TEEKAY LNG PARTNERS Q EARNINGS PRESENTATION. November 9, 2017

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Transcription:

TEEKAY LNG PARTNERS Q3-2017 EARNINGS PRESENTATION November 9, 2017

Forward Looking Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) which reflect management s current views with respect to certain future events and performance, including statements regarding: the Partnership s forward fixed-rate revenues and weighted average remaining contract duration; the amount, timing and certainty of completing financings for newbuilding vessels and refinancings; LNG fundementals; and the timing of newbuilding vessel deliveries, the commencement of related contracts and cash flow contributions from these vessels. The following factors are among those that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties, and that should be considered in evaluating any such statement: potential shipyard and project construction delays, newbuilding specification changes or cost overruns; changes in production of LNG or LPG, either generally or in particular regions; changes in trading patterns or timing of start-up of new LNG liquefaction and regasification projects significantly affecting overall vessel tonnage requirements; changes in applicable industry laws and regulations and the timing of implementation of new laws and regulations; the potential for early termination of long-term contracts of existing vessels in the Teekay LNG fleet; the inability of charterers to make future charter payments; the inability of the Partnership to renew or replace long-term contracts on existing vessels; the Partnership s and the Partnership s joint ventures ability to secure financing for its existing newbuildings and projects and to refinance existing debt; and other factors discussed in Teekay LNG Partners filings from time to time with the SEC, including its Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2016. The Partnership expressly disclaims any obligation to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Partnership s expectations with respect thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. 2

Recent Highlights Generated distributable cash flow (DCF) (1) of $40.2 million and total cash flow from vessel operations (1) of $107.3 million in Q3-17 o DCF per LP unit of $0.50 per unit o Distribution coverage ratio of 3.5x In October and November, took delivery of three of our 18 LNG carrier newbuildings o Vessels immediately commenced contracts with Shell ranging from six to 20 years in duration. In November, completed $327 million in new long-term financings for the Partnership s growth projects In October, completed $170 million preferred equity issuance 1 These are non-gaap financial measures. Please refer to Definitions and Non-GAAP Financial Measures and the Appendices in the Partnership s Q3-2017 earnings release for definitions of these terms and reconciliations of these non-gaap financial measures as used in this presentation to the most directly comparable financial measures under United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). 3

Three Vessel Deliveries in Q4-2017 All three vessels immediately entered into fixed rate contracts with Shell Two wholly-owned MEGI LNG carriers: o Macoma: Delivered October 19 th (six year firm period plus options charter contract) o Murex: Delivered November 1 st (seven year firm period plus options charter contract) 30% owned LNG carrier: o Pan Asia: Delivered October 13 th (20-year firm period contract) 4

Yamal Project Prepares to Lift First Cargo Yamal Train 1 is now 97% complete with commissioning process commenced o Whole project (Trains 1-3) is 89% complete First LNG cargo planned for November 2017 on the Christophe de Margerie o Vessel completed LNG delivery through Northern Sea route over the summer without assistance from icebreakers First Teekay LNG ARC 7 Eduard Toll successfully completed sea trials (Sept 2017) and gas trials (Oct 2017) Nearing completion on long-term financing for Teekay LNG s six 50% owned ARC 7 LNG Carriers 5

Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 China Korea Japan Pakistan Thailand Taiwan Million Tonnes Million Tonnes Increasing LNG Trade Lifts Fleet Utilization Global LNG exports have increase 11% in 2017, and 30+ MTPA of new export capacity scheduled to start between Q4 2017 and end of 2018 Demand is keeping pace with supply. Asia responsible for 80% of import growth this year, and China s imports have increased approximately 45% year-over-year Brokers reported strongest spot charter rates in almost 3 years Global LNG Exports Year on Year Import Growth in Asia 80 75 9 8 7 +45% 70 65 60 6 5 4 3 +22% +5% 55 2 1 +48% +39% +6% 50 0 Source: Thomson Reuters Source: Thomson Reuters 6

