Earnings Conference Call Third Quarter November 20, 2007

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Transcription:

Earnings Conference Call Third Quarter 2007 November 20, 2007

Safe Harbor Statement The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the Act ) provides protection from liability in private lawsuits for forward-looking statements made by public companies under certain circumstances, provided that the public company discloses with specificity the risk factors that may impact its future results. We want to take advantage of the safe harbor provisions of the Act. Certain statements made during this presentation are forwardlooking statements under the Act. Except for historical financial and business performance information, statements made during this presentation should be considered forward-looking as referred to in the Act. Much of the information that looks towards future performance of our company is based on various factors and important assumptions about future events that may or may not actually come true. As a result, our operations and financial results in the future could differ materially and substantially from those we have discussed in the forward-looking statements made during this presentation. Certain risks and uncertainties are detailed from time to time in our filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ). You are strongly urged to review all such filings for a more detailed discussion of such risks and uncertainties. During portions of today s presentation, we may refer to results which are not GAAP numbers. A reconciliation of non-gaap numbers to GAAP results is available on our web site at www.officedepot.com. 2

Third Quarter 2007 Summary Total company sales grew 2% versus the third quarter of 2006 Reported GAAP and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.43 Third quarter 2007 adjusted earnings per share down 9% versus same period one year ago Benefited by low adjusted effective tax rate Operating earnings impacted by weak late quarter performance in North American Retail and International Reducing costs and discretionary spending across the entire organization Continued focus on targeting profitable growth 3

Company Action Plan In North American Retail, we re improving our offering to the small business customer and moderating capital spending Reducing new store openings moving to about 70 in 2007 with a new target of about 75 for 2008 Continuing with M2 store remodels a critical investment in our future In North American Business Solutions, we re refocusing our efforts on winning the profitable small and mid-sized customers In International, we re focused on the United Kingdom Increasing private brand penetration a key initiative Share repurchases as a good use of excess cash Continuing to review our overall capital structure 4

North American Retail Results in millions, except ratios and statistics Q3 07 Q3 06 B/W Sales $ 1,772 $ 1,768 0% Comparable Sales -5% 3% Division Operating Profit $ 80 $ 114-30% Division Operating Margin 4.5% 6.4% -190 bps 5

North American Retail - Results Sales in our North American Retail Division flat, comparable store sales down 5% for the quarter Operating profit of $80M, down 30% for the quarter after 14 quarters of growth Highly promotional with disappointing sales and margin impacts Competitive Back-to-School season Inventory clearance activities Sales mix shift to lower margin technology from furniture and supplies Vendor program support was less than expected due to challenging business environment De-leveraging property costs with negative comparable sales Offset partially by managing variable costs aggressively while improving customer service scores in our stores All comparable sales decline due to reduced store traffic 6

North American Retail Store Growth 1,212 total stores at the end of the third quarter 28 opened, 2 closed Reducing the number of new stores About 70 stores to open in 2007 Targeting about 75 stores in 2008 M2 format store remodels 31 remodels completed in the third quarter Remodels should be substantially completed in the next few years New Stores Opened 140 M2 Format Stores 900 800 120 700 100 600 80 500 60 400 300 40 200 20 100 0 0 2005 2006 2007F 2008E New Stores M2 Format Stores 7

North American Retail Action Plan 1) Expand private brand Increasing penetration in major product categories Customer service program for private branded products 2) Emphasize loyalty program Relaunch Worklife Rewards Best loyalty program in the industry for our small business customers 3) Enhance Design, Print and Ship offering Growing at a rapid pace Xerox Certified Print Specialists 8

North American Retail Action Plan (cont d) 4) Refine assortment to offer better value proposition for very small business customers Greater options for smaller pack sizes, entry price points, bonus packs in Supplies 5) Expand exclusive offerings to address small business customer needs Includes Tech Depot service offering and small business financing 6) Increase store productivity by further reducing and simplifying store operational tasks Reinforced with guaranteed low-price value proposition 7) Manage marketing spend to target most valuable customers through the highest returning vehicles Increasing direct mail and e-mail 9

North American Business Solutions Results in millions, except ratios and statistics Q3 07 Q3 06 B/W Sales $ 1,168 $ 1,208-3% Division Operating Profit $ 69 $ 97-29% Division Operating Margin 5.9% 8.0% -210 bps 10

