CHILDREN AND YOUNG PEOPLE S SERVICES COMMITTEE LOUTH CHILDREN AND YOUNG PEOPLE S SERVICES COMMITTEE EVIDENCE BASELINE REPORT, 2016
ALL-ISLAND RESEARCH OBSERVATORY July 2016 Louth Children and Young People s Services Committee, Evidence Baseline Report, 2016
CHAIR S FOREWORD As chair of the Louth CYPSC, I am pleased to launch the publication of the Louth CYPSC, Evidence Baseline Report, 2016. The Children and Young People s Services Committees are an initiative of the Dept. of Children & Youth Affairs which involves the development of a local county based committee bringing together agencies working with children and young people, to engage in joint planning and coordinated delivery of services for children. In working together, our focus is to ensure that statutory, community & voluntary agencies secure better developmental outcomes for children and young people in Co. Louth through more effective integration of existing services and interventions at local level. This evidence baseline report and web-based mapping toolkit was undertaken to inform the Louth Children and Young People s plan in its future work. This plan will take account of the 5 national Outcomes for children outlined in the Better Outcomes, Brighter Futures National Policy Framework 2014-2020: Active and Healthy Achieving in all areas of Learning and Development Safe and Protected from Harm Economic Security & Oppurtunity Connected, Respected and Contributing Population dynamics have proved it s importance in the development of our previous plan for Co. Louth. Demographic statistics are crucial for decision makers and practitioners for planning and strategically developing appropriate sustainable resources for children and young people. The overriding objective of the report is to support the ongoing development of quality services in Co. Louth. It will be of value to those who plan and provide children s services, and to professionals who have responsibility for the wellbeing and development of children and young people. I would like to firstly acknowledge the work of the previous Area manager, Jim McGuigan who has given a huge commitment to the development of Louth CYPSC. I would also like to thank all the member organisations of the CYPSC for their advice and input into the coordination of the research and report. Their insight into current services including the identification of gaps, will be central to the development of key actions in our new plan. I would also like to acknowledge the All Ireland Research Observatory (AIRO) and in particular Aoife Dowling, Senior Research Analyst, AIRO for their expertise and assistance in coordinating this report. Grainne Sullivan Chair, Louth Children and Young People s Services Committee July 2016
CONTENTS 1. Introduction 2. Demography 3. Economy 4. Education 5. Health 6. Security 13 to 19 20 to 51 52 to 77 78 to 99 100 to 119 120 to 127 7
2. DEMOGRAPHY
DEMOGRAPHY Population Change, 2006 to 2011 Indicator 2.1 Total Population Change 2011 to 2016 Population aged 0 to 24 Change 2006 to 2011 State Border Eastern & Midlands RA Fingal Meath Kildare Cork City DLR Galway City Laoighis South Dublin Dublin City Longford Louth Cork County Wicklow Carlow Cavan Kilkenny Wexford Westmeath Waterford Galway County Limerick Offaly Kerry Monaghan Clare Tipperary Roscommon Leitrim Sligo Mayo Donegal Actual Actual Change % Change Change % Change 169,724 6,933 115,659 22,223 10,807 11,818 6,392 11,013 3,975 4,173 13,544 25,553 1,810 5,478 16,772 5,692 2,263 2,909 3,699 4,285 2,232 2,606 3,924 3,366 1,316 2,052 790 1,431 1,687 371 174-36 -213-2,382 3.7 1.3 5.2 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.1 4 3.9 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.5-0.1-0.2-1.5 State 62,659 Border 11,390 Eastern & Midlands RA 37,605 Laois 4,712 Cavan 2,926 Meath 7,327 Fingal 10,302 Longford 1,355 Kildare 6,947 Louth 3,445 Cork County 10,035 Galway County 3,877 Wexford 3,121 Roscommon 1,268 Wicklow 2,782 Leitrim 555 Kilkenny 1,661 Offaly 1,331 Donegal 2,715 Westmeath 1,265 Monaghan 869 Sligo 880 Clare 1,554 Carlow 704 Tipperary 1,205 South Dublin 2,093 DLR 816 Mayo 512 Waterford 413 Kerry 152 Limerick -1,122 Dublin City -4,770 Galway City -2,356 Cork City -3,915 8.1 4.2 6.8 5.23 19.2 12.7 12.2 11.6 11.1 9.8 8.5 7.9 7 6.7 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.4 5.1 5 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1 3.8 2.3 2.