Declining Fleet Supply Supports Medium- Term Fundamentals Newbuild ordering remains low; 5 firm orders in 2016, 8 in 2017 Global LNG trade is expected to increase more than fleet supply each year from 2017 onwards Higher fleet utilization expected to drive an ongoing recovery in LNG shipping rates 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% LNG Trade Increase in LNG Trade and LNG Fleet LNG Fleet 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Clarksons, GIIGNL, Internal Estimates 7

Significant Near Term Committed Growth 11 LNG vessels delivering by the end of 2018; 18 by 2020 Macoma Murex Magdala Myrina Megara Bahrain Spirit Regas Terminal Sean Spirit Ownership 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 30% 100% Charterer Financing completed 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Firm period end date in 2038 Firm period end date in 2039 Yamal Spirit 100% Pan Asia 30% Pan Americas 30% Pan Europe 20% Pan Africa 20% Eduard Toll 50% Rudolf Samoylovich 50% Nikolay Yevgenov 50% Vladimir Voronin 50% Hull 2433 50% Hull 2434 50% Firm period end date in 2037 Firm period end date in 2038 Firm period end date in 2038 Firm period end date in 2039 Firm period end date in 2045 Firm period end date in 2045 Firm period end date in 2045 Firm period end date in 2045 Firm period end date in 2045 Firm period end date in 2045 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Firm Period Option Periods Available 8

Appendix

Financing of Growth Projects On Track Project Remaining CAPEX ($ millions as at Sep 30, 2017) (1) Completed Undrawn Debt Financings (1) In-Process Debt Financings (1) Status of In-Process Debt Financings 2017 2018 2019 2020 7 MEGI LNG Carriers (100%) 1,012 858 184 Remaining vessel credit approved and in documentation. Delivery 2019 5 vessels with 6 8 year contracts, plus extension options, with Shell, 1 vessel with 13-year contract with BP, and 1 vessel with 15-year contract with Yamal LNG Bahrain Regas Terminal (30%) and FSU (100%) Shell (ex. BG) LNG Carriers (20-30%) 304 320 - - 166 (2) 128 - - 20-year FSU and terminal contracts 20-year contracts, plus extension options Yamal LNG ARC 7 Carriers (50%) 812-816 6 vessels credit approved and in documentation Charter contracts through to 2045, plus extension options Exmar LPG Carriers (50%) 55 56 24 Negotiating terms on remaining vessel Delivery Q3-18 Expect to trade in short-term market upon delivery Total $2,349 $1,362 $1,024 Vessel Financing Completed Vessel Financing to be Completed Remaining Newbuilding Financings On-Track for Completion within Q1-2018 Delivered in October and November 2017 (1) Teekay LNG s proportionate share (2) Excludes shipbuilding and crew training costs reimbursable by Shell (ex. BG) 10

$ Millions Continue to Progress 2018 Refinancings 2017 revolving credit facility refinancing is fully committed and near-completion 600 400 $189m 2x Spanish LNG carriers under LT charter $122m 1x Spanish LNG carrier under LT charter $51m LPG carriers 2H- 2018 $67m 50% owned LNG carriers on LT charters $20m conventional tankers $150m 52% owned LNG carriers within the MALT JV low LTV 2 LNG carriers with Charterer Purchase Obligations $57m Arctic/Polar Spirit 200 1H- 2018 0 Total liquidity as of September 30, 2017, pro forma for $170 million preferred equity issuance Remainder of 2017 2018 2019 2020 Committed Refinancings Maturities Secured by Vessels NOK Bond Maturities (2) (1) Future balloon payments reflect Teekay LNG s proportionate debt in joint ventures which are accounted for under the equity method. (2) NOK Bond Maturities are net of cash collateral placed to secure associated cross-currency swaps 11

