product and service

DRAGON MINING LIMITED An Established Nordic Gold Producer with an Exciting Future RIU Melbourne Resources Round-up 29 September 2011

BMO Capital Markets 2017

WORLD LEADER IN NARROWBAND MESH NETWORKS. General Meeting Presentation. 2 October 2017

2016 Half Year Financial Results. Presentation

Kolwezi Tailings Project - A Case Study September 15th 2004, UNESCO, Paris

TD Securities Mining Conference JANUARY 26-27, Developing the third-largest copper mine

ASX Announcement Feasibility Progress Report Update September 2013

CONDOR GOLD. Mines and Money Conference. 1 st to 3 rd December 2015 CONDOR GOLD PLC

Investor Meetings NOVEMBER 6, Developing the third-largest copper mine

Good progress across the business. Continuing to deliver growth strategy.

Oil Capital Conference. Corporate Presentation. Building Value in the North Sea

DRAGON MINING LIMITED An Established Nordic Gold Producer with an Exciting Future Fennoscandian Exploration and Mining Conference 3 November 2011

Acquisition of Anglo American Zinc. May 10, 2010

ADVANCING THE NEXT BIG GOLD DISCOVERY IN GHANA

Interim report January March 2013

Kun-Manie Nickel Sulphide Deposit

Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2017 Global Metals, Mining & Steel Conference. 16 th May 2017 Alfredo Atucha CFO

Investing in African Mining Indaba African Battery Metals plc - AIM:ABM February 2018

RBC Global Mining and Materials Conference JUNE 14-15, The future of Oyu Tolgoi is underground Developing the third-largest copper mine

For personal use only. Drilling at Torrecillas July 2011

Pilbara Copper Zinc Projects

QUARTERLY PRODUCTION REPORT / Q2

Mineral Hill Mine, NSW

Achmmach Tin Project, Morocco DFS complete, Funding Underway. Melbourne Mining Club, 17 July 2018 Russell Clark, CEO

The future of Oyu Tolgoi is underground Developing the third-largest copper mine

Focussed in Africa. Presentation by Goldplat plc CEO, Demetri Manolis February 2010

December 2018 Half Year Presentation

Oil Shale Symposium Presentation Al Lajjun Oil Shale Project Jordan Jordan Energy and Mining Limited. Golden, Colorado October 2011

2017Year End Conference Call

Proactive Investors One2One% Investor%Forum Corporate%Presentation

EMERGING GOLD PRODUCER IN THE ARABIAN NUBIAN SHIELD FINANCING DEVELOPMENT OF TULU KAPI

This Presentation is for information purposes in connection with Leed Resources PLC (the Company ). While the information contained herein has been

Dragon Mining A Decade of Nordic Gold Production

For personal use only BUILDING A SUBSTANTIAL EUROPEAN COAL COMPANY

INVESTOR PRESENTATION May 2017

Asian Investor Meetings AUGUST 15-18, The future of Oyu Tolgoi is underground Developing the third-largest copper mine

NEWCREST PROFITABLE GROWTH

CLSA Copper Access Day 4 JUNE MICHAEL NOSSAL Executive General Manager Business Development HKEx: 1208

SILVERCORP REPORTS SIGNIFICANT GAIN IN MEASURED AND INDICATED MINERAL RESOURCES AT THE YING SILVER-LEAD-ZINC MINING DISTRICT, HENAN PROVINCE, CHINA

Half Year Financial Results December 2008

Acacia Mining plc (formerly African Barrick Gold plc) LSE: ACA. ( Acacia or the Company ) Approval of Gokona Underground project at North Mara

ASX Code: AMI Building the Next Mid-Tier Gold and Base Metals Producer. Sydney Mining Club October 2018 Jim Simpson, Managing Director & CEO

Proactive Investors One2One% Investor%Forum Corporate%Presentation

Doray Minerals Limited

PROACTIVE INVESTORS ONE2ONE INVESTOR FORUM 22 NOVEMBER Gold, copper and silver production in Azerbaijan Anglo Asian Mining PLC

EVANDER GOLD MINING PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 2017

The Yamarna Gold Belt: Exploration Upside To Be Funded From Production

ASX ANNOUNCEMENT QUARTERLY REPORT PERIOD ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER 2017 SUMMARY. 31 October ASX Code: HOR. Management

