Preliminary Results. 1 March 2016

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Transcription:

Preliminary Results 1 March 2016 1

Matthew Price 1 March 2016 2

Our diversified business traded well and we continued to invest in technology Adjusted 282m 14% Operating EPS (adjusted) Profit 15% 14.5p 18% Revenue 100m Capital Investment 20m Total Net Cash Dividend 4m 14% 4m 9.15p 17m 3

Revenue growth converted to profit Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 Growth Revenue Gross Margin 281.7 80% 248.1 79% +14% Adjusted EBITDA 110.1 95.2 +16% EBITDA margin % Depreciation & Software Amortisation 39% (10.0) 38% (7.8) Adjusted Operating Profit 100.1 87.3 +15% Adjusted Operating Profit margin % Amortisation of acquired intangible assets Contingent payable in relation to MSE 36% (14.9) (4.8) 35% (19.6) (3.9) Operating Profit 80.5 63.9 +26% Net finance costs Profit on disposal of associate (note 1) Taxation (0.7) - (16.4) (1.9) 3.9 (13.1) Net Profit 63.4 52.8 +20% AOP definition Operating profit adjusted for the amortisation of acquisition-related intangible assets, contingent payable in relation to the acquisition of MoneySavingExpert.com. 4

Strong progress on all elements of our strategy Best Site 279m Be the easiest way for customers to find providers products Earn Customer Loyalty Be the 279m destination brand for users and customers Preferred partner 279m Be the best way for providers to acquire customers 23.6m (+5%) Unique monthly visitors 19.6m (+ 4m) Investment in Technology 18.6m (+18%) Adults choosing to share data 48% (+10%) Net Promoter Score 1.6B (+12%) Savings made by customers 877 (+21%) Number of providers 68% (+3%) Marketing margin 5

All Group businesses continue to grow Revenues Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 FY Growth (%) Insurance Money Home Services 140.2 72.4 37.5 138.0 58.9 22.4 +2% +23% +68% MoneySuperMarket.com 250.1 219.3 +14% TravelSupermarket.com 24.5 22.6 +8% MoneySavingExpert.com 30.7 22.8 +34% Intra-group eliminations and other income (23.6) (16.6) Total Group 281.7 248.1 +14 % 6

Volume of products / millions Significant headroom remains in insurance Home, Motor and Travel Insurance 75 75 CAGR 2011-2015 +5% MSM sales new / switching 22 22 24 24 +2% Online sales new / switching +0% Total market size 3.2 3.2 3.8 3.8 Online Competition Online includes three other material aggregators (Confused.com, CompareTheMarket.com and Gocompare.com), some smaller aggregators and direct to provider. 2011 2011 2015 2015 MSM taking share from online market. Core part of our proposition; growth has moderated. The products above represent 72% of group Insurance revenues. 7 Source: Internal estimates based on DfT, ABI, ONS, ebenchmarkers, Mintel, Kantar, Internal Data Note: Refined sources used for total market numbers vs prior year. Online size is based on 12 months to October, MSM and total market are full year.

Insurance market was challenging in 2015 Total TV & Radio spend by PCWs 130 2012-15 ( Millions) 126 120 110 100 116 115 116 Advertising spend by two competitors increased by c 10m in 2015. 90 80 70 Switching-over to our new technology in Q4 limited ability to react tactically with paid search. This change is now complete. 60 50 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Nielsen Ad Dynamix spend 2012 15 8

We are improving insurance performance and continue to focus on differentiation Continue to focus on enhancing our insurance business not buying share. New platform gives stronger and flexible levers over time: Paid Search can bid higher as site personalisation will convert better. Organic Search allows fresher & more relevant content on all devices. Higher online and offline marketing spend planned c. 3-5M. In the first two months of 2016, insurance revenues firmed with a decline of -4%. 9

Volume of products / millions Online purchasing & switching is accelerating in our money product market Cards & Loans CAGR 2011-2015 42 43 +13% MSM sales new / switching 22 M 3 5 +15% Online sales new / switching +1% Total market size Online Competition 0.8 1.3 2011 2011 2015 2015 Apart from Moneysupermarket, the online market is predominantly direct sales on bank, credit card and loan providers websites, and a range of aggregators (sub <10%). Significant headroom exists within Cards and Loans. Opportunity exists as new product is introduced to the market. The products represented above comprise 65% of total Group Money revenues. 10 Source: Internal estimates based on BBA, Mintel, EIU, GfK, Internal Data Note: Refined sources used for total and online market numbers vs previously presented

