TAX PRINCIPLES WORKSHOP Inflation adjustment (indexation) Presentation by:

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TAX PRINCIPLES WORKSHOP Inflation adjustment (indexation) Presentation by: Lydia Ndirangu Senior Manager, Ernst and Young LLP Friday, 26 th January 2018 Uphold public interest

Presentation agenda 1. What is indexation? 2. Indexation of Excise duty in Kenya 3. Indexation of in other jurisdictions 4. Key take away

What is indexation?

Brief overview linking adjustments made to the value of a good, service or other metric, to a predetermined index Scenarios utilizing indexation: Minimum wage determination Interest and exchange rate pricing Specific tax rates adjustment Determination of purchasing power parity Net present value computation

How is it calculated? Different economic models define the computation of index formulae based on different assumptions and criteria employed Use of different index formulae depends on what is being achieved

Examples of some index Index Consumer price index (CPI) Laspeyre s index Paasche s index Fisher s ideal price index Explanation A measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services Compares total cost of same base period basket of goods differ between time period or geographical location Measuring current price or quantity levels relative to those of a selected base period. It differs from the Laspeyres index in that it uses current-period weighting Its is the geometric average of the Laspeyres price index and the Paasche price index

Indexation on property Technique to adjust tax payments by employing a price index which adjusts for inflation Factored in disposal of property and goods- Indexation accounts for inflation from the time you bought the asset to the time you sell it Inflate the purchase price of the asset to take into account the impact of inflation

Indexation on property Example Land Purchase Price in Year 2008 KShs 10,000,000 Selling Price in Year 2018 Kshs 30,000,000 Cost inflation index issued by government 2.11 Description With indexation Without Indexation Selling price 30,000,000 30,000,000 Less Purchase price* index (21,100,000) (10,000,000) Gain 8,900,000 20,000,000 Indexation factors in inflation and reduces tax liability

Indexation on taxes Technique to adjust tax payments by employing a price index which adjusts for inflation Applied to Excise duty where there is a specific rate on quantity and not on Ad volerum which is based on value Factored in to cater for inflation on the taxes as opposed to changing the rate year on year

Indexation on taxes Example Beer Excise duty rate is KShs 100 per litre Beer Price per litre is KShs 20,000 Adjustment factor 1.12 issued by government Adjusted Excise duty rate for Beer is 100 x 1.12 = 112 New Excise duty is KShs 112 per litre

Why is it calculated? Indexes adjust notional values to reflect real or current economic reality by factoring in inflation or interest rates or weighting Inflation reduces effective tax rates and therefore tax revenue due to Kenya Revenue authority

Why factor it in taxes If the specific duty is not raised but the general level of all other prices is inflated, then the real burden or incidence of the specific duty is reduced James Meade (author - The Structure and Reform of Direct Taxation ).

Illustration Beer Excise duty rate is KShs 100 per litre Beer Price per litre is KShs 20,000 in 2015 Beer Price per litre is KShs 30,000 in 2018 Adjustment factor 1.12 issued by government Year QTY Litre Price Revenue to manufact ure Tax rate without adjustmen t Tax Rate after adjustmen t 2015 200 20,000 4,000,000 20,000 20,000 2018 200 30,000 6,000,000 20,000 22,400

Incidence of tax With specific rate taxes remain constant even when the prices go high Taxes need to be adjusted to check the economic reality Adjustment factor This adjustment if not monitored may increase inflation in the country

Indexation of Excise duty in Kenya

Considered tax principles in tax legislation drafting Equity Efficiency Simplicity Sustainability Policy consistency distributing the tax burden fairly minimize cost of compliance and administration cost reduces ambiguity, uncertainty and compliance costs meets the government s changing revenue needs congruent with the broader policy objectives

Excise tax lifecycle Indexation adjustment provisions are generally introduced in excise duty policy when either: drafting new policy; or reviewing existing policy.

Excise Duty Act 2015 Excise duty is a tax on the importation or local manufacture of certain products and supply of excisable services Excise duty objectives Increase Revenue - items targeted have a low price elasticity Sin Tax - influence consumer behaviour and discourage consumption

Excise duty base Specific excise duty is applied on the quantity of the excisable goods and ad valorem duty is applied based on excisable value The excisable value: Imported excisable goods = customs value + import duty Locally manufactured excisable goods = ex-factory selling price (excluding VAT, cost of excise stamp and returnable containers) Local excisable services = consideration for the service excluding VAT

Excise duty collection Excise duties are collected by the revenue authority by the following due dates: 20 th of the month following the produced commodity leaving the factory. Upon importation in to Kenya.

Distinction in excise duty rates Specific excise duty rates are different from ad valorem rates as tabulated below: Basis Ad valorem duties (Percentage) Ad quantum duties (Specific ) Taxation % proportion of the excisable Fixed amount per product unit mode value Simplicity Simple to apply Requires precision in application Equity principle Certainty Indexation to inflation Tax rate is high for products with unique features which makes the product expensive More volatile based on commodity prices fluctuation Does not require indexation to inflation Tax rate lower for unique product as based on quantity. Less volatile as it is based on units Requires indexation to inflation

2015 changes in legislation Simplified administration of excise duty in Kenya avoiding frequent periodic legislation amendments Excise Duty Bill 2015 preferred specific rates to ad valorem rates, a departure from previous law In Introduction of indexation formulae applicable on all specific excise duty rates pegged on preceding financial year s average inflation rate

