Navigating the China market - Sustaining high growth through innovations

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Transcription:

Navigating the China market - Sustaining high growth through innovations Louis Cheung Group President Sept 2010 P.0 May, 2010

Summary Ⅰ THE CHINA GROWTH STORY Despite recent volatility, the Chinese market remains very attractive Fundamentals driving the extraordinary growth of the Chinese economy during the past two decades remain strong these fundamentals and appropriate government policy adjustments enabled swift recovery from crisis and will support sustained growth going forward Ⅱ THE PING AN GROWTH STORY Ping An, born of Chinese economic reform, has built leading market positions Ping An has achieved much faster growth than the economy during the past two decades, and is leading the recovery from the crisis as evident from the rapid market share gains and growth in our insurance, banking, and investment businesses Ⅲ SUSTAINING HIGH GROWTH THROUGH INNOVATIONS Through continuous innovations, Ping An has built distinct advantages to fully exploit future growth of the Chinese financial market Our integrated financial services model, our innovative capabilities in product and distribution, and centralized operating platform, put us in a very strong position to capture future growth opportunities in China, particularly in the retail and SME segments P.1 May, 2010

Ⅰ THE CHINA GROWTH STORY Over the last 2 decades, China has sustained consistent economic growth and continued urbanization Real GDP growth (%) 10.0% 10.5% 8.7% 9.5% 6~8% 1990-2000 2001-2008 2009 2010F next 5-10 years Growth well sustained through different economic & interest rate cycles Development and reform momentum continued despite local inflationary shocks and multiple regional/global crises Major overhaul and recapitalization of the financial sector completed P.2 May, 2010

%YoY Though affected by the financial crisis in 2008, China was subsequently leading the global recovery 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 Chinese GDP growth rebounds swiftly from subprime impact subprime crisis 05 06 07 08 09 10 source: CEIC GDP 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2008 11.3% 10.1% 9.0% 6.8% 2009 6.2% 7.9% 9.1% 10.7% Due to prompt government response and a functioning banking system, China managed to become the first major economy to recover from the subprime impact and grow strongly post-crisis By1Q10, Chinese GDP growth was up 11.9% YoY P.3 May, 2010

Short-term challenges remain but hard landing unlikely, medium term outlook positive with strong fundamentals Concerns about China s asset bubble and hindering its structural rebalancing are overblown: The sharp run-up in China s asset prices has been underpinned by strong fundamentals and funded by savings (not credit, as in the US) China s economic structure shows that its rebalancing has started Policy misstep causing economic hard-landing unlikely: Moderating economy reduces risks of economic over-heating and inflation Policy adjustments remain ahead of the curve and reduce the risk of draconian policy measures later Financial liberalization has further room to run: The introduction of ChiNext in Oct 09 provides a venture exchange financing platform for SMEs Stock index futures and short-selling launched in 2010 provide hedging tools Unleashing consumption power: Spending on health care and education has been increasing since 2006 Improvement of the social safety net will enhance consumer confidence and spending power; release pent-up demand in countryside Investment theme strengthened with cheaper Chinese valuation: Stock market valuation coming down after recent correction PE comparable to Asia s major markets, but economic fundamentals stronger P.4 May, 2010

Ⅱ THE PING AN GROWTH STORY Over the last 2 decades, Ping An has very much been an integral part of the China growth story. Insurance Business (Written Premiums) (RMB billions) 0.005 Outgrowing market 66 72 85 101 129 173 1H: 93 123 1988 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H2010 (RMB billions) 0.05 264 320 Total Assets 494 692 705 936 1,033 1988 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H2010 Fast recovery from financial crisis Investment Income 51 (RMB billions) 31 (RMB billions) Embedded Value 123 155 150 184 6 10 22-8 1H:14 10 37 48 66 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H2010 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H2010 P.5 May, 2010

In building a winning franchise in China s fast developing financial sector Ping An Group Life insurance P&C insurance Annuity Health insurance Bank Consumer Finance Asset management Securities Trust 2 nd largest, outgrowing market 2 nd largest, outgrowing market #1 in pension Leader in top-end products National franchise, strong in cards Leader in scale and national reach Leader in investment performance Leader in equity/debt new issues Leader in AuM and alternative investments Creating huge shareholder value Market capitalization now ranked top 3 among all global insurance groups Share price outperforming major market/sector indices since IPO Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs exited in 2005 with over 10 times return 19,000 Ping An employees still holding over 11% of company shares P.6 May, 2010

