CMP: INR1,177 TP: INR1,291(+10%) Temporary hiccups; long-term growth visible

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BSE SENSEX S&P CNX 33,697 10,390 Stock Info Bloomberg INDIGO IN Equity Shares (m) 383.9 52-Week Range (INR) 1396/702 1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%) -2/-1/6 M.Cap. (INR b) 451.7 M.Cap. (USD b) 6.9 Avg Val, INRm 565 Free float (%) 22.1 Financials Snapshot (INR b) Y/E Mar 18E 19E E Sales 238.0 293.3 353.9 EBITDA 34.0 35.5 50.3 NP 24.2 28.9 41.9 EPS (INR) 63.2 75.4 109.1 EPS Gr. (%) 46.1 19.3 44.7 BV/Sh (INR) 171.3 179.5 191.4 RoE (%) 46.8 43.0 58.8 RoCE (%) 36.0 45.5 61.3 P/E (x) 18.6 15.6 10.8 P/BV (x) 6.9 6.6 6.1 Adj. EV/EBITDAR(x) 8.9 8.3 6.7 Div. Yield (%) 4.0 4.7 6.9 Shareholding pattern (%) As On Sep-17 Jun-17 Sep-16 Promoter 77.9 85.9 85.9 DII 5.8 2.8 1.8 FII 10.5 5.8 5.2 Others 5.8 5.5 7.1 FII Includes depository receipts Stock Performance (1-year) Interglobe Aviat Sensex - Rebased 1,400 1,225 1,050 875 700 Nov-16 Feb-17 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 CMP: INR1,177 TP: INR1,291(+10%) 24 November 17 Update Sector: Aviation InterGlobe Aviation Temporary hiccups; long-term growth visible Yet, rising oil prices a threat; maintain Neutral Neutral Engine issues impact near-term growth Since the induction of A3 NEO planes in the fleet, INDIGO has faced frequent disruptions in operations due to technical glitches in the Pratt & Whitney engines used in these planes. The NEO engines have seen premature degradation of the combustion chamber lining and premature wear of the number-3 bearing seal. As a result, INDIGO witnessed high number of engine removals and lack of spare engines forced it to ground its NEOs. Owing to engine issues, the management had reduced its FY18 ASK growth guidance to 19% post 2QFY18 results. In 2QFY18, INDIGO increased its ASK by 13% YoY versus its guidance of 15% YoY. We believe capacity addition for INDIGO will remain slow till the engine issue persists. Strong order book assures long-term growth visibility Given the under-penetration in the country, domestic demand has historically followed supply and will continue to do so till a respectable penetration is reached. India s aircraft order book is extremely strong and we expect domestic capacity to grow at 16% CAGR over FY17- (total capacity to grow at 14% CAGR). INDIGO has the largest order book among peers, which assures robust growth prospects for the airline. We model ~% ASK CAGR over FY18- for INDIGO. Rising crude oil prices a threat INDIGO s earnings are highly sensitive to ATF prices, which are linked to crude oil prices. A 5% change in ATF price would impact FY19 EPS by ~14%. Crude oil prices have rallied more than ~% in since September 17. Inability to pass on the increased prices would squeeze margins for the airline. INDIGO had outperformed peers during the high crude oil price era (FY11-15), led by (a) its focus on cost control, and (b) weak competition supporting yields. INDIGO was the only player to increase capacity it added over 180% capacity during FY11-15. Sustained low crude oil prices have emboldened competition to increase their capacity by placing large fleet orders. Aggressive capacity expansion has increased competitive intensity in the industry post FY15. Slower capacity addition due to engine issues would allow INDIGO to maintain its yields in the near term. However, rising crude oil prices along with increased competition may put downward pressure on profitability. Valuation and view We remain confident on INDIGO s execution capabilities and profitability focus. We model ASK growth at 19%/% and RPK growth at 21%/22% for FY18/FY19, with PLF at 86%/88%. We model USD/INR at 64.5/66 and Brent at USD55.5/60/bbl for FY18/19. The stock trades at 15.6x FY19E EPS of INR75.4 and at 8.3x FY19E adjusted EV/EBITDAR. We value INDIGO at 14x 12-month rolling forward EPS to arrive at a September 18E TP of INR1,291, implying 10% upside. Maintain Neutral. Swarnendu Bhushan (Swarnendu.Bhushan@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1529 Abhinil Dahiwale (Abhinil.Dahiwale@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 6129 1566 Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report. Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/institutional-equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.

