KION Q3 UPDATE CALL Gordon Riske, CEO Thomas Toepfer, CFO Wiesbaden, 14 November 2013

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Transcription:

KION Q3 UPDATE CALL 2013 Gordon Riske, CEO Thomas Toepfer, CFO Wiesbaden, 14 November 2013

AGENDA 1 Highlights 2013 Gordon Riske 2 Financial Update Thomas Toepfer 3 Outlook Gordon Riske 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 2

AGENDA 1 Highlights 2013 Gordon Riske 2 Financial Update Thomas Toepfer 3 Outlook Gordon Riske 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 3

2013: FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Solid business development in Order intake close to 2012 figure 3,297m in ; slightly down by -2.6% Q3 order intake of 1,046 m on prior year level Ongoing weakness in Western Europe Strong performance in emerging markets Order book at 694m Revenue on high prior year level Solid business performance in Q3 2013 follows successful half-year results despite challenging environment 3,317m in ; up 0.3% vs. 2012 Q3 down by 0.7%; growth in services Negative FX effects in Further y-o-y rise in adjusted EBIT 301m in ; up 9m vs. 2012 Adjusted EBIT margin of 9.1% in (8.8% in 2012) Solid performance in Q3: Adjusted EBIT rises to 101m; margin at 9.3% Net income improves to 81m Improved net income impacted by some one-off effects Note: For comparability purposes prior year figures are adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 4

2013: OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Continuation of profitable growth strategy Global markets maintain pace Western Europe still weak due to delayed customer demand Successful price assertion for KION even in weaker than expected European market KION achieved best quarterly orders in emerging markets with 37% volume share; especially in China and Brazil Further optimization of global footprint and product portfolio End of production in Merthyr Tydfil as planned Linde launches H25 to H35 EVO trucks, the cleanest diesel truck with 39% lower emission Strengthening of sales and service network Successful closing of majority acquisition of Turkish dealer 100th service location of Linde China opened Further solid service business growth Strengthening integrated business model Services with 44% share of revenues 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 5

CURRENT MARKET DEVELOPMENT Global demand maintains pace, Western Europe still weak Global market is up by 7.5% in Q3 Global orders YTD 5% above previous year Positive momentum continues in Q3 Volume growth driven by China and USA Global market Q1 12 Q3 13 Growth y-o-y (r.s.) Order intake in tsd units (l.s.) 300 8% Regional differences persist Western Europe: still weak investment activity Eastern Europe: continuing steady growth Latin America: slowdown outside Brazil Asia: China leads regional recovery Emerging markets remain key for KION Chinese market drives global growth Demand in Brazil stays strong High order levels in Poland and Czech Republic 250 200 150 100 50 0 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Q2/13 Q3/13 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% Source: WITS/FEM All data is based on industrial trucks order intake in units. 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 6

KION PERFORMANCE Order activity moderately strengthens in Q3 Overall solid performance High level of almost 106,000 units (YTD) Order intake in Q3 grows by 1.8% (yoy) Improving trend continues Slow recovery of Western European market Only gradual improvement of core markets still weighs down on overall performance KION performance in Q3 better than market Important impulses from emerging markets Order intake from emerging markets in Q3 at 37% Best Q3 order intake in emerging markets Continued strength in Eastern Europe All-time high order levels in China and Brazil KION global orders in thousands of units 107 106 32 32 36 36 39 38 Q3 Q2 Q1 2012 2013 Note: All data is based on industrial trucks order intake in units. 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 7

WESTERN EUROPE KION with solid improvement better than market Market development Q3 develops slightly slower than Q2 Many customer investments still delayed Germany with decelerating decline French market turns positive against previous year Market in UK in Q3 below previous year Spain continues to stabilize on low levels Italy shows weaker demand in Q3 after solid first half Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 Q3-2.8% -2.0% KION performance & activities Overall performance in Q3 close to 2012 level and better than market Maintaining strong market leadership position Strong Q3 performance in Germany, France, Italy and UK Solid development of WH segment in Q3 Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 Q3-5.6% -0.9% 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 8

WESTERN EUROPE Core markets show different development paths Market pre- and post crisis Indexed LTM order units (year end 2006=100) 120 100 80 60 40 Germany U.K. France Italy Spain Uneven levels and stages of recovery in core markets German market is weakening after exceeding pre-crisis level France and UK are stabilizing, but still below pre-2006 levels Italy and Spain are well below precrisis levels with pent-up demand form ageing fleets 20 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: WITS/FEM 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 9

