Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Industrials Conference 2018 March 2018

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Transcription:

Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Industrials Conference 2018 March 2018

Safe Harbor This presentation includes forward-looking statements which are statements that are not historical facts, including statements that relate to the mix of and demand for our products; performance of the markets in which we operate; our share repurchase program including the amount of shares to be repurchased and timing of such repurchases; our capital allocation strategy including projected acquisitions; our projected 2018 full-year financial performance and targets and our projected 2017 to 2020 financial performance and targets including assumptions regarding our effective tax rate. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. Such factors include, but are not limited to, global economic conditions, the outcome of any litigation, demand for our products and services, and tax law changes and interpretations. Additional factors that could cause such differences can be found in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, as well as our subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and other SEC filings. We assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. This presentation also includes non-gaap financial information which should be considered supplemental to, not a substitute for, or superior to, the financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. The definitions of our non-gaap financial information are included as an appendix in our presentation and reconciliations can be found in our earnings releases for the relevant periods located on our website at www.ingersollrand.com. All data beyond the fourth quarter of 2017 are estimates. 2

A Global Leader in Energy Efficiency and Productivity Two Segments (Revenues 2017) Key Metrics Manufacturing locations worldwide 53 Industrial $3.0B $11.2B Climate Employees ~46,000 Market cap ~$23B # of countries we sell products 100+ 3

Diversified Business With High Aftermarket Mix Segment Distribution Regional Mix Revenue Streams 4% Latin America Industrial 13% 15% Asia Pacific Europe, Middle East, Africa 33% Parts and Services $14.2B 68% North America 67% Equipment Climate All figures are FY 2017. 4

Leading Brands and Market Positions Commercial HVAC Residential HVAC Transport Refrigeration World leader in HVAC Leader in heating and air conditioning solutions World leader in refrigerated transportation Industrial and Process Fluid Handling Golf and Utility Vehicles Leader in compression technologies, specialty tools & material handling World leader in reliable fluid handling equipment A world leader in small electric vehicles 5

Climate Segment: Diversified and Resilient Performance Segment Mix Regional Mix Revenue Streams 4% Latin America Transport Refrigeration Commercial HVAC Equipment 11% 14% Asia Pacific Europe, Middle East, Africa 31% Parts and Services Residential HVAC $11.2B 71% North America 69% Equipment Commercial HVAC Service Parts & Contracting High and growing recurring revenue streams services / parts Balanced mix of services, energy services, connected buildings, residential and transport solutions All figures are FY 2017. 6

Industrial Segment: Diversified and Resilient Performance Business Units Regional Mix Revenue Streams Small Electric Vehicles Industrial Comp. 3% 5% 17% India Latin America Europe, ME, Africa 37% Parts and Service Industrial Products 1 $3.0B Engineered Comp. 19% 56% Asia Pacific North America 63% Equipment Parts & Service Compression Technologies & Services 1. Industrial Products includes Power Tools, Fluid Management, and Material Handling. All figures are FY 2017. 7

Robust Financial Model Drives Powerful Cash Flow 1. Attractive, diversified end markets 2. Leading brands, market positions outgrowing market rates $4.5 billion free cash flow over the last 4 years 5. Investing for growth and profitability 3. Focused on margin expansion (growth / op. excellence) 4. Delivering powerful free cash flow 8

Driving Sustained Growth and Operating Margin Improvement In Billions Revenue Adjusted EPS $15 $14 $13 $12 4% CAGR $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 11% CAGR $11 $1.00 $10 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F $0.00 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F FCF% of Adj Net Income Adjusted Operating Margin 140% 120% 100% Target >=100% 18% 15% 12% 9% +1.7 Ppts 80% 6% 3% 60% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2016 Adj Op Margin retrospectively restated for the adoption of accounting standard ASU 2017-07 on January 1, 2017. Non-service pension costs that were previously reported in COGS and SG&A expense are now reported in other income/expense, net. This has no net impact to EPS. 2018F reflects guidance midpoint from January31, 2018; NOT AN UPDATE 9

Dynamic and Balanced Capital Deployment Focused on Maximizing Shareholder Value $6.6 Billion 2014-2017 Capital Expenditures Dividends Share Buyback Mergers & Acquisitions ~$900M Capex ~$1.4B dividends paid ~22% CAGR dividend per share Long history of growing dividend $2.9B 44 million shares repurchased ~$1.4B on 22 acquisitions through Jan 2018 announcements 10