Engine issues impact near-term growth INDIGO s capacity addition stands 15% YoY YTD v/s 28% YoY in FY17 Since the induction of A3 NEO planes in the fleet, INDIGO has faced frequent disruptions in operations due to technical glitches in the Pratt & Whitney engines, which are used in these planes. The NEO engines suffered premature degradation of the combustion chamber lining and premature wear of the number-3 bearing seal. As a result, INDIGO witnessed high number of engine removals and lack of spare engines forced it to ground its NEOs. Owing to engine issues, the management had reduced its FY18 ASK growth guidance to 19% post 2QFY18 results. In 2QFY18, INDIGO has increased its ASK by 13% YoY versus its guidance of 15% YoY. We believe capacity addition for INDIGO will remain slow till the engine issue persists. INDIGO has faced NEO engine issues since the start INDIGO has faced NEO engine issues since the start. Even the delivery of the A3 NEO aircraft was delayed against the original schedule of December 15, the aircraft were delivered in March 17. The NEOs have faced multiple operational issues like (a) engine cooling, which impacted INDIGO s TAT performance, (b) delay in production of fan blades, (c) premature degradation of the combustion chamber lining, and (d) premature wear of bearing seal, which results in lower engine life and needs to be replaced to continue operation. Due to high number of engine removals and lack of spare engines, INDIGO had to ground its NEOs. It grounded 9 NEOs in July. Exhibit 1: IndiGo faced engine issues from the start Delivery of NEOs were delayed by a year (Mar 17 vs Dec 15) Engine cool down issue impacted the TAT Resolved Delay in production of fan blades Resolved Premature degradation of the combustion chamber lining Not resolved P&W blames Indian weather for it Premature wear of bearing seal Not resolved Due to high number of engine removals and lack of spare engines IndiGo had to ground its NEOs. Management has guided 12-15 month time to resolve the engine issues Currently, none of the A3 NEOs are grounded, we expect better capacity addition going ahead Source: Company, MOSL Exhibit 2: P&W engine issue hits ASK growth of IndiGo and industry ASK growth YoY (%) IndiGo Total 40 30 10 0 Apr-15 Jun-15 Aug-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 34.7 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 13.1 12.1 Aug-17 ASK addition rate to remain slow in FY18 Owing to engine issues, the management had reduced its FY18 ASK growth guidance to 19% post 2QFY18 results. In 2QFY18, INDIGO has increased its ASK by 13% YoY versus its guidance of 15% YoY. We believe capacity addition for INDIGO will remain slow till the engine issue persists. To maintain ASK growth, going ahead, INDIGO may induct used A3 24 November 17 2

CEO aircraft on short-term lease. Short-term leases are relatively expensive and will impact the cost structure. Exhibit 3: 2QFY18 ASK addition rate is slowest for the company 44 52 35 28 24 Total ASKs (billions) ASK growth YoY (%) 21 18 17 16 15 17 23 23 23 19 25 27 34 24 19 13 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 11 13 13 14 14 15 15 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 INDIGO s slower ASK addition lowers industry growth INDIGO s ASK market share has consistently remained the highest and it was the only airline that constantly added capacity through the industry cycle. INDIGO accounts for ~85% of the total domestic capacity added in the last five years. Due to engine issues, INDIGO is struggling to add capacity and this has directly impacted the industry s domestic air passenger growth in the recent past. Exhibit 4: IndiGo has +40% share in the domestic market Domestic ASK IndiGo Jet Airways Air India market share (%) SpiceJet GoAir Others 6 7 7 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 12 12 11 11 11 11 12 12 1211 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 15 14 14 14 19 19 19 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 17 39 40 40 41 41 42 43 42 43 43 43 42 41 41 42 42 42 41 40 40 39 40 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Exhibit 5: and has been struggling to add capacity, recently Dom ASK growth YoY (%) IndiGo Total 40 30 15.7 10 0 6.3 Apr-15 Jun-15 Aug-15 Oct-15 Dec-15 Feb-16 Apr-16 Jun-16 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 24 November 17 3

