Press Conference Q2-17. Johan Torgeby President & CEO 14 July, 2017

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Transcription:

Press Conference Q2-17 Johan Torgeby President & CEO 14 July, 2017

Strong equity markets and improved market sentiment combined with low volatility and tightening of credit spreads CDS Spreads Swedish Financial Entities 100 SEB 5Y CDS Swedbank 5Y CDS Nordea 5Y CDS SHB 5Y CDS 130 Equity market Swedish and Nordic OMX Stockholm PI OMX Nordic EUR PI Economic Tendency Survey (KI barometern) 115 KI Barometern Very Negative Outlook Very Positive Outlook Neutral Economic Outlook 80 120 108 110 60 100 100 40 90 93 20 2016-04 2016-08 2016-12 2017-04 80 2016-04 2016-08 2016-12 2017-04 85 2016-04 2016-08 2016-12 2017-04 2

Solid financial performance in the first half-year Underlying Reported Profit & Loss, (SEK m) H1 2017 H1 2016* % H1 2017 H1 2016 % Total Operating income 22,609 20,838 8 22,609 21,358 6 Total Operating expenses -10,909-10,748 1-10,909-16,697-35 Net credit losses etc. -490-581 -16-490 -581-16 Operating profit 11,210 9,509 18 11,210 4,080 175 Credit loss level Cost/income ratio Common Equity Tier 1 Return on Equity 6bps 0.48 18.9 % 12.6% * Note: Excluding items affecting comparability: SEB Baltic Visa transaction of SEK +0.5bn and goodwill impairments and restructuring activities of SEK -5.9bn in 2016 3

Similar customer activity as in the first quarter Underlying Reported Profit & Loss, (SEK m) Q2 2017 Q1 2017 % Q2 2016* % Q2 2016 % Total Operating income 11,405 11,204 2 10,616 7 11,136 ## 2 Total Operating expenses -5,473-5,436 1-5,332 3-5,332 3 Net credit losses etc. -252-238 6-268 -6-268 -6 Operating profit 5,681 5,529 3 5,016 13 5,536 3 Credit loss level Cost/income ratio Common Equity Tier 1 Return on Equity 6bps 0.48 18.9 % 13.2% * Note: Excluding items affecting comparability: SEB Baltic Visa transaction of SEK +0.5bn in Q2 2016 4

Robust net interest income development, excl. item affecting comparability Net interest income Jan-Jun 2017 vs. Jan Jun 2016 +4% 4.4 9.6 9.3 H1 2016 H1 2017 Excluding SEK -82m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015. Net interest income type Q2 2015 Q2 2017 Lending 4.6 Deposits Funding & other 5.3 Q2-15 Q2-16 Q2-17 0.2 0.5 0.1 Q2-15 Q2-16 Q2-17 0.0-0.4-0.5 Q2-15 Q2-16 Q2-17 Highlights Stable margins on lending, increase driven by credit volume increases Digital improvements spurred growth in household mortgage market Deposit trend continues, impact from negative rates Resolution fund fee adjusted to reflect lower risk factor 5

Strong net fee and commission income Net fee and commissions Jan-Jun 2017 vs. Jan Jun 2016 +12% 8.0 9.0 H1 2016 H1 2017 Gross fee and commissions by income type Q2 2015 Q2 2017 Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives 2.1 Custody and mutual funds 2.2 1.8 2.1 Q2-15 Q2-16 Q2-17 Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees 2.5 Life insurance fees 1.2 1.2 Q2-15 Q2-16 Q2-17 2.3 2.4 Q2-15 Q2-16 Q2-17 0.4 0.4 0.4 Q2 Q2-16 Q2-17 Highlights Strong momentum driven by primary markets in DCM, ECM, and M&A, but somewhat lower lending activity Higher asset values in AuC and AuM SEK 41bn of net inflows in the first six months Seasonal uptick in payments and cards QoQ 6

