Managing Disaster Differently: Shock- Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi

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Welcome to the webinar Managing Disaster Differently: Shock- Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi organised by GIZ, Malawi Government, World Bank Group and WFP

socialprotection.org presents: Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Panellists: Selvi Vikan, Team Leader, Social Protection, GIZ Malawi Rebecca Holmes, Senior Research Fellow, Social Protection and Social Policy Programme, the Overseas Development Institute Edward Archibald, Chief of Social Policy, UNICEF Malawi Caoimhe de Barra, Country Director, Concern Worldwide, Malawi Harry Mwamlima, Director of Poverty Reduction and Social Protection Division, Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development Malawi Daniela Cuellar, Policy Officer, WFP Malawi

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Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Panellist Selvi Vikan, Team Leader, Social Protection, GIZ Malawi Selvi Vikan is the Team Leader of GIZ s Social Protection Programme in Malawi. She has over 15 years experience working with national governments, bilateral organisations, UN and NGOs on social protection, emergency response, food security and decentralisation in Africa and Asia. She recently facilitated a task force on the development of Malawi s National Social Support Programme and was previously engaged in the emergency sector, including the steering committee of the Cash Learning Partnership (CaLP). With experience in both social protection and humanitarian response, her primary interest lies in creating closer synergies between the sectors to better address poverty and vulnerability.

Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Panellist Rebecca Holmes, Senior Research Fellow, Social Protection and Social Policy Programme, the Overseas Development Institute Rebecca has over 10 years of experience in research and policy work focusing on the analysis of social protection policy and programming, with a particular focus on gender and social inclusion. She led the shock-sensitive social protection research in Malawi, with partners from the Red Cross Climate Centre, which involved a large, multisector review of social protection and crisis response to assess options for establishing a more shock-sensitive social protection system. Rebecca has published widely for a range of audiences on social protection and is co-author of the book Gender and social protection in the developing world: beyond mothers and safety nets.

Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Panellist Harry Mwamlima, Director of Poverty Reduction and Social Protection Division, Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development Malawi Harry Mwamlima is the Director of Poverty Reduction and Social Protection Division in the Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development (MFEP&D). In 2003 Mr Mwamlima graduated from the University of Manchester, United Kingdom with a Master of Science Degree in Economics and Management of Rural Development (MSc EMRD), he also holds a Bachelor of Social Science Degree (Bsoc Econs) from the University of Malawi obtained in 1993. Mr Mwamlima has worked with the Ministry of Education as District Education Planner from 1994 to 1997, Ministry of Local Government and Rural Development as Director of Planning and Development (at District level) from 1997 to 2002, Ministry of Economic Planning and Development from 2002 to 2004, the Department of Poverty and Disaster Management Affairs (DOPDMA) from 2004 to 2007. He has been with the Ministry of Economic Planning and Development since 2007 to the now merged MFEP&D. He has extensive experience and management skills and works with various local and international organizations in poverty reduction and social protection policy and programme development. He is also every much involved in development of systems, studies and evaluations of poverty reduction and social protection programmes.

Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Panellist Edward Archibald, Chief of Social Policy, UNICEF Malawi Edward has been Chief of Social Policy at UNICEF Malawi since 2015, and was previously Head of the Australian Government aid program in Sri Lanka (2011-2014), and Director of Economics at AusAID headquarters (2009-10). He designed landmark social protection reforms for remote Indigenous communities in Australia as Policy Leader at the Cape York Institute from 2006-2008. Edward also worked as clerk to a High Court Judge on Australia s constitutional court. He holds a MPhil in Development Studies from Oxford University, and Bachelor of Laws (Hons) from the University of Melbourne.

Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Panellist Daniela Cuellar, Policy Officer, WFP Malawi Daniela Cuellar is a Resilience and Social Protection programme and policy officer for WFP Malawi, where she is responsible for all matters related to climate innovations and social protection, developing tools, evidence, and policy support that can make social protection systems more shock-sensitive. Daniela has worked on climate resilient programme design, management, monitoring and evaluation with WFP Sudan and Headquarters, as well as other organizations like the UN s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the International Development Law Organization (IDLO). She holds a MSc from University College London and a BSc from the University of East Anglia.

Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Panellist Caoimhe de Barra, Country Director, Concern Worldwide, Malawi Caoimhe is a Country Director with Concern Worldwide in Malawi. Concern Worldwide is an international NGO, headquartered in Ireland, which focuses on tackling extreme poverty through development and humanitarian programmes, policy & advocacy work. Caoimhe has a Masters Degree in Development Studies from University College Dublin, Ireland. Her specialisation is in designing, implementing and evaluating learning from Resilience, Social Protection and Gender Equality programming. Caoimhe has 20 years experience working in the development & humanitarian sector. She has been living in Malawi since 2015. Previously Caoimhe worked as Director of International Division with Irish NGO, Trócaire. She has also lived and worked in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Angola.

Towards a shock-sensitive social protection system in Malawi Study conducted by ODI and Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre Study cocommissioned by the Government of Malawi, GIZ, World Bank, and WFP Understanding the role of social protection in responding to poverty and climate-risks in Malawi Rebecca Holmes Presentation prepared for socialprotection.org Managing Disaster Differently: Shock-Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi 15 th February, 2017

Towards a shock-sensitive social protection system in Malawi: The study Study objectives: Synthesise recent experiences and knowledge of shock-sensitive social protection in Malawi Analyse how existing social protection system components can more effectively address the impacts of climate-related shocks - policy and institutional framework - social protection programme design and implementation - social protection systems (data, delivery systems and early warning systems) - financing arrangements Provide clear options and recommendations for moving towards a more shock-sensitive social protection approach in Malawi Study team: Meghan Bailey, Blessings Chinsinga, Cecilia Costella, Rebecca Holmes, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, Richard Poulter, Lucy Scott and Kay Sharp

Poverty and vulnerability to shocks: the importance of understanding both seasonal and extreme climate events Underlying food insecurity and seasonal patterns of production and consumption result in recurrent cyclical crises which also obstruct long-term poverty reduction. An emergency response has been called every year for the past ten years. In some districts, food insecurity is an annual occurrence: 15 districts have been classified as food insecure for 6 years or more in the last decade. This problem is compounded by Malawi s high exposure to extreme climate risks, which creates exceptional periods of acute need. In 2016, for example, 6.6 million people were in need of emergency food assistance. As such, extreme climate shocks interact with seasonality and underlying poverty and vulnerability, thus increasing food insecurity and the scale of assistance needed

What role can social protection play? Social protection in Malawi aims to enhance quality of life for those affected by poverty and hunger, and improve resilience for those who are vulnerable to risks and shocks Strengths Increased investment in social protection in last decade, with positive effects on poverty reduction and food security Some attention to seasonal patterns of consumption and production in programme design Emergence of shock-sensitive SP, including coordination between SP and emergency actors Challenges however, social protection is not yet reducing poverty and vulnerability at required scale but SP is yet to minimise the negative impact of exposure to seasonal risks and support resilience to predictable annual food gaps however linkages between SP and emergency response are nascent

Towards a shock-sensitive SP system: Vision objectives A shock-sensitive social protection system in Malawi should reduce poverty and food insecurity, meet the seasonal needs of the poorest, build resilience to shocks and climate change, and support early and effective emergency action when needed. Such a system would prioritise core social protection objectives, ensure that the progress made is protected from predictable seasonal food insecurity and from frequent shocks. Social protection can never fully replace emergency response capacity, but a successful shock-sensitive social protection system would, over time, reduce the need/scale for year-on-year emergency response.

Towards a shock-sensitive social protection system: Vision components (1) In the short term, 1. Prioritise strengthening the design and delivery of core social protection programmes to achieve their objectives. 2. Address the predictable annual food gap for poor households through multi-year and predictable programming to reduce the scale of the annual emergency response 3. Strengthen shock-sensitive objectives in social protection programming through a more explicit focus on preparing and planning for shocks and building resilience.

Towards a shock-sensitive social protection system: Vision components (2) In the medium-to-longer term, 4. Develop scalable social protection mechanisms, which temporarily increase coverage of social protection programmes to existing or additional beneficiaries, to deal with exceptional periods of acute need that result from unanticipated weather events. Throughout, 5. Provide on-going support to larger-scale emergencies through closer alignment and coordination with humanitarian response.

Government Reflections on Shock Sensitive Social Protection in Malawi Malawi Ministry of Finance, Economic Planning and Development Poverty Reduction and Social Protection Division

Introduction Malawi is a country prone to shocks and high vulnerability due to poverty; and also faces food and nutrition insecurity Predictable seasonal patterns, and even minor weather variations end up developing into humanitarian crisis due to the failure to leverage longer term development measures before a crisis. The Government recognises that social protection plays a crucial role in managing disasters differently as it is designed to address multiple vulnerabilities and has the potential to expand before, during and after a crisis.