Strong order book assures long-term growth visibility Domestic capacity to grow at 16% CAGR over FY17- Given the under-penetration in the country, domestic demand has historically followed supply and will continue to do so till respectable penetration is reached. India s aircraft order book is extremely strong and we expect domestic capacity to grow at 16% CAGR over FY17- (total capacity to grow at 14% CAGR). INDIGO has the largest order book among peers, which assures robust growth prospects for the airline. We model ~% ASK CAGR over FY18- for INDIGO. Demand to follow supply till respectable penetration Despite ~12% passenger CAGR over the last two decades, the Indian aviation sector is significantly underpenetrated per capita seats at 0.1 v/s 2.7 in the US and 0.4 in China. Exhibit 6: Penetration low even in comparison with other Asian countries Annual Domestic Seats per Capita (FY17)* 2.76 0.1 0.39 0.41 0.49 0.66 1.04 India Vietnam China Indonesia Thailand Malaysia USA *Based on population data for CY16 and seats data for FY17 Source: Company, MOSL Indian aviation market capacity-constrained: An analysis of the last 15 years shows that all the incremental capacity continued to operate at higher utilization levels, implying that demand will follow supply in the Indian aviation market till penetration reaches a respectable level. Exhibit 7: Domestic RPK and ASK are highly correlated, implying that demand follows supply in India, given the huge underpenetration Domestic ASK (YoY %) Domestic RPK (YoY %) 36 Demand to follow supply till respectable penetration 24 12 0 (12) FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 24 November 17 4

India s aircraft order book is extremely strong Continued low oil prices have emboldened airlines to announce fleet additions. All the Indian airlines have placed orders with aircraft manufacturers to increase their capacities, given the continued low oil prices. India s aircraft order book is strong and gives visibility of future growth for the sector. Our supply model suggests that domestic capacity should grow at a CAGR of 16% over FY17-. Exhibit 8: Order book is strong and domestic capacity is expected to grow at 16% CAGR over FY17- (total by 14% CAGR) IndiGo Air India Jet Airways Spice Jet Go Air Air Asia Vistara Total Domestic feet size 264 6 19 13 30 52 47 321 9 17 27 37 56 54 379 12 19 41 44 61 62 12 54 51 64 97 121 140 158 177 Source: Company, MOSL INDIGO s ASK to grow at % CAGR over FY18- INDIGO has the largest order book among peers, which assures robust growth prospects for the airline. We model ~% ASK CAGR over FY18- for INDIGO. We assume improving PLF for the airline at 86/88/88% for FY18/29/ to arrive at 21% RPK CAGR over FY18-. 91 12 67 59 70 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FYE 450 501 96 Exhibit 9: We model ~% ASK CAGR over FY18- for IndiGo 44% 39% ASK (millions) YoY (%) 27% % 18% 21% 19% % % 18,006 24,977 29,967 35,327 42,825 54,583 64,963 77,970 93,561 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FYE Source: Company, MOSL 24 November 17 5

Rising crude oil prices a threat Increased competition may put pressure on margins INDIGO s earnings are highly sensitive to ATF prices, which are linked to crude oil prices. A 5% change in ATF price would impact FY19 EPS by ~14%. Crude oil prices have rallied more than ~% in since September 17. Inability to pass on the increased prices would squeeze margins for the airline. INDIGO had outperformed peers during the high crude oil price era (FY11-15), led by (a) its focus on cost control, and (b) weak competition supporting yields. INDIGO was the only player to increase capacity it added over 180% capacity during FY11-15. Sustained low crude oil prices have emboldened competition to increase their capacity by placing large fleet orders. Aggressive capacity expansion has increased competitive intensity in the industry post FY15. Slower capacity addition due to engine issues would allow INDIGO to maintain its yields in the near term. However, rising crude oil prices along with increased competition may put downward pressure on profitability. Crude oil prices have rallied ~% recently Fuel expenses are the biggest cost component for any airline, ranging from 30-50%. INDIGO s earnings are also sensitive to change in ATF prices, which are linked to crude oil prices. A 5% change in ATF price would impact FY19 EPS by ~14%. ATF prices in India are linked to crude oil prices and move in line with them. As ATF prices are changed once monthly, price reflects the increase with a lag. ATF prices are already up 10% YoY/QoQ in 3QFY18YTD v/s 2% YoY and -5% QoQ change in 2QFY18. Exhibit 10: Crude oil prices have rallied ~23% since September 17 65 60 55 50 45 Brent (USD/bbl) ~23% increased since Sep-17 Exhibit 11: ATF prices reflect the increase with a month s lag; already up 10% YoY/QoQ in 3QFY18YTD 54 56 56 53 53 ATF Price (INR/liter) 51 49 50 52 55 56 40 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Source: Bloomberg, MOSL Source: IOC, MOSL We have done a sensitivity analysis for FY19 EPS with respect to ATF prices and passenger growth. Aviation fuel cost stands at 30-50% of revenue and has a direct impact on ticket prices, and in turn, passenger growth. For scenario analysis, we have assumed three scenarios: Scenario 1: 25% pass-through of fuel price change Scenario 2: 50% pass-through of fuel price change Scenario 3: 75% pass-through of fuel price change 24 November 17 6