Outlook

Ingersoll Rand 2020 Targets* Year-End 2017 to 2020 Targets Revenue Growth ~4% to ~4.5% CAGR Operating Margins ~14.5% to ~15% in 2020 EPS Growth ~11% to ~13% CAGR Based on ~22% tax rate Free Cash Flow (% Net Income) >=1.0 times Balanced Cap Deployment of Excess Cash - Competitive and Growing Dividend - Share buyback - M&A ~100% of FCF on avg. * Information from May 2017 Ingersoll Rand Analyst Day --- NOT AN UPDATE OR REAFFIRMATION 12

Consistent Strategy Execution Delivers Profitable Growth and Powerful Cash Flow 1. Sustained Growth 2. Operational Excellence 3. Dynamic Capital Allocation 4. Winning Culture Differentiated products and services deliver top-tier revenue growth Margin improvement and powerful cash flow Reinvestment, dividends, share repurchase and acquisitions Commitment to integrity, ingenuity and engagement Strong, globally recognized brands Leading market shares Well positioned in both geographic and end markets Stable and recurring free cash flow: $4.5B past 4 Years 13

Global Mega Trends Play to Our Strengths Global Mega Trends Climate change Urbanization Natural resource scarcity Digital connectedness and technologies Our Strengths Reduce energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions Improve efficiency in: Buildings Industrial processes Transportation 14

Significant Ongoing Business Investments Support Growth and Profitability Business Investments ~20% Key Examples ~70 major new products throughout the world in 2017 New low-global warming potential refrigerants Digital / controls / wireless technology Channel expansion Parts and services capabilities / offerings Sales and services capabilities Operational excellence initiatives 2014 2017 15

Growth and Profitability Opportunities from Ongoing Business Investments Subset of Incremental Opportunities Contributing to 2020 Targets* ~$200M ~$400M ~$300M ~$100M Climate Variable Refrigerant Flow Energy Services Digital Customer Experience Auxiliary Power Unit ~$40M Operating Income ~$100M ~$175M ~$90M Industrial Engineered to Order Personal Transportation Compression Tech Services Industrial Products * Information from May 2017 Ingersoll Rand Analyst Day --- NOT AN UPDATE OR REAFFIRMATION 16

Business Operating System Delivers Results 1 2 Drive innovation and productivity Proven & unique system to accelerate profitable growth 3 Committed to sustainability and energy efficiency 4 Focus on employee engagement 17

Widely Recognized for Global Citizenship, Sustainability, Diversity and Inclusion and Employee Engagement Citizenship Sustainability Diversity and Inclusion Corporate Responsibility magazine 100 Best Corporate Citizens list for 4 th consecutive year 2017 Dow Jones Sustainability World and North America for 7 th consecutive year Employee Engagement Manufacturing Industry Top Quartile Fortune World s Most Admired list for 6 th year FTSE4Good Index Series for 3 rd consecutive year Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations 1 st year Manufacturing Industry Average 18-point increase in Employee Engagement over five years 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 18

Why Invest In Ingersoll Rand? Strategy Brands Innovation Performance Cash Flow Capital Allocation Strategy tied to attractive end markets supported by global mega trends Franchise brands and businesses with leadership market positions Sustained business investments delivering innovation and growth, operating excellence and improving margins Experienced management and high performing team culture Operating model delivers powerful cash flow Capital allocation priorities deliver strong shareholder returns 19

Fourth-Quarter 2017 Results January 31, 2018

Highlights Continue to execute our strategy with solid 2017 results and 2018 guidance End markets remain healthy with strong organic bookings and revenue growth in Q4 across the businesses; market outlooks support continued growth in 2018 Leading brands and services supported by business investments continuing to yield growth in all major product categories; expect continued growth in 2018 Operational excellence driven by the company s business operating system delivering 10 bps adj op margin expansion and strong free cash flow of 118% of adjusted net income in 2017 Looking to 2018, expect leverage to improve, driving >50 bps margin expansion at our guidance midpoint Balanced capital allocation delivered continued business investments, a strong and growing dividend, strategic acquisitions and significant share repurchases in 2017. Will continue balanced deployment of excess cash going forward On track to achieve long term targets set forth at May 2017 investor day Experienced management and high-performing team culture 21