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.3-1.7-3.0-8.4-9.5-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Figure 2.1: Total Population Change 2011 to 2016 & Population Aged 0-24 Change 2006 to 2011 (Source CSO & AIRO) How is Louth performing? % Population Change, 11 to 16 11 Local Authority State Eastern & Midlands 31 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest Higher than average Lower than average How is Louth performing? % Population 0-24 Years, 06 to 11 7 31 Local Authority 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest State Higher than average Eastern & Midlands Higher than average 23
LOUTH CYPSC EVIDENCE BASELINE REPORT, 2016 Indicator 2.1 Population Change 2006 to 2011 4.2% increase in population between 2011 and 2016 11th highest rate of increase of all local authorities Map 2.1: Population Change 2011-2016 (Source CSO & AIRO) 8 the number of EDs that witnessed a decrease in population between 2011 and 2016 In the time period between 2006 and 2011 the population aged 0-24 years increased significantly between 2006 and 2011 with an additional 8.5% or +3,445 now residing in the county this rate of increase was the 7th highest in the State. In the 5 year period between 2011 and 2016 the population in Louth has increased by 4.5% (+5,478), the 11th highest rate of all local authorities in Ireland. This rate of increase is higher than the State (3.7%), however is lower than the Eastern & Midlands (5.2%) average. Between 2011 and 2016, population growth occurred in 35 of the 43 Louth Electoral Divisions (EDs) (Map 2.1). Of the eight EDs that experienced a decline in population over this period included Dundalk Urban No.2, No.4 and Faghart. Highest growth rates were generally in the south of the county and in areas within close proximity to major settlements. A total of 4 EDs increased their population by more 15% during this period: Carlingford (22.2%), Darver (19.4%) and Dundalk No.3 (18.0%). 24
DEMOGRAPHY Population Pyramid, 2011 Indicator 2.2 85+ Years Louth 80-84 Years 75-79 Years State 70-74 Years 65-69 Years 60-64 Years 55-59 Years 50-54 Years 45-49 Years 40-44 Years 35-39 Years 30-34 Years 25-29 Years 20-24 Years 15-19 Years 10-14 Years 5 to 9 Years 0 to 4 Years 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Figure 2.2: Population Pyramid, 2011 (Source CSO & AIRO) The age structure or demographic profile of a population is influenced directly by patterns of natural increase (especially the role of fertility) and migration. The population pyramids in the above graphic illustrates the age structure of both Louth and the State. The structure of the Irish population is not distributed evenly throughout the whole country. An examination of the age structure of local authorities in Ireland illustrates the different characteristics of each area. Whilst there are some outliers such as Fingal (very young population); South Dublin (disproportionate sex ratio) and Donegal, Mayo and Kerry (high external migration of young population), many local authorities have a very similar age structure to the State. The age structure for Louth is similar to that of the State overall with a clear pyramid shape from age 30 up, a decline in the population from age 30 down to age 15, followed by a recovery in the younger age groups, reflecting the increasing birth rates in more recent years. 25
3. ECONOMY