Shock Sensitive Social Protection (SSSP) has become a national priority in Malawi and it is now a key focus area in the new Malawi National Social Support Programme The MNSSP places emphasis on strengthening core social protection programmes to protect consumption in the first instance and further build resilient livelihoods as a buffer against shocks and to place households on a growth path.

The new programme also dedicates a specific pillar on SSSP looking at the role that social protection can play at various phases of the crisis, from planning, responding and building back better. Measures include: Promoting resilience to shocks in anticipation of a crisis- by promoting HH coping capacity via savings mechanisms, diversifying livelihoods and increasing productivity Preparing for shocks through planning and coordination in advance of shocks Supporting households in meeting their immediate needs in response to a shockby scaling up existing social protection programmes to reach a larger proportion of the population affected; and increasing transfers for those already in programmes in an event of a shock Supporting recovery of shocks promoting a building back better approach by ensuring that programme design focuses on developing resilience to shocks

Challenges Getting the basics right and strengthening existing systems to ensure regular and predictable payments to protect household consumption and build an asset base as a buffer against shocks Transfer levels need to increase in order to support consumption smoothing and help households cope with the effects of seasonality Coordination synergies between humanitarian and social protection sectors still needs strengthening Financing inadequate support from donors for a pooled financing mechanism Limited potential of digital and flexible payments structure due to low national coverage Limited ex-ante support by donors in order to prepare better for a crisis

Opportunities- programmes Social Cash Transfer Programme SCTP beneficiaries being excluded (community-based targeting) from receiving humanitarian food assistance Response: Trial of automatic inclusion of SCTP beneficiaries in 2016-17 humanitarian response: Is it feasible for the SCTP to be adapted to deliver timely support in response to crisis and shocks? Response: Trial of vertical expansion of the SCTP in 2017-18 School meals programme: Horizontal expansion for 6 months of SMP through THRs in 71 schools across the hardest hit districts aimed at continued learning and reduced negative coping strategies

Public Works programmes Shift to watershed management in the national public works programme including rain water harvesting, reforestation and soil conservation with the aim of increasing water table during drought periods and reducing the impact of the crisis Productive asset creation and integrated risk management strategies that help build resilient livelihoods, forming the foundation for a climatesensitive graduation pathway Role of public works in reconstruction- rebuilding infrastructure in areas hit by crisis

Livelihood and adaptive programmes Promote shift from short term humanitarian response to long term resilience programmes, with crisis modifiers Build skills and assets for resilience among key populations Integrate Disaster Risk Reduction with SP programmes Promote VSL as a tool to mitigate and respond to risk

Opportunities- systems Unified Beneficiary Registry A social registry that captures socio-economic data on poor households for the purposes of targeting Testing its appropriateness in the last humanitarian response revealed that there was potential to use it again but more work needed to be done on systems alignment and further strengthening the UBR (including 100% coverage, up-to-date data, accessibility and data quality)

Early warning Identifying triggers for early warning Crisis modifier funding to put preventative measures in place before the crisis Contingency funding to react quickly to a crisis Electronic payments- E-payments provide the potential to vary the size and frequency of transfers according to the changing needsthus versatile in both development and humanitarian settings smart cards, local bank expansion, digital registration and advanced technical capacity at local government level are starting to enable economies of scale

Malawi has commenced the journey for building a strong SSSP Pilots so far reveal good practices, lessons learned and guidance for future work My colleagues from UNICEF, WFP and CWW and GIZ will elaborate further in their presentations

2015-16 evidence: SCTP beneficiaries are largely excluded by communities from humanitarian responses Yet SCTP households are clearly amongst the most vulnerable in Malawi 10 percent in each district who are ultra-poor and labour-constrained Quantitative and qualitative evidence (2015/16) showed most SCTP are indeed eligible for humanitarian assistance but are often excluded at the community-based targeting stage from receiving humanitarian food assistance Communities want to share benefits of assistance programmes