Consistent Progress Against Key Metrics* Net Revenue 2017 Guidance ~2% reported ~3% organic Full Year 2017 $14,198M Versus 2016 +5% reported +5% organic Adj. Operating Margin* 12.2% to 12.6% 12.2% +10 bps Adj. Continuing EPS* $4.30 to $4.50 $4.51 +9% Free Cash Flow* $1.1B to $1.2B >100% adj. net income $1.3B >100% adj. net income -2% Capital Allocation ~$1.9B ~$1.9B +$1.3B FCF was 118% of adjusted net income* Raised dividend above earnings growth rate up 12.5% in 2017 Spent / committed ~$460M to strategic acquisitions Repurchased ~11.8M shares for $1B in 2017 * Includes certain Non-GAAP financial measures. See the company s Q4 2017 earnings release for additional details and reconciliations. 22

Key Takeaways Q4 2017 Solid operating results Adjusted continuing EPS of $1.02, up 21% year over year Strong full year free cash flow of $1.3 billion (118% of adjusted net income) Broad based strength in organic bookings and revenue Industrial bookings up 12% with low-teens growth in Compressor, Club Car and Industrial Products Climate bookings up 7% with particular strength in Commercial and Residential HVAC Industrial business continues to strengthen ahead of expectations Adjusted operating margins up 160 bps with 5 percent organic revenue growth Organic revenue growth in compressor aftermarket, service and installation up high-single digits Balanced capital allocation Annualized dividend payout of $1.80 / share; ~2% dividend yield. Increased dividend 12.5% in 2017 Repurchased $1B or 11.8M shares in 2017 ($106M in Q4) ~$460M spent or committed over the last 12 months to strategic acquisitions mainly channel & technology * Includes certain Non-GAAP financial measures. See the company s Q4 2017 earnings release for additional details and reconciliations. 23

Q4 2017 Strong Operational Performance Overcoming Headwinds $3,359 Net Revenue +8% +6% Organic $3,618 Adj. Operating Margin* +20 bps 11.1% 10.9% Adjusted EPS* +21% $1.02 $0.84 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Highlights Gains in volume, price and productivity offset by headwinds from material inflation Industrial business operating performance continues to improve * Includes certain Non-GAAP financial measures. See the company s Q4 2017 earnings release for additional details and reconciliations. 24

Q4 2017 Strong Organic Bookings Growth in Industrial and North America, Europe and China HVAC Y-O-Y % Change Reported Organic* Q1 2016 1% 4% Q2 2% 3% Q4 2% 3% Q4 6% 7% Q1 2017 6% 7% Climate Commercial HVAC C + high-single digits - N. America + low teens - L. America - low-single digits - EMEA + high-single digits - Asia + low-single digits Residential HVAC Transport Y-O-Y Change in Organic* Bookings + low teens - low-single digits Total + 7% Q2 3% 4% Q3 6% 5% Q4 10% 8% *Organic bookings excludes acquisitions and currency Industrial Compression Tech Industrial Products Small Elec. Vehicle + low teens + low teens + low teens Total + 12% 25

E N T E R P R I S E Innovation, Operational Excellence and Productivity Remain Strong +20 bps 10.9% 1.0 (0.8) 0.6 (0.6) 11.1% (~50 bps) CHVAC Asia; China penetration of underserved markets 4Q 2016 Volume / Mix / FX Price/Material Inflation Productivity/Other Adjusted Operating Inflation Margin Investment/Other 4Q 2017 Adjusted Operating Margin Highlights Op margin expansion from price / volume / mix and productivity partially offset by material inflation Continued success in China market penetration strategy impacting mix / price / material inflation spread in Q4. Expect improved mix / price and lower inflation netting less headwind in 2018 Corp costs down ~20 bps against unusually high corp costs in Q4 2016 Impacted by timing of investments in high ROI projects - products, systems, services, channel 26

C L I M A T E S E G M E N T Q4 Broad-Based Revenue Growth; Material Inflation Headwinds $2,559 Net Revenue +8% +6% Organic $2,760 Adj. Operating Margin* -80 bps 13.7% 12.9% Adj. OI + D&A %** -70 bps 15.9% 15.2% Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Highlights Broad-based revenue growth across all businesses Lower margins the result of material inflation headwinds * Adjusted operating margin excludes restructuring in 2016 and 2017. See tables in Q4 2107 news release for additional information. ** Adjusted OI + D&A divided by revenue. This excludes restructuring in 2016 and 2017. See tables in Q4 2017 news release for additional information. 27