Volume of products / millions Substantial headroom and high growth rates in the energy market Energy CAGR 2011-2015 32 32 +21% MSM sales new / switching +10% Online sales new / switching 1.6 +0% Total market size 1.1 0.3 0.5 Online Competition Apart from Moneysupermarket, the online market is a mix of other aggregators and direct sales by providers. 2011 2011 2015 2015 MoneySuperMarket.com has been taking share of total market and of the online market. Significant headroom exists as market is grossly underserved. The products represented above comprise 82% of Group Home Services revenue. 11 Source: Internal estimates based on DECC, Ofgem, Ipsos, Cornwall Energy, Internal Data Note: Dual fuel counted as one account 2015 estimated

Significant growth in direct visitors Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 FY (%) Offline Spend 25.8 28.2-9% Online and other spend* Marketing Spend 56.3 52.8 +7% Other 8.4 5.9 Total Group 90.5 86.9 4% Marketing Margin 68% 65% +3% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Revenue by source 1% 4% 15% 17% 84% 79% 2015 2014 * Includes costs relating to cashback, smartsearch and online display Direct to site Search engine marketing Partnerships 12

Group net cash increased after paying the final MoneySavingExpert.com consideration 2.6m 7.4m 2.6m ( 0.3m) ( 22.5m) ( 1.0m) ( 15.2m) 100.1m ( 20.6m) ( 45.6m) 13.1m ( 3.9m) 16.7m Net cash at 1 Jan 2015 Adj. OP Depreciation Amortisation Share option charges Working capital & other Cash paid for capital items Interest and up front fees Tax Payment of MSE contingent Dividends Purchase of shares by employee trust Net cash at 31 Dec 2015 13

Priorities for capital remain unchanged: Growth and a progressive dividend 1 2 3 4 Organic Growth Invest to capture growth headroom. Hurdle rate of 18% on technology investment. Ordinary dividends Acquisitions Special distribution Progressive dividend. Target full year dividend cover 1.5 2.0 x Data or services businesses that improve our customer proposition. Will consider overseas platforms in right markets. Will distribute when have meaningful available cash (minimum distribution 40m). Group will borrow to fund growth investments, not to finance distributions to shareholders. 14

Cash and capital update The 3-5m additional online and offline marketing spend referred to on page 9 will be skewed towards the first half of 2016. The technology investment is part of a three-year programme. We incurred software amortisation costs of 7 million this year. We expect technology amortisation to be in the region of 14-15 million for 2016. As we have previously said, we expect to make capital investment of up to 24 million in 2016. Amortisation of the intangible assets related to the pre IPO reorganisation stepped down from 19.6 million in FY 2014 to 14.9 million in FY 2015. We expect amortisation of the intangible assets to be in the region of 14.5 million for 2016. The Group s cash tax payment benefits from the amortisation of goodwill on the MoneySavingExpert acquisition. This amortisation is c. 16 million pa and will run until September 2017. The Group intends to reorganise its real estate to better attract and retain the right skills. This is likely to result in a one-off charge of 2-3 million in 2017. In December 2015, the group secured a new revolving credit facility for an amount of 100 million committed funds provided in equal parts by Lloyds and Barclays, together with an accordion facility for a further 100 million. This replaces the previous facility. 15

Dividends, EPS & dividend cover Dividend (pence) 2015 2014 Interim Final 2.55 6.60 2.31 5.69 Total Ordinary Dividend Declared 9.15 +14% 8.00 +10% Adjusted Earnings Per Share 14.5 12.3 Dividend Cover 1.6 x 1.5 x Dates for Final dividend 31st March ex-div date, and 6th May payment date 16

Peter Plumb Chief Executive Officer 17

Summary: 2015 A year of good growth and technology platform delivery Business Summary MoneySuperMarket.com: Good performance driven by money and energy MoneySavingExpert.com: Strong performance driven by money and energy Travelsupermarket.com: Slowing growth Growth investment programme New platform powering MSM Insurance (motor & home) and TSM MoneySuperMarket.com customer data hosted in new Enterprise Data Warehouse Regulation OFGEM: No further update Group Structure supporting brands Successful migration to new operating structure 18

Platform rollout: major milestones achieved MSM.com Insurance (Motor & Home) and TS.com fully operational Fusion Platform Single technology platform powering all brands Open source code Cloud hosted Content Management System Aggregation Engine Application Program Interface Enterprise Data Warehouse 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 19