And within these scenarios, our passenger traffic growth (assumed in-line with RPK growth) ranges between 10% and 25%. Exhibit 12: FY19E EPS sensitivity-scenario 1: 25% pass-through of fuel price change 25% pass-through Base Case (22%) 10% passenger growth 15% passenger growth 25% passenger growth 124 115 107 98 89 111 80 71 66 102 63 75 93 54 84 76 57 67 48 58 39 49 52 40 43 30 33 24 11 15 2 6 (3) (12) (22) 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 Brent price (USD/bbl) Source: MOSL Exhibit 13: FY19E EPS sensitivity-scenario 2: 50% pass-through of fuel price change 50% pass-through Base Case (22%) 10% passenger growth 15% passenger growth 25% passenger growth 112 107 101 95 89 83 78 72 66 99 93 88 64 82 58 76 70 64 51 45 39 33 26 41 35 28 22 15 9 2 (4) (11) 58 52 14 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 Brent price (USD/bbl) Source: MOSL Exhibit 14: FY19E EPS sensitivity-scenario 3: 75% pass-through of fuel price change 75% pass-through Base Case (22%) 10% passenger growth 15% passenger growth 25% passenger growth 100 98 95 92 89 87 84 81 78 88 85 82 79 76 73 70 67 64 53 49 46 42 39 31 35 32 27 28 23 25 19 15 12 8 4 0 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 Brent price (USD/bbl) Source: MOSL 24 November 17 7

INDIGO benefited due to weak competition during high crude oil price era INDIGO was the only airline to remain consistently profitable during the high crude oil price era (FY11-15). Apart from its superior business model, weak competition had helped INDIGO to maintain its yields and remain profitable. Exhibit 15: During FY11-15, crude oil prices were at elevated levels 70 FY10 87 FY11 114 111 108 FY12 FY13 Brent (USD/bbl) FY14 85 FY15 47 49 FY16 FY17 Exhibit 16: INDIGO was the only airline to remain consistently profitable IndiGo FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit Air India Loss Loss Loss Loss Loss Loss Loss SpiceJet Loss Profit Profit Loss Loss Loss Loss Go Air Loss Loss Profit Loss Profit Profit Profit Jet Airways Loss Loss Loss Loss Loss Loss Loss Kingfisher Loss Loss Loss Loss Ceased Operations Source: Company, MOSL Source: Bloomberg, MOSL Weak balance sheets and poor business models did not allow other airlines to increase capacity and remain profitable during high crude oil price era. INDIGO increased its total capacity by over 183%, while total industry capacity grew only 16% during FY11-15. Kingfisher s falling out in FY13 helped INDIGO to gain domestic market share. It also resulted in improvement in yields for the airline. Exhibit 17: INDIGO was the only airline to consistently grow its capacity during FY11-15 ASK chg. YoY (%) IndiGo Others Total Domestic 36 28 3 35 33 12 15 8 11 28 28 21 22 22 13 16 14 6 4 0 (6) (2) (0) (4) (4) (12) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Exhibit 18: While INDIGO consistently increased its capacity, competition s capacity fell ASK (b) Others IndiGo Total Domestic 117 98 79 76 80 84 68 49 59 61 38 17 12 21 26 31 7 9 52 52 56 62 54 55 53 59 68 Exhibit 19: INDIGO gained major market share during FY11-15 Domestic market share (%) Others IndiGo 12 15 18 21 28 32 37 39 42 88 85 82 79 72 68 63 61 58 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 24 November 17 8