2016-17 response: Automatic Inclusion of SCTP beneficiaries (Piggy-backing on humanitarian system) Humanitarian Response Committee decided to automatically include all SCTP households in the 2016-17 humanitarian response Approximately 600,000 SCTP beneficiaries Less than 10 percent of total humanitarian caseload of 6.7 million Humanitarian funding for SCTP and non-sctp is channeled through humanitarian system UNICEF led a systematic field review to assess whether Automatic Inclusion (piggybacking) was the right approach Feedback: Communities say there is indeed need for further support to SCTP during the lean season but communities disagree with delivering assistance through two different channels (seen as double-dipping )

2017-18 response: Vertical Expansion of SCTP testing operational feasibility Government, together with UNICEF and WFP, decided to conduct an operational trial for the SCTP to expand vertically in response to crisis Aim of the trial: Is it feasible for the SCTP to be adapted to deliver timely support in response to crisis and shocks? Irish Aid providing funding for cash transfers; DFID supporting technical work CARE Malawi has been contracted, and works together with GoM extension workers, to monitor and learn from the trial (baseline, endline, on-site monitoring, Post-Distribution Monitoring). UNICEF and WFP collaborating closely to explore under what conditions and how humanitarian actors could channel assistance directly through the SCTP Gathering learnings from Vertical Expansion trial to inform the next response cycle Preparing operational guidance and administrative procedures

Challenges, lessons, some future plans Challenge: SCTP were being excluded from responses to shocks Response 1: Piggy-backing. But not preferred by community Response 2: Vertical Expansion of SCTP (underway) Other lessons: getting the basics right should include reducing the vulnerability of SCTP households to predictable stresses Adjusting the SCTP to account for seasonal variations in prices (analysis underway by UNICEF and ILO) Planned work for 2018 What investments in the social protection system would make it shock responsive (UNICEF and WFP, Return on Investment model) Horizontal Expansion of SCTP: feasibility study Formal learning and change management process, to embed government ownership in scalale social protection agenda

Emergency horizontal expansion of resilience programmes and the opportunities presented for long term social protection programming WFP Malawi February 15, 2018

Malawi Context Breaking the cycle of hunger Malawi is shock-prone Drought Floods Exposure to shocks is aggravated by high vulnerabilities Poverty Food insecurity & malnutrition Low input/ low output rain-fed smallholder farming Land degradation/resource depletion Fragmented food system Limited capacities & resources to withstand consecutive shocks Malawi has registered increasing humanitarian food needs. From 8 % of the country requiring lifesaving assistance during the 2014/15 lean season, to 18 % in 2015/16, and 40 % in the 2016/17 lean season National commitment to resilience MGDS III MNSSP II NRS NAIP

Horizontal Expansion Scaling up 6,692,114 MVAC beneficiaries in 2016 due to El Niño 5,365,071 MVAC beneficiaries supported by WFP 643,500 beneficiaries in 20 districts under MVAC reached with Complementary Productive Asset Creation (CPAC) by WFP Objective: Improve food security, reduce negative coping strategies and increase the generation and protection of productive assets Fast track stabilization & recovery Approach: Horizontal expansion of WFP s Food Assistance for Assets Households participated voluntarily in productive asset creation at a level appropriate to their labour availability WFP & INGO aligned approaches to MVAC/CPAC for consistency and impact

Lessons Learned Successes Effective in fast-tracking stabilization & recovery Because they address food access, availability, and diversity issues in the short, medium and long term Successful targeting reaching those most fitting Beneficiaries overwhelmingly preferred to participate in CPAC rather than simply receiving the unconditional transfers Fitting work norms supporting households, not straining them Beneficiaries appreciated that CPAC did not disturb, or detract from livelihood activities Beneficiaries were satisfied with the progress achieved Conducive to behavioral change Beneficiaries gained ownership of the assets developed and confidence in the skills earned Motivated them to further pursue these activities, rather than depend on hand-outs Areas for improvement Timing of activities needs to be improved Trainings ran too short & Inputs procured and received with delays Coordination among stakeholder requires strengthening Many stakeholders across levels national, district, communities Information sharing and collaboration strained Sensitization demands closer attention Lack of clarity on targeting (sub-criteria used) and conditionality Reach could be greater 20% cut off left some that could benefit out Resource and capacity strains. Consistent approach to HE Coordination, planning, and reach improvements will require the development of a consistent approach for HE

Opportunities for SSSP Securing big gains WFP transitioned over 50% of CPAC households to multi-year resilience activities, starting off with FFA, and offering a platform for integrated and adaptive support that facilitates graduation from extreme poverty FFA+ risk management +P4P P4P/Marketbased assistance Graduation from extreme poverty FFA+ risk management approach FFA MVAC + CPAC Forecast Based Finance Scheme