'000 firms Going forward, we are well positioned to capture the new growth opportunities, especially by focusing on the retail & SME segments A large, urbanizing population that is growing rich and financial liberalization will help unleash huge consumption power and boost wealth creation and the growth of SMEs for years Rapid accumulation of household wealth 300 Exponential growth of private enterprises in China Retail deposits (RMB trillions) 250 26.48 40~50 200 150 100 average growth rate = 38% a year 6.43 14.71 2000 2005 2009 2013F 50 0 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 source: CEIC P.7 May, 2010

Ⅲ SUSTAINING HIGH GROWTH THROUGH INNOVATIONS We aim at executing an integrated financial services model Shared customer resources Insurance Banking Investment A refined approach with unique advantages Effective acquisition of customers through large agency force of over 400,000 and highmargin, regular-premium life products Cross-selling of other products through strong combined incentives resulting in greater value per customer, higher productivity per agent, and better cost effectiveness Deploy telesales and internet sales capability to complement traditional channels Leading edge, centralized operations and IT platform Maintain single customer database, and enable multi-product, multi-channel operations through a shared platform P.8 May, 2010

Retail customer demographics working to our great advantage Number (millions) Ping An customers age distribution Demographic trend highly favorable Ping An customers average age less than 40 yrs old, and 2/3 concentrated in the 30-49 years old; the growing middle-class segment has a strong demand for financial services 67% Characteristics: Over 50 million retail customers by 2009 70% of customers in urban coastal areas 1/3 having tertiary education Annual income per customer 3 times the urban average Over 7 million new customers acquired in 2009, average age below 35 New customer acquisition trend: rising premium per policy, better education/income level, and improving wealth accumulation potential Non-insurance products through cross selling to insurance customers show higher profit contribution P.9 May, 2010

SME growth also taking off, presenting attractive new opportunities Sharpening our focus on the SME sector Very promising trends so far Accumulated more than 2 million corporate customers by 2009, mostly SMEs Established for corporate customers e-marketing models to drive disciplined selling of multiple products to accelerate growth Dedicated cross-selling efforts: over 10% new deposits contribution for SME banking, 37% new securities accounts and 40% short-term group insurance business generated by cross-selling in 2009 Ping An Securities specialized in equity/debt financing for SMEs to achieve market leadership; top underwriter in league table in 1H2010 for new equity issue Ping An Annuity focused on SMEs to achieve #1 market position in assets under trust and investment management Ping An P&C built leading position in serving SMEs to generate superior profitability group motor insurance grew by >20% p.a. over last 5 yrs, contributing to 30% of total motor business but 50% of profits P.10 May, 2010

Following our bank merger in end 2006, cross-selling has helped accelerate growth and penetration of banking products Total bank assets Credit cards issued (RMB billions) in 000 221 236 1,519 3,423 5,000 86 142 146 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010.1Q 257 2007 2008 2009 2010 Since the beginning of credit card launch in 2007 Over 5 million cards issued in 3 years Cross-selling initiative contributes to 60% of new card issuance Very high active card ratio, rapidly increasing per card spending P.11 May, 2010

Innovation in distribution: Centralized telesales contributed to significant rise in insurance premium and improvement in underwriting quality P&C : Strong Premium Growth contributed from telesales Combined Ratio (RMB millions) 4250 4.7% 101.2% 96.5% 1640 43% 40.7% 340 670 58.2% 55.8% 2006 2007 2008 2009 1H2009 Expense Ratio 1H2010 Loss Ratio P.12 May, 2010

Product innovation: Ping An Trust focuses on affluent private customers, strong in product origination with alternative investment classes Distribution of household wealth Trust : Third-party AuM Other investment 30% 70% 62% 74% 88% (RMB billions) 135 Deposit 38% 26% 12% China 2008 Germany 1999 U.K. 1999 U.S..A 1999 With further development of Chinese capital markets, high net worth individuals will gradually allocate more savings towards financial investment products; in particular, they will likely favor "inflationproof, stable-yield" investment products 41 48 16 3 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Ping An Trust captures the opportunity to develop a rich product line, covering the real estate, private equity, infrastructure, fixed income, money market, stock market and other product segments to meet diverse needs of affluent customers P.13 May, 2010

