Optimal Inventory Policy for Single-Period Inventory Management Problem under Equivalent Value Criterion

Similar documents
Optimization of Fuzzy Production and Financial Investment Planning Problems

CDS Pricing Formula in the Fuzzy Credit Risk Market

American Option Pricing Formula for Uncertain Financial Market

Option Pricing Formula for Fuzzy Financial Market

A Newsvendor Model with Initial Inventory and Two Salvage Opportunities

Fractional Liu Process and Applications to Finance

A Newsvendor Model with Initial Inventory and Two Salvage Opportunities

Optimal Production-Inventory Policy under Energy Buy-Back Program

A No-Arbitrage Theorem for Uncertain Stock Model

A Note on Mean-variance Analysis of the Newsvendor Model with Stockout Cost

Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics. The mean-absolute deviation portfolio selection problem with interval-valued returns

No-arbitrage theorem for multi-factor uncertain stock model with floating interest rate

Department of Social Systems and Management. Discussion Paper Series

Optimal Policies of Newsvendor Model Under Inventory-Dependent Demand Ting GAO * and Tao-feng YE

TWO-STAGE NEWSBOY MODEL WITH BACKORDERS AND INITIAL INVENTORY

Modeling the Risk by Credibility Theory

Credibilistic Equilibria in Extensive Game with Fuzzy Payoffs

A Risk-Sensitive Inventory model with Random Demand and Capacity

Application of the Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO) Approach for Managing Inventory Risk in the Classical Newsboy Problem

DISRUPTION MANAGEMENT FOR SUPPLY CHAIN COORDINATION WITH EXPONENTIAL DEMAND FUNCTION

Fuzzy Mean-Variance portfolio selection problems

THE OPTIMAL ASSET ALLOCATION PROBLEMFOR AN INVESTOR THROUGH UTILITY MAXIMIZATION

Characterization of the Optimum

Essays on Some Combinatorial Optimization Problems with Interval Data

Infinite Horizon Optimal Policy for an Inventory System with Two Types of Products sharing Common Hardware Platforms

A lower bound on seller revenue in single buyer monopoly auctions

BICRITERIA OPTIMIZATION IN THE NEWSVENDOR PROBLEM WITH EXPONENTIALLY DISTRIBUTED DEMAND 1

Barrier Options Pricing in Uncertain Financial Market

Forecast Horizons for Production Planning with Stochastic Demand

American Barrier Option Pricing Formulae for Uncertain Stock Model

Single item inventory control under periodic review and a minimum order quantity Kiesmuller, G.P.; de Kok, A.G.; Dabia, S.

Analysis of a Quantity-Flexibility Supply Contract with Postponement Strategy

OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO CONTROL WITH TRADING STRATEGIES OF FINITE

An Inventory Model for Deteriorating Items under Conditionally Permissible Delay in Payments Depending on the Order Quantity

arxiv: v2 [q-fin.pr] 23 Nov 2017

Dividend Strategies for Insurance risk models

Optimal Dividend Policy of A Large Insurance Company with Solvency Constraints. Zongxia Liang

E-companion to Coordinating Inventory Control and Pricing Strategies for Perishable Products

Prudence, risk measures and the Optimized Certainty Equivalent: a note

B. Online Appendix. where ɛ may be arbitrarily chosen to satisfy 0 < ɛ < s 1 and s 1 is defined in (B1). This can be rewritten as

Introduction to Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes for Finance Lecture Notes

Optimal inventory policies with an exact cost function under large demand uncertainty

Interactive Multiobjective Fuzzy Random Programming through Level Set Optimization

RISK-REWARD STRATEGIES FOR THE NON-ADDITIVE TWO-OPTION ONLINE LEASING PROBLEM. Xiaoli Chen and Weijun Xu. Received March 2017; revised July 2017

A Preference Foundation for Fehr and Schmidt s Model. of Inequity Aversion 1

On the Lower Arbitrage Bound of American Contingent Claims

Manufacturer s control of retail price

Stock Repurchase with an Adaptive Reservation Price: A Study of the Greedy Policy

I. More Fundamental Concepts and Definitions from Mathematics

Outline. 1 Introduction. 2 Algorithms. 3 Examples. Algorithm 1 General coordinate minimization framework. 1: Choose x 0 R n and set k 0.