Achieving Transformational Growth

Ferrexpo Group Credit Suisse Global Metals & Mining Conference September 2008

Presentation August ASX Code: TNG

The Turnaround Continues. Value Over Volume

For personal use only

ACTIVITIES REPORT FOR THE QUARTER ENDED 30 JUNE 2018

2017 Results Presentation

HBM. Creating Sustainable Value through High Quality Long Life Deposits

For personal use only

CORO ENERGY PLC UPDATE: MALAYSIA BLOCK 2A

Investor Update. Michael Mulroney - Managing Director May 2012

Oxiana and Zinifex merger. Strength Diversity Growth March 2008

HANKING GOLD MINING. Diggers & Dealers. August 2016

Quarterly Results. June 2015

Operations update. Annual General Meeting 31 March 2015 THE EMERGING PACIFIC RIM MINER

PAGE 1. AGM Presentation. 24 th NOVEMBER

Corporate Presentation

Investor Presentation

20% Increase in T3 Feasibility Study Plant Throughput to 3Mtpa

PETROPAVLOVSK PLC. Investor Presentation March 2016

TSX: LUN OMX: LUMI. BMO Capital Markets - Global Metals and Mining Conference

HERA PROJECT Implementing a Feasibility

AUDITED ANNUAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2018

MINCOR AUDIO BROADCAST VIA BOARDROOM RADIO

For personal use only

Tuesday, 25 November Annual General Meeting

M I N E O P T I M I S AT I O N R E S O U R C E E X PA N S I O N

AGM Investor Presentation 28 September 2011

Company Announcements Office. Date: 25 February 2019

Welcome to Liqhobong Mine. ANALYST VISIT & PROJECT UPDATE 5 th September 2016

D I S C L A I M E R. For Consideration

12,178gpt intersection at Paulsens

Growth by discovery, acquisition and development. Gary Stafford, Managing Director Sydney Mining Club 7 November 2013

Second Quarter 2014 Results. July 24, 2014

Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Metals, Mining and Steel Conference

2017 FY Results Presentation

TSX: LUN OMX: LUMI Bank of America Merrill Lynch Canada Mining Conference September 2015

Las Chispas Maiden Resource Sparkles: Raising Target Price

Transcription:

THE NATURAL RESOURCES FORUM, 20 JUNE 2018 THE MINERS DILEMMA: BUY, BUILD OR BUYBACK NICK CLARKE, CHAIRMAN

2 DISCLAIMER The information contained in this confidential document ( Presentation ) has been prepared by Central Asia Metals plc (the Company ). It has not been fully verified and is subject to material updating, revision and further amendment. This Presentation has not been approved by an authorised person in accordance with Section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and therefore it is being delivered for information purposes only. Any person who receives this Presentation should not rely or act upon it. This Presentation is not to be disclosed to any other person or used for any purpose. While the information contained herein has been prepared in good faith, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers give, have given or have authority to give, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in this Presentation, or any revision thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be made available to any interested party or its advisers (all such information being referred to as Information ) and liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers take any responsibility for, or will accept any liability whether direct or indirect, express or implied, contractual, tortious, statutory or otherwise, in respect of, the accuracy or completeness of the Information or for any of the opinions contained herein or for any errors, omissions or misstatements or for any loss, howsoever arising, from the use of this Presentation. This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements that involve substantial risks and uncertainties, and actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements. These forward-looking statements are statements regarding the Company's intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company's results of operations, financial condition, prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this Presentation and the Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this Presentation. Neither the issue of this Presentation nor any part of its contents is to be taken as any form of commitment on the part of the Company to proceed with any transaction and the right is reserved to terminate any discussions or negotiations with any prospective investors. In no circumstances will the Company be responsible for any costs, losses or expenses incurred in connection with any appraisal or investigation of the Company. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company does not undertake or agree to any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation which may become apparent. This Presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. In particular, this Presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities and neither this Presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. Each party to whom this Presentation is made available must make its own independent assessment of the Company after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. In particular, any estimates or projections or opinions contained herein necessarily involve significant elements of subjective judgment, analysis and assumptions and each recipient should satisfy itself in relation to such matters. The Company's principal activity is the exploration and mining of precious and base metals in Kazakhstan and Macedonia. You should be aware of the risks associated with this type of investment and that in emerging markets such as Kazakhstan and Macedonia, the risks are far greater than in more developed markets (including significant legal, economic and political risks) and that the Company could potentially lose the benefit of its assets in Kazakhstan and Macedonia. You acknowledge the high number of expenses and difficulties frequently encountered by companies in the early stages of development, particularly companies operating in emerging markets and you should be aware that this may lead to the loss of your entire investment. Neither this Presentation nor any copy of it may be (a) taken or transmitted into Australia, Canada, Japan, the Republic of Ireland, the Republic of South Africa or the United States of America (each a Restricted Territory ), their territories or possessions; (b) distributed to any U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the United States Securities Act of 1933 (as amended)) or (c) distributed to any individual outside a Restricted Territory who is a resident thereof in any such case for the purpose of offer for sale or solicitation or invitation to buy or subscribe any securities or in the context where its distribution may be construed as such offer, solicitation or invitation, in any such case except in compliance with any applicable exemption. The distribution of this document in or to persons subject to other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of the relevant jurisdiction. June 2018

