Investor Update. Second Quarter 2016 AUGUST 1, 2016

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Transcription:

184934579 Investor Update Second Quarter 2016 AUGUST 1, 2016

Earnings Call Agenda Strategic and Operational Review Financial Results Daniel McCarthy PRESIDENT & CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER John Jureller EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 2

Second Quarter Highlights Achieved annualized cost synergies of $1 billion Increasing annual cost synergy target to $1.25 billion by year 3 New Markets EBITDA met expectations despite lower revenues Returned to a normal marketing rhythm in New Markets starting in Q3 Continued broadband network upgrade» More than 40% of households to be capable of 50 Mbps or higher over the next year, including an incremental 500,000 households in New Markets Guidance updated Dividend Payout Ratio* of 49% 3 * Dividend Payout Ratio is a non-gaap measure; see Appendix for a description of its calculation

A Strong Competitor WITH CLEAR STRATEGY TO DELIVER VALUE Integration of New Markets creates leader with substantial opportunities Scale, technology and diversification to increase market share Clear strategy for growth in Existing and New Markets Significant opportunities created by a strong asset base and a disciplined investment strategy Demonstrated commitment to delivering shareholder value 4

Value Creation Drivers Expanding the Revenue Opportunity by Leveraging Technology Advantage Increase broadband penetration and migrate customers to higher speeds and capabilities» Drive higher FiOS penetration» Increase speeds across the network, and within existing capital spending plan leveraging existing investments and upgrading to next generation IP-based copper broadband technology Incremental 2 million households at 50 Mbps+ over the next year CAF II: 750k+ households in Existing and New Markets Extend video to 3 million more households over 3-4 years» Evaluating video footprint expansion opportunity in New Markets Enhance business sales channels Driving Efficiency Significant cost efficiency opportunities in New and Existing Markets Shareholder-Friendly Capital Allocation 5

Revenue Mix Has Improved Significantly Increased Exposure to Growth Segments Q2 2016 = Residential Data* = Business = Video 9% 14% = Residential Voice = Regulatory 2009 17% 33% 2014 11% 26% 46% 15% 2% 40% 21% 16% 41% 9% 6 * Residential Data includes data and Voice over IP

Migrating Broadband to Higher Speeds Household Speed Capability* Fiber to the Home (FTTH) 28% 50 Mbps+ >40% CAFII build will address an additional 5% of households 7 * Projected over the next year

Financial Highlights Revenue: $2,608 million Operating Income: $311 million Operating Income Margin: 11.9% Net Loss: ($80) million, or ($0.07) per share Adjusted EBITDA*: $1,032 million Adjusted EBITDA Margin*: 39.6% Net Cash Provided from Operating Activities: Adjusted Free Cash Flow*: $693 million $250 million 8 * Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin and Adjusted Free Cash Flow are non-gaap measures; see Appendix for a description of their calculations

Financial Trends ($ in millions) Q1 16 Q2 16 Existing Markets Existing Markets New Markets Consolidated Total Revenue $1,355 $1,326 $1,282 $2,608 Operating Expenses $1,297 $1,279 $1,018 $2,297 Net Loss* ($186) N/A N/A ($27) Adjusted Opex** $827 $821 $755 $1,576 Adjusted EBITDA** $528 $505 $527 $1,032 Adjusted EBITDA Margin** 38.9% 38.1% 41.2% 39.6% 9 * We do not calculate Net Loss except at a Consolidated level ** Adjusted Opex, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin are non-gaap measures; see Appendix for a description of their calculations

New Markets Revenue Progression REVENUE BASELINE ($ in Millions) Revenue Q1 16 Under Verizon Ownership $1,394 Estimated Q2 EBITDA Impact Pro Forma Adjustments Bad Debt Reclass & Other ($16) $0 Allocated Revenue ($25) $0 Strategic Decisions ($48) $10 Q1 16 Adjusted Starting Point $1,305 Temporary (Recovers Over Time) ($26) ($14) Q2 Operations (Including Marketing Suspension Impact) ($9) $3 Baseline Entering Q3 16 $1,270 ($1) Plus: CAF II One-Time Revenue $12 Q2 16 Reported Revenue $1,282 10

Customer Trends Q1 16 Q2 16 Existing Markets Existing Markets New Markets Consolidated Residential Customers 3.1M 3.0M 2.2M 5.2M Monthly Churn 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 1.9% Business Customers 284K 279K 249K 528K Broadband Net Adds 24.6K 25.5K (102.7K) (77.2K) 11

Broadband Activity in New Markets NET ADDS REFLECT IMPACT OF TEMPORARY SUSPENSION OF MARKETING Only a slight elevation in disconnects as a result of the transaction Non-FiOS markets performed similar to historical trends = Q2 2015 = Q2 2016 Disconnects +14% Gross Adds Net Adds FiOS (73%) +5% Non-FiOS +17% 12