North American Business Solutions - Results Sales in our North American Business Solutions Division were down 3% for the quarter Small to mid-size customer loss Partially offset by 8% sales growth with national account Contract customers and double-digit growth in sales to public sector Operating profit of $69M, down 29% for the quarter Greater large Contract customer mix negatively impacted margins Growth in private brand, lower performance-based variable pay and contract pricing management were offset by continued impacts of cost increases, including paper-related products 11

North American Business Solutions Initiatives Sales per Business Development Manager New Contract sales force additions are on track 2007 2006 Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sep 12

North American Business Solutions Issues 1) Direct channel - losing sales in small-sized customer base 2) Allied customer and key sales people recovery continues 3) Largest but lowest margin customers have been growing at the fastest rate 4) Coverage and retention issues exist with small to mediumsized customers 5) Existing incentive system limits accountability and P&L responsibility 6) Strong focus on acquiring new customers but not enough emphasis on growing positions with existing customers 7) Sales organization is often engaged in non-productive activities 8) Need more effective marketing 13

North American Business Solutions Action Plan 1) Restore growth to the small to mid-sized customer base Reorganizing mix of Business Development Managers and Account Managers to increase coverage Developing a detailed behavior-based contact strategy 2) Partnering with vendors Creating specific account and coverage plans, new catalog and internet layouts, and new solution-based programs 3) Developing comprehensive behavior-based segmentation program for every customer segment The right contact strategy (catalog, direct mail, e-mails) 4) Implemented Northeast turnaround strategy Focuses on continued rejuvenation of the former Allied business 14

North American Business Solutions Action Plan (cont d) 5) Launching new strategy for telephone account managers to reenergize small customer growth New hiring standards and key performance metrics, revised training programs, and comprehensive marketing support 6) Minimizing Contract sales organization s engagement in nonproductive administrative activities Launching three initiatives to limit Contract sales organization s time spent on non-customer-facing activities 7) Launching a revised marketing, merchandising, field sales and inside sales operational structure New marketing structure/leadership will own and drive accountability for overall product, segment and business strategy Testing incremental customer contact strategy in fourth quarter 15

International Results In millions, except ratios and statistics Q3 07 Q3 06 B/W Sales $ 995 $ 882 13% Change in Local Currency Sales 5% 9% Division Operating Profit $ 47 $ 55-14% Division Operating Margin 4.7% 6.3% -160 bps 16

International Results Sales in our International Division were up 13% for the quarter Local currency sales were +5% Local currency organic sales were +2% Operating profit was down 14% for the quarter Weak U.K. performance driven by slowing economy and transition issues Previous strategic investments and acquisitions compressed operating profit margin Offset partially by lower performance-based variable pay 17

International Action Plan 1) Instituted an action plan to improve the financial performance of our U.K. business Prospect small customers Service levels in our call centers and in our supply chain 2) Curtailing discretionary operating investments, reducing capital spending and acquisitions, and aggressively managing support costs Include freezing the hiring of new sales staff and the opening of new stores 3) Maintaining a sharp focus on execution and to get significantly more productivity out of our existing businesses Stopped the growth in the Contract sales force 4) Increasing penetration of private brand and expansion of direct import into Europe Leverage Asian sourcing office 18

Vendor Program Funds Review The Company has amended its Form 10-K for the fiscal year 2006 and first and second quarters of 2007, those documents were filed today Restatements reduced previously reported Company gross profit of approximately $29 million in total for those periods Approximately $4 million of vendor program funds in the quarter ended September 29, 2007 will also be deferred as a result of this review The aggregate deferrals will be recognized in decreasing amounts through 2010, with approximately $12 million expected to be recognized in the quarter ending December 29, 2007 and $15 million in fiscal year 2008 19

Global Margin Improvement Initiative (2007 2012) +60bps +40bps -70bps +120bps +150bps 2007 Private Brand Direct Import Centralization Supply Chain Procurement IT Conversion Margin Compression 2012 20

