Government of Belize Pilot Program for Climate Resilience Sub-Committee Meeting Washington, DC November 1, 2013
Overview Climate Impacts Transformational Shift Analysis and Consultation Moving Forward
Snapshot of Belize 316,280 population (2011) US$4,577 GDP per capita (2011) 41% living in poverty (2009) > 50% of population near coast ~2/3 of land cover is forested
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Belize ranks 7 th highest in average losses from extreme weather events (1992-2011) Average Annual Losses per GDP (%) Deaths per 100,000 inhabitants 10 5 0 0 1.5 3 (1) (4) (5) (7) (8) (15) (20) (30) (33) (53) (169) Grenada Dominica St. Kitts & Nevis Belize AB St. Lucia Guyana Jamaica St. Vincent DR Suriname (8) (52) (43) (19) (14) (26) (128) (73) (33) (5) (141) () indicate Global Rank of 183 countries or territories evaluated. Sorted by Losses per GDP (%) Source: Harmeling, S. and Eckstein D. Global Climate Risk Index 2013. Germanwatch, November 2012. http://germanwatch.org/fr/download/7170.pdf
Belize expects more intense and increased variability in climatic events Changes Temperature in temperature Changes in precipitation Precipitation Source: Taylor et al 2013
Belize evolves towards climate resilience Achieve 2030 Vision Medium-Term Development Strategy Presentation of NCRIP Adopted Climate Change Adaptation Policy Developed Vision 2030 Framework Adopted National Hazard Mitigation Policy Established NEMO 2000 2004 2008 2011 2013 2014-2017 2030
Belize benefits from knowledge and experiences of the PPCR Led by Finance & Planning Gender Informed Incorporate Climate Resilience Into National Development Processes Participatory & Consultative Data-Driven
Belize embarks on a transformational shift MoFED Reform and articulate National Planning Framework Incorporate climate resilience into national development planning and action Prioritize climate resilient investments within PSIP and national budget
Stakeholder engagement is integral to the NCRIP development and implementation Led by MoFED Include CSOs, NGOs, Gov t, Private Sector Stakeholder Consultations Informed Gender Issues Developed Envirosocio-economic Criteria
Multi-criteria evaluation (MCE) developed for physical infrastructure investments Criticality Data-driven Participatory Consensus-Building Learning & Knowledge Hazard Informed decisions to prioritize investments in the transportation sector
This tool produced outputs to evaluate risk reduction measures and prioritize investments OVERLAY: These were combined using geospatial analysis tools to conclude which road segments are in need of priority investment
NCRIP components are mutually reinforcing 1. Data & Knowledge Transfer NCRIP 2. Physical Infrastructure 3. Building Adaptive Capacities 4. Policy & Regulatory 5. Coordination, Monitoring & Evaluation
NCRIP interventions take into account both current and future risks 1 2 3 4 1.1 Hydro-meteorological, topographic, and bathymetric data road-map 1.2 National spatial data and climate project 2.1 Critical assets: roads, drainage, public buildings & public transport 2.2 Land-use & infrastructure plan 2.3 Coastal logistics: ports and airports 2.4 Utilities: energy, water and wastewater 2.5 Prevention coastal erosion 3.1 Resilient agricultural & forestry practices and trials 3.2 Diversifying fishermen income 3.3 Mainstreaming climate resilience in tourism and transport sector master plans: 3.4 Emergency response and recovery capacity 4.1 Green building measures 4.2 Marine regulation 4.3 Integrating priority investments in to the PSIP 4.4 Coordination of climate resilience assistance by MDBs and development partners 5 5.1 Implementation, M&E of the NCRIP with regular interim reviews and amendments as necessary
NCRIP identifies additional financing needs of US$112 million Data & Knowledge Transfer Physical Infrastructure Building Adaptive Capacities $408.2 78% Regulatory & Policy Co-ordination, M&E $112.5 22% Financing committed 84% 4% 2% 2% Identified Financing Gap 8%
Belize is ready and committed To engage partners To leverage resources To pursue sustainable development
Belize is moving forward Will implement the NCRIP Invites the international community to partner with us on the road to sustainable development
Annex Slides for consideration to be incorporated into the presentation
Belize severely devastated by fatal floods
Criticality: Multi-Criteria Evaluation
Fiscal consequence of disasters are increasing 8 Count $300 Damages (US$ millions) 4 $150 0 1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2010 Weather related events cause annual economic losses on average of 3.94% of GDP $0 1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2001 - 2000 2010 Source: EM-DAT Source: Germanwatch 2013