1Q18 EARNINGS MAY 2018

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Transcription:

1Q18 EARNINGS MAY 2018

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS The statements contained in this release that refer to plans and expectations for the next quarter, the full year or the future are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, including statements regarding our future results of operations and financial position, business strategy and plans and our objectives for future operations. The words "may," will," should," "could," "expect," anticipate," "believe," "estimate," intend," "continue" and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We have based these forward looking statements largely on current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends that we believe may affect our financial condition, results of operations, business strategy, shortterm and long-term business operations and objectives, and financial needs. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, risk related to volatility in our operating results; execution of our business and marketing strategies; retaining existing customers and adding new customers; challenges arising from our international operations, including fluctuations in currency exchange rates, legal and regulatory developments and any potential adverse impact from the United Kingdom's likely exit from the European Union; retaining and adding high quality merchants; our voucherless offerings; cybersecurity breaches; competing successfully in our industry; changes to merchant payment terms; providing a strong mobile experience for our customers; maintaining our information technology infrastructure; delivery and routing of our emails; claims related to product and service offerings; managing inventory and order fulfillment risks; litigation; managing refund risks; retaining and attracting members of our executive team; completing and realizing the anticipated benefits from acquisitions, dispositions, joint ventures and strategic investments; lack of control over minority investments; tax liabilities; tax legislation; compliance with domestic and foreign laws and regulations, including the CARD Act, GDPR and regulation of the Internet and e- commerce; classification of our independent contractors; protecting our intellectual property; maintaining a strong brand; customer and merchant fraud; payment-related risks; our ability to raise capital if necessary and our outstanding indebtedness; global economic uncertainty; our common stock, including volatility in our stock price; our senior convertible notes; and our ability to realize the anticipated benefits from the hedge and warrant transactions. For additional information regarding these and other risks and uncertainties, we urge you to refer to the factors included under the headings "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in the company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, and our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, copies of which may be obtained by visiting the company's Investor Relations web site at http://investor.groupon.com or the SEC's web site at www.sec.gov. Groupon's actual results could differ materially from those predicted or implied and reported results should not be considered an indication of future performance. You should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Although Groupon believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, it cannot guarantee that the future results, levels of activity, performance or events and circumstances reflected in the forward-looking statements will be achieved or occur. Moreover, neither the company nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements reflect Groupon s expectations the date of this presentation unless otherwise expressly stated. Groupon undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this release to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in its expectations. Additional information relating to certain of our financial measures contained herein is available in our most recent earnings release and at our website at investor.groupon.com. 2

GROUPON IS A CLEAR LEADER IN LOCAL E-COMMERCE SUBSTANTIAL SCALE IN UNDER-PENETRATED LOCAL MARKET TOP 5 E-COMMERCE BRAND 1 >72% OF TRANSACTIONS ON MOBILE 2 5-STAR APP WITH 177 MILLION DOWNLOADS TOP 10 US APP 3 Strong brand and improving awareness through offline advertising campaigns Mobile-first platform well-positioned for continued offline-to-online shift Advanced analytics allow us to leverage our substantial Local transactional and consumer purchase data to connect users with great Local deals at scale Product innovation, customer growth, and cost efficiencies driving shareholder returns through sustainable Adjusted EBITDA growth (1) Verto Analytics, Verto Content Watch, in company blog November 17, 2016 (2) For the quarter ending March 31, 2018 (3) Ages 25-54; comscore 2017 U.S. Mobile App Report, Mobile Metrix, U.S., 18+, June 2017 3

FOCUSING ON OUR KEY PRIORITIES FOR 2018 1 Establish Groupon as true platform by aggregating thirdparty and Groupon-sourced supply and increasing distribution of Groupon content 2 3 4 Enhance the customer experience with a mobile-first strategy, through innovative, frictionless products, differentiated local supply, coupled with strong national brands Continue to unlock international potential by applying our North America playbook Maintain culture of operational efficiency 4