$1 Billion Annualized Cost Synergies Achieved New Markets Operating Expenses* $984M $989M $1,008M $1,005M $756M ~$250M x 4 = $1B in annualized cost synergies Primary Synergy Categories: Network Services Support Services Real Estate Warehousing/Procurement Content Costs (negative synergy) Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Under Verizon Ownership** 13 * Excludes Depreciation & Amortization; ** As previously reported, and including adjustments for the Verizon retained contract as described in item 8.01 of Form 8K filed on 8/1/2016

Annual Synergy Target Increased to $1.25 Billion Cost Synergy Progression Day 1 Synergies Total Synergies Feb-15 $525M $175 $700M Feb-16 $600M $100 $700M Aug-16 $1,000M $250 $1,250M 14

Improved ARPC Profile INCREASED RESIDENTIAL AVERAGE REVENUE PER CUSTOMER ( ARPC ) Existing Markets $0.41 increase due to: Disciplined management of expiring promotions Return of snow birds Customers at higher broadband speeds Growth of Frontier Secure Offset, in part, by fewer voice connections New Markets $110.30 Combined $62.64 $63.05 $83.20 New Markets Existing Markets Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Q2 16 Q2 16 15

Adjusted Free Cash Flow / Common Dividend Payout ($ in Millions) $820 $869 $859 $909 $740 $411 $417 $422 $422 $439 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Trailing 4 Quarters Adj. Free Cash Flow Common Dividends 16 Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Common Dividends (Adj.) are non-gaap measures; see Appendix for a description of their calculations. We have made adjustments to exclude the impact of financing raised in conjunction with the acquisition of the New Markets during the periods prior to our ownership (Q2 15 Q1 16).

Credit and Liquidity Net Leverage 3.73x 3.85x 3.71x ($ in Millions) June 30, 2016 Cash & Equivalents $683 3.61x Revolving Credit Facility 750 Total Liquidity $1,433 Total Debt $17,966 Less: Cash (683) Net Debt $17,283 LTM Adj. Pro Forma EBITDA $4,654 Q3 '15 Q4 '15 Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Net Leverage Ratio 3.71x Well laddered maturity schedule with modest maturities through 2019 Strong cash from operations enables deleveraging of 0.1x to 0.2x turns per year Strategically positioned to reduce total debt levels 17 Q3 15 Q1 16 Net Leverage as reported 6/30/16 LTM Pro Forma Adj. EBITDA = Q2 16 Adj. EBITDA + (Q3 15 - Q1 16 Existing Markets and Pro Forma New Markets Adj. EBITDA) + $750M synergies [3 quarters of $1B annual synergies]

Updated Guidance Adjusted Free Cash Flow* $825 million to $900 million Capital Spending $1,275 million to $1,325 million Cash Taxes Cash Pension Contribution Interest Expense $10 million to $20 million refund Cash taxes near zero for several years $10 million to $15 million Approximately $1.53 billion to $1.55 billion ($1.34 billion to $1.36 billion excluding Q1 interest on acquisition financing) 2017 EBITDA > $4 billion 18 * Adjusted Free Cash Flow is a non-gaap measure; see Appendix for a description of its calculation