Lower capacity addition from the competition resulted in lower fare wars during FY11-15. This resulted in improvement in yields for the industry. Exhibit : Total yield improved for both INDIGO and SpiceJet due to lower fare wars Total Yield (INR/RPK) INDIGO SpiceJet 3.6 3.4 3.8 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.4 4.5 4.3 4.0 4.1 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Source: Company, MOSL Increased competitive intensity could put pressure on yields Sustained low crude oil prices have strengthened airlines balance sheets and emboldened competition to announce fleet expansions. Large order books and aggressive capacity expansion plans have resulted in consistent double-digit growth in capacity addition post the sharp decline in crude oil prices. Exhibit 21: Sharp decline in crude oil prices emboldened airlines to increase their capacities, visible in double-digit ASK growth Brent (USD/bbl) Domestic ASK YoY chg. (%) 9 8 12 17 17 19 16 10 2 (4) (8) (5) 0 5 12 8 6 8 0 3 9 13 23 21 19 21 17 14 14 1QFY11 2QFY11 3QFY11 4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 79 76 87 105 117 113 109 119 109 110 110 113 103 110 109 108 110 102 76 54 62 50 43 34 46 46 50 54 50 52 Source: Bloomberg, DGCA, MOSL Decline in crude oil prices enabled competition to repair their balance sheets and aspire for growth by placing large fleet orders. Almost all the existing airlines announced fleet expansions, and new airlines like Air Asia and Vistara began their operations in India. This has resulted in aggressive capacity addition, causing increase in competitive intensity and pulling industry yields downwards. 24 November 17 9

Exhibit 22: Unlike pre 3QFY15, competition has increased capacity aggressively post 3QFY15 Domestic ASK YoY chg. (%) IndiGo ASK YoY chg. (%) Others ASK YoY chg. (%) 50 40 30 10 0 (10) () (30) 1QFY11 2QFY11 3QFY11 4QFY11 1QFY12 2QFY12 3QFY12 4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 Source: Bloomberg, DGCA, MOSL Post 3QFY15, both INDIGO and SpiceJet have seen declining yields due to increased competitive intensity in the industry. Exhibit 23: Post 3QFY15, yields are on a declining trend for both INDIGO and SpiceJet Yield (INR/RPK) IndiGo SpiceJet 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 Source: Company, MOSL We believe slower capacity addition due to engine issues would allow INDIGO to maintain its yields in the near term. However, rising crude oil prices along with increased competition may put downward pressure on profitability. 24 November 17 10

Valuation and view Change in pricing strategy could impact valuation premium: INDIGO s superior economics versus peers should lead to premium valuations. However, the management s admission that it intends to respond to competitors fares indicates a change in its pricing stance. This coupled with its planned capacity addition will put pressure on load factors as well as yields in the near term. Foray into regional markets: INDIGO has placed an order for 50 ATR 72-600 aircraft (plans ATR operation at end-17). It also expects to induct up to seven ATR aircraft by March 18 and ATR aircraft by December 18. We would like to wait for a few quarters for more clarity. High growth, low oil prices revive industry-wide fleet addition plans: Sustained low oil prices is strengthening airlines balance sheets and emboldening competition to announce fleet expansions. We remain confident on INDIGO s execution capabilities and profitability focus. We model ASK growth at 19%/% and RPK growth at 21%/22% for FY18/FY19, with PLF at 86%/88%. We model USD/INR at 64.5/66 and Brent at USD55.5/60/bbl for FY18/19. The stock trades at 15.6x FY19E EPS of INR75.4 and at 8.3x FY19E adjusted EV/EBITDAR. We value INDIGO at 14x 12-month rolling forward EPS to arrive at a September 18E TP of INR1,291, implying 10% upside. Maintain Neutral. Exhibit 24: IndiGo Key assumptions Y/E March FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FYE Capacity and Utilization ASK (millions) 18,006 24,977 29,967 35,327 42,825 54,583 64,963 77,970 93,561 YoY (%) 44% 39% % 18% 21% 27% 19% % % Load Factor 82% 81% 77% 80% 84% 85% 86% 88% 88% RPK (millions) 14,826,260 23,136 28,177 35,967 46,288 56,012 68,614 82,333 YoY (%) 39% 37% 14% 22% 28% 29% 21% 22% % Revenue Calculation Ticket Revenue (INRm) 49,873 82,667 99,240 122,939 140,626 161,971 7,118 257,301 310,397 Yield (INR/RPK) 3.36 4.08 4.29 4.36 3.91 3.50 3.70 3.75 3.77 Ancillary revenues 5,774 9,365 11,926 16,314,773 23,834 30,841 36,022 43,456 Total Revenue (INR mn) 55,647 92,031 111,166 139,253 161,399 185,805 237,958 293,323 353,852 YoY (%) 45% 65% 21% 25% 16% 15% 28% 23% 21% Fuel Cost Exchange rate (INR/USD) 47.9 54.4 60.5 61.2 65.4 67.1 64.5 66.1 67.0 Brent Price (USD/bbl) 114.5 110.5 107.6 85.5 47.3 49.0 55.5 60.0 60.0 ATF Prices (INR/ltr) 63.8 70.8 75.7 68.4 47.8 52.8 55.4 59.4 60.1 YoY (%) 33% 11% 7% -10% -30% 10% 5% 7% 1% Avg. aircraft utiliz. (block hours / day) 10.4 11.1 11.4 11.4 12.1 13.0 12.7 13.0 13.0 Aircraft fuel expenses (INR m) 28,736 43,126 55,134 57,485 47,793 63,415 81,361 106,426 116,422 Source: Company, MOSL 24 November 17 11