ENHANCING OUR FINANCIAL PROFILE Gross Profit Focus on driving long-term gross profit dollar growth Continued focus on core North America Local business; emerging products such as Groupon+, Bookability, and Marketplace Unlock International potential by executing on North America playbook Marketing Plan to maintain 12-18 month payback of incremental spend Integrated offline campaigns; Tiffany Haddish, product, and merchant-focused campaigns Continued ramp in International markets in line with improving returns SG&A Adjusted EBITDA Free Cash Flow Balance Sheet Maintain leverageable cost structure Expect 2018 SG&A to grow with inflation with investments being somewhat offset by continued efficiencies Target multi-year Adjusted EBITDA growth Facilitate flow through from gross profit Expect gross profit dollar growth to exceed marketing and SG&A dollar growth Target multi-year Free Cash Flow growth Expect to generate significant positive Free Cash Flow in 2018 Expect free cash flow growth to trend above the rate of Adjusted EBITDA growth Strong balance sheet provides strategic flexibility 1 $726 million cash balance, $250 million undrawn revolver 2 Approximately $1 billion available liquidity $300 million share repurchase authorization (1) As of 3/31/2018 (2) Excluding the impact of outstanding letters of credit. 5

2018: RAISING ADJUSTED EBITDA 2018 Guidance Key Themes Adjusted EBITDA 1 (USD millions) 2017 Actual 2018 Guidance $250 $280-290 (12-16% y/y growth) We are investing in marketing and scaling our key initiatives to increase gross profit per customer (including Groupon+, bookability, and third-party supply) As a result, we expect gross profit and AEBITDA growth to ramp over the course of the year We anticipate these initiatives will result in a headwind to billings and revenue We are raising 2018 AEBITDA guidance to reflect Q1 outperformance, the Vouchercloud acquisition, and anticipated ramp up in our gross profit initiatives We are targeting gross profit dollar growth that exceeds marketing and SG&A dollar growth We expect free cash flow growth to trend above the rate of Adjusted EBITDA growth and are targeting Capex to be $60-70 million for FY18 (1) Adjusted EBITDA (AEBITDA) is a non-gaap performance measure. See the appendix for a reconciliation to the most comparable U.S. GAAP performance measure, Net income (loss) from continuing operations. 6

FINANCIAL INFORMATION AND OPERATING METRICS

GROWING CUSTOMERS WHILE MAINTAINING GROSS PROFIT PER CUSTOMER Global Active Customers 1 (millions) Global TTM Gross Profit / Active Customer 1, 2 +3% y/y 49.1 49.5 49.6 $26.27 $26.53 $26.43 $26.93 $27.16 48.3 48.3 Added 200 thousand customers in Q1 while increasing gross profit per customer 3% year-over-year (1) Active customers represent unique user accounts that have made a purchase during the trailing twelve months either (1) through one of our online marketplaces or (2) directly with a merchant for which we earned a commission. (2) During the first quarter 2018, we updated the calculation of this metric to reflect active customers as of the end of the period, rather than the average of active customers as of the beginning and end of period, in the denominator of the calculations. Because our active customer metrics are based on purchases over a TTM period, we believe that this change improves the usefulness of this metric. The prior period amounts have been updated to reflect this change. 8

GROSS PROFIT - FOCUS ON DOLLAR GROWTH North America (USD millions) International (USD millions) Global (USD millions) 221 234 208 265-1% y/y 220 89 94 102 122 +19% y/y 105 309 328 309 387 +5% y/y 325 ex-f/x 5% 1% Global gross profit up 5% year-over-year in Q1 9

NORTH AMERICA GROSS PROFIT (USD millions) NA Local Gross Profit NA Goods Gross Profit NA Gross Profit 169 180 163 197-2% y/y 167 36 36 55 +1% y/y 37 221 234 208 265-1% y/y 220 31 North America gross profit declined 1% year-over-year in Q1; gross profit per customer increased 1% year-over-year 10

INTERNATIONAL GROSS PROFIT (USD millions) International Local Gross Profit International Goods Gross Profit International Gross Profit 59 62 68 76 +19% y/y 70 35 89 94 102 122 +19% y/y 105 +26% y/y 19 22 25 24 ex-f/x 5% 10% 5% International gross profit grew 19% year-over-year in Q1; gross profit per customer increased 9% year-over-year 11

MARKETING - INVEST AT 12-18 MONTH PAYBACK Marketing + Order Discounts (USD millions) +4% y/y 157 161 152 146 144 49 56 43 53 60 Marketing ROI Time to Payback = Incremental Gross Profit Incremental Marketing Spend = 100% = 12 to 18 months 86 101 101 112 99 ROI tracking across marketing channels, platforms, and categories Supporting International in target cities leveraging deepened marketing analytics Driving brand awareness and educating consumers through offline ad campaigns Marketing Expense Order Discounts Marketing (including order discounts) increased $6 million in Q1 year-over-year, supporting $15 million of year-over-year gross profit growth 12