Insurance: tough market We will continue to manage insurance for margin whilst building personalised experiences Multi PCW usage has not changed with increased TV spends Source of traffic drives margin Changing the game by getting personal 1.8 Avg #PCWs used for motor quotes* 1.7 1.7 1.7 New Driver? Organic Search Email Experienced Driver? Smart Phone Apps Paid Search 2012 2013 2014 2015 * Source: GFK FRS Survey Dec 2015 (Base: all motor insurance customers using a price comparison site to obtain quotes Offline Advertising 20

Energy: growing fast Collective switches are proving to be good at helping more people change supplier Energy Prices continue to fall Collective switches are becoming popular Switching habit growing with collective switches Avg std annual energy tariff vs MSM saving * #switchers (000s) with Group Collective switch customers*** 1196 1121 124 184 1165 124 1095 325 581 Multi Switchers 15% Jan First time Switchers 85% 360 365 233** Multi Switchers 42% Sep 2013 2014 2015 2016 137 227 58 2013 2014 2015 2016 First time Switchers 58% Collective Core *Source: Internal Data for Jan each year based on average standrad tariff from Big 6 using Ofgem consumption data vs cheapest MSM deal for same month ** Jan/Feb 2016 estimate ** *Internal data 21

Money: growing fast Trusted group brands are winning with content, product range and personalised services Great innovative products for customers Money brand leadership by the group Innovative tools for better personalised search 40 month BT Card #1 Switching 3.3% Personal Loan #1 Expert trusted help and Information 123 Account YouGov: Total sample size was 2017 adults. Fieldwork was undertaken between 24th - 25th February 2016. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all GB adults (aged 18+). 22

Outlook: 2016 Trading Group: good start to the year +12% Markets Insurance: balance motor margin with growth Money: strong current account and credit card products Energy: continued low home energy costs Travel: deteriorating Investments Year 3 of new technology platform rollout Innovate MSM/TSM App services Board Confidence Expectations for the year remain unchanged 23

24 Appendix

Unique monthly users increasing 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 MSM MSE Google analytics unique monthly users Source: Google analytics. 25

Adjusted operating profit Revenues Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 Variance Variance % Revenue 281.7 248.1 33.6 +14% Gross Profit 225.4 195.7 29.7 +15% Gross Margin 80% 79% Administrative Costs (110.8) (97.8) (13.0) +13% Distribution Costs (34.2) (34.0) (0.2) 0% Operating Profit 80.5 63.9 16.6 +26% Amortisation of acquired intangible assets Contingent payable in relation to MSE 14.9 19.6 (4.7) -24% 4.8 3.9 0.9 +23% Adjusted Operating Profit 100.1 87.3 12.8 +15% Depreciation 2.6 3.4 (0.8) -24% Amortisation of technology related Intangible assets 7.4 4.4 3.0 +68% Adjusted EBITDA 110.1 95.2 14.9 +16% 26

Adjusted cost base Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 Varianc e Variance % Staff Costs Depreciation Amortisation of technology Irrecoverable VAT Other admin 51.1 2.6 7.4 7.4 22.6 41.9 3.4 4.4 7.4 16.8 9.2 (0.8) 3.0 0.0 5.8 +22% -24% +68% 0% +35% Total Adjusted Admin 91.1 73.9 17.2 +23% Advertising Other Marketing 25.8 8.4 28.2 5.9 (2.4) 2.5-9% +42% Total Distribution costs per P&L 34.2 34.0 0.2 0% Online and other marketing costs* 56.3 52.8 3.5 +7% Total Marketing Costs 90.5 86.9 3.6 +4% Total Adjusted Cost base below gross margin 125.3 107.9 17.4 +16% Total Adjusted cost base 181.6 160.8 20.8 +13% Represents the adjusted cost base for the Group, and therefore includes approximately 8.5m of administrative expenses, and 0.3m of distribution costs, relating to MoneySavingExpert.com in 2015 (2014: 6.9m administrative expenses, 0.3m distribution costs). Excludes contingent payable in relation to the MSE acquisition and amortisation relating to acquisitions. * Includes costs relating to cashback, smartsearch and online display 27

Strong gross margin maintained Millions FY 2015 H2 2015 H1 2015 FY 2014 H2 2014 H1 2014 Revenue 281.7 137.8 143.9 248.1 125.7 122.4 Cost of sales (56.3) (27.3) (29.0) (52.4) (24.4) (28.0) Gross profit 225.4 110.5 114.9 195.7 101.3 94.4 GP % 80.0% 80.2% 79.8% 78.9% 80.6% 77.1% 28