3 CENTRAL ASIA METALS OPERATIONS SHUAK (80%) 197km 2 exploration licence, northern Kazakhstan Potential for copper oxide and sulphide resources Extensively explored in Soviet times 22,000m+ drilling undertaken in 2017 KAZAKHSTAN Population, 18.0 million GDP per capita, $8,585 SASA (100%) Underground zinc and lead mine, northeast Macedonia Production commenced in 1960 s Produces 21,000-23,000t zinc and 28,000-30,000t lead in concentrate annually Life of mine to 2038+ 2017 production, 21,585t zinc and 29,881t lead KOUNRAD (100%) In-situ dump leach and SX-EW processing facility, central Kazakhstan In production for 6 years Produces 13,000-14,000t copper, one of the lowest cost copper producers globally Life of operation to 2030+ 2017 production, 14,103t copper MACEDONIA Population, 2.1 million GDP per capita, $5,916

4 CAML COMPANY TIMELINE 2015, completed $13m Stage 1 Expansion to increase annual copper production to current 13,000-14,000t 2017, commenced successful leaching of Western Dumps 2017 2018 $129m paid to shareholders in dividends (77p/share) 2010, AIM IPO raised $60m at 96p April 2012, Kounrad $39m SX-EW plant commissioned with 10,000t production capacity, copper production from Eastern Dumps commenced 2010 2012 2012, share buyback and instigated dividend policy 2015 2017, completed $13m Stage 2 Expansion to extend site infrastructure to enable leaching of Western Dumps 6 Nov 2017, $402.5m acquisition of Sasa BUILD BUYBACK BUY

5 SHARE PRICE AND SHAREHOLDERS 350 12,000 350 300 10,000 300 250 8,000 250 Share price (p) 200 150 100 6,000 4,000 Copper ($/t) Share price (p) 200 150 100 50 2,000 50 0 Sep 10 Mar 11 Sep 11 Mar 12 Sep 12 Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15 Sep 15 Mar 16 Sep 16 Mar 17 Sep 17 Mar 18 Copper ($/t) CAML 0 0 Sep 10 May 11 Jan 12 Sep 12 May 13 Jan 14 Sep 14 May 15 Jan 16 Sep 16 May 17 Jan 18 CAML FTSE AIM All Share / Basic Resources (Rebased) Share price (CAML:AIM) 2.79* Shareholders No. shares % holding Total no. voting shares 175,986,619 FIL Investment International 15,681,518 8.91 Treasury shares 511,647 Orion Co-Investment III 15,278,528 8.68 Issued shares 176,498,266 Market capitalisation 492m Free float 96% Hargreave Hale 14,547,345 8.27 JO Hambro Capital Management 13,593,952 7.72 BlackRock Investment Management 12,243,197 6.96 Majedie Asset Management 9,765,765 5.55 Average daily volume 0.6m AXA Investment Managers 5,575,000 3.17 *as closed on 13 June 2018