InterGlobe Aviation: Story in charts Exhibit 25: India aviation underpenetrated despite the last decade domestic passenger CAGR of 12% Annual domestic seats per capita (14) 4.79 2.59 Exhibit 26: Domestic aviation: Demand follows supply; RPK growth at 2.3x real GDP growth 48 36 24 Domestic ASK (YoY %) Domestic RPK (YoY %) 0.08 0.65 0.48 0.35 1.12 12 0 India Brazil Thailand China Norway USA Japan (12) FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Source: CAPA, Company, MOSL Exhibit 27: India to be the 3rd largest aviation market by FY25 Exhibit 28: Like globally, value migrating to LCCs even in India 218 Low cost carriers Full service carriers 85 129 50 82 1 60% 54% 50% 39% 37% 38% 37% 32% FY16 FY FY25 FY16 FY FY25 Domestic passengers (m) International passengers (m) Source: Industry, Company, MOSL Exhibit 29: IndiGo, the market leader to benefit most from this trend IndiGo Air India Jet Airways SpiceJet GoAir AirAsia Vistara 2-8 7 2 2 3 2 4 9 2 11 17 18 19 19 17 15 17 16 14 13 35 36 37 36 15 16 17 18 Share on basis of future fleet Source: Industry, Company, MOSL 41% 46% 50% 61% 63% 62% 63% 68% FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Source: DGCA, CAPA, Company MOSL Exhibit 30: IndiGo has >50% market share in non-metro destinations IndiGo Jet Airways Air India SpiceJet Go Air Others 9-19 1 14-17 17 18 13 11 3 16 10 40 39 Top 10 Metro to Metro routes Top 10 Metro to Non-metro routes 53 Top 10 Non-metro to Non-metro routes Source: DGCA, CAPA, Company, MOSL 24 November 17 12

