Q Earnings Release. 5 February 2015

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Transcription:

Q4 Earnings Release Robert Hobbs CEO 5 February 2015 Kristian K. Johansen COO/CFO

Forward-Looking Statements All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. These factors include TGS reliance on a cyclical industry and principal customers, TGS ability to continue to expand markets for licensing of data, and TGS ability to acquire and process data products at costs commensurate with profitability. Actual results may differ materially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements. TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forwardlooking statements for any reason. 2

Q4 Highlights Net revenues were a record 298 MUSD compared to 271 MUSD in Q4 Net late sales of 226 MUSD, up 4% from 218 MUSD in Q4 Net pre-funding revenues of 62 MUSD were up 44%, funding 49% of TGS operational multi-client investments for the quarter (126 MUSD) Operating profit for the quarter was 47 MUSD, 16% of net revenues, compared to 120 MUSD (44% of net revenues) in Q4 Q4 impairments of 63.9 MUSD related to the closure of Reservoir Solutions business unit and fair value assessment of non-current assets Adjusted for the impairments, EBIT was 111 MUSD, 37% of net revenues in Q4 Full year net revenues were 915 MUSD compared to 883 MUSD in Full year operating profit was 295 MUSD compared to 387 million in Two 3D vessels, three 2D vessels, one WAZ crew and four land crews operating under TGS control in Q4 TGS was also a participant in two 2D marine joint venture projects and one ocean bottom seismic JV project 3

Operational Highlights 4

Q4 Operations Akademik Shatskiy 2D Canada Crews Ohio Crews Polarcus Adira 3D Sanco Spirit 2D JV Atlantic Explorer 2D JV CGG WAZ Crew Nessie FAN JV Osprey Explorer 2D Sanco Sword 3D Aquila Explorer 2D 5

Q4 Activity North America East Canada Newfoundland Labrador - 37,000 km multi-client 2D survey in partnership with PGS Extended acquisition season resulted in more than 20% additional data being delivered Continuation of a multi-year program targeting Sectors announced for Newfoundland Labrador s new Scheduled Land Tender system Complements TGS existing 47,500 km of 2D in this region Data being acquired utilizing PGS Geostreamer technology with data processing performed by TGS * In partnership with Central Gulf of Mexico Snipe Phase 52 12,000 km multi-client 2D survey Long offset, high resolution data in ultra deep water, extending to the U.S. Mexico boundary Supplements TGS existing library in the region and provides critical well ties to a number of recent discoveries 6

Q4 Activity North America Central Gulf of Mexico Panfilo - 11,500 km 2 multi-client 3D survey commenced in Q4 Deep water Lund and Henderson protraction areas of Central Gulf of Mexico Survey covers mainly open acreage and targets future lease rounds Declaration - 6,000 km 2 multi-client M-WAZ survey commenced in Q4 Mississippi Canyon and Viosca Knoll protraction areas of the Central Gulf of Mexico Data being acquired orthogonal to TGS' underlying Justice WAZ 3D survey Long offsets to 16 km with single pass vessel configuration derived from CGG s StagSeis TM technology Nessie FAN TM - multi-client ocean bottom seismic survey commenced in Q3 Survey covers a number of existing fields and exploratory acreage in the South Timbalier protraction area of Central Gulf of Mexico Part of multi-year collaboration agreement with FairfieldNodal 7

Q4 Activity Asia Pacific New Zealand NWF14-17,500 km 2D multi-client survey Within the Reinga, Northland and Taranaki basins, offshore Northwest New Zealand Nine offshore permits granted to oil companies in Reinga-Northland, Taranaki, and the Pegasus basins as part of its block offer Consultation process for 2015 block offer underway Australia Nerites Season 2 13,000 km 2 multi-client 3D survey Second season of the Nerites 3D seismic survey to fulfill work program commitment over EPP44 and EPP45 awarded November Prospective frontier acreage with block relinquishment expected in 2019 Solid prefunding but high amortization due to timing of relinquishments 8

Q4 Activity Greenland Greenland NE Greenland 5,400 km multi-client 2D survey Part of a 13,500 km multi-year program Data being processed utilizing TGS proprietary Clari-Fi broadband technology Upon completion of the program TGS 2D multiclient library in the region will total more than 36,000 km 9

Q4 Activity North America Onshore U.S. Onshore Waterford 295 km 2 3D multi-client survey Utica play, eastern Ohio Acquisition completed in Q4 Freeport - 1,777 km 2 3D multi-client survey Utica play, central Ohio Acquisition will complete in the second half of 2015 Loyal 1,526 km 2 3D multi-client survey STACK play, Oklahoma Acquisition completed in Q4 Canada Onshore Kaybob-Bigstone - 722 km 2 3D-3C multi-client survey Duvernay fairway, West Central Alberta Acquisition will complete in Q1 2015 10

Enhancing Value through Technology Interpretive project in the Anadarko Basin available to clients end Q1 2015 Innovative approach to basin-wide multiclient interpretation to include: Formation tops derived from well data Data-driven temperature volume Pressure volume Total organic carbon (TOC) volume Complements TGS multi-client seismic and well data 11 basins now covered by TGS interpretive projects 11