Appendix 19

Safe Harbor Statement FORWARD-LOOKING LANGUAGE This document contains "forward-looking statements," related to future, not past, events. Forward-looking statements address our expected future business and financial performance and financial condition, and contain words such as "expect," "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "see," "will," "would," or "target." Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For us, particular uncertainties that could cause our actual results to be materially different than those expressed in our forwardlooking statements include: risks related to the acquisition of properties from Verizon, including our ability to successfully operate the acquired business, our ability to realize anticipated cost savings, our ability to enter into or obtain, or delays in entering into or obtaining, agreements and consents necessary to operate the acquired business as planned, on terms acceptable to us, and increased expenses incurred due to activities related to the transaction; our ability to meet our debt and debt service obligations; competition from cable, wireless and wireline carriers and satellite companies and the risk that we will not respond on a timely or profitable basis; our ability to successfully adjust to changes in the communications industry, including the effects of technological changes and competition on our capital expenditures, products and service offerings; reductions in revenue from our voice customers that we cannot offset with increases in revenue from broadband and video subscribers and sales of other products and services; our ability to maintain relationships with customers, employees or suppliers; the impact of regulation and regulatory, investigative and legal proceedings and legal compliance risks; continued reductions in switched access revenues as a result of regulation, competition or technology substitutions; the effects of changes in the availability of federal and state universal service funding or other subsidies to us and our competitors; our ability to effectively manage service quality in our territories and meet mandated service quality metrics; our ability to successfully introduce new product offerings; the effects of changes in accounting policies or practices, including potential future impairment charges with respect to our intangible assets; our ability to effectively manage our operations, operating expenses, capital expenditures, debt service requirements and cash paid for income taxes and liquidity, which may affect payment of dividends on our common and preferred shares; the effects of changes in both general and local economic conditions on the markets that we serve; the effects of increased medical expenses and pension and postemployment expenses; the effects of changes in income tax rates, tax laws, regulations or rulings, or federal or state tax assessments; our ability to successfully renegotiate union contracts; changes in pension plan assumptions, interest rates, regulatory rules and/or the value of our pension plan assets, which could require us to make increased contributions to the pension plan in 2016 and beyond; adverse changes in the credit markets or in the ratings given to our debt securities by nationally accredited ratings organizations, which could limit or restrict the ability, or increase the cost, of financing to us; the effects of state regulatory cash management practices that could limit our ability to transfer cash among our subsidiaries or dividend funds up to the parent company; the effects of severe weather events or other natural or man-made disasters, which may increase our operating expenses or adversely impact customer revenue; the impact of potential information technology or data security breaches or other disruptions; and the other factors that are described in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including our reports on Forms 10-K and 10-Q. These risks and uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update or revise these forwardlooking statements. 20

Non-GAAP Financial Measures Frontier use s certain non-gaap financial measures in evaluating its performance, including EBITDA, EBITD A margin, adjusted EBIT DA, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow, adjusted free cash flow, adjusted operating expenses, adjusted net income, adjusted earnings per share and dividend payout ratio, each of which is described below. Management uses these non-gaapfinancial measures internally to (i) assist in analyzing Frontier's underlying f inancial performance from period to period, (ii) evaluate our regional financial performance, (iii) analyze and evaluate strategic and operational decisions, (iv) establish criteria for compensation decisions, and (v) assist in the understanding of Frontier's ability to generate cash flow and, as a result, to plan for future capital and operational decisions. We believe that the presentation of these non-gaap financial measures provides useful information to investor s regarding our financial condition and results of operations because these measures, when used in conjunction with related GAAP financial measures (i) together provide a more comprehensive view of our core operations and ability to generate cash flow, (ii) provide investors with the financial analytical framework upon which manage ment base s financial, operational, compensation and planning decisions and (iii) present measurements that investor s and rating agencies have indicated to management are useful to them in assessing Frontier and its results of operations. A reconciliation of the se measures to the most comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP is included in the accompanying tables. These non- GAAP financial measures are not measures of financial performance or liquidity under GAAP, nor are they alternatives to GA AP measures and they may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. EBITDA is defined as net income (loss) less income tax expense (benefit), investment and other income, in terest expense and depreciation and a mortization. EBITD A margin is calculated by dividing EBITDA by total revenues. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as EBITDA, as described above, adjusted to exclude acquisition and integration costs, and noncash pension/opeb costs. Adjusted EBITD A margin is calculated by dividing adjusted EBITDA by total revenues. Management uses EBITD A, EBIT DA margin, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin to assist it in comparing performance from period to period and as measures of operational performance. We believe that these non-gaap measures provide useful information for inve stors in evaluating our operational performance from period to period because they exclude depreciation and amortization expenses related to investments made in prior periods and are determined without regard to capital structure or investment activities. By excluding capital expenditures, debt repayments and dividends, these non-gaap financial measures have certain shortcomings. Management compensates for these shortcomings by utilizing these non-gaap financial measures in conjunction with the comparable GAAP financial measures. Adjusted net income (loss) attributable to Frontier common shareholders is defined as net income (loss) attributable to Frontier common shareholders and excludes acquisition and integration costs, certain income tax ite ms and the income tax effect of these items. Adjustments have also been made to exclude the financing costs and related income tax effects associated with the Verizon Transaction, including in terest expense and preferred dividends prior to our ow nership of the CT F O perations. Adjusting for these items allows investors to better understand and analyze our financial performance over the periods presented. Adjusted earnings per share is calculated by dividing adjusted net income (loss) attributable to Frontier common shareholders by the weighted average shares outstanding basic. Free Cash Flow, as used by management in the operation of its busine ss, is defined as net cash pr ovided from operating activities less capital expenditures for busine ss operations and preferred dividends. In determining free cash flow, further adjustments are made to add back acquisition and integration costs, and interest expense on commitment fees, which provides a better comparison of our core operations from period to period. Change s in working capital accounts are excluded from this calculation due to seasonality and specific timing of cash receipts and disburse ments between various reporting periods. Adjusted Free Ca sh Flow is defined a s free cash flow, as described above and adding back interest expense on incremental debt and dividends paid on preferred stock issued to finance the Verizon Acquisition incurred prior to our ownership of the CTF Operations. Management uses free cash flow and adjusted free cash flow to assist itin comparing performance and liquidity from period to period and to obtain a more comprehensive view of our core operations and ability to generate cash flow. We believe that these non- GAAP measures are useful to investors in evaluating cash available to service debt and pay dividends. In addition, we believe that adjusted free cash flow provides a useful comparison from period to period because it excludes the impact of financing raised in connection with the Verizon Acquisition during periods prior to our ownership of the CT F Operations. These non-gaap financial measures have certain shortcomings; they do not represent the residual cash flow available for discretionary expenditures, since items such as debt repayments, changes in w orking capital and common stock dividends are not deducted in deter mining such measures. Management compensates for these shortcomings by utilizing these non-gaap financial measures in conjunction with the comparable GAAP financial measures. Dividend Payout Ratio is calculated by dividing the dividends paid on common stock by free cash flow. Management uses the dividend payout ratio as a metric to indicate how much money Frontier is returning to our shareholders. We have made adjustments to exclude the impact of financing raised in connection with the Verizon Acquisition dur ing periods prior to our ownership of the CT F Operations, which we believe provides a useful comparison from period to period. Adjusted Operating Expenses is defined as operating expenses adjusted to exclude depreciation and amortization, acquisition and integration costs, and non-cash pension/o PEB costs. Investors have indicated that this non-gaap measure is useful in evaluating Frontier s performance. The infor mation in this presentation should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and footnotes contained in our documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. 21

Non-GAAP Financial Measures Three Months Q2 '16 Q2 '15 Q3 '15 Trailing 12 Months Q4 '15 Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Free Cash Flow Net cash provided by (used by) operating activities $ 693 $ 1,245 $ 1,289 $ 1,301 $ 992 $ 1,349 Add back (subtract): Capital expenditures - Business operations (350) (660) (684) (710) (747) (920) Acquisition and integration costs 127 203 219 236 317 409 Deferred income taxes 52 (103) 117 167 252 452 Income tax benefit (48) (73) (107) (165) (252) (263) Dividends on preferred stock (53) - (67) (120) (174) (227) Non-cash (gains)/losses, net (35) (146) (221) (227) (214) (168) Changes in current assets and liabilities (162) 206 51 (115) (66) (426) Pension/OPEB costs 19 (18) - 10 24 45 Cash paid (refunded) for income taxes - (76) (62) (28) 21 24 Stock based compensation 7 23 24 27 28 29 Interest expense - commitment fees - 139 183 184 137 64 Dividends on preferred stock - - 67 120 174 174 Incremental interest on new debt - - 11 189 367 367 Adjusted free cash flow $ 250 $ 740 $ 820 $ 869 $ 859 $ 909 Dividends paid on common stock $ 123 $ 411 $ 434 $ 456 $ 474 $ 491 Less: dividends on June 2015 common stock issuance - - (17) (34) (52) (52) Dividends paid on common stock, as adjusted $ 123 $ 411 $ 417 $ 422 $ 422 $ 439 Dividend payout ratio* 48.9% 55.6% 50.9% 48.6% 49.2% 48.4% * Dividends paid on common stock, as adjusted, divided by adjusted free cash flow 22

Non-GAAP Financial Measures ( $ in millions ) For the quarter ended June 30, 2016 Consolidated CTF Frontier March 31, June 30, Amount Operations Legacy 2016 2015 EBITDA Net Loss $ (27) $ NA $ NA $ (186) $ (28) Add back (subtract): Income tax benefit (48) NA NA (118) (38) Interest expense 386 NA NA 373 260 Investment and other income, net - NA NA (11) (1) Operating income 311 264 47 58 193 Depreciation and amortization 575 262 313 316 335 EBITDA 886 526 360 374 528 Add back: Acquisition and integration costs 127-127 138 35 Pension/OPEB costs 19 1 18 16 (2) Adjusted EBITDA $ 1,032 $ 527 $ 505 $ 528 $ 561 EBITDA margin 34.0% 41.1% 27.1% 27.6% 38.6% Adjusted EBITDA margin 39.6% 41.2% 38.1% 38.9% 41.0% Adjusted Operating Expenses Total operating expenses $ 2,297 $ 1,018 $ 1,279 $ 1,297 $ 1,175 Subtract: Depreciation and amortization 575 262 313 316 335 Acquisition and integration costs 127-127 138 35 Pension/OPEB costs 19 1 18 16 (2) Adjusted operating expenses $ 1,576 $ 755 $ 821 $ 827 $ 807 23