Financials and Valuations Standalone - Income Statement (INR Million) Y/E March FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FYE Total Income from Operations 92,031 111,166 139,253 161,399 185,805 237,958 293,323 353,852 YoY Chg (%) 65.4.8 25.3 15.9 15.1 28.1 23.3.6 Aircraft Fuel Expenses 43,126 55,134 57,485 47,793 63,415 81,361 106,426 116,422 % of Sales 46.9 49.6 41.3 29.6 34.1 34.2 36.3 32.9 Employees Cost 6,905 9,6 11,887 17,899,482 25,870 33,184 42,607 Other Expenses 19,503 25,057 31,662 39,530 49,221 60,280 72,348 86,815 Total Expenditure 69,533 89,396 101,034 105,223 133,118 167,510 211,959 245,844 EBITDAR 22,498 21,769 38,219 56,176 52,687 70,448 81,364 108,008 Margin (%) 24.4 19.6 27.4 34.8 28.4 29.6 27.7 30.5 Aircraft & Engine Lease Rentals 13,561 16,703 19,522 26,122 31,254 36,449 45,869 57,671 EBITDA 8,936 5,066 18,697 30,055 21,433 33,999 35,495 50,337 Margin (%) 9.7 4.6 13.4 18.6 11.5 14.3 12.1 14.2 Depreciation 856 2,260 3,022 5,031 4,573 4,476 3,827 3,136 EBIT 8,080 2,806 15,675 25,024 16,861 29,523 31,668 47,2 Int. and Finance Charges 578 1,226 1,155 1,349 3,308 3,016 1,496 1,496 Other Income 2,371 3,155 3,946 4,614 7,891 7,342 7,219 8,410 PBT 9,873 4,736 18,465 28,290 21,443 33,849 37,391 54,116 EO Items 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PBT after EO Exp. 9,873 4,736 18,465 28,290 21,443 33,849 37,391 54,116 Tax 2,040-9 5,387 8,392 4,852 9,600 8,460 12,244 Tax Rate (%).7-0.2 29.2 29.7 22.6 28.4 22.6 22.6 Reported PAT 7,834 4,744 13,078 19,897 16,592 24,249 28,931 41,873 Adjusted PAT 7,834 4,744 13,078 19,897 16,592 24,249 28,931 41,873 Change (%) 457.2-39.4 175.6 52.1-16.6 46.1 19.3 44.7 Margin (%) 8.5 4.3 9.4 12.3 8.9 10.2 9.9 11.8 Standalone - Balance Sheet (INR Million) Y/E March FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FYE Equity Share Capital 344 344 344 3,604 3,615 3,839 3,839 3,839 Total Reserves 3,547 3,874 3,863 23,628 34,177 61,901 65,064 69,642 Net Worth 3,890 4,217 4,7 27,232 37,792 65,739 68,902 73,481 Deferred Tax Liabilities 537 529 4,091 1,468 1,618 2,634 3,755 5,379 Total Loans 18,004 33,462 35,884 30,071 23,957 14,957 14,957 14,957 Capital Employed 22,432 38,8 44,182 58,770 63,367 83,330 87,615 93,816 Gross Block,362 44,505 56,715 53,251 46,432 40,481 33,836 27,052 Less: Accum. Deprn. 2,718 4,945 7,955 5,777 8,493 12,970 16,797 19,933 Net Fixed Assets 17,645 39,560 48,760 47,474 37,938 27,512 17,039 7,119 Capital WIP 69 0 5 237 233-635 -809-844 Total Investments 11,383 12,715 5,168 9,862 37,134 37,134 37,134 37,134 Curr. Assets, Loans&Adv. 29,428 38,759 53,750 68,614 76,792 132,545 163,256 0,839 Inventory 523 673 1,306 763 1,632 2,053 2,598 3,013 Account Receivables 685 891 1,046 1,571 1,587 2,032 2,505 3,022 Cash and Bank Balance 13,406 11,015 19,994 37,187 46,325 93,563 115,138 142,911 Loans and Advances 14,814 26,180 31,405 29,093 27,248 34,896 43,015 51,892 Curr. Liability & Prov. 36,093 52,826 63,500 67,417 88,730 113,226 129,006 150,432 Account Payables 2,648 3,828 4,755 7,412 7,746 9,747 12,334 14,305 Other Current Liabilities 32,906 43,985 56,694 58,575 79,093 92,680 103,788 117,480 Provisions 539 5,013 2,051 1,430 1,891 10,799 12,884 18,647 Net Current Assets -6,665-14,067-9,751 1,197-11,938 19,319 34,251 50,407 Deferred Tax assets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Appl. of Funds 22,432 38,8 44,182 58,770 63,367 83,330 87,615 93,817 E: MOSL Estimates 24 November 17 13

