Board of Directors Zurich, 24 March, 2009 Dufry Presentation - Full Year 2009 Results

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Transcription:

Dufry Presentation - Full Year 2009 Results March 2010 1

Legal Disclaimer Information in this presentation may involve guidance, expectations, beliefs, plans, intentions or strategies regarding the future. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements included in this release are based on information available to Dufry AG (the Company or DAG ) as of the date of this release, and we assume no duty to update any such forward-looking statements. Factors that could affect the Company s forward-looking statements include, among other things: global GDP trends, competition in the markets in which the Company operates, unfavorable changes in airline passenger traffic, unfavorable changes in taxation and restrictions on the duty-free sale in countries where the company operates. Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or to any US person. In addition, neither this document nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into Canada or Australia or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. 2

Agenda 1. Overview FY 2009 Results 2. Dufry Strategy 2010 2015 3. Dufry Fundamentals 4. Financials 5. Conclusion 3

1. Overview FY 2009 Results 4

Full Year 2009 Results Strong Numbers in a Tough Economic Environment Turnover and EBITDA Evolution CHF million 2,400 12.5% 2,379 2,200 2,000 9.5% 1,930 2,114 Turnover +13% to CHF 2,379m 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 - EBITDA margin 34.4% 1,436 51.2% 11.7% 24.0% 950 851 686 13.1% 2.6% 61.6% 60.3% 19.5% 71.4% 259 293 301 160 49 84 100 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 7.1% 9.9% 10.5% 11.2% 13.4% 13.9% 12.7% EBITDA Turnover Gross margin improved to 55.9% from 54.5% EBITDA (1) CHF 301.1m resulting in an EBITDA margin of 12.7% Note: (1) EBITDA before other operational result 5

Proven Track Record of Delivering Growth 40 countries 145 airports 1,097 shops Dufry Key Facts Around 340 concessions Retail space of over 146,000 sqm World-wide employee base of 11,200 people Listed on the SIX Swiss Stock Exchange since December 2005 Evolution of Dufry 2003 2009 Notes: (1) EBITDA before other operational result 2003 2009 Growth CAGR % Countries 25 40 60% 8% Airports 47 145 209% 21% Shops 227 1'097 383% 30% Retail Surface (sqm) 36'750 146'000 297% 26% Turnover (CHFm) 686 2'379 247% 23% EBITDA (1) (CHFm) 49 301 514% 35% 6

Update on Strategy Dufry per Region FY 2009 North America Developed Markets 29% Africa 8% South America 26% Emerging Markets Europe 14% Eurasia & Asia 10% Central America & Caribbean 13% Dufry by Product FY 2009 Electronics; 3% Tobacco goods; 8% Watches & jewelry; 11% Literature & Publications ; 13% Other; 11% Wine & spirits; 14% Perfumes & cosmetics; 22% Food; 18% Dufry by Sector FY 2009 Dufry per Channel FY 2009 Railway stations & other 5% Duty paid 37% Duty free 63% Downtown hotel & resorts 4% Cruise liners & seaports 6% Airports 85% 7

Leading Global Travel Retailer Mediterranean Corridor Asia Corridor Latin America Corridor 8

Long-Term Concession Portfolio with High Exposure to Emerging Markets Net Sales by Duration of Contracts FY 2009 Diversified Portfolio 6-9 years 25% 9 + years 24% 1-2 years 11% 3-5 years 40% Diversified portfolio with more than 340 contracts 49% of sales based on contracts with a remaining lifetime of 6 years or more 24% of sales based on contracts with 10 years or more Approx. 60% of turnover and 70% of EBITDA in emerging markets Leading positions in South America, Central America & Caribbean, Africa and North America Recent expansions in China, Mexico, Italy and Honduras 9

Performance of Efficiency Plan 2009 Spend per PAX Gross Margin Concession fees Full Year 2009 Targets Maintain productivity Maintain gross margin existing business Improve Hudson gross margin by 100bps Effective to 31 December, 2009 Caribbean (jewelry & watches), Swine Flu Gross margin to 55.9% from 54.5% year-on-year Hudson margin improvement achieved Personnel expenses Other expenses Net Working Capital Cost savings: 25 million Improve NWC by 10% Savings achieved compared to FY 2008: CHF 39 million (1) Improve NWC to 6.4% of turnover from 10.4% Capex Target Capex CHF 50m vs. 100m initially planned Capex: CHF 58.3 million Note: (1) Includes synergies Hudson integration 10