6 BUILD

7 C E NT R A L A S IA M E T A LS P LC BU IL DING A BIGGE R BU SINE SS KOUNRAD, OVERVIEW Eastern Dumps Commenced leaching Q2 2012 Average dump height 20m, average leach time 8 months Average copper recovery 45-50% 2017 production from Eastern Dumps c.60% Leached 63,628t from Eastern Dumps c.15,000t recoverable remaining Western Dumps Commenced leaching of ILA (part of dumps 16 and 22), Q2 2017 Average dump height 40m, average leach time 20 months Average copper recovery 35-42% Leaching in line with expectations Leached 7,868t from Western Dumps c.30,000t recoverable remaining in ILA, c.167,000t recoverable remaining in total Western Dumps

8 KOUNRAD, PRODUCTION AND COSTS 4.5 80 Copper production and outlook Total copper production to end Q1 2018, 71,496t FY 2018 production guidance 13,000t to 14,000t 2018, 65% copper production to come from Western Dumps (2017, 40%) Quarterly copper production (kt) 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Cumulative copper production (kt) 2017 C1 cash cost $0.52/lb (vs copper price, $3.24/lb) 0.0-2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Local G&A, $ 0.06 Realisation, $ 0.09 Processing, $ 0.37 copper C1 cash cost c/lb 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Kounrad $0.52/lb Kounrad and Sasa Cu Eq $0.76/lb 0-50 25% 50% 75% 100% -100 Source: Wood Mackenzie

9 SHUAK, OVERVIEW $2.5m 2018 exploration programme commenced May 2017 exploration programme $1.5m CHT drilling programme, 17,530m Diamond drilling programme, 5,242m All diamond drilling lab results and CHT results received New areas of oxide mineralisation identified at Kyzyl-Sor Encouraging intercepts of sulphide mineralisation at Mongol V and Mongol I-II, gold and molybdenum also identified

10 BUY

11 SASA, ACQUISITION $402.5m acquisition $50.0m $12.0m $120.0m New debt (Traxys), LIBOR +4.75%, 5 years Sasa debt (SocGen / Investec), LIBOR +5%, 5+ years Equity placing at 230p Equity consideration shares at 241.5p $153.5m $67.0m Deferred consideration, monthly repayments for 6 months from Q4 2018

12 SASA, OVERVIEW Sasa is a zinc / lead skarn deposit Ore body dips at approximately 35, with 2-3 parallel lenses, 1km strike, vertical distance of approximately 700m (accessible by adits into the mountain) Mining method: sub-level caving, sub levels at 7m intervals Uses single boom jumbos and diesel loaders, and either trucks (30% ore) or ore passes, rail and shaft to surface (70% ore) Primary ore body, Svinja Reka, with reserves of 10.9mt Capital development to all main mine levels already completed, multiple access via two adits and shaft Category Quantity (mt) Svinja Reka, Reserves Probable / Total Grade Contained Mt Pb (%) Zn (%) Ag (g/t) Pb (kt) Zn (kt) Ag (koz) 10.9 3.9 3.1 18.4 421 337 6,447 Svinja Reka, Inferred Resources Inferred 2.7 3.2 2.1 16.6 84 56 1,426 Golema Reka, Resources Inferred / Total 7.4 3.7 1.5 18.6 273 112 4,424 Growth potential from significant inferred mineral resources and other brownfield exploration targets Plan to further explore along strike and at depth, and to implement modern exploration techniques 2018 outlook 2018 zinc production guidance 21,000t to 23,000t 2018 lead production guidance 28,000t to 30,000t Prepared by SRK in July 2017 70 60 Metal production (kt) 50 40 31 28 28 30 31 30 29 30 30 20 10 27 23 22 23 24 23 23 22-2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Zn production Pb production Throughput 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 - Plant throughput (kt)

13 SASA, COSTS 2017 C1 cash cost $0.44/lb (vs zinc price, $1.44/lb) Processing, $0.08 Unit costs, Run of Mine (RoM) 2017 2016 Mining, $000 14,413 13,331 Processing, $000 7,499 8,201 Local G&A, $000 5,019 4,822 Total operating costs, $000 26,931 26,354 RoM, t 792,068 782,823 Unit cost, $/t 34.0 33.7 Mining, $0.15 140 120 Sasa $0.44/lb Local G&A, $0.05 Realisation, $0.16 zinc C1 cash cost c/lb 100 80 60 40 20 0 25% 50% 75% 100% -20 Source: Wood Mackenzie