Earnings per share calculation Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 Statutory Profit Before Tax 79.8 66.0 Amortisation of MSFG intangibles 13.2 17.8 Amortisation of MSE intangibles 1.6 1.7 MSE contingent payable 4.8 3.9 Profit on disposal of associate - (3.9) Adjusted Before Tax Earnings 99.4 85.5 Assumed tax at 20.25% (2014: 21.5%) (20.1) (18.4) Adjusted Earnings 79.3 67.1 Basic average shares (millions) 546.3 544.4 Basic adjusted EPS (pence) 14.5 12.3 Diluted average shares (millions) 548.9 550.5 Diluted adjusted EPS (pence) 14.4 12.2 29

Statutory balance sheet Millions 31-Dec-15 31-Dec-14 Property, Plant And Equipment 8.7 9.4 Intangible Assets - Technology 28.1 15.9 Intangible Assets - Acquisition related 135.8 150.6 Trade and Other Receivables 32.4 30.6 Cash and Cash Equivalents 16.7 43.1 Total Assets 221.7 249.7 Trade And Other Payables (40.7) (41.0) Tax assets and liabilities (15.2) (15.2) Contingent Remuneration - (15.3) Borrowings - (30.0) Total Liabilities (55.9) (101.5) Net assets 165.8 148.1 Acquisition related intangible assets include 74 million associated with the pre-ipo Group reorganisation, and 60 million from the acquisition of MoneySavingExpert. Tax assets and liabilities include both current and non current balances 30

Effective tax rate broadly stable Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 Profit before tax 79.8 66.0 Standard rate of tax 20.25% (2014: 21.5%) 16.2 14.2 Effects of: Expenses not deductible for tax purposes 0.3 0.3 Impact of changes in tax rate (0.1) (0.2) Profit on disposal exempt from tax - (0.8) Adjustment in relation to prior periods - (0.3) Tax expense for the year 16.4 13.1 Effective tax rate 20.6% 19.8% 31

Cash flow seasonality Millions H1 2015 H2 2015 FY 2015 Adjusted Operating Profit 50.8 49.3 100.1 Depreciation 1.4 1.2 2.6 Amortisation of technology related intangible assets 3.8 3.6 7.4 Dividends (31.7) (14.0) (45.7) Tax (7.3) (7.9)) (15.2) Purchase of shares by employee trust - (3.9) (3.9) Acquisition of MSE - (20.6) (20.6) Acquisitions of other fixed assets (9.2) (13.3) (22.5) Working capital & Other 0.2 (0.5) (0.3) Share option charges 1.9 0.7 2.6 Interest and up front facility fees (0.2) (0.8) (1.0) Net cash movement 9.7 (6.2) 3.5 Movement in borrowings (30.0) - (30.0) Cash movement (20.3) (6.2) (26.5) 32

Group performance Millions Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 FY 2015 MoneySuperMarket.com 67.9 58.7 67.0 56.4 250.1 MoneySavingExpert.com 7.8 6.8 8.5 7.6 30.7 TravelSupermarket.com 7.0 6.7 7.2 3.6 24.5 Intragroup / Other (6.1) (5.0) (6.6) (5.9) (23.6) Group Revenues 76.6 67.2 76.2 61.7 281.7 Growth PY % 25% 10% 14% 5% 14% The diversified business delivers stable annual returns despite vertical Q on Q volatility. 33

Historic KPI s Millions FY 2015 FY 2014 Variance Variance (%) Insurance Visitors on to the site 40.3 36.2 4.1 11% Insurance Clicks off the site 14.8 16.2 (1.4) -8% Insurance Total Revenue ( ) 140.2 138.0 2.2 +2% Money Visitors on to the site 43.3 40.8 2.5 6% Money Clicks off the site 22.5 21.6 0.9 4% Money Total Revenue ( ) 72.4 58.9 13.5 23% Home Service Visitors on to the site 31.2 16.6 14.6 87% Home Services Clicks off the site 7.0 6.2 0.8 13% Home Services Total Revenue ( ) 37.5 22.4 15.1 68% At IPO, clicks onto site were called visitors, clicks off the site were named transactions. These definitions are no longer relevant to our business. Definitions: Visitors on to the site: - Unique per day not by device. Clicks off the site:- Number of clicks through to a provider website. 34