2. Dufry Strategy 2010 2015 11

Dufry 2010-2015 Strategic Pillars True Retailer with Local Market Knowledge Development 2003-2009 High-Quality Concession Portfolio Disciplined Approach to Profitable Growth Organic Growth CAGR 7% New Concessions CAGR 6% Enhance Central Functions to Improve Profitability Preferred Partner for longterm Business Relationships Acquisitions CAGR 13% TOP-LINE GROWTH (1) CAGR 26% Strategic Markets - Diversification Gross Margin 46.4% to 55.9% EBITDA Margin 7.1% to 12.7% Mediterranean Corridor Latin America Corridor Asia Corridor MID TERM PLAN 2010-12 Note: (1) On constant FX rates; FX effect -3% CAGR TARGETS 2010: Strength of balance sheet as basis for profitable growth 12

Focus on Profitable Growth Targets 2010 Focus on Profitable Growth Organic growth Passenger numbers Productivity improvements External growth New retail surface added in 2009 or signed for 2010 Materialize strong project pipeline Managing on Fundamentals Managing the company based on fundamentals Operating performance as key driver Sustainability of efficiencies achieved in 2009 Gross margin improvement Full control of cost Emphasize Cash generation Deployment of free cash flow Return on Capital Strength of balance sheet as basis for profitable growth 13

3. Dufry Fundamentals 14

Global Growth Opportunities Passengers Significant historic and projected growth in all areas Productivity Organic growth Penetration Improved retail concept Marketing and branding Average spend per transaction Product mix Pricing New concessions Acquisitions Spend per Passenger 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% 14% 10% CAGR 7% 8% 17% Dec '04 Dec '05 Dec '06 Dec '07 Dec '08 Dec '09 5% Average growth of 6% p.a. Average growth of 13% p.a. Growth driven by a combination of Strong organic growth with its global, balanced portfolio Broad skill set of management enables DAG to win new concessions in mature regions and emerging markets Successful execution of value-enhancing M&A targets Note: (1) On constant FX rates; FX effect -3% p.a. -10% TOP-LINE GROWTH: 26% p.a. (1) 15

Capture Passenger Growth Air4casts International PAX Forecast Global PAX by Region 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 EUROPE 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% NORTH AMERICA 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% LATIN AMERICA 7.8% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% ASIA/ PACIFIC 9.8% 5.7% 5.6% 5.6% MIDDLE EAST 12.1% 8.1% 7.5% 7.0% AFRICA 7.0% 5.1% 4.8% 4.6% TOTAL 4.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% Source: Air4cast; February 2010 North America 33% Latin America 7% Middle East 2% Source: ACI-DKMA, August 2009 Asia/Pacific 24% Europe 31% Africa 3% Long-term Total Passenger Forecast Annual Passengers (millions) 7,000 6,656.7 6,429.9 6,197.5 7.3% 5,963.0 6,000 5,195.6 5,715.1 5,464.8 4,542.7 4,875.5 4.3% 5,000 3.9% 4,478 3.8% 3.5% 4,230.4 4,338.2 6.6% 5.2% 4.7% 4.6% 4,000 2.5% 3,000-0.2% 2,000 1,000-6.4% 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Airports Council International, Global Traffic Forecast 2008-2019 / Forecast; July 2009 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% Annual Growth Rates 16

New Concessions Openings in 2009 and Q1 2010 Current Project Pipeline by Retail Space Location Date Additional sqm Latinoamericana DF, Mexico Nov-09 3,917 Milan Train Station, Italy Nov-09 1,652 Canada Dec-09 1,600 Shanghai, China Mar-10 1,500 Florida Oct-09 1,229 Grandi Stazioni, Italy Oct-09 870 Belgrade, Serbia Mar-09 799 Torino Train Station, Italy Nov-09 686 Honduras Dec-09 673 Newark Aug-09 643 Brazil Jul-09 543 Flagship (Cruise Line) Oct-09 421 Hudson international locations 1,012 Caribbean various locations 438 Hudson US various locations 430 Eurasia various locations 296 Europe various locations 286 Total 16,995 North America 40% South America 12% Europe 3% Africa 2% Central America & Caribbean 13% Eurasia 30% Total of 52 projects with 28 700 sqm of new concessions Additional opportunities through acquisitions 17