14 SASA, THE FUTURE Mine and processing plant activities Infrastructure to access stoping block between 910 and 830 levels completed Extraction of ore from this area, 2018-2023 Decline access to 750 level commenced in 2017 Infrastructure to access stoping block between 830 and 750 levels will continue in 2018 Mining fleet upgraded in 2017, new Atlas Copco and Sandvik equipment Current exploration objective is to replace resources and maintain approximately 20 year life of mine Tailings Construction of TSF4 commenced in Q2 2017 Completion H2 2018 Designed to contain 6.5+mt tailings Sufficient for operations 2018-2026+ Cost estimate $10.9m

15 C E NT R A L A S IA M E T A LS P LC BU IL DING A BIGGE R BU SINE SS BUYBACK

16 2012 SHARE BUYBACK July - December 2012, CAML commenced a share buyback scheme with cash generated from Kounrad 130 CAML share price performance July to December 2012 Board decision taken due to the low share price at the time which did not reflect the true value of the business 120 Shareholder approval at 31 May 2012 AGM 1,318,929 shares were purchased at a weighted average price of 93p, totalling 1.2m During buyback programme, CAML share price increased from 69p in June 2012 to 97p at end of buyback period in December 2012 Share price p/share 110 100 90 80 Instigated dividend policy Concluded buyback Increase in share price equated to increase in CAML market capitalisation of 24m 70 60 Commenced buyback Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

17 DELIVERING SHAREHOLDER VALUE 140 2017 dividend 16.5p $129m 2018 dividend policy $m 120 100 80 60 40 20 CAML will return to shareholders a target range of between 30% and 50% of free cash flow, defined as net cash generated from operating activities less capital expenditure 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Cumulative shareholder returns TSR CAGR since IPO $153.5m equity placing for Sasa acquisition Central Asia Metals Boliden 21.4% 24.0% Lundin Mining 7.8% Antofagasta 2.3% FTSE 350 Mining 1.1% OZ Minerals 0.8% Atalaya (2.2%) Trevali (3.6%) KAZ Minerals (4.6%) Hudbay Minerals (6.4%) Capstone Mining (13.6%)

18 CAML SUMMARY FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE Total (68 months) 2017 (Sasa 2 months) 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 (8 months) Kounrad production, Cu tonnes 68,425 14,103 14,020 12,071 11,136 10,509 6,586 Sasa payable production, Cu eq. tonnes 3,333 3,333 - - - - - Group total, Cu eq. payable tonnes 71,758 17,436 14,020 12,071 11,136 10,509 6,586 Average Cu sale price, $/t 6,390 6,107 4,994 5,336 6,794 7,114 7,935 Copper C1 cash cost, $/lb 0.58 0.52 0.43 0.60 0.62 0.66 0.63 Zinc C1 cash cost, $/lb 0.44 0.44* - - - - - Group revenue, $m 446.8 106.5 69.3 67.3 76.6 76.0 51.1 Group adjusted EBITDA, $m 268.4 66.4 39.9 34.9 47.3 48.1 31.8 Group adjusted EBITDA margin 60% 62% 58% 52% 62% 63% 62% Dividend/share buy-back, $m 129.1 33.6 21.6 20.3 21.8 15.6 16.2 *calculated on a 12 month 2017 basis for Sasa

19 HOW BEST TO DELIVER VALUE FOR SHAREHOLDERS Buy Must pay a fair price for a good asset Must be accretive for current shareholders and not stretch balance sheet Understanding the asset is crucial legal, accounting, technical DD Soft issues can be challenging Sasa acquisition enabled CAML to continue to pay dividends Acquiring Sasa was a good decision for CAML Build Develop the project internally Choice of team, technical approach etc from the beginning Kounrad has been the foundation of CAML business and a great success Exploration potential in Shuak, may be a future SX-EW development project Buyback Paid $129m or 77p/ share in dividends in less than 6 years CAML dividend policy has been well received by market and shareholders Demonstrates intention to create value for shareholders Once a dividend policy is instigated, history has shown the market does not respond well to stopping. CAML dividend was a significant factor in CAML decision to buy Sasa All mines are finite, so it is not wise for companies to solely return cash to shareholders as businesses have to invest for the future, be it for growth or replacement production A good balance of growth and dividends has worked well for CAML

20 INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT Louise Wrathall 11 Albemarle Street London W1S 4HH louise.wrathall@centralasiametals.com Tel: +44 (0) 20 7898 9001 www.centralasiametals.com