PMITM. The world s leading economic indicator

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Transcription:

PMITM The world s leading economic indicator

The Purchasing Managers IndexTM (PMITM) is based on monthly surveys of carefully selected companies representing major and developing economies worldwide. KEY STATS 26,000+ companies surveyed monthly 4,000+ economic indicators \ 2 ihsmarkit.com

The PMI provides an advance signal of what is really happening in private sector economies, by tracking variables such as output, new orders, employment and prices. PMI reports provide survey participants with a free source of credible, highly-regarded business intelligence. This timely information helps you to better understand underlying economic conditions and identify turning points in the economic cycle, enabling improved business planning and purchasing strategy. Benefits of survey participation Inclusion in a highly-regarded economic survey Free access to over 100 monthly reports Easy to interpret and apply within your operations \ 3

Proven methodology and reliable results The PMI is released monthly for developed and emerging economies worldwide. The numbers provide insight into economic conditions across the manufacturing and service sectors, with national PMI readings for the respective sectors based on responses from panels of senior purchasing executives (or similar) at more than 400 companies for each survey. KEY STATS 40+ countries covered 86% global GDP \ 4 ihsmarkit.com

Each survey panel is carefully formed to accurately represent the true structure of that country and sector. Respondents are asked to state whether business conditions across a number of variables have improved, deteriorated or stayed the same compared with the previous month. Reasons for any changes are also collected, providing additional insight into trends. PMI global coverage \ 5

Diffusion indexes are calculated for each variable These indexes vary between 0 and 100 with levels of 50.0 signalling no change on the previous month. Readings above 50.0 signal an improvement or increase on the previous month. Readings below 50.0 signal a deterioration or decrease on the previous month. The greater the divergence from 50.0 the greater the rate of change signalled. The indexes are seasonally adjusted. Because the surveys cover a wide range economic variables and economies, using an identical methodology across countries, detailed comparisons can made across economies, activities and sectors. \ 6 ihsmarkit.com

Surveys are conducted in the following countries: Manufacturing Services Whole Economy Construction Australia Australia Egypt* France Austria Brazil Ghana Germany Brazil Canada China Czech Republic France Germany China France Germany India Ireland Italy Hong Kong Kenya Lebanon Nigeria Saudi Arabia* Ireland Italy United Kingdom Aggregates Eurozone Greece Japan Singapore India Russia South Africa Indonesia Spain Uganda Ireland Italy Japan Malaysia United Kingdom United States Aggregates United Arab Emirates* Zambia *Non-oil sector Myanmar Global Mexico Eurozone Other surveys and reports Netherlands Global Business Outlook Philippines Global Sectors Poland Russia South Korea Spain Taiwan Europe Sectors Asia Sectors US Sectors Eurozone Retail Thailand Germany Retail Turkey France Retail United Kingdom Italy Retail United States Vietnam UK Regional UK Jobs Aggregates Global UK Regional Jobs UK Household Finance Eurozone UK Marketing Budgets ASEAN \ 7

The survey questionnaires cover the following economic variables: Manufacturing Services Whole Economy Construction Output Business activity Output Total activity New orders New business New orders Residential activity New export orders Backlogs of work New export orders Commercial activity Backlogs of work Prices charged Backlogs of work Civil engineering activity Output prices Input prices Output prices New orders Input prices Employment Overall input prices Employment Suppliers delivery times Expectations for activity Purchase prices Quantity of purchases Stocks of finished goods Staff costs Suppliers delivery times Quantity of purchases Suppliers delivery times Input prices Stocks of purchases Quantity of purchases Sub-contractor usage Employment Stocks of purchases Sub-contractor availability Future output Employment Sub-contractor rates Future output Sub-contractor quality Future activity PMI The headline PMI is calculated for the manufacturing and whole economy surveys. It is a weighted average of the new orders (30%), output (25%), employment (20%), suppliers delivery times (15%, with the index inverted) and stocks of purchases (10%) indices. The PMI is designed to provide a single-figure snapshot of underlying business conditions. \ 8 ihsmarkit.com

Timely, accurate survey data Eurozone Composite PMI Output Index 65.0 60.0 55.0 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 Eurozone GDP, qr/qr% 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0-0.5-1.0-1.5-2.0-2.5-3.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Sources: IHS Markit, Eurostat. The Eurozone PMI was the first economic indicator to signal the steep drop in eurozone GDP during the global financial crisis in late-2008, the recession in 2011-12 during the sovereign debt crisis and the recent economic recovery. \ 9

Why take part? Relevant PMI surveys cover tangible economic themes such as output, new orders, exports, employment, warehouse stocks, supplier performance and price trends, all of which are relevant to business operations. International Survey participants have free access to a library of over 100 monthly economic reports, covering over 40 countries. Easy to use While the PMI are widely used by economists in financial institutions and in the media, the survey results are designed to be easily interpreted and used by corporate functions in industries such as manufacturing, transport and business services. \ 10 ihsmarkit.com

Fast PMI surveys are based on a limited number of questions that are quick and easy to answer. Participants can complete the survey in a few minutes via a dedicated website. Timely The PMI are among the first economic indicators published every month. Survey participants have access to the latest findings as soon as they are published. Credible The PMI are closely watched by global financial markets and central banks and receive considerable press coverage. They are credible, authoritative, and widely followed. \ 11

The monthly report is invaluable to us. Because it reflects the real world rather than that of the statisticians, it enables us to measure our performance against a reliable benchmark. UK Services PMI member since 1996 About IHS Markit IHS Markit (Nasdaq: INFO) is a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions for the major industries and markets that drive economies worldwide. The company delivers next-generation information, analytics and solutions to customers in business, finance and government, improving their operational efficiency and providing deep insights that lead to well-informed, confident decisions. IHS Markit has more than 50,000 key business and government customers, including 85 percent of the Fortune Global 500 and the world s leading financial institutions. Headquartered in London, IHS Markit is committed to sustainable, profitable growth. W www.markiteconomics.com ihsmarkit.com E economics@ihsmarkit.com T +44 1491 461 000 Copyright 2017 IHS Markit. All Rights Reserved 187517432-VL-1117