Travel Retail Market Trends Travel Retail Industry Retail Trends Other Operators 53% Dufry 6% Top 9 operators 41% Broadening of customer base - Emerging Markets - Lower customer segments Enhance shopping experience - Adapt trends in high street retailing to travel retail - Convenience and experience to increase importance over price advantage Leverage customer information - Space allocation / Product categories - Assortment / Brands - Marketing & Promotion US$million 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Global Duty-Free and Travel Retail Sales 34,000 37,000 34,500 29,000 12,436 27,000 25,000 11,188 12,959 9,449 511 20,000 20,500 8,565 457 7,525 380 8,056 8,782 5,982 5,624 322 352 5,954 6,676 7,056 247 262 4,951 5,011 7,860 8,820 9,604 11,199 11,407 12,115 14,299 15,271 13,209 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Europe Americas Africa Middle East, Asia & Oceania 472 CAGR 2002 2009 8.1% 11.7% 9.7% 6.8% 5.9% 18

4. Financials 19

Merger of Dufry AG with Dufry South America Ltd Pre Transaction Post Transaction Funds Controlled by Advent Hudson Media DAG Free Float DSA Free Float Funds Controlled by Advent Hudson Media DAG Free Float Former DSA Free Float 47.0% 6.0% 47.0% 33.5% 4.3% 33.4% 28.8% 51.0% 49.0% DAG BDRs DUFRY AG, SWITZERLAND DUFRY AG, SWITZERLAND DUFRY SOUTH AMERICA LTD., BERMUDA Merger of Dufry South America Ltd ( DSA ) in exchange for Dufry AG ( DAG ) shares / BDRs DAG capital increase to fund merger consideration Listing of DAG in Brazil (BM&FBOVESPA) via Brazilian Depositary Receipt ( BDRs ) Unified shareholder base and increase of free float from 47% (DAG) and 49% (DSA) respectively to over 60% DSA to disappear in merger and its listing in Brazil and Luxembourg to be cancelled DSA shareholders / BDR holders to receive 1 DAG share / BDR in exchange for 4.10 DSA shares / BDRs US$ 4.71 per DSA share / BDR as extraordinary cash dividend by DSA Implied value of DSA share / BDR of BRL 36.89 4.2% higher to last closing; 3.8% higher to last 30 trading day VWAP; 7.1% higher to last 60 trading day VWAP 20

Remaining Transaction Steps March 2010 March 19: Special General Meeting of members of DSA March 22: Extraordinary General Meeting of DAG March 24: First trading day of new DAG shares on SIX April 2010 April 12: Payment of the Extraordinary Cash Dividend to DSA shareholders / BDR holders Last day of trading of DSA BDRs First trading day of new DAG BDRs on BOVESPA 21

Dufry Income Statement (CHF million) Dec '03 % Dec '04 % Dec '05 % Dec '06 % Dec '07 % Dec '08 % Dec '09 % Turnover 685.7 100.0% 850.5 100.0% 949.8 100.0% 1'436.3 100.0% 1'930.3 100.0% 2'113.5 100.0% 2'378.7 100.0% Gross profit 318.1 46.4% 408.1 48.0% 472.2 49.7% 744.4 51.8% 1'028.0 53.3% 1'151.9 54.5% 1'329.4 55.9% Concession fees 117.6 17.2% 141.4 16.6% 168.3 17.7% 271.5 18.9% 367.6 19.0% 408.0 19.3% 480.1 20.2% Personnel expenses 92.9 13.5% 110.9 13.0% 123.2 13.0% 179.5 12.5% 234.6 12.2% 276.1 13.1% 361.3 15.2% Other expenses 58.7 8.6% 72.1 8.5% 80.5 8.5% 132.9 9.3% 166.6 8.6% 174.4 8.2% 186.9 7.9% EBITDA (1) 48.9 7.1% 83.8 9.9% 100.1 10.5% 160.5 11.2% 259.3 13.4% 293.4 13.9% 301.1 12.7% Depreciation 20.8 3.0% 16.6 2.0% 17.1 1.8% 26.2 1.8% 33.2 1.7% 39.7 1.9% 63.9 2.7% Amortisation 5.8 0.8% 5.3 0.6% 6.5 0.7% 23.9 1.7% 37.0 1.9% 46.7 2.2% 59.1 2.5% EBIT (1) 22.3 3.2% 61.9 7.3% 76.5 8.1% 110.5 7.7% 189.1 9.8% 207.0 9.8% 178.1 7.5% Other operational result -38.3-13.3-5.0 58.7 3.2-11.9-14.7 Financial result -4.7-4.4-5.4-30.7-27.9-47.3-43.4 EBT -20.7-3.0% 44.2 5.2% 66.1 7.0% 138.5 9.6% 164.4 8.5% 147.9 7.0% 120.0 5.0% Income tax 12.6 13.3 13.4 13.9 38.3 30.1 22.7 As % of EBT 30.2% 20.3% 10.0% 23.3% 20.4% 18.9% Net Earnings -33.3-4.9% 30.8 3.6% 52.7 5.5% 124.6 8.7% 126.0 6.5% 117.8 5.6% 97.3 4.1% Attributable to: Minority interest 0.1 14.4 11.1 16.9 51.1 67.5 58.8 Equity holders of the parent -33.4 16.4 41.6 107.7 75.0 50.3 38.5 Net Earnings before amortization (2) 157.3 155.8 143.3 Attributable to: Minority interest 60.1 76.8 67.7 Equity holders of the parent 97.3 79.0 75.6 Notes: (1) EBITDA and EBIT before other operational result (2) Net Earnings adjusted by amortization of acquisitions. Impact in deferred taxes not considered 22