Financials 12

Key Financials 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 29 12 127 155 138 56 43 43 44 Q1 Q2 9 Q3 Net Revenues 211 210 191 271 222 205 190 298 10 218 137 Q4 11 8 137 130 226 74 60 51 62 Q1 Q2 Prefunding Late sales Proprietary 9 Q3 9 Q4 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 89 98 Q1 EBIT before non-recurring items Q2 80 120 Q3 Q4 EBIT 94 82 71 Q1 Q2 Q3 EBIT Margin 111 Q4 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Cash Flow from Operations Multi-client NBV and Investments (operational) 250 200 150 100 50 0 179 Q1 34 Q2 118 Q3 215 223 Q4 Q1 66 Q2 184 Q3 131 Q4 Investment 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 126 Q1 110 111 Q2 Q3 92 Q4 129 Q1 114 Q2 93 Q3 126 Q4 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Closing NBV Investment NBV 13

Net Revenue Breakdown Q4 GPS 6% Q4 GPS 6% 2D 37% 2D 24% 3D 57% 3D 70% AMEAP 8% Q4 Other 9% AMEAP 6% Q4 Other 9% NSA 48% NSA 46% Europe 35% Europe 39% 14

Q4 Income Statement USD million, except EPS Q4 Q4 Change in % Net operating revenues 298 271 10% Cost of goods sold proprietary and other 1 2-29% Amortization of multi-client library 49% 143 107 33% Gross margin 154 163-5% Personnel costs 23 22 1% Other operating expenses 24 14 76% Cost of stock options 1 1-9% Impairment of Reservoir Solutions 54 - Depreciation 5 5-17% Operating profit 16% 47 120-61% Net financial items (12) (3) -330% Profit before taxes 12% 36 118-70% Tax expense 4 34-89% Net Income 11% 32 84-62% EPS, Undiluted 0.32 0.82-61% EPS, Fully Diluted 0.31 0.81-62% 15

Q4 Cash Flow Statement USD million Q4 Q4 Change in % Received payments 166 239-30% Payments for operational expenses (35) (33) -6% Paid taxes 0.4 9 95% Operational cash flow 131 215-39% Received payments from sale of tangible assets - 1 Investments in tangible and intangible assets (6) (3) -81% Investments in multi-client library (117) (116) -1% Interest received 1 2-53% Interest paid (0.5) (0.02) -2205% Purchase of treasury shares (8) (5) -66% Proceeds from share offerings 0.3 0.1 274% Change in cash balance 1 94-99% 16

YTD Income Statement USD million, except EPS YTD YTD Change in % Net operating revenues 915 883 4% Cost of goods sold proprietary and other 4 20-80% Amortization of multi-client library 45% 397 330 20% Gross margin 514 534-4% Personnel costs 88 81 9% Other operating expenses 56 45 24% Cost of stock options 5 4 13% Impairment of the Reservoir Solutions net assets 54 - Depreciation 16 16 0% Operating profit 32% 295 387-24% Net financial items (6) (6) -12% Profit before taxes 32% 288 381-24% Tax expense 72 112-36% Net Income 24% 216 269-20% EPS, Undiluted 2.12 2.63-19% EPS, Fully Diluted 2.09 2.59-19% 17

YTD Cash Flow Statement USD million YTD YTD Change in % Received payments 859 812 6% Payments for operational expenses (140) (145) 4% Paid taxes (114) (124) 8% Operational cash flow 605 543 11% Received payments from sale of tangible assets - 1-100% Investments in tangible and intangible assets (27) (39) 31% Investments in multi-client library (437) (422) -3% Proceeds from sale of short-term investments 5 - N/A Interest received 6 7-15% Interest paid (0.8) (3) 77% Dividend payments (145) (142) -2% Purchase of own shares (24) (5) -384% Proceeds from share offerings 3 3 14% Change in cash balance (15) (59) -76% 18

Balance Sheet USD million Q4 Q3 Change in % Q4 Assets Cash equivalents 256 264-3% 281 Financial investments available for sale - - 4 Other current assets 521 365 43% 447 Total current assets 778 629 24% 731 Intangible assets and deferred tax asset 85 137-38% 138 Other non-current assets 44 53-18% 56 Multi-client library 818 837-2% 758 Fixed assets 43 53-18% 53 Total Assets 1,768 1,710 3% 1,736 Liabilities Current liabilities 393 317 24% 342 Non-current liabilities 7 19-63% 17 Deferred tax liability 29 56-49% 85 Total Liabilities 428 392 9% 443 Equity 1,339 1,318 2% 1,293 Total Liabilities and Equity 1,768 1,710 3% 1,736 The Company holds no interest-bearing debt 19

Investments per Vintage 700 600 609 100% 500 419 400 381 100% 300 299 270 52% 63% 200 153 60% 100 40% 32% 0 20% 8% 0% 4% 2010 2011 2012 WIP Original investments Maximum allowed NBV (year-end) Net Book Value 20