Liquidation of a Large Block of Stock

Optimal retention for a stop-loss reinsurance with incomplete information

A NEW NOTION OF TRANSITIVE RELATIVE RETURN RATE AND ITS APPLICATIONS USING STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS. Burhaneddin İZGİ

1.1 Basic Financial Derivatives: Forward Contracts and Options

Monotone, Convex and Extrema

Barrier Option Pricing Formulae for Uncertain Currency Model

STOCHASTIC CALCULUS AND BLACK-SCHOLES MODEL

Deterministic Income under a Stochastic Interest Rate

An EOQ model with non-linear holding cost and partial backlogging under price and time dependent demand

Dynamic and Stochastic Knapsack-Type Models for Foreclosed Housing Acquisition and Redevelopment

Log-Robust Portfolio Management

KIER DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES

Financial Risk Management

STUDIES ON INVENTORY MODEL FOR DETERIORATING ITEMS WITH WEIBULL REPLENISHMENT AND GENERALIZED PARETO DECAY HAVING SELLING PRICE DEPENDENT DEMAND

arxiv: v1 [math.pr] 6 Apr 2015

Non replication of options

Dynamic - Cash Flow Based - Inventory Management

University of Groningen. Inventory Control for Multi-location Rental Systems van der Heide, Gerlach

CHOICE THEORY, UTILITY FUNCTIONS AND RISK AVERSION

Competition among Risk-Averse Newsvendors

Valuation of stock loan under uncertain environment

IE652 - Chapter 6. Stochastic Inventory Models

Economic Decision Making Using Fuzzy Numbers Shih-Ming Lee, Kuo-Lung Lin, Sushil Gupta. Florida International University Miami, Florida

A Simple Method for Solving Multiperiod Mean-Variance Asset-Liability Management Problem

Rohini Kumar. Statistics and Applied Probability, UCSB (Joint work with J. Feng and J.-P. Fouque)

A NEW STOCK MODEL FOR OPTION PRICING IN UNCERTAIN ENVIRONMENT

Option Pricing under Delay Geometric Brownian Motion with Regime Switching

The Value of Stochastic Modeling in Two-Stage Stochastic Programs

Strategic Trading of Informed Trader with Monopoly on Shortand Long-Lived Information

MANAGEMENT SCIENCE doi /mnsc ec

Dynamic Admission and Service Rate Control of a Queue

Mark-up and Capital Structure of the Firm facing Uncertainty

Overall Excess Burden Minimization from a Mathematical Perspective Kong JUN 1,a,*

Dynamic tax depreciation strategies

Richardson Extrapolation Techniques for the Pricing of American-style Options

GERMAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION GEABA DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES IN ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT

Assembly systems with non-exponential machines: Throughput and bottlenecks

Revenue Management Under the Markov Chain Choice Model

Optimal Allocation of Policy Limits and Deductibles

The Research on Trade Credit Short-term Financing in a Capital-constrained Supply Chain Yang WANG1,a, Yue-Hong SHAO1,b, Jia-Quan OU2,c

Optimal Search for Parameters in Monte Carlo Simulation for Derivative Pricing

Lecture 7: Bayesian approach to MAB - Gittins index

Solving real-life portfolio problem using stochastic programming and Monte-Carlo techniques

Lecture Quantitative Finance Spring Term 2015

An optimal policy for joint dynamic price and lead-time quotation

Multi-period mean variance asset allocation: Is it bad to win the lottery?

Application of an Interval Backward Finite Difference Method for Solving the One-Dimensional Heat Conduction Problem

A note on the number of (k, l)-sum-free sets

Haiyang Feng College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin , CHINA

Utility Indifference Pricing and Dynamic Programming Algorithm

Transcription:

Journal of Uncertain Systems Vol., No.4, pp.3-3, 6 Online at: www.jus.org.uk Optimal Inventory Policy for Single-Period Inventory Management Problem under Equivalent Value Criterion Zhaozhuang Guo,, College of Management, Hebei University, Baoding 7, Hebei, China Fundamental Science Department, North China Institute of Aerospace Engineering Langfang 65, Hebei, China Received 5 June 5; Revised 8 October 6 Abstract In this paper, a single-period inventory management problem with fuzzy demand is considered. The costs include the purchase cost and the lost sale penalty cost. In addition, a salvage value for the residual product will be incurred. Based on credibility measure, the retailer s profit is measured by using Lebesgue- Stieltjes (L S) integral. In the sense of equivalent value criterion, two optimization models are proposed where the uncertain demands are characterized by discrete and continuous possibility distributions. Furthermore, the analytical expressions of the optimal order quantity are derived in the above cases. Finally, several numerical examples are performed to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed methods. c 6 World Academic Press, UK. All rights reserved. Keywords: inventory management, fuzzy demand, equivalent value, L S integral, optimal order quantity Introduction The single-period inventory problem is one of the classical problems in the literature on inventory management [, 5, 6]. In real life, many products have a limited selling period and there is no chance to place a second order during the period, so the single-period inventory problem provides a very appropriate framework to make decision about the optimal order quantity. The single-period inventory problem was first studied in 95s. The goal of the single-period inventory problem is to find the optimal order quantity by minimizing the expected cost or maximizing the expected profit of retailer under random demand. Khouja [9] and Qin et al. [5] reviewed the extensive contributions to the single-period inventory problem. The major difficulty faced by the decision maker is to forecast the uncertain demand because it usually involves various uncertainties. The most of existing literature discussed the single-period inventory models with stochastic demands, in which the probability distributions were estimated according to historical data. However, the exact probability distribution is usually unavailable because of the lack of the related historical information in many cases. That is, a decision maker may face a fuzzy environment rather than a stochastic environment. In this case, the demands are approximately estimated based on the experts experiences or subjective judgments and characterized by fuzzy variables with some possibility distributions. In fuzzy decision systems, based on fuzzy set theory or possibility theory, the single-period inventory problem has been studied since 99s. For example, Petrovic et al. [4] proposed two models for fuzzy single-period inventory problem, in which the imprecise cost was described by a triangular fuzzy number and the imprecise demand was represented by a discrete fuzzy number. Ishii and Konno [7] considered the fuzzy shortage cost in the single-period inventory problem, although the demand was stochastic. In view of the fuzzy demand, Kao and Hsu [8] proposed a single-period inventory model to find the optimal order quantity of the decision maker by the method of Yager ranking index [9]. Li et al. [] proposed a model for single-period inventory problem with stochastic demand and fuzzy inventory costs. Under fuzzy demand, Dutta et al. [4] considered the optimal inventory policy for the single-period inventory problem with reordering opportunities. Chen and Ho [3] proposed a single-period inventory problem with quantity discount. Yu et al. [] formulated Corresponding author. Email: zhaozhuang4@63.com (Z. Guo).

Journal of Uncertain Systems, Vol., No.4, pp.3-3, 6 33 a single-period inventory model with fuzzy price-dependent demand. Recently, random fuzzy single-period inventory problems and fuzzy random single-period inventory problems were proposed in [6], [5] and [7]. In the former literature, the methods of handling fuzzy numbers included two cases: arithmetic defuzzification in discrete membership function and Yager s ranking method in continuous membership function. Liu and Liu [] defined the credibility measure to measure fuzzy events, then the expected value of fuzzy variable was defined via Choquet integral. Liu and Liu [] provided expected value operator based on the optimistic function and the pessimistic function of fuzzy variable and discussed the linearity of expected value operator. When a function was monotonic, the expected value of the function of a fuzzy variable was studied in [8, ]. In our single-period inventory model, the retailer s profit expression is not a monotonic function with respect to fuzzy demand. Since Choquet integral is a kind of nonlinear fuzzy integrals, the computation of the expected value of the retailer s profit is usually difficult, which motivates us to study the single-period inventory management problem form a new perspective. Based on credibility measure, we measure the retailer s profit by using L S integral and derive the analytical solutions of optimal order quantity under two different conditions. The proposed method is based on the credibility measure theory, and the advantage of the method is that it doesn t require the continuity and monotony of the function of fuzzy demand. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In the next section, we describe the fuzzy singleperiod inventory problem and define the equivalent value profit. Section 3 derives the analytical expressions of the optimal order quantity in two cases: a discrete fuzzy demand variable and a continuous fuzzy demand variable. Several numerical examples are solved to demonstrate the validity of the proposed analysis method in Section 4. Finally, Section 5 summarizes the main results in the paper. Problem Statement Consider a single-period inventory management problem consisting of one supplier and one retailer. To begin with, the supplier determines a wholesale price for the retailer. Then the retailer makes the decision to maximize his profit based on the salvage value, the lost sale penalty cost and the forecast of fuzzy demand. In order to describe the fuzzy single-period inventory problem clearly, we give the following notations that will be used in the formulation of our including problem. Fixed parameters c: the purchase cost of unit product; p: the selling price of unit product; s: the salvage value of unit residual product; B: the lost sale penalty cost for unit unmet demand; π: the profit function of product; x + : the maximum value of x and, i.e., x + = maxx,. Uncertain parameter ξ: the fuzzy customer demand for product. Decision variable Q: retailer s order quantity purchased from supplier. To avoid trivial problems, we assume p > c > s and B > in the following discussion. When the retailer determines to order Q units products while the customer demand is ξ, the sales volume, holding quantity and shortage quantity for the retailer are denoted as minξ, Q, maxq ξ, and maxξ Q,, respectively. Consequently, the profit for the retailer can be expressed as π(q, ξ) = p minξ, Q + s maxq ξ, B maxξ Q, cq = (p c)ξ (c s)(q ξ) + (p c + B)(ξ Q) +. () It is clear that the retailer s profit function π(q, ξ) is also a fuzzy variable. Since the credibility of fuzzy event ξ r is a nondecreasing function with respect to r, we employ L S integral [] