Eskom Upington CSP Case Study Preliminary insights

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Transcription:

Eskom Upington CSP Case Study Preliminary insights Second CSP Dialogue January 2014 Abu Dhabi Rodney Boyd BRAZIL CHINA EUROPE INDIA INDONESIA UNITED STATES Island of San Giorgio Maggiore 8 30126 Venice Italy climatepolicyinitiative.org Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 1

Outline The Project Key Challenges The Role of Public Finance Key Risk Arrangements Early Findings on Effectiveness Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 2

The Upington CSP Project Tower/central receiver, 100 MW, 9-12 hours storage, 60+% capacity factor. USD 1200 million plant developed by Eskom, South Africa s state-owned utility. Project Timeline Early designs EIA Project on hold Updated CSP Tech Study CTF SA Plan Request for Information OE appointed Design optimised EPC awarded. Generator licence. Construction starts. 2014+ 2003 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2017 Financing CTF IBRD: USD 200m CTF AfDB: USD 50m IBRD: USD 195m AfDB: USD 220m KfW: USD 100m AFD: USD 130m Construction ends EIB: USD 75m? Eskom: USD 220m Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 3

Stakeholder overview who s involved? Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 4

Upington CSP: The Role of Public Finance Eskom developing Upington CSP as demonstration plant. Not typical. Public lending: encourage the climate-diversification of Eskom s energy portfolio, reduce its reliance on coal, support future CSP projects in SA, global benefit of project. Reduced impact of the project on the asset base (existing mainly of cheap coal). Currency cost high: lending in USD/EUR, returns in ZAR. Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 5

Upington CSP: Key Financing Challenges Challenges Limited funds available to diversify. Competing energy objectives Innovative project. Technology risk Balance sheet finance. Limited E/D options Club lending. Admin risk Impact Other options cheaper in short-term for energy security. Uncertain cost/timeline, lack of experience, lack of tech. providers. Longer process raising additional financing, delays. Lending requirements, loan guarantees, currency risk. Response Demonstrate technology, learn and bring cost down. Engineering Project Management (Owner Engineer, EPC), including training. Club lending from several DFIs necessary. Meeting requirements. Internalising currency risk. Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 6

Upington CSP: Key Risk Arrangements (Draft/TBC) Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 7

Upington CSP: Early Findings on Effectiveness What is the CTF catalytic effect? First lender into innovative/ nonbankable project to provide, signal to Eskom, future lenders, and ministries. Parallel public financing (inc. CTF) in IPP private CSP process: to help bring CSP closer to market/costs down through capacity build. SA Benefits: in-house capacity building, helping future CSP projects, changing the perception of traditional utility away from coal-based investment, taking advantage of unexploited resources. At the same time Eskom needed to adjust intenal admin/tech procurement processes in line with lenders, and manage the interaction with policy. Poses challenges for immature technology, need procurement and standards to be adapted to fit how many tech providers are there? Needs better interaction with national policy to avoid requirement conflicts (e.g. Competition Act). Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 8

Thank you for listening. rodney.boyd@cpivenice.org BRAZIL CHINA EUROPE INDIA INDONESIA UNITED STATES Island of San Giorgio Maggiore 8 30126 Venice Italy climatepolicyinitiative.org

Backup: Full timeline Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 10

Back-up: Comparisons of Eskom and IPPs Eskom is different from IPPs: State-owned vs private Policy responsible vs independent Regulated vs non-regulated (typical) risk averse vs risk takers Large asset value vs small niche players No experience with non-hydro RE vs RE developers Asset-based revenues (policy approach) vs guaranteed PPA (business approach). Upington is different from IPPs: Tower + molten salt storage vs others Concessional debt/regulated equity vs large equity High capacity factor vs lower output Largest storage + tower vs smaller/less storage Demonstration plant vs commercial Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 11

Backup: Investors Source: CIF, 2013 Concentrated Solar Power Upington South Africa 12