LOUTH CYPSC EVIDENCE BASELINE REPORT, 2016 Indicator 3.1 Labour Force Unemployment Rate, 2011 No. Unemployed, 2011 Louth Average (23.8%) National & Regional State Border Eastern & Midlands RA - 424,843-54,645-202,618 19 18.3 22.8 Louth - 13,792 23.8 Meath - 16,292 18 Counties Monaghan - 5,982 20.6 Cavan - 7,331 21.2 Fingal - 22,640 16 Comparitave Analysis Geographies Municipal Districts Level 1: Large Growth Town I Level 2: Moderate Sustainable Growth Town Ardee Drogheda Dundalk - Carlingford Dundalk - South Dundalk Drogheda Ardee Dunleer Castlebellingham/Kilsaran Collon Dromiskin Tallanstown - 2,918-4,813-3,062-2,999-4,650-4,580-709 - 197-118 - 99-142 - 115 21.9 23.9 27.1 22.6 26.5 24.4 23.3 23.6 25.2 25.2 29.5 35.1 Level 3: Small Towns Carlingford Knockbridge Omeath - 131-49 - 62 15.8 25.8 27.2 Louth - 91 26.2 Clogherhead - 201 21.3 Tullyallen - 111 16.6 Termonfeckin - 143 21.6 Annagassan - 12 13.5 Baltry - 14 19.7 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Figure 3.1: Labour Force Unemployment, 2011 (Source: CSO & AIRO) How is Louth performing? Labour Force Unemployment, 2011 15 31 Local Authority 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest How is Louth performing? % Labour Force Unemployment, 2011 4 Local Authority State Eastern & Midlands 31 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest Higher than average Higher than average 56
ECONOMY Labour Force Unemployment Rate, 2011 Indicator 3.1 23.8% of the labour force in Louth were Unemployed in 2011 Map 3.1: Labour Force Unemployment, 2011 (Source: CSO & AIRO) Over 1 in 4 of the perons Unemployed in the Border Region live in Louth 66% of the Unemployed perons in Louth are living in the two largest towns - Dundalk and Drogheda The total population classed as unemployed (both unemployed and looking for first job) in county Louth is 13,792. This figure represents an unemployment rate of 23.8% of the total labour force of 58,024 (population aged 15+ At Work and Unemployed). Louth has the 14th highest number classed as unemployed and the 4th highest unemployment rate. At the MD level, the unemployment rate is highest in Dundalk Carlingford MD where the rate is 27.1% (3,062). In total, eight settlements in the urban hierarchy have more than 25% unemployment within the labour force. Highest rates are in settlements such as Tallanstown (35.1%), Ardee (29.5%), Omeath (27.2%) and Louth (26.2%). The map detailed above provides an illustration of rates at the Small Area (SA) level in Louth. In particular, the map identifies some areas with extremely high levels of unemployment in the main urban settlements of Dundalk, Drogheda and Ardee where rates can be in excess of 40%. 57
Indicator 3.2 LOUTH CYPSC EVIDENCE BASELINE REPORT, 2016 Youth Unemployment, 2016 Live Register Recipients U25, M4 2016 by Gender- Social Welfare Offfice Live Register Recipients U25 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 1,631 (13.4%) 186 (12.4%) 648 (5.3%) 983 (8.1%) 74 (4.9%) 112 (7.5%) 726 (13.4%) 284 (5.2%) 442 (8.1%) 719 (13.8%) 290 (5.6%) 429 (8.2%) Female Male 0% Louth (LA) Ardee (SWO) Drogheda (SWO) Dundalk (SWO) Live Register Recipients, M4 2006 to 2016 - Louth County Live Register Recipients U25 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 1,290 1,308 (19.0%) (0.0%) (19.9%) 1,697 (20.9%) 3,259 (21.2%) 3,382 (19.8%) 3,252 (18.5%) 3,031 (17.3%) 2,725 (16.4%) 2,310 (15.1%) 1,937 (14.0%) 1,631 (13.4%) 500 58 0 2006M04 2007M04 2008M04 2009M04 2010M04 Figure 3.2: Live Register, April 2016 (Source: CSO & AIRO) 2011M04 2012M04 2013M04 2014M04 2015M04 2016M04 The Live Register is not designed to measure unemployment. It includes part-time workers, seasonal and casual workers entitled to Jobseeker s Benefit or Jobseeker s Allowance. However, the Live Register does provide a very useful means of monitoring unemployment trends within a local authority and can also be used to look at youth unemployment rates. As of April 2016, there were a total of 1,631 young people (under 25 years) on the Live Register in Louth. This equates to approximately 13.4% of the total live egister recipients in the county. The majority of these young people are recipients at the Drogheda (726) and Dundalk (719) SWOs with lower numbers registered at Ardee (186). At 13.8% Dundalk has the highest percentage of those signing on aged under the age of 25 years. The bottom graphic provides time series illustration of Under 25 Live Register levels from 2006 to 2016. In recent years, the numbers have started to decline although the M4 2016 total has still more than 300 extra recipients than the case in 2007.
4. EDUCATION
LOUTH CYPSC EVIDENCE BASELINE REPORT, 2016 Indicator 4.1 Highest Level of Education Attainment, 2011 No Formal/Primary 13.9 15.2 17.9 Louth Eastern & Midlands State Lower Secondary 15.4 16.6 19.4 Higher Secondary 19.4 19.7 20 Tech/Appren/Cert 14.5 13.7 14.3 24.5 Third Level 32.4 29.1 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Figure 4.1: Highest Level of Education Attainment, 2011 (Source: CSO & AIRO) How is Louth performing? % No Formal Primary, 2011 8 Local Authority State 31 Eastern & Midlands 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest Higher than average Higher than average How is Louth performing? % Third Level, 2011 20 31 Local Authority 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest State Lower than average Eastern & Midlands Lower than average 82 There is a significant difference between education attainment levels in Louth and the State. In general, attainment levels in Louth have a much higher proportional share in the low education levels and consequently a lower proportional share in higher education. On a comparative basis, the population in Louth has a moderate level of education attainment. At the lower end of the scale, Louth has the 8th highest rate (17.9%) of low education attainment (No Formal/ Primary only) and the 5th highest rate (19.4%) of medium education attainment (Lower Secondary). At 19.4%, Louth also has a low proportion of its population with an education attainment level classed as Higher Secondary the 10th lowest rate in the State. In contrast to this, the population in Louth has the 12th lowest rate (24.5%) of education attainment classed as Third Level.
EDUCATION State Eastern & Midlands Donegal Longford Louth Offaly Limerick Cavan Wexford Westmeath Dublin Monaghan Carlow Mayo Tipperary Laois Galway Sligo Kerry Wicklow Waterford Kildare Leitrim Clare Meath Roscommon Kilkenny Cork Educational Attainment of Mothers, 2011 Number of Children - 48,040-23,746-3,436-705 - 1,736-1,091-2,280-1,016-1,964-1,083-13,203-712 - 599-1,359-1,624-897 - 2,286-583 - 1,271-1,317-985 - 2,050-269 - 963-1,664-500 - 758-3,689 3.3 % Children whose mothers highest education attainment is No Formal or Primary only 4 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.5 4.5 4.8 5 5 4.7 5.1 5.5 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.9 6.1 7.8 9 Indicator 4.2 How is Louth performing? Edu. of mother - No Formal Pirmary, 2011 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Figure 4.2: Highest Level of Education Attainment of Mothers, 2011 (Source: CSO & AIRO) 3 State Eastern & Midlands 26 County 1 is the highest, 26 is the lowest Higher than average Higher than average The above graphic looks at the highest level of educational attainment of mothers in Louth in 2011. In particular, the graphic focuses on level of low educational attainment either no formal education or primary education. In total there are 1,736 children with mothers with very low levels of education. This number equates to approximately 6.1% of all children living in the county and is the 3rd highest rate in the country and as such much higher than the State average of 4.8%. Only Longford (7.8%) and Donegal (9%) have higher rates. 83
5. HEALTH
LOUTH CYPSC EVIDENCE BASELINE REPORT, 2016 Indicator 5.1 Persons aged 0-14 Years with a Disability, 2011 National & Regional Aged 0 to 14 years WIth a Disability State Border Eastern & Midlands RA - 53,058-5,800-25,466 Louth Average (4.7%) 5 5.4 5.4 Louth - 1,336 4.7 Meath - 3,286 4.9 Counties Monaghan - 2,270 4.9 Cavan - 781 4.5 Fingal - 581 4.3 Comparitave Analysis Geographies Municipal Districts Level 1: Large Growth Town I Level 2: Moderate Sustainable Growth Town Ardee Drogheda Dundalk - Carlingford Dundalk - South Dundalk Drogheda Ardee Dunleer Castlebellingham/Kilsaran Collon Dromiskin Tallanstown - 284-507 - 265-280 - 403-471 - 51-23 - 07-10 - 08-04 2.3 3.2 2.9 4.2 4.4 4.1 5.1 4.8 4.8 5.1 5.1 5.1 Level 3: Small Towns Carlingford Knockbridge Omeath - 11-04 - 10 2.7 5.2 7.4 Louth - 07 3.6 Clogherhead - 24 4 Tullyallen - 22 4.8 Termonfeckin - 25 6.1 Annagassan - 01 3.2 Baltry 0-00 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% Figure 5.1: Persons aged 0-14 with a disability, 2011 (Source: CSO & AIRO) How is Louth performing? Persons 0-14 with a disability, 2011 18 31 Local Authority 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest How is Louth performing? % Persons 0-14 with a disability, 2011 18 Local Authority State Eastern & Midlands 31 1 is the highest, 31 is the lowest Lower than average Lower than average 104
HEALTH Persons aged 0-14 Years with a Disability, 2011 Indicator 5.1 4.7% of persons aged 0 to 14 in Louth had a Disability in 2011 Map 5.1: Persons aged 0-14 with a Disability (Source: CSO & AIRO) Just under 1 in 4 of persons aged 0 to 14 with a Disability in the Border Region live in Louth 65% of persons aged 0 to 14 with a disability in Louth are living in the two largest towns - Dundalk and Drogheda According to the 2011 Census there are a total of 1,336 children aged 0-14 with a disability residing within Louth. This equates to a rate of 4.7% of the 0-14 population. This is the 13th lowest rate in the country and is lower than both the State (8.9%) and Eastern and Midlands average (9.1%). At the MD level, rates are higher in the Drogheda MD (5.1%) and Dundalk - Carlingford MD (4.8%). The map also highlights that rates are generally higher in the more urban parts of the county with large parts of Rural Louth with low rates primarily due to these areas having a much older demographic. 105
6. SECURITY
SECURITY Referrals to the Garda Youth Diversion Programme, 2013 Indicator 6.1 State Northern Region D.M.R. North Central D.M.R. Southern Limerick D.M.R. Western D.M.R. South Waterford Clare Cork City Kerry D.M.R. Northern D.M.R. Eastern Galway Kilkenny/Carlow Cork North Westmeath Sligo/Leitrim Wicklow Cork West Donegal Cavan/Monaghan Tipperary Mayo Wexford Louth Laois/Offaly Roscommon/Longford Meath Kildare Number of Referrals - 10,420-1,024-256 - 746-614 - 963-196 - 349-320 - 593-353 - 725-366 - 515-318 - 327-199 - 187-280 - 254-329 - 272-298 - 238-269 - 236-286 - 158-318 - 347 Rate per 000 Pop aged 0 to 18 7.4 9.1 9 8.7 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.9 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.4 7.3 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.4 6.1 5.9 10.5 10.4 11.8 11.7 11.5 11.2 12.6 Rate Per 1,000 Pop aged 0 to 18 13.6 20 15 10 5 15.7 14.7 13.6 22.2 11.2 9.7 9.7 10.7 2010 2011 2012 2013 9.2 9.8 9.1 7.4 6.9 State Northern Region Louth 0 5 10 15 20 25 Figure 6.1: Rate of Referrals to the GYDP, 2013 (Source: An Garda Síocháina & AIRO) How is Louth performing? Garda Divisions Refferals to the GYDP, 2013 24 State 28 Northern Region 1 is the highest, 28 is the lowest Lower than average Lower than average The Garda Youth Diversion Programme (GYDP) is operated by the Garda Youth Diversion Office and provides that in certain circumstances a young person under 18 years of age who freely accepts responsibility for a criminal incident can be cautioned and supervised as an alternative to prosecution. There were 236 referrals to this programme in Louth in 2013. This figure equates to 6.9 per 000 persons aged less than 18 in Louth and was the 5th lowest in the country. Since 2010, the rate of young person s being referred to this programme has decreased from 14.7 to 6.9 in 2013. In the same time period the State recorded a similar level of decrease as referral rates dropped from 15.7 to 9.1. 123
IMPROVING EVIDENCE INFORMED PLANNING Phone: +353 1 7086688 Email: airo@nuim.ie Website: www.airo.ie Twitter: AIRO_MU Iontas Building, MUSSI, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Co. Kildare, Ireland