Q EARNINGS PRESENTATION MAY 2, 2018

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Transcription:

Q1 2018 EARNINGS PRESENTATION MAY 2, 2018

LEGAL DISCLAIMERS 2 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains, and management may make on our call today, certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements include all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts, and you can identify forward-looking statements by the use of words such as outlook, believes, expects, potential, continues, may, will, should, could, seeks, predicts, intends, trends, plans, estimates, anticipates or the negative version of these words or other comparable words. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Statements relating to our estimated and projected earnings, margins, costs, expenditures, cash flows, growth rates and financial results are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risk, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Important factors could affect our results and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in our forward-looking statements, including but not limited to the factors discussed in the section entitled Risk Factors in Gates most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 30, 2017, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ( SEC ) and the following: conditions in the global and regional economy and the major end markets we serve; economic, political and other risks associated with international operations; availability of raw materials at favorable prices and in sufficient quantities; changes in our relationships with, or the financial condition, performance, purchasing power or inventory levels of, key channel partners; competition in all areas of our business; pricing pressures from our customers; continued operation of our manufacturing facilities; our ability to forecast demand or meet significant increases in demand; exchange rate fluctuations; market acceptance of new product introductions and product innovations; our cost-reduction actions; litigation, legal or regulatory proceedings brought against us; enforcement of our intellectual property rights; recalls, product liability claims or product warranties claims; anti-corruption laws and other laws governing our international operations; existing or new laws and regulations that may prohibit, restrict or burden the sale of aftermarket products; our decentralized information technology systems and any interruptions to our computer and IT systems; environmental, health and safety laws and regulations; lives of products used in our end markets as well as the development of replacement markets; our ability to successfully integrate future acquired businesses or assets; our reliance on senior management or key personnel; our ability to maintain and enhance our brand; work stoppages and other labor matters; our investments in joint ventures; liabilities with respect to businesses that we have divested in the past; terrorist acts, conflicts and wars; losses to our facilities, supply chains, distribution systems or information technology systems due to catastrophe or other events; additional cash contributions we may be required to make to our defined benefit pension plans; the loss or financial instability of any significant customer or customers; changes in legislative, regulatory and legal developments involving taxes and other matters; our substantial leverage; and the significant influence of our majority shareholder, The Blackstone Group L.P., over us, as such factors may be updated from time to time in its periodic filings with the SEC which are accessible on the SEC s website at www.sec.gov. Gates undertakes no obligation to update or supplement any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION This presentation includes certain non-gaap financial measures, which management believes are useful to investors. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered only as supplemental to, and not as superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to the Appendix of this presentation and our earnings release filed with the SEC and posted on our website at investors.gates.com for a reconciliation of non-gaap financial measures to the most directly comparable financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Because GAAP financial measures on a forward-looking basis are not accessible, and reconciling information is not available without unreasonable effort, we have not provided reconciliations for forward-looking non- GAAP measures. ROUNDING ADJUSTMENTS Certain monetary amounts, percentages and other figures included in this presentation have been subject to rounding adjustments. Accordingly, figures shown as totals in certain tables or charts may not be the arithmetic aggregation of the figures that precede them, and figures expressed as percentages in the text may not total 100% or, as applicable, when aggregated, may not be the arithmetic aggregation of the percentages that precede them.

Q1 HIGHLIGHTS 3 Record quarterly revenue of $852M represents 16.7% growth Solid core revenue growth across both power transmission and fluid power segments Continued strong growth in emerging markets Record Adjusted EBITDA of $184M, with Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 21.6% +60 bps over prior year, +115 bps excluding the impact of the 2017 second-half acquisitions Realizing additional positive impacts from the Gates Operating System Continuing to invest in our large organic growth opportunities Investment in fluid power capacity will begin delivering at end of Q2 and ramping into second half of 2018 R&D and product line investments to advance our hydraulics and chain-to-belt initiatives Announced the acquisition of Rapro Fits seamlessly into our distribution network and provides opportunity for further industrial expansion Aligned with our focus on emerging markets Note: Core revenue growth excludes impact of foreign currency translation and acquisitions completed in the last 12 months

POWER TRANSMISSION Q1 HIGHLIGHTS 4 Highlights: Balanced core revenue growth across all end markets Particularly strong growth in China and Brazil Early stages of chain-to-belt, with very positive feedback Seeing many opportunities in a variety of end markets Q1 Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 80 bps Offsetting inflation with price and procurement actions Materials Science Expertise Gates has developed best-in-industry technology to combine the low-weight, highstrength and stiffness performance of carbon fiber with the durability and flexibility required in belt applications (USD in millions) Q1 2018 Q1 2017 % Δ REVENUE $546.0 $485.6 +12.4% ADJ. EBITDA $125.3 $107.5 +16.6% ADJ. EBITDA MARGIN 22.9% 22.1% +80 bps DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION (1) $15.5 $13.9 +11.5% AMORT. OF INTANGIBLES FROM ACQ. OF GATES $19.6 $20.8 (5.8%) REVENUE GROWTH: Core 5.8% FX 6.6% Acq. Total 12.4% (1) Excludes the amortization of intangible assets arising from the 2014 acquisition of Gates.