Financial Statements 2009 Quarterly Organic Growth 2009 FX Rate Development 5% 0% -5% -10% 3,0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FX Evolution Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 YTD CHF/USD 2009 1.15 1.11 1.06 1.02 1.09 CHF/USD 2008 1.07 1.03 1.07 1.16 1.08 % Change 09/08 7.1% 8.0% -0.7% -11.7% 0.4% CHF/EUR 2009 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.51 1.51 CHF/EUR 2008 1.60 1.61 1.61 1.53 1.59 % Change 09/08-6.4% -6.0% -5.8% -1.1% -4.9% -15% -14,5% -14,7% -20% -18,1% Turnover Seasonality (CHF million) 700 600 500 400 300 450 417 538 480 485 597 624 641 619 523 538 511 200 100 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007 2008 2009 23

Merger Impact Balance Sheet Income Statement (CHF million) 31/12/2009 Assets Merger Impact 31/12/2009 Pro Forma - Cash 405.3-155.0 250.3 - Inventory 306.5 306.5 - Other current items 170.6 170.6 - PPE 241.6 241.6 - Intangible assets 1'350.5 1'350.5 - Other non-current items 175.6 175.6 Total 2'650.1-155.0 2'495.1 (CHF million) FY 2009 Merger Impact FY 2009 Pro Forma Turnover 2'378.7 2'378.7 Gross Profit 1'329.4 1'329.4 EBITDA 301.1 301.1 EBIT 163.4 163.4 Net Earnings 97.3 97.3 - Minority Interest 58.8-43.9 14.9 - Equity holders of the parent 38.5 43.9 82.4 Liabilities and Equity - Financial Debt 1'015.0 1'015.0 - Trade Payables 202.0 202.0 - Other current liabilities 255.7 255.7 - Other non-current liabilities 179.8 179.8 - Minority Interests 323.1-231.5 91.6 - Shareholders Equity 674.5 76.5 751.0 Total 2'650.1-155.0 2'495.1 Note: - Impact of merger do not consider effects of dividend payment on financing cost or any synergies due to the merger Per Share (CHF) 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 Earnings Per Share 3.94 3.06 2.01 4.71 1.0 0.5-2009 2009 PF Basic EPS Adj. EPS 24

Dufry Balance Sheet ASSETS (CHF million) 31/12/2006 31/12/2007 31/12/2008 31/12/2009 Cash & equivalents 102.4 125.1 263.7 405.3 Trade receivables, net (1) 28.7 52.0 44.3 48.2 Inventories 277.7 291.4 344.3 306.5 Other current assets 85.6 89.4 121.1 122.4 Current Assets 494.4 557.9 773.4 882.4 Property, Plant & Equipment 109.0 128.5 249.8 241.6 Intangible assets 1,150.1 1,052.0 1,410.9 1,350.5 Other non-current assets 29.0 38.0 175.8 175.6 Non-Current Assets 1,288.1 1,218.5 1,836.5 1,767.7 TOTAL ASSETS 1,782.5 1,776.4 2,609.9 2,650.1 LIABILITIES & EQUITY (CHF million) 31/12/2006 31/12/2007 31/12/2008 31/12/2009 Trade payables 157.3 165.6 151.8 202.0 Other current liabilities 157.6 170.9 230.7 253.3 Financial Debt 615.8 495.5 1,087.9 1,015.0 Other non-current liab. 7.4 9.0 8.4 5.1 Deferred tax liab. 165.2 172.9 163.2 163.5 Provisions + pension plans 24.0 24.6 14.3 13.6 Liabilities 1,127.4 1,038.6 1,656.3 1,652.5 Parent equity 482.1 507.8 660.0 674.5 Minorities 173.0 230.1 293.6 323.1 Shareholder loan - - - - Equity 655.1 737.8 953.6 997.6 TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY 1,782.5 1,776.4 2,609.9 2,650.1 Note: (1) Since the beginning of 2007 the company discloses credit card receivables (CHF 38.2 million) as trade receivables (previously disclosed in other receivables). The comparative figures for 2006 (CHF 21.5 million) were adjusted accordingly. 25