Systems Strengthening for SSSP Enabling expansion Malawi s humanitarian sector adopted the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) and uses community-based targeting process to identify those households for humanitarian food assistance Social protection programmes have different targeting criteria and approaches, including using Proxy Means Testing, geographical, or community-based targeting approach, which are aimed at responding to chronic needs. >>Moving forward: Need to focus on developing interoperable targeting across the social protection and humanitarian spectrum, with a focus on three objectives, each informed by and with findings disaggregated by IPC phase: Who to target Using categorical data, which sub-group of the population are correlated with higher food related vulnerabilities? How to target - What systems/ processes are required to identify households with these categorical aspects? When to target Based on historical data, what are the points ahead of the lean season which are of critical importance (e.g. for preventative action)? >> Linked to FBF/EWS

World Food Programme

Building Resilience through Adaptive Programming contributions to SSSP in Malawi. 19 th February 2018

Concern Worldwide our SSSP hypothesis Hypothesis: Using adaptive, iterative approaches to generate knowledge feeds into development of SSSP systems and structures at national level while delivering immediate benefits to vulnerable populations in hazard prone areas. Testing Key ideas, supported by:

Graduation BRAC model Comprehensive Targeting Asset Transfer Graduation from Extreme Poverty Income Support Savings + Financial Access Skills Training + Coaching

Key Question: Can SCT HHs participate effectively in Graduation Programmes? Concern Graduation Programme in 2 Districts: Mangochi & Nsanje. Criteria for eligibility: ultra-poor & poor households, with some labour. In the first year, we targeted as many SCT Households as possible. Result: 109 of 200 Households in 1st round of Graduation are on SCT. Profile of households: elderly, no-one in household available to work; higher wealth status after 3 years of SCT. Implication: not all SCT will be eligible for Graduation. Some require ongoing protective & preventive support through SP. SSSP needs to be able to respond to their increased consumption needs, e.g. through seasonal top-ups to this population.

Key question: what do HHs that can participate in Graduation programmes look like? 1. 43.4% of households (HHs) in Nsanje and 29.4% of HHs in Mangochi are very poor, according to Concern Community Based Wealth Ranking, while 92% of HHs in Nsanje and 75.9% in Mangochi are poor. 2. 99% of HHs in Nsanje and 56% in Mangochi experience hazards. 3. 65% believe community can solve most problems and 47% are confident community can deal with unexpected events. 4. Over 90% own land but don t have access to inputs or extension advice. 5. 69% of HHs are Female headed. 6. Almost 50% believe that men should have the final word on decisions. 7. Village Savings & Loans is seen as a key coping strategy. 8. 21% own a mobile phone.

Implications for designing SSSP interventions 1. Be aware: community perceptions of poverty unlikely to match Unified Beneficiary Registry (UBR) & Integrated Household Survey findings. Use of PMT problematic given flat poverty profile. 2. Don t underestimate community capacity to prevent, mitigate and respond to disasters; 3. Enable utilisation of available assets (e.g. land). 4. Promote e-payments - mobile phone penetration is growing. 5. Support VS&L: low cost, high impact and popular. 6. But don t expect women to benefit strategically from VS&L and access to assets. Key decisions are taken by men. Use gender analysis to inform SSSP.

Next generation question: How to linking Early Warning Systems, UBR and SP? Idea tested: What are the potential benefits of linking hazard info with the UBR for SP? 1. COOPI: carrying out detailed hazard mapping using drone technology and participatory GIS methodology with communities. 2. Concern: carrying out vulnerability assessment of populations living in hazard areas, using both humanitarian & UBR data collection tools. 3. As UBR is rolled out in 2018-19, feed data from hazard mapped areas in to it: create identifiers on UBR for HHs at risk of disaster. 4. Potential uses: 1. Preventive: target Social Protection and Resilience building programmes at HHs / communities identified as at risk; 2. Responsive: pre-register HHs at risk on SCOPE (currently) or SP MIS platform; use info for vertical or horizontal expansion.

MVAC Cash Transfer Programme Participants, Mchinji District Malawi, 2016. Thank You

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Questions and Answers Rebecca Holmes Daniela Cuellar Selvi Vikan Edward Archibald Caoimhe de Barra Harry Mwamlima Submit your questions! Type them in the GoToWebinar chat bar

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