Distributable Cash Flow Q3-17 vs. Q2-17 (Thousands of U.S. Dollars except units outstanding or unless otherwise indicated) Q3-2017 (unaudited) Q2-2017 (unaudited) Net voyage revenues (1) 103,465 99,773 Comments Increase due to Q2-17 unscheduled off-hire of one LNG carrier to complete repairs and an additional calendar day in Q3-17 Vessel operating expenses (26,724) (26,001) Estimated maintenance capital expenditures (13,232) (13,190) General and administrative expenses (2,793) (4,642) Partnership's share of equity-accounted joint ventures' DCF net of estimated maintenance capital expenditures 11,008 12,229 Decrease due to one-time lower corporate allocation Lower equity income from the Exmar LPG Joint Venture primarily due to Q3-17 unplanned off-hire of certain vessels Adjusted interest expense (1) (26,167) (26,274) Interest income 602 579 Income tax expense (750) (236) Distributions relating to preferred units (2,813) (2,812) Distributions relating to equity financing of newbuildings 1,589 1,536 Direct finance lease payments received in excess of revenue recognized 1,901 5,056 Decrease due to the charter hire deferral agreement with Awilco effective July 2017 relating to the Wilpride and Wilforce LNG carriers Other adjustments - net (546) (446) Distributable Cash Flow before Non-Controlling Interests 45,540 45,572 Non-controlling interests' share of DCF (5,316) (4,949) Distributable Cash Flow (2) 40,224 40,623 Cash distributions to the General Partner (227) (228) Limited partners' Distributable Cash Flow 39,997 40,395 Weighted-average number of common units outstanding 79,626,819 79,626,819 Distributable Cash Flow per limited partner unit 0.50 0.51 1) Refer to next slide for a reconciliation of Net Voyage Revenues and Adjusted Interest Expense. 2) For a reconciliation of Distributable Cash Flow, a non-gaap measure, to the most directly comparable GAAP figures, see Appendix B in the Q3-17 and Q2-17 Earnings Releases.

Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of the Partnership s Net Voyage Revenues: (Thousands of U.S. Dollars) Three Months Ended September 30, 2017 (unaudited) Three Months Ended June 30, 2017 (unaudited) Voyage revenues as reported 104,285 100,904 Voyage expenses as reported (1,466) (996) Realized gains (losses) on charter contract derivative instrument 646 (135) Net voyage revenues 103,465 99,773 Reconciliation of the Partnership s Adjusted Interest Expense: (Thousands of U.S. Dollars) Three Months Ended September 30, 2017 (unaudited) Three Months Ended June 30, 2017 (unaudited) Interest expense as reported (20,091) (20,525) Ineffectiveness of hedge-accounted interest rate swaps 8 747 Realized losses on derivative instruments and other (6,084) (6,496) Adjusted Interest Expense (26,167) (26,274)

Q4 2017 Outlook Distributable Cash Flow Item Q4 2017 Outlook (compared to Q3 2017) Net voyage revenues $7m increase due to charter contract commencements for the Macoma and Murex Vessel operating expenses Expected to be consistent with Q3-17 Estimated maintenance capital expenditures $1m increase due to delivery of Macoma and Murex in Q4-17 General and administrative expenses $1m increase due to lower corporate allocation in Q3-17 Partnership's share of equity-accounted joint ventures' DCF net of estimated maintenance capital expenditures $1m increase in equity income from the Pan Union Joint Venture primarily due to the delivery and charter contract commencement of the Pan Asia in October 2017 $1m increase in equity income from the Teekay LNG Marubeni Joint Venture primarily due to commencement of shortterm charter contracts for two LNG carriers Adjusted interest expense $4m increase primarily due to the deliveries of the Macoma and Murex Distributions relating to preferred units $3m increase due to preferred units issued in October 2017 Addback Distributions relating to equity financing of newbuildings Direct finance lease payments received in excess of revenue recognized $2m increase due to preferred units issued in October 2017 Expected to be consistent with Q3-17 Other adjustments Expected to be consistent with Q3-17 Non-controlling interests' share of DCF Expected to be consistent with Q3-17 Cash distributions to the General Partner Expected to be consistent with Q3-17

2017 Drydock Schedule Segment March 31, 2017 (A) June 30, 2017 (A) September 30, 2017 (A) December 31, 2017 (E) Total 2017 (E) Vessels Total Off-hire Days Vessels Total Offhire Days Vessels Total Off-hire Days Vessels Total Offhire Days Vessels Total Off-hire Days Liquefied Gas - Consolidated 1 31 - - 1 32 - - 2 63 LPG - Equity Accounted 2 10 2 94 2 48 1 30 7 182 LNG - Equity Accounted - - - 8 1 25 1 30 2 63 3 41 2 102 4 105 2 60 11 308 15