EASTERN EUROPE Solid gains of KION in line with growing market Market development Demand re-accelerates in Q3 after slower Q2 development Russia: still slightly above previous year despite softness in last months Poland: strong E- and WH-truck demand Czech Republic: solid gains in strongest quarter this year Further upside potential from recovery KION performance & activities Continued strong growth path with market Maintaining market leadership in Q3 after previous gains Solid gains in E-trucks in Q3 Healthy development in WH segment Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 Q3 Q3 5.9% 7.4% 10.8% 7.1% 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 10

CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA KION stays ahead of volatile market development Market development Slowdown in Q3 after strong first half of the year Lower Q3 regional volume mainly as a result of slower demand for IC-trucks in Mexico, Argentina and Venezuela Brazilian demand remains strong and expands by 25% in Q3 remaining on all time high level Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 Q3 KION performance & activities Highest regional level driven by strong performance in Brazil Regional development continues to be above market KION significantly expands leading market position in WH segment Localized IC-truck offering already contributes to highest segment order level Achieved low double digit growth in peripheral markets of Latin America Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 10.2% -8.8% 27.4% 6.7% Q3 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 11

CHINA Continuing growth for market and KION Market development More than half of the global market growth is coming from China Rising government spending and corporate tax cuts support investments Demand for economy IC-trucks boost market development Continued strong demand growth for high end products High relative change in Q3 due to lower base last year KION performance & activities Strongest quarter ever with solid growth across all product categories High order level benefitting from increase in value/economy offering Expanding local R&D resources to 249 FTE in Q3 (+26% versus Q4/2012) Xiamen University of Technology awarded KION with National Engineering Practical Education Center Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 Order intake in units: %-change 2013 vs. 2012 Q3 Q3 11.9% 21.2% 8.1% 14.2% 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 12

CHINA Further strengthening market position after 20 years Leading market position in China Replicating service business model Based on volume (2012) 85% domestic 15% international Third largest player in China KION Leading position in premium segment 2x Next largest peer Source: Research in China, CITA By far largest international player accounting for about half of this segment Already over 25% share of service revenues Installed base of ca. 90,000 trucks More than 2,000 sales and service personnel So far 22 additional dealers through Weichai Power and affiliates 100th service location of Linde China opened Linde truck finished 2,200km Tibet Challenge across China Part of Linde China s 20 th anniversary Cooperation in financial services through financing provided by Strong Finance 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 13

AGENDA 1 Highlights 2013 Gordon Riske 2 Financial Update Thomas Toepfer 3 Outlook Gordon Riske 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 14

KEY FINANCIALS Solid topline with further improved profitability Order intake 1 ( m) and growth (%) Revenues 1 ( m) and growth (%) Adj. EBIT 1,2 ( m) and margin (%) Net income and growth (%) -2.6% +0.3% 8.8% 9.1% +3.1% 3,386 3,297 3,308 3,317 292 301 >100% 81 35 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 2012 2013 1 For comparability purposes prior year figures are adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 2 Adjusted for one-off items and purchase price allocation 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 15

KEY FINANCIALS Q3 Solid topline with further improved profitability Order intake 1 ( m) and growth (%) Revenues 1 ( m) and growth (%) Adj. EBIT 1,2 ( m) and margin (%) Net income and growth (%) 9.1% 9.3% -0.5% -0.7% 1,052 1,046 1,090 1,082 +0.8% +26.3% 100 101 9 11 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 1 For comparability purposes prior year figures are adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 2 Adjusted for one-off items and purchase price allocation 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 16

REVENUE GROWTH Continued service growth 2013: revenue by product categories ( m) +0.3% Q3 2013: revenue by product categories ( m) -0.7% -1.7% Services +3.0% -5.2% Services +5.4% -33 14 12 17-32 14 11 1 3,308 3,317 1,090 1,082 1 2012 New business After sales Rental Used & other 2013 Q3 2012 1 New business After sales Rental Used & other Q3 2013 Negative FX effect of 48.5 m, particularly affecting new business (YTD) 1 For comparability purposes prior year figures are adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 17

CONTINUING MARGIN EXPANSION Strong profitability through price assertion & cost improvement Adjusted EBIT and margin 1,2 8.8% 9.1% 9.1% 9.3% 292 301 2012 2013 Adjusted EBITDA and margin 1,2 100 101 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Key drivers for improved profitability All main product segments show gross profit improvement due to increased margins Price discipline for new trucks New product offerings More profitable sales channels Optimization of production footprint Gross profit improvement lead to an adjusted EBIT margin increase in Q3 to 9.3% 15.4% 15.9% 16.0% 16.3% 509 527 174 176 2012 2013 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 1 For comparability purposes prior year figures are adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 2 Adjusted for one-off items and purchase price allocation 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 18

ADJUSTED EBIT TO NET INCOME 2013 Significant increase of net income 1 million 2013 2012 Change Adjusted EBIT 1,2 301 292 3.1% Non-recurring items -12 10 <-100% KION acquisition items -22-27 18.6% Reported EBIT 267 275-3.0% Net financial expenses -182-181 -0.6% EBT 84 94-10.0% Taxes -3-59 94.8% Net income 81 35 >100% EPS reported 1.07 0.52 >100% 2012 includes reversal of EBIT from Hydraulics of 26m 2013 includes IPO and minor restructuring costs 2012 includes EBIT from Hydraulics of 26m Positive sustainable interest effect from conversion of shareholder loan and debt reduction post Weichai deal and IPO Negative one-off expenses of 37m (post IPO debt repayment in Q3) + 17m (LHY Option valuation in Q2) 2013 includes positive effect in deferred taxes due to new profit pooling agreement (+ 48m) EPS pro forma 3 0.82 0.35 >100% 1 For comparability purposes prior year figures are adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 2 Adjusted for one-off items and purchase price allocation 3 EPS based on 98.9 million no-par-value shares 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 19

ADJUSTED EBIT TO NET INCOME Q3 2013 Q3 financial result impacted by IPO-related one-offs million Q3 2013 Q3 2012 Change Adjusted EBIT 1,2 101 100 0.8% Non-recurring items -5-11 56.7% KION acquisition items -7-9 23.3% Reported EBIT 89 80 11.5% Net financial expenses -70-56 -25.6% EBT 19 24-21.9% Taxes -7-15 50.0% 2012 includes reversal of EBIT from Hydraulics of 6m 2013 includes IPO and minor restructuring costs 2012 includes EBIT from Hydraulics of 6m Positive sustainable interest effect from conversion of shareholder loan and debt reduction post Weichai deal and IPO One-off expenses of 37m from post IPO debt repayments Net income 11 9 26.3% EPS reported 0.12 0.13-7.7% EPS pro forma 3 0.11 0.09 22.2% 1 For comparability purposes prior year figures are adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 2 Adjusted for one-off items and purchase price allocation 3 EPS based on 98.9 million no-par-value shares 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 20

CASH FLOW PERFORMANCE Free cash flow in above prior year million 2013 2012 Change EBITDA (excl. FS segment) 467 487-4.0% Change of trade working capital -124-123 -0.6% Taxes paid -40-36 -8.2% Rental capex (net) -107-123 12.6% Pension payments -18-17 -7.8% Other -34-39 9.6% Leasing cash flow -8-14 46.5% Cash flow from operating activities 136 135 1.0% Operating capex -79-97 18.2% Acquisitions -4-10 59.8% Other 15 10 42.2% Cash flow from investing activities -69-96 28.6% 2012 incl. ca. 39m of Hydraulics EBITDA Total TWC: 640m; negative flow comparable to prior year Regular tax payments, one-off payment to come in Q4 Q3/13 investment on normalized level Includes payments of the employee bonus Lower cash outflows from provisions Improved refinancing in Q3 Slightly below prior year, Hydraulics capex of 12m in 2012 Arser acquisition in 2013, Creighton in 2012 Improvements driven by Konecranes proceeds and higher interest income Free cash flow 68 39 74.3% 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call Page 21

IMPROVED CAPITAL STRUCTURE Deleveraging from IPO [ m] 2,607 Net financial leverage reduced to 1.5x 1 following IPO 392 513 1,958 2.7x 1 Further deleveraging from operations 387 One-offs of 82m 1,702-702 1,000-52 27 82 948 948 975 514 1,057 1.5x 1 IPO and refinancing Acquisition of dealers in France and Turkey First maturities in 2018 Significant ratings upgrade 30 June 2013 IPO closing Q3 FCF Interests & other Net leasing liabilities Net pension liabilities IPO one-offs 30 Sep 2013 & acquisitions Net financial debt 1 Based on adjusted EBITDA for last twelve months (LTM) Q3 2013 of 719m excluding the Hydraulics Business S&P: BB- with positive outlook Moody s: Ba3 with stable outlook 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 22

FOCUS ON MARGIN IMPROVEMENT Measures in place to drive profitability EBIT Margins 2012 Peer Comparison (in %) 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 6.2 6.2 Industrial Trucks KION with best in class EBIT margin Material Handling 5.6 German Eng. Mid-Cap 1 Figure is adjusted for the disposal of our Hydraulics Business 14.3 9.0 1 Strategic focus on margin expansion European Capital Goods x.x Margin Average Margin Range KION KION Margin uplift 2013 and beyond Margin differentiators: Scale and synergy benefits of KION vs. competitors Local sourcing and production in Emerging Markets Key margin drivers: 1 2 3 4 Full impact from footprint measures Leveraging global R&D and product platform Effective use of global scale for production and operations Roll-out of common modules and product platforms Source: Morgan Stanley, KION 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 23

AGENDA 1 Highlights 2013 Gordon Riske 2 Financial Update Thomas Toepfer 3 Outlook Gordon Riske 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 24

OUTLOOK Confirming our previous earnings outlook Economic growth in 2013 slightly below prior year level Slower recovery in Western Europe Reduced growth rates for emerging markets although still attractive growth opportunities Slight recovery of global forklift truck demand in 2013 vs. 2012 after YTD growth Approximately stable demand in Western Europe from replacements based on current trends in 2013 Growth driven by emerging markets and US with slightly slower growth in China compared to historic levels Confirmation of earnings outlook in 2012 group management report Challenging economic and sectoral conditions continue Revenues expected around prior year level despite negative currency effects and restrained demand in Western Europe No significant impact on financial performance due to cost related measures Unchanged expectation for moderate growth of adjusted EBIT 1 and corresponding margin assuming no significant weakening of macro environment Service contribution to revenue over 40%, increase over previous expectation Substantial contribution to revenue growth from emerging markets Significantly positive net income reflecting reduced interest expenses and one-off tax benefit 1 Excluding the Hydraulics Business Note: Please see disclaimer on last page regarding forward-looking statements. 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 25

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 1 Attractive market with growth profile above GDP 2 Global leader strong home base and well positioned in growth markets 3 Technology leadership drives premium positioning and customer value 4 Robust integrated business model with high contribution from services 5 Profitability benchmark well prepared for future value creation 6 Proven management team with a clear strategy 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 26

WE KEEP THE WORLD MOVING 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 27

DISCLAIMER This document has been prepared by KION GROUP AG (the Company ) solely for informational purposes. For the purposes of this notice, the presentation that follows shall mean and include the slides that follow, the oral presentation of the slides by the Company or any person on behalf of the Company, any question-and-answer session that follows the oral presentation, hard copies of this document and any materials distributed at, or in connection with the presentation (collectively, the Presentation ). By attending the conference call at which the Presentation is made, or by reading the Presentation, you will be deemed to have (i) agreed to all of the following restrictions and made the following undertakings, and (ii) acknowledged that you understand the legal and regulatory sanctions attached to the misuse, disclosure or improper circulation of the Presentation. The Presentation is private and confidential and may not be reproduced, redistributed or disclosed in any way in whole or in part to any other person without the prior written consent of the Company. None of the Company, the companies in the Company s group or any of their respective directors, officers, employees, agents or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of the Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the Presentation. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation do not purport to be comprehensive, are provided as at the date of the document and are subject to change without notice. The Company is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in the Presentation. The Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue, or the solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe to or acquire, securities of the Company, its affiliates or KION Finance S.A. or an inducement to enter into investment activity in the United States. No part of this Presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this Presentation come from official or third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, the Company has not independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this Presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the market in which the Company operates. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this Presentation. Statements in the Presentation, including those regarding the possible or assumed future or other performance of the Company or its group or its industry or other trend projections, constitute forward-looking statements. These statements reflect the Company s current knowledge and its expectations and projections about future events and may be identified by the context of such statements or words such as anticipate, believe, expect, intend, project and target. By their nature, forwardlooking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future whether or not outside the control of the Company. Such factors may cause actual results, performance or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, no assurance is given that such forward-looking statements will prove to have been correct. They speak only as at the date of the Presentation and the Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. In general prior year figures are adjusted according to IAS 19R 14 November 2013 Q3 Update Call 28