Low volatility muted activity in the second quarter, excl. item affecting comparability Net financial income Jan-Jun 2017 vs. Jan-Jun 2016 Net financial income development Q2 2015 Q2 2017 +14% 1.8 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 1.5 3.1 3.5 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Reduced volatility 40 30 20 10 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 H1 2016 H1 2017 VIX S&P 500 volatility Excluding SEK -820m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015. 7

Operating leverage back on track Excluding items affecting comparability Average quarterly income () 9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 10.9 11.2 10.8 11.3 Average quarterly expenses () 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016 Jan-Jun 2017 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016 Jan-Jun 2017 Average quarterly profit before credit losses () 3.4 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.5 5.7 5.4 5.9 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016 Jan-Jun 2017 Excluding items affecting comparability (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and Euroline in 2014, Swiss withholding tax in 2015, Goodwill impairment, other one-off cost items and SEB Baltic VISA transaction in 2016) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010 8

Large Corporates & Financial Institutions Operating profit & key figures* Corporate & Private Customers Operating profit & key figures H1 2016 H1 2017 4.6 4.5 RoBE 10.2% (11.5) Business Equity 66.2 (61.0) H1 2016 H1 2017 3.5 4.1 RoBE 15.1% (14.9) Business Equity 40.7 (36.5) Higher customer activity, especially in the primary equity and bond markets Low volatility decreased markets related income Balanced lending growth with a positive net inflow of corporate customers Inflow of private customers combined with pick up in household lending growth * Excluding items affecting comparability in 2016 9

Baltic Banking Operating profit & key figures* Life & Investment Management Operating profit & key figures H1 2016 H1 2017 RoBE 23.2% (18.3) H1 2016 H1 2017 RoBE 26.1% (21.2) 0.8 1.0 Business Equity 7.7 (7.6) 1.4 1.7 Business Equity 11.0 (11.6) Continued improvement in business sentiment in all segments and loan growth in all countries Increased usage of mobile services. Smart-ID and Remote advisory launched Net inflow of AuM SEK 41bn across all customer segments Sustainability products see increased demand and traction across from customers * Excluding items affecting comparability in 2016 10

SEB aims to be a role model in sustainability within the financial industry Market leader in green bonds Active ownership/board diversity MyFootprint Visualize carbon footprint Pilot - summer 2017 SEB has six microfinance funds Sustainometer Sustainability ranking for stocks Pilot Autumn 2017

Better customer experience when buying a home Becoming a customer online Key business effects so far fields in mortgage application -49% completed digital mortgage applications 2x Key business effects so far # of pages in agreement 27 1 Time to onboard % of new customers are onboarded digitally 30 min 20% 2 min 12

Piloting blockchain payments Analytics to Large Corporate clients Customer feedback during pilot: The service will simplify our internal reporting and support strategic decision making Transaction time From ~60 min- 2days To ~10 sec provides a good overview of our fast expanding business The tool allows for new possibilities to analyze liquidity trends over time 13

Capital Funding and liquidity Asset quality Strong asset quality and balance sheet () 2009 2016 June 2017 Non-performing loans 28.6bn 7.6bn 7.8bn NPL coverage ratio 65% 63% 61% Net credit loss level 0.92% 0.07% 0.06% Customer deposits 750bn 962bn 1 084bn Liquidity coverage ratio N.A. 168% 120% CET 1 ratio (Basel 3) 11.7% 18.8% 18.9% Basel 2.5 Total capital ratio (Basel 3) 14.7% 24.8% 25.7% Basel 2.5 Leverage ratio (Basel 3) N.A. 5.1% 5.0% 14

Highlights First half year 2017 Solid performance through diversified business mix, robust capital position and strong asset quality Improved market sentiment increased customer activity but very low volatility muted hedging activity Transformation initiatives continue to enhance the customer experience and operating efficiency 15

The journey towards world-class service to our customers continues 16