Leverage innovative expertise of Discovery to build leading position in untapped health insurance market Structure of JV Ping An advantages Discovery advantages Ping An : Discovery 80:20 Discovery provide senior managers, product, risks and system expertise Leverage Chinese health care reform opportunities, especially in middle upper income segment Jointly develop leading health insurance bussiness model in China Leading integrated financial services group in ChinaBrand Distribution and branch infrastructure Customer base Centralized operations Number 1 health insurer in South Africa with 43% market share Research and innovative development Actuarial risk management Clinical risk management Systems and operations P.14 May, 2010

Example of Discovery innovation The Vitality program Complete a health risk assessment Determine Vitality Age and set goals Obtain a Personal Pathway Achieve a Status and earn Vitality Bucks Enjoy rewards Cycle is repeated P.15 May, 2010

Building leading position in untapped consumer finance market through innovative and centralized business model Target segment: middle low income 2k-20k monthly Key features: no collateral, loan size 8k-100k, interest rate 20%-45%, 1 day approval and disbursement Ending Balance (RMB MillionS) 100 209 587 1,328 2,632 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 (NCL+Indemnity) % ANR 2.0% 5.8% 3.4% 4.6% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 5.7% Key elements of business model Management team with 20-30 years of experience from Citi and HSBC in South Korea and other Asian countries Innovative credit guarantee insurance model, leveraging multiple financial licenses: insurance and banking Advanced centralized and automated credit scoring for rapid expansion with strong control Leverage group operating platform to centralize and automate back office processes to lower cost and improve service Multiple channel acquisition approach: direct sales + group based telesales and internet sales Currently 125 outlets in 41 cities, expected to be 1000 outlets by 2015 P.16 May, 2010

Ping An s leading edge: Innovation in life insurance sales 1 Promote life 2 insurance products using laptop computer Analysis for clients, recommendations based on customer demand, generation of e-proposals 3 Insurance data upload to back-office Underwriting information in real-time feedback 4 Receive premium real-time via e-pos, new policy takes immediate effect 5 Add e-policy to customer s combined -account immediately, paper-based policy delivered later e-marketing allows Ping An to improve operation efficiency and capture cross-selling opportunities P.17 May, 2010

Ping An s leading edge: Advanced IT capabilities & centralized back-office processing platform Today, Ping An has a very advanced integrated IT platform Started from 2001, IT has set out to create an integrated technology platform to support the group-wide single-customer, multi-product, multi-channel strategy This is an ambitious program to create a single customer view, a unified customer front-end and an integrated back-office while working in compliance with multiple regulators in China This initiative is ready to take advantage of the cross-selling opportunities across all subsidiaries IT enables a cutting edge back-office A fully shared, efficient, scalable and cost-effective processing platform Supports a 50 million+ customer database, a 15K+ telesales force, a centralized back-office with 10K+ operation staff, a 400K+ agency force; all created to support business operations across 10+ major subsidiaries P.18 May, 2010

Summary Ⅰ THE CHINA GROWTH STORY Despite recent volatility, the Chinese market remains very attractive Fundamentals driving the extraordinary growth of the Chinese economy during the past two decades remain strong these fundamentals and appropriate government policy adjustments enabled swift recovery from crisis and will support sustained growth going forward Ⅱ THE PING AN GROWTH STORY Ping An, born of Chinese economic reform, has built leading market positions Ping An has achieved much faster growth than the economy during the past two decades, and is leading the recovery from the crisis as evident from the rapid market share gains and growth in our insurance, banking, and investment businesses Ⅲ SUSTAINING HIGH GROWTH THROUGH INNOVATIONS Through continuous innovations, Ping An has built distinct advantages to fully exploit future growth of the Chinese financial market Our integrated financial services model, our innovative capabilities in product and distribution, and centralized operating platform, put us in a very strong position to capture future growth opportunities in China, particularly in the retail and SME segments P.19 May, 2010