Specific excise duty rates Items Beer Wines Spirits Cigarettes Cigars, cheroots, cigarillos Electronic Cigarettes Electronic cigarettes cartridge Cigarette with filters Cigarettes without filters Juices Water except ordinary tap water Illuminating Kerosene Excise Act, 2015 Rates KShs 100 per litre KShs 150 per litre KShs 175 per litre KShs. 2,500 per mille KShs 10,000 per Kg KShs. 3,000 unit KShs. 2,000 unit Shs. 2,500 per mille Shs. 1,800 per mille KShs 10 per litre KShs 5 per litre; Kshs 7,205 Per 1000l @20 degc

Ad valorem excise duty Items Excise Act, 2015 Rates Food supplements 10% Cosmetics and beauty products 10% Motor vehicles excluding school buses for use by public schools *and locally assembled motor vehicles excluding locally assembled vehicles of tariff heading 87.02, 87.03 and 87.04 Mobile cellular phone services, money transfer services and other fees charged by financial institutions 20% 10%

Excise Duty indexation provision Each specific rate of excise duty shall be replaced by the rate of excise duty computed by reference to the following formula =A(1+B) previously =A*B where A is the rate of excise duty on the day immediately before the adjustment day (1st July of every two years) ; and B is the adjustment factor for the adjustment day, calculated as the average rate of monthly inflation of the preceding financial year.

Illustration Quantity Excise rate (per mille) Excise revenue Before indexation 1,000 2,500 2,500,000 After indexation 1,000 2,675* 2,675,000 Increment in tax revenue 175,000 Indexation adjustment (taking average inflation at 7%) Adjustment factor Rate before adjustment New specific rate =A(1+B) =(1+7%) 2,500 2,675

Current revenue performance Ordinary revenue composition includes income tax, import duty, excise duty, VAT, investment income and other revenue excluding railway development levy and appropriations in aid Excise duty revenue performance has been stagnant since 2015 yielding an average 12% of the ordinary revenue and 2% of nominal GDP (National Treasury, 2017)

Revenue performance (billion) 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 Actual Actual BPS'18 BPS'18 BPS'18 BPS'18 BPS'18 Total tax revenue 1,233 1,400 1,643 1,849 2,105 2,417 2,747 Ordinary revenue 1,153 1,305 1,486 1,684 1,931 2,229 2,548 Excise duty 139 165 183 209 241 276 315 Excise duty to ordinary revenue ratio 12.10% 12.67% 12.36% 12.43% 12.49% 12.40% 12.38% Excise duty to nominal GDP ratio 2.08% 2.16% 2.12% 2.14% 2.17% 2.19% 2.20%

Is indexation necessary? The adjustment has never been applied before. Excise revenue composition has changed

Merits of indexation It embodies the tax principles of equity, efficiency and simplicity allows a gradual increase in excise tax rates to curb disruption in current revenue collection as a result of an instant rate revision Predictable and certain compared to an adjustment of ad valorem rates.

Cont. Merits Chosen index is publicly available at least cost Eliminates lengthy negotiation process for new rates Used as regional integration policy tool for convergence to harmonized excise duty rates

Demerits Indexation does NOT reward the taxpayer for gains made in reducing production cost Excise duty suffers a narrow compliance tax base who pass on the burden to consumers, indexation adjustment does little to broaden the tax base

Cont Demerits Basing rate revision on indexation gives little room for ad hoc rate revision based on other factors such as: Marginal spill over effects of alcohol, cigarettes and beer Restriction and prohibition of selected products: shisha, plastic bags

Demerits of indexation Indexation increases cost of production for excisable goods and introduces a conundrum to the government in its quest to contain inflation within prescribed limits. Central Bank s autonomous role is key to curtail this

Is indexation necessary? Following restriction of the CS s powers to amend excise rates outside the budget window, indexation offers a reasonable alternative Indexed excise duty aligns specific rates with government s projected excise duty revenue yields The revised adjustment factor =A(1+B) fairly factors inflationary effect on specific duties

Indexation other jurisdictions

Advance taxes introduced in lieu of indexation Option is to pay taxes at end year and adjust with indexation or pay advance tax Income taxes indexation Most countries do not adjust their tax system for inflation, or do so only partially Inflation erodes amounts expressed in national currency especially the tax brackets and personal deductions

Cont For Personal taxes, a revision of the brackets is preferred by most countries compared to indexation of income tax brackets

Excise duty indexation findings - AUSTRALIA Australia has applied indexation adjustments for over 36 years Excise and customs tariff specific tax indexation adjustment are applied on selected products such as tobacco In Australia, there is no correlation between indexation and general excise revenue increment

Excise duty indexation findings - BULGARIA Bulgaria, joined EU, revised its excise duty rates upwards without indexation in line with EU directives Decrease in the ad valorem component and a parallel increase in the specific component The specific excise rate component did not factor an indexation adjustment Excise duty yield dropped with an influx of illicit excisable goods such as tobacco

Excise duty indexation findings - BULGARIA

Excise duty indexation findings - BULGARIA The increase of the specific component inadvertently led to a greater tax burden than planned By 2013, no further increase in taxes would be recommended. An indexation specific rate adjustment would have regularized the increment

Conclusion

Key take away Indexation safeguard revenue yields due to the government Indexation for property can be used to ease inflation burden on capital gain tax Indexation does not compound excise tax collection since the excise base does not change Indexation on excise duty if not monitored may lead to increasing inflation

Interactive Session

Contacts Lydia Ndirangu, Senior Manager Tax Ernst & Young LLP Lydia.Ndirangu@ke.ey.com