Financial Statements 2009 - Balance Sheet / Intangible Assets Balance Sheet Other non current assets 8% 44% Equity Intangible assets 60% 8% Non current liabilities PP&E 11% 27% Net Debt Current assets, other than cash 21% 21% Other current liabilities net 2007 Assets Liabilities Total % on Assets and Liabilities considers cash as a reduction of debt Intangible Assets by Transaction Amortization of Intangible Assets Other, 148 Puerto Rico, 141 Dufry Acq., 305 690 630 Amortized 49% 34 132 32 132 154 150 Not Amortiz. 51% 401 407 Brazil, 392 Hudson, 365 2,008 2,009 Goodwill Brands Concession Rights Indefinite Other Concession Rights Finite 26

Dufry Cash Flow Statement c 2009 2008 Net debt - Dec 31 (824.2) (370.4) Cash flow before working capital changes 313.9 270.6 Change in net working capital 105.5 (63.8) Income taxes paid (30.0) (33.9) Net cash flows from operating activities 389.4 172.9 Capex (PPE and intangible assets) (68.0) (68.2) Acquisitions (16.5) (520.9) Net interest paid (29.2) (31.2) Dividends paid to group and minority shareholders (28.1) (32.2) Other (26.0) (9.1) Cash flows before changes in financing activities 221.6 (488.7) Currency translation (7.2) 34.9 Change in net debt 214.4 (453.8) Net debt - Dec 31 (609.8) (824.2) Change in Net Debt Net Working Capital Evolution 850 14% (CHF million) 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 450 400 350 824 Net Debt - Dec '08 314 Cash flow before change in NWC 57 75 85 610 Change in NWC incl. Taxes* Capex and other investments** Interest and financing*** 33 FX effect and other Net Debt - Dec '09 (CHF million) 200 150 100 50 0 11.7% 10.4% 10.6% 10.4% 9.2% 9.1% 6.4% 199.7 208.5 177.9 202.6 194.8 149.1 152.7 31/12/2006 30/06/2007 31/12/2007 30/06/2008 31/12/2008 30/06/2009 31/12/2009 Net Working Capital NWC as % of Turnover 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 27

Financing and Covenants Net Debt Evolution Debt by Currency EUR 10% 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 943 824 808 723 31 Oct 08 31 Dec 08 31 Mar 09 30 Jun 09 30 Sep 09 31 Dec 09 31 Dec 09 PF* Note: Pro Forma net debt includes dividend payment to public shareholders of DSA 643 610 765 CHF 16% USD 74% Covenants Dec '08 Jun '09 Dec '09 Debt / Adjusted EBITDA 3.1x 2.9x 2.7x Adjusted EBITDA / Interest 5.6x 6.1x 7.4x 28

Market Capitalisation and Access to Capital Markets Pro-Forma Market Capitalisation (1) Pro-Forma Dufry Shareholder Structure 2,500 2,185 2,000 1,500 1,341 47% 1,883 1,172 62% 1,360 62% Funds Controlled by Advent 33.5% 1,000 500 630 53% 711 711 38% 825 38% Free float 62.2% Hudson Media 4.3% 0 Market Cap DAG(1) Pro-Forma Market Cap DAG (post-transaction)(2) Market Cap DAG (posttransaction)(3) Advent Funds + Hudson Media Free Float Notes: (1) Based on data as per 8 January 2010 (2) Pro-forma market capitalisation of CHF 1,883 million adjusted for extraordinary dividend payment of CHF 155 million to DSA minority shareholders / BDR holders (3) Based on data as per 22 March 2010 29

Share Performance - Trading Volumes Daily Average Volume in CHF DAG Share Price Evolution 16 80 14 70 60 CHF (million) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Pre-transaction (1) Post-transaction (2) (CHF) 50 40 30 20 10 Jan-09 Feb-09 DAG Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 SPI (rebased to DAG) Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 DAG DSA Note: (1): 11/11/2009 10/01/2010 (2): 11/01/2010 09/03/2010 30

5. Conclusion 31

Conclusion/Outlook Key Targets for 2010 Gradual improvement of the business in the last months Visibility remains limited Return to growth strategic organic through passenger numbers and productivity improvement New projects won in 2009 and project pipeline 2010 Focus on cash generation remains Gross margin improvement Net Working Capital and Capital Expenditure management Manage expansion according to business performance 32

Thank You 33