FLUID POWER Q1 HIGHLIGHTS 5 Highlights: High growth rate resulting from acquisitions and execution of growth initiatives, particularly in emerging markets Built backlog in hydraulics during Q1 Adjusted EBITDA margin expansion over Q1 of prior year Acquired Rapro to expand our replacement business and presence in emerging markets Investing in new product development to support continued growth and increase size of addressable market Leading Portfolio of Premium Products Gates fluid power solutions are engineered for optimal performance, including improved flexibility, corrosion resistance, abrasion resistance, lighter weight and increased safety (USD in millions) Q1 2018 Q1 2017 % Δ REVENUE $306.0 $244.6 +25.1% ADJ. EBITDA $58.6 $45.5 +28.8% ADJ. EBITDA MARGIN 19.2% 18.6% +60 bps ADJ. EBITDA MARGIN EX-ACQ. 20.4% 18.6% +180 bps DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION (1) $8.9 $7.2 +23.6% AMORT. OF INTANGIBLES FROM ACQ. OF GATES $11.0 $10.5 +4.8% REVENUE GROWTH: Core +7.2% FX +4.0% Acq. +13.9% Total +25.1% (1) Excludes the amortization of intangible assets arising from the 2014 acquisition of Gates.

Q1 2018 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 6 USD in millions REVENUE ADJUSTED EBITDA ADJUSTED EPS $852 $184 $0.25 $730 $153 $0.18 +5.8% FX +4.7% Acq. 21.0% Margin 21.6% Margin 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 Up 16.7% 6.2% Core Growth Up 20.1% Margin of 22.1% excl. acquisitions Driven by growth in Adjusted EBITDA RECORD QUARTER FOR REVENUE AND ADJUSTED EBITDA

BALANCE SHEET AND LIQUIDITY 7 USD in millions, except multiple data TRADE WORKING CAPITAL FREE CASH FLOW LEVERAGE $868 145% Conversion $283 Tax Refund $768 27.5% 26.7% 124% Conversion $242 $209 New Plant Capex $148 89% Conversion 63% Conversion 6.5x 5.6x 5.1x 3.9x Q1 2017 Q1 2018 Q1 2017 LTM Q1 2018 LTM 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Improved 80 bps as % of LTM revenue Continuing to invest in growth IPO proceeds drive further deleveraging CONTINUING TO DELEVERAGE WHILE INVESTING IN GROWTH Note: Trade Working Capital: Trade Accounts Receivable plus Inventory minus Trade Accounts Payable, net of acquisitions LTM Free Cash Flow: Net Cash Provided by Operations minus Capex; Free Cash Flow Conversion shown as % of Adjusted Net Income Leverage: Net Debt divided by Adjusted EBITDA

2018 OUTLOOK 8 USD in millions PREVIOUS CURRENT Revenue Growth 7.5% 10.5% 8.0% 11.0% Core Revenue Growth 5.0% 6.0% 5.0% 6.0% Adjusted EBITDA $735 $755 $738 $758 Capital Expenditures $150 $170 Strong Q1 performance delivers a solid start to 2018 Maintaining previous guidance but adding Rapro impact For remainder of 2018, Rapro anticipated to bring ~$15M in revenue, generally in-line with Gates profitability

KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM Q1 9 Strong start to 2018 in terms of revenue growth and Adjusted EBITDA Margin Pleased with the contribution from our acquisitions, which are benefitting from industrial end markets Emerging markets presence continues to help drive strong core revenue growth Favorable price/cost in Q1 as we also experienced in Q4 Continuing to invest in our large organic growth opportunities Currently running at full capacity in hydraulics; exited Q1 with backlog Additional fluid power capacity begins to come online late Q2, continuing into second half of year Reiterating full-year 2018 outlook, raising for Rapro acquisition Tariffs are not currently expected to have a material impact Managing raw material inflation through commercial actions Rapro acquisition demonstrates ability to execute bolt-on acquisitions in fragmented markets

10

APPENDIX

2017 REVENUE GROWTH BY SEGMENT 12 % Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Power Transmission: Core 6.0 6.7 10.8 7.6 7.8 FX (0.8) (1.5) 0.9 3.8 0.6 Acquisitions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 5.2 5.3 11.7 11.5 8.3 Fluid Power: Core 10.1 11.7 12.6 11.6 11.5 FX (0.9) (0.8) 1.2 2.5 0.5 Acquisitions 0.0 0.0 0.6 14.9 3.7 Total 9.2 10.9 14.4 28.9 15.7 Total: Core 7.3 8.3 11.4 9.1 9.0 FX (0.8) (1.2) 1.0 3.2 0.5 Acquisitions 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.8 1.2 Total 6.5 7.1 12.6 17.1 10.7

2017 DEPRECIATION & AMORTIZATION BY SEGMENT 13 USD in millions Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Power Transmission: Depreciation & Amortization (1) 13.9 14.5 14.4 15.1 57.9 Amortization of intangibles from acq. of Gates 20.8 21.2 20.2 19.5 81.7 Fluid Power: Depreciation & Amortization (1) 7.2 7.4 7.4 8.7 30.7 Amortization of intangibles from acq. of Gates 10.5 10.7 10.0 10.7 41.9 Total: Depreciation & Amortization (1) 21.1 21.9 21.8 23.8 88.6 Amortization of intangibles from acq. of Gates 31.3 31.9 30.2 30.2 123.6 (1) Excludes the amortization of intangible assets arising from the 2014 acquisition of Gates.

RECONCILIATIONS ADJUSTED EBITDA 14 (USD in millions) Q1 2018 Q1 2017 LTM Q1 2018 LTM Q1 2017 Reconciliation to Adjusted EBITDA Net income $ 29.3 $ 26.3 $ 185.7 $ 97.7 Loss (gain) on disposal of discontinued operations 0.1 (0.3) (0.3) (12.6) Income tax expense (benefit) 11.7 12.5 (73.3) 26.5 Net finance costs 77.2 55.9 314.7 215.4 Depreciation & amortization 55.0 52.4 214.8 226.3 Transaction-related costs 4.7 2.0 20.8 2.4 Restructuring expenses (0.3) 1.8 15.3 11.8 Sponsor fees and expenses 1.9 1.5 7.1 6.1 Share-based compensation 1.6 0.8 6.2 4.4 Inventory impairments & adjustments (incl. in cost of sales) - - 2.0 20.7 Other impairments 0.3-3.1 3.2 Other adjustments 2.4 0.1 3.9 2.9 Adjusted EBITDA $ 183.9 $ 153.0 $ 700.0 $ 604.8 (1) (2) (3) Transaction-related costs relate primarily to advisory costs recognized in respect of the initial public offering, the acquisition of businesses and costs related to other corporate transactions such as debt refinancings. Restructuring expenses represent costs incurred in relation to specifically defined restructuring projects and include costs related to decisions to close lines of business, plant closures and relocations, strategic organizational rationalizations and related non-recurring employee severance. Sponsor fees relate to fees paid to our private equity sponsor for monitoring, advisory and consulting services.

RECONCILIATIONS ADJUSTED NET INCOME 15 (USD millions) Q1 2018 Q1 2017 LTM Q1 2018 LTM Q1 2017 Reconciliation to Adjusted Net Income Net Income Attributable to Shareholders $ 24.2 $ 18.8 $ 156.7 $ 69.5 Plus: Amortization of intangibles from the 2014 acquisition of Gates 30.6 31.3 122.9 134.3 Transaction-related expenses 4.7 2.0 20.8 2.4 Impairments 0.3-3.1 3.2 Restructuring (benefits) expenses (0.3) 1.8 15.3 11.8 Sponsor fees and expenses 1.9 1.5 7.1 6.1 Share-based compensation 1.6 0.8 6.2 4.4 Adjustments relating to post-retirement benefits 1.0 1.6 1.9 6.4 Inventory impairments and adjustments (incl. in cost of sales) - - 2.0 20.7 Premium on redemption of long-term debt 27.0-27.0 - Financing-related FX (gains) losses (9.4) 0.2 51.6 (4.4) Loss (gain) on disposal of discontinued operations 0.1 (0.3) (0.3) (12.6) One-time deferred tax benefit from U.S. tax reform - - (118.2) - Other adjustments (0.4) (2.3) (7.4) (8.0) Estimated tax effect of the above adjustments (9.7) (9.3) (54.3) (38.9) Adjusted Net Income $ 71.6 $ 46.1 $ 234.4 $ 194.9