I N D U S T R I A L S E G M E N T Q4 Solid Margin Expansion and Revenue Growth Net Revenue Adj. Operating Margin* Adj. OI + D&A %** $800 +7% +5% Organic $858 11.6% +160 bps 13.2% 13.7% +190 bps 15.6% Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Q4 '16 Q4 '17 Highlights Strong revenue growth in service & install, Industrial Products and Small Electric Vehicles Solid margin expansion driven by ongoing improvement in business operating performance * Adjusted operating margin excludes restructuring in 2016 and 2017. See tables in Q4 2017 news release for additional information. ** Adjusted OI + D&A divided by revenue. This excludes restructuring in 2016 and 2017. See tables in Q4 2017 news release for additional information. 28

Balanced Execution of Dynamic Capital Allocation Plan in 2017 1 Invest for Growth Strengthen the core business and extend product & market leadership Invest in new technology and innovation Strategic acquisitions of ~$460M spent / committed to date including Jan 2018 announcements 2 Maintain Healthy, Efficient Balance Sheet Strong year-end balance sheet, maintaining optionality as markets evolve, preserving liquidity and managing leverage Maintained BBB investment grade rating 3 Return Capital to Shareholders Dividends of $1.80/share annualized; paid $430M in dividends in 2017 Raised dividend 12.5% in 2017; continued growth expected at or above rate of earnings growth going forward Repurchased $1B in shares in 2017 or 11.8M shares Plan to continue balanced deployment of excess cash in the future 29

Impact of U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act U.S. Tax Legislation ~$221M primarily non-cash net benefits related to U.S. tax legislation Benefits from deferred tax liabilities revaluations and other items more than offset the repatriation tax Revaluation of deferred tax liabilities from 35% tax rate to 21% Tax rate for 2018 and beyond largely unchanged and in the low 20 s Rate for 2018 expected to be 21% to 22% Historically maintained efficient tax structure as an Irish plc; overall tax rate outlook has not changed materially under the new tax law Additionally, recorded ~$20M of discrete tax benefits during the quarter unrelated to tax reform 30

Guidance as of January 31, 2018 NOT AN UPDATE OR REAFFIRMATION

2018 Forecast for End-Market Performance as of January 31, 2018 NOT AN UPDATE End Markets Commercial HVAC Residential HVAC Transport Compression-related & Industrial Products Golf / Utility / Consumer Organic Revenue Americas EMEA Asia Guidance Up mid-single digits Up mid-single digits Up low-single digits Up mid-single digits Up mid-single digits 32

2018 Enterprise Guidance as of January 31, 2018 NOT AN UPDATE Climate Revenue Reported Revenue Organic FY Guidance 5.0% to 5.5% 3.0% to 3.5% Adjusted Operating Margin 14.6% to 15.1% Industrial Revenue Reported Revenue Organic 5.5% to 6.0% 3.5% to 4.0% Adjusted Operating Margin 12.5% to 13.0% Total Revenue Reported Revenue Organic* 5.0% to 5.5% 3.0% to 3.5% Adjusted Operating Margin 12.5% to 13.0% * Adjusted for ~1% from FX and ~1% from acquisitions 33

2018 Guidance: Full-year Continuing Adjusted EPS $5.00 to $5.20 as of January 31, 2018 NOT AN UPDATE Y-O-Y change in revenue Reported Organic Full Year 5.0% to 5.5% 3.0% to 3.5% EPS continuing $4.80 to $5.00 Restructuring (add back) ($0.20) EPS continuing adjusted $5.00 to $5.20 EPS discontinued ($0.14) Share Count Millions ~250* Free Cash Flow $1.2B to $1.3B Tax Rate 21% to 22% Corporate costs CAPEX ~$250M ~$300M * ~250M FY 2018 share count assumes $500M in share repurchases for modeling purposes 34