Consolidated Financials - Third Quarter 2007 in millions, except ratios, returns and per share data Q3 07 Q3 06 B/W Amount % Sales Amount % Sales % bps Sales $ 3,935 $ 3,857 2% Operating Expense 1 $ 992 25.2% $ 990 25.7% 0% -50 bps EBIT 1 $ 128 3.3% $ 197 5.1% -35% -180 bps Net Earnings 1 $ 117 3.0% $ 134 3.5% -13% -50 bps Net Earnings - GAAP $ 117 3.0% $ 129 3.3% -9% -30 bps Diluted Shares 274.4 284.9-4% EPS GAAP $ 0.43 $ 0.45-4% EPS 1 $ 0.43 $ 0.47-9% ROIC 1 13.9% 14.7% -80 bps 1 Non-GAAP numbers. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-gaap numbers can be found on the Office Depot web site at www.officedepot.com. 21

Charges in millions Q3 2007 2006 Program to Date Q4 2007 2008 Total Income Statement Charges $ 1 $ 5 $ 370 $ 17 $ 74 $ 461 Cash Flow Impact Cash $ (3) $ 3 $ 119 $ 11 $ 60 $ 190 Non-Cash $ 4 $ 2 $ 251 $ 6 $ 14 $ 271 During the third quarter of 2005, we announced a number of material charges relating to asset impairments, exit costs and other operating decisions (the Charges ). This announcement followed a wide-ranging assessment of assets and commitments which began in the second quarter of 2005. We indicated that these actions would continue to impact our results for several years, and expenses associated with future activities would be recognized as the individual plans are implemented and the applicable accounting recognition criteria are met. As with any estimate, the amounts may change when expenses are incurred. From inception through the end of the third quarter of 2007, we have recorded $370 million of Charges. 22

Cash Flow Highlights in millions Q3 YTD 07 Q3 YTD 06 % Change Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $ 455 $ 792-43% Depreciation & Amortization $ 206 $ 205 1% EBITDA 1 $ 726 $ 773-6% CAPEX $ 334 $ 218 53% Free Cash Flow (Before Share Repurchases) $ 121 $ 575-79% Share Repurchases $ 200 $ 871-77% Acquisitions $ 48 $ 200-76% 1 Non-GAAP numbers. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-gaap numbers can be found on the Office Depot web site at www.officedepot.com. 23

Balance Sheet Highlights in millions, except ratios and returns Q3 YTD 07 Q3 YTD 06 % Change Inventory Per Store (end of period) $ 0.916 $ 0.923-1% Inventories, Net $ 1,609 $ 1,408 14% Working Capital 1 $ 584 $ 219 166% Working Capital as a % of Sales 2 2.6% 2.1% 50 bps Long-Term Debt, Net $ 581 $ 591-2% Adjusted Debt/EBITDAR 3 3.1 2.9 7% Return on Invested Capital, Adjusted 3 13.9% 14.7% -80 bps Return on Equity, Adjusted 3 20.3% 19.7% 60 bps 1 WC = (current assets cash and short-term investments) (current liabilities current maturities of long-term debt) 2 WC as % of Sales = ((WC Q3 current year + WC Q3 prior year) / 2) / Trailing four quarter sales 3 Non-GAAP numbers. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-gaap numbers can be found on the Office Depot web site at www.officedepot.com. 24

Strategic Priorities Economic environment remains uncertain so we re focusing on things we can control Reducing capital spending Moderating discretionary spending Driving cash flow generation North American Retail Improving store productivity North American Business Solutions Profitably growing market share with small to medium size customers International Improving cost structure and profitably grow market share Reviewing capital structure options 25

Outlook Fourth quarter outlook Sales to date in North America have been softer than third quarter Continued margin decline versus a year ago No tax benefit anticipated More significant earnings per share decline likely Longer term, business model can deliver improved results Mid-single digit top-line growth Mid-teens earnings per share growth, with some margin growth however Total Margin expansion possible of up to 300 basis points 26

Q & A 27

Appendix 28

Consolidated Financials Trailing Four Quarters in millions, except ratios, returns and per share data Trailing Four Quarters (Ending Q3 07) B/W (Previous) Amount % Sales % bps Sales $ 15,504 4% EBIT 1 $ 746 4.8% -5% -40 bps Net Earnings 1 $ 541 3.5% 4% 0 bps Diluted Shares 277.7-6% EPS 1 $ 1.95 11% ROIC 1 13.9% -80 bps ROE 1 20.3% 60 bps 1 Non-GAAP numbers. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-gaap numbers can be found on the Office Depot web site at www.officedepot.com. 29

Earnings Conference Call Third Quarter 2007 November 20, 2007