Financials and Valuations Ratios Y/E March FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FYE Basic (INR) EPS.4 12.4 34.1 51.8 43.2 63.2 75.4 109.1 Cash EPS 22.6 18.2 41.9 64.9 55.1 74.8 85.3 117.3 BV/Share 10.1 11.0 11.0 70.9 98.5 171.3 179.5 191.4 DPS 14.3 9.8 28.1 40.2 32.0 46.7 55.8 80.7 Payout incl. tax (%) 81.4 93.1 98.7 93.4 89.1 89.1 89.1 89.1 Valuation (x) P/E 95.2 34.5 22.7 27.2 18.6 15.6 10.8 Cash P/E 64.5 28.1 18.1 21.3 15.7 13.8 10.0 P/BV 107.1 107.4 16.6 12.0 6.9 6.6 6.1 EV/Sales 4.3 3.4 2.8 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.9 Adj. EV/EBITDAR 27.2 15.8 11.2 12.3 8.9 8.3 6.7 EV/EBITDA 93.6 25.0 14.8.0 11.0 9.9 6.4 Dividend Yield (%) 1.2 0.8 2.4 3.4 2.7 4.0 4.7 6.9 Return Ratios (%) RoE 247.7 117.0 310.5 126.6 51.0 46.8 43.0 58.8 RoCE 47.4 19.7 33.7 40.5 31.4 36.0 45.5 61.3 RoIC -157.1 46.7 66.3 115.4-295.1-63.1-44.3-48.9 Working Capital Ratios Asset Turnover (x) 4.1 2.9 3.2 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.8 Inventory (Days) 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 Debtor (Days) 6 6 7 12 9 9 9 9 Creditor (Days) 11 13 12 17 15 15 15 15 Working Cap. Turnover (Days) -80-82 -78-81 -114-114 -101-95 Leverage Ratio (x) Net Debt / Equity 1.2 5.3 3.8-0.3-0.6-1.2-1.5-1.7 Standalone - Cash Flow Statement (INR Million) Y/E March FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FYE OP/(Loss) before Tax 9,932 4,778 18,465 28,290 21,443 33,849 37,391 54,116 Depreciation 856 2,260 3,022 5,031 4,573 4,476 3,827 3,136 Interest & Finance Charges 543 1,019 1,037 1,157-4,583-4,326-5,723-6,914 Direct Taxes Paid -1,852-1,076-3,951-5,761-4,8-8,585-7,338-10,6 (Inc)/Dec in WC 9,819 11,309 7,765 3,081 21,102 18,465 12,595 16,578 CF from Operations 19,299 18,291 26,338 31,797 38,326 43,879 40,753 56,296 Others -1,892-2,341-2,499-640 -506 0 0 0 CF from Operating incl EO 17,407 15,950 23,839 31,157 37,8 43,879 40,753 56,296 (Inc)/Dec in FA -9,153-23,237-10,171-2,3 12,829 4,334 867 1,858 Free Cash Flow 8,254-7,287 13,668 28,837 50,649 48,213 41,619 58,154 (Pur)/Sale of Investments 0 0 7,079-2,623-27,273 0 0 0 Others -8,298-7,952 1,313 3,344 9,951 7,342 7,219 8,410 CF from Investments -17,451-31,189-1,779-1,598-4,493 11,677 8,085 10,268 Issue of Shares 0 0 0 12,138 11 25,296 0 0 Inc/(Dec) in Debt 7,270 13,637 3,817-10,241-6,114-9,000 0 0 Interest Paid -169-186 -770-825 -3,308-3,016-1,496-1,496 Dividend Paid -6,376 0-16,128-13,437-14,778-21,598-25,768-37,294 Others -363-603 0 0 0 0 0 0 CF from Fin. Activity 361 12,848-13,081-12,366-24,188-8,318-27,264-38,790 Inc/Dec of Cash 317-2,390 8,978 17,193 9,139 47,238 21,574 27,774 Opening Balance 13,089 13,406 11,015 19,994 37,187 46,326 93,563 115,138 Closing Balance 13,406 11,015 19,994 37,187 46,326 93,563 115,138 142,911 E: MOSL Estimates 24 November 17 14

N O T E S 24 November 17 15

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The person accessing this information specifically agrees to exempt MOSL or any of its affiliates or employees from, any and all responsibility/liability arising from such misuse and agrees not to hold MOSL or any of its affiliates or employees responsible for any such misuse and further agrees to hold MOSL or any of its affiliates or employees free and harmless from all losses, costs, damages, expenses that may be suffered by the person accessing this information due to any errors and delays. Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022-3980 4263; www.motilaloswal.com. Correspondence Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad (West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 3080 1000. Compliance Officer: Neeraj Agarwal, Email Id: na@motilaloswal.com, Contact No.:022-30801085. Registration details of group entities.: MOSL: SEBI Registration: INZ000158836; CDSL: IN-DP-16-15; NSDL: IN-DP-NSDL-152-00; Research Analyst: INH000000412. AMFI: ARN 17397. Investment Adviser: INA000007100. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670) offers PMS and Mutual Funds products. Motilal Oswal Wealth Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) offers wealth management solutions. *Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. is a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs, Insurance and IPO products. * Motilal Oswal Commodities Broker Pvt. Ltd. offers Commodities Products. * Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt. Ltd. offers Real Estate products. * Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd. offers Private Equity products 24 November 17 16