Appendix

M&A Framework Clear Criteria Business Criteria Financial Criteria Strong position no major gaps to fill Strengthening our core or extend leadership in product, channel or technology Must be clear strategic fit for Ingersoll Rand and clear synergies to meet financial hurdles Focused on core bolt-on opportunities; adjacent opportunities also under review IRR > WACC ROIC: Accretive < 3 years EPS accretive < 3 years Cash payback period: < 5 years 36

Our Climate Businesses COMMERCIAL HVAC Air conditioning systems, services and solutions. Innovative solutions geared toward making high performance buildings reliable and safe, as well as healthy, comfortable and efficient RESIDENTIAL HVAC Heating, cooling, thermostat controls and home automation for the residential market TRANSPORT REFRIGERATION Manufacturing and innovation of transport temperature control systems for a variety of mobile applications, including trailers, truck bodies, buses, shipboard containers and rail cars HVAC SERVICES AND PARTS A complete selection of innovative parts, options and accessories for optimal performance and reliability 37

Our Industrial Businesses COMPRESSION TECHNOLOGIES AND SERVICES Rotary, centrifugal and reciprocating air compressors, and treatment products with Comprehensive multiyear service agreements, audits, parts, and accessories SMALL ELECTRIC VEHICLES Golf, commercial and utility vehicles for transportation POWER TOOLS Professional tools for fastening, drilling, and surface preparation MATERIAL HANDLING Hoists, winches and systems for moving and positioning loads FLUID MANAGEMENT Pumps and systems for fluid handling, transfer, and application 38

Non-GAAP Measures Definitions Organic bookings is defined as reported orders closed/completed in the current period adjusted for the impact of currency and acquisitions. Organic revenue is defined as GAAP net revenues adjusted for the impact of currency and acquisitions. Currency impacts on net revenues and bookings are measured by applying the prior year s foreign currency exchange rates to the current period s net revenues and bookings reported in local currency. This measure allows for a direct comparison of operating results excluding the year-over-year impact of foreign currency translation. Adjusted operating income is defined as GAAP operating income plus restructuring expenses. Please refer to the reconciliation of GAAP to non-gaap measures on tables 3 and 4 of the news release. Adjusted operating margin is defined as the ratio of adjusted operating income divided by net revenues. In 2017 Adjusted continuing EPS is defined as GAAP continuing EPS plus restructuring expenses, net of tax impacts, plus the discrete non-cash tax adjustment in Latin America less US tax legislation and other discrete items. In 2016 Adjusted continuing EPS is defined as GAAP continuing EPS plus restructuring expenses and a legal settlement, less the gain from the sale of the company s remaining interest in Hussmann, net of tax impacts. Please refer to the reconciliation of GAAP to non-gaap measures on tables 3 and 4 of the news release. Cash flow return on invested capital ( Cash flow ROIC ) is defined as annual free cash flow divided by the sum of gross fixed assets, receivables and inventory less accounts payables Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities, less capital expenditures, plus cash payments for restructuring. Please refer to the free cash flow reconciliation on table 9 of the news release. 39

Non-GAAP Measures Definitions Working capital measures a firm s operating liquidity position and its overall effectiveness in managing the enterprises current accounts. Working capital is calculated by adding net accounts and notes receivables and inventories and subtracting total current liabilities that exclude short term debt, dividend payables and income tax payables. Working capital as a percent of revenue is calculated by dividing the working capital balance (e.g. as of December 31) by the annualized revenue for the period (e.g. reported revenues for the three months ended December 31) multiplied by 4 to annualize for a full year). Adjusted effective tax rate for 2017 is defined as the ratio of income tax expense, plus or minus the tax effect of adjustments for restructuring costs and the discrete non-cash tax adjustment in Latin America and US tax legislation and other discrete items, divided by earnings from continuing operations before income taxes plus restructuring expenses. Adjusted effective tax rate for 2016 is defined as the ratio of income tax expense, plus or minus the tax effect of adjustments for restructuring costs, a legal settlement and the gain on sale of Hussmann interest, divided by earnings from continuing operations before income taxes less the gain on sale of Hussmann interest plus restructuring expenses and a legal settlement. This measure allows for a direct comparison of the effective tax rate between periods. Adjusted OI + D&A is defined as adjusted operating income plus depreciation and amortization expense. Operating leverage is defined as the ratio of the change in adjusted operating income for the current period (e.g. Q4 2017) less the prior period (e.g. Q4 2016), divided by the change in net revenues for the current period less the prior period. 40