Net Revenues vs. Net Book Value per Vintage 50% 45% 43% 41% 40% 36% 35% 30% 63% 25% 23% 20% 17% 15% 11% 10% 8% 7% 8% 5% 0% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% pre-2010 2010 2011 2012 WIP Net revenues Net book value 21

Strong Cash Generation Delivers Shareholder Value Dividend per Share (NOK) and Dividend Yield* 2015 Dividend Yield vs OSX Index* 9 8 7 6 5 4 4 5 6 8 8.5 8.5 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 18.2% 10.1% 3 2 1 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 5.3% 4.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% n/a n/a n/a Dividend NOK Dividend yield * Dividend yield calculated based on share price at day of announcement except for when share price was based on January 6, 2015 close * The OSX Index (PHLX Oil Service Sector Index) is a price weighted index composed of companies involved in the oil services sector The Board proposes a dividend of NOK 8.5 per share to the AGM in May 2015 In addition to a dividend, the Board authorized in a share buy back program of USD 30 million of which approximately USD 26 million has been implemented to date. The remaining USD 4 million will be purchased under the current authorization. 22

Outlook 23

Outlook Macro Outlook EUR NSA Recent oil price development to result in decreased exploration spend from customers Norwegian 23rd Licensing Round bids due 2 December 2015 Further CSEM investment in partnership with EMGS 2015 season of Greenland 13,500 km multi-year program to commence in Q3 BOEM five-year plan (2017-2022) proposal includes 10 lease sales in GOM and one Atlantic lease sale TGS positioning for high GOM lease turnover 2017-2019 Continued strong interest in Newfoundland Labrador s scheduled land tender system Vessels secured for entry into Mexico (subject to permit) Three onshore projects announced for 2015 AMEAP 13,000 km 2 Nerites Season 2 expected to complete in Q2 2015 17,500 km 2D multi-client survey in Northwest New Zealand to complete in Q2 2015 Awaiting further Africa license round announcements 24

License Round Activity and TGS Positioning North & South America Central GOM Mar 2015 (5-Year Plan) Western GOM Aug 2015 (5-Year Plan) Alaska Offshore - 2016 & 2017 (5-Year Plan) Newfoundland & Labrador Scheduled Land Tenure system Nova Scotia 2015, 2016 & 2017 (3-Year Plan) Canada Onshore at least monthly Brazil - 2015 (expected) Mexico 2015 (Round 1 phased across 2015) Africa, Middle East, Asia Pacific Madagascar 2015 (expected) Sierra Leone 2015 (expected) Liberia Harper Basin - 2015 (expected) Australia Feb 2015 & Apr 2015 (bids due) Indonesia 2015 (expected) New Zealand Sept 2015 (bids due) Europe / Russia Norway APA Round awards announced in Q1 2015 Norway 23 rd Round 2H 2015 (bids due) United Kingdom 2016 (expected) Greenland three rounds planned 2016-18 25

Backlog 350 Historical Backlog (MUSD) 2011-300 250 200 150 100 50 110 124 134 211 242 188 153 143 146 185 178 281 293 260 213 224 0 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 26

2015 Projects Schedule NSA EUR AMEAP Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 3D & WAZ Sanco Swift Sanco Sword Polarcus Adira CGG StagSeis TM Crew Australia Gulf of Mexico Australia Gulf of Mexico OBN Ogo FAN Nessie FAN Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico JV Akademik Shatskiy Greenland 2D & Other Atlantic Guardian (CSEM) Aquila Explorer Osprey Explorer NW Eur EMGS JV Gulf of Mexico New Zealand PGS JV Canada (provisional, to be confirmed) Land Crew Canada Crew Ohio Crews (2) Oklahoma Crew Kaybob-Bigstone Freeport Blanchard Letter of Award with Seabird Exploration provides access to up to six seismic vessels over a period of approximately 36 months in Mexico and US Atlantic waters (subject to issuance of seismic acquisition permits from relevant authorities) 27

Summary Record Q4 net revenues of 298 MUSD with highest ever net late sales of 226 MUSD Full year Guidance achieved with net revenues of 915 MUSD Full year investment of 462 MUSD Recent oil price development to result in decreased exploration spend from customers However, long-term future of asset-light, focused multi-client business remains strong and TGS has record high backlog entering into 2015 Guidance for 2015 TGS expects multi-client investments of approximately 420 MUSD and additional Capex of 15 MUSD TGS targets revenues of approximately 750 MUSD TGS targets an EBIT of approximately 260 MUSD The Board will propose to the AGM in May a dividend of NOK 8.5 per share 28

TGS Performs in all Cycles EBIT margin vs. Seismic peers Return on Capital Employed 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ROCE WACC Average EBIT margin above 40% - stable EBIT performance through the cycles ROCE significantly above WACC substantial value creation in any industry cycle *Peer group includes CGG, Geokinetics, ION Geophysical, PGS, Western Geco, Dolphin, Polarcus Source Platou Markets and TGS 29

Thank you www.tgs.com