SG&A BENEFITING FROM PAST RESTRUCTURING ACTIONS 232 230 SG&A (USD millions) 215-4% y/y 225 222 7,120 Headcount -7% y/y 6,661 6,616 6,672 6,639 Global SG&A declined by $10 million year-over-year in Q1 13

FOCUS ON IMPROVING CONVERSION FROM ADJUSTED EBITDA TO FREE CASH FLOW 193 Adjusted EBITDA 1, Operating Cash Flow 3, and Capital Expenditures 211 (TTM, USD millions) 225 160 250 131 258 149 Free Cash Flow 2, 3 (TTM, USD millions) 97 71 84 67 98 63 61 63 59 65 36 5 Adj. EBITDA Op. Cash Flow CapEx (1) Adjusted EBITDA is a non-gaap performance measure. See the appendix for a reconciliation to the most comparable U.S. GAAP performance measure, Net income (loss) from continuing operations. (2) Free Cash Flow is a non-gaap liquidity measure. See the appendix for a reconciliation to the most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure, Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities from continuing operations (3) Prior period cash flows from operating activities of continuing operations has been updated from $67.5 million, $97.8 million, $161.5 million and $137.5 million for TTM ended March 31, 2017, June 30, 2017, September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2017, respectively, and prior period free cash flows have been updated from $5.0 million, $36.4 million, $98.6 million and $78.3 million for TTM ended March 31, 2017, June 30, 2017, September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2017, respectively, to reflect the adoption of ASU 2016-18, Statement of Cash Flows (Topic 230) - Restricted Cash, on January 1, 2018. For additional information on the adoption of ASU 2016-18, refer to Note 2, Adoption of New Accounting Standards, in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2018. 14

APPENDIX

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS 1 ADJUSTED EBITDA - QUARTERLY THE FOLLOWING IS A RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA TO THE MOST COMPARABLE U.S. GAAP PERFORMANCE MEASURE, INCOME (LOSS) FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS: (in thousands) 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 Income (loss) from continuing operations $(48,768) $(34,447) $(39,455) $(20,869) $(5,403) $3,802 $51,071 $ (2,795) Adjustments: Stock-based compensation 2 34,210 25,457 22,563 19,650 21,392 18,235 21,673 19,278 Depreciation and amortization 33,916 32,897 34,681 34,067 34,679 35,231 33,850 29,661 Acquisition-related expense (benefit), net 850 (9) 1,345 12 36 Restructuring charges 15,702 1,163 12,060 2,731 4,584 11,503 10 283 Gain on sale of intangible assets (17,149) Gains on business dispositions (9,339) (2,060) Other (income) expense, net 11,253 7,917 54,737 4,602 (5,878) (7,546) 2,112 8,515 Provision (benefit) for income taxes (2,238) 1,690 (5,779) 4,587 3,883 2,531 (3,457) (2,335) Total adjustments 84,354 67,055 119,607 65,649 58,696 42,805 54,188 55,402 Adjusted EBITDA $35,586 $32,608 $80,152 $44,780 $53,293 $46,607 $105,259 $ 52,607 (1) See Q1 earnings press release posted on our Investor Relations website for additional information regarding non-gaap financial measures. (2) Represents stock-based compensation recorded within Cost of revenue, Marketing, and Selling, general and administrative. Other (income) expense, net, includes $0.17 million, $0.27 million, $0.18 million, $0.05 million, $0.05 million, $0.07 million, $0.06 million and $0.05 million of additional stock-based compensation for the three months ended June 30, 2016, September 30, 2016, December 31, 2016, March 31, 2017, June 30, 2017, September 30, 2017, December 31, 2017 and March 31, 2018, respectively. Restructuring charges include $2.1 million and $0.8 million of additional stock-based compensation for the three months ended June 30, 2016 and September 30, 2017, respectively. 16

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS CONT D EXPECTED ADJUSTED EBITDA RANGE THE FOLLOWING IS A RECONCILIATION OF THE COMPANY S ANNUAL OUTLOOK FOR ADJUSTED EBITDA TO THE COMPANY S OUTLOOK FOR THE MOST COMPARABLE U.S. GAAP PERFORMANCE MEASURE, INCOME (LOSS) FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS: (in thousands) Year Ending December 31, 2018 Expected income (loss) from continuing operations range 1 $ 45,000 to 55,000 Expected adjustments: Stock-based compensation 97,000 Depreciation and amortization 110,000 Other (income) expense, net 21,000 Provision (benefit) for income taxes 7,000 Total expected adjustments 235,000 Expected Adjusted EBITDA range $ 280,000 to 290,000 (1) The expected income (loss) from continuing operations range does not reflect the potential impact of any business or asset acquisitions or dispositions, changes in the fair values of investments, foreign currency gains or losses or unusual or infrequently occurring items that may occur during the remainder of 2018. 17

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS CONT D NON-GAAP EARNINGS PER SHARE AND NON-GAAP EARNINGS THE FOLLOWING IS A RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME (LOSS) ATTRIBUTABLE TO COMMON STOCKHOLDERS TO NON-GAAP NET INCOME (LOSS) ATTRIBUTABLE TO COMMON STOCKHOLDERS AND A RECONCILIATION OF DILUTED NET INCOME (LOSS) PER SHARE TO NON-GAAP NET INCOME (LOSS) PER SHARE: (in thousands, except share and per share amounts) Three Months Ended March 31, 2017 Three Months Ended March 31, 2018 Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders $ (24,414) $ (6,888) Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest (4,032) (4,093) Net income (loss) (20,382) (2,795) Less: Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax 487 Income (loss) from continuing operations (20,869) (2,795) Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes 4,587 (2,335) Income (loss) from continuing operations before provision (benefit) for income taxes (16,282) (5,130) Stock-based compensation 19,701 19,326 Amortization of acquired intangible assets 5,400 2,940 Acquisition-related expense (benefit), net 12 Restructuring charges 2,731 283 Losses (gains), net from changes in fair value of investments (303) 5,033 Intercompany foreign currency losses (gains) and reclassifications of translation adjustments to earnings (110) (3,427) Non-cash interest expense on convertible senior notes 2,587 2,866 Non-GAAP income (loss) from continuing operations before provision (benefit) for income taxes 13,736 21,891 Non-GAAP provision (benefit) for income taxes 4,532 1,561 Non-GAAP net income (loss) 9,204 20,330 Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest (4,032) (4,093) Non-GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders $ 5,172 $ 16,237 Weighted-average shares of common stock - diluted 562,195,243 561,735,937 Incremental dilutive securities 7,527,970 9,955,028 Weighted-average shares of common stock - non-gaap 569,723,213 571,690,965 Diluted net loss per share $ (0.04) $ (0.01) Impact of non-gaap adjustments and related tax effects 0.05 0.04 Non-GAAP net income per share $ 0.01 $ 0.03 18

NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS CONT D FREE CASH FLOW THE FOLLOWING IS A RECONCILIATION OF FREE CASH FLOW TO THE MOST COMPARABLE U.S. GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURE, NET CASH PROVIDED BY (USED IN) OPERATING ACTIVITIES FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS : (in thousands) 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities from continuing $ (49,812) $ (40,242) $ 295,578 $ (138,086) $ (19,390) $ 21,772 $ 266,249 $ (119,747) operations 1 Purchases of property and equipment and capitalized software from continuing operations (16,499) (12,682) (19,254) (14,076) (15,385) (14,255) (15,442) (20,144) Free Cash Flow 1 $ (66,311) $ (52,924) $ 276,324 $ (152,162) $ (34,775) $ 7,517 $ 250,807 $ (139,891) Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities from continuing operations Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities $ (18,957) $ (11,902) $ (4,049) $ (14,020) $ (13,782) $ 18,230 $ (15,751) $ (20,382) $ 169,225 $ (38,342) $ (67,533) $ (45,726) $ (47,924) $ (27,972) $ (16,424) $ (20,899) (1) Prior period cash flows from operating activities of continuing operations has been updated from negative $51.0 million, negative $39.9 million, $294.6 million, negative $136.2 million, negative $20.7 million, $23.9 million and $270.6 million previously reported for the three months ended June 30, 2016, September 30, 2016, December 31, 2016, March 31, 2017, June 30, 2017, September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2017, respectively, and prior period free cash flow has been updated from negative $67.5 million, $52.6 million, $275.3 million, negative $150.3 million, negative $36.1 million, $9.6 million and $255.1 million previously reported for the three months ended June 30, 2016, September 30, 2016, December 31, 2017, March 31, 2017, June 30, 2017, September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2017, respectively, to reflect the adoption of ASU 2016-18, Statement of Cash Flows (Topic 230) - Restricted Cash, on January 1, 2018. For additional information on the adoption of ASU 2016-18, refer to Note 2, Adoption of New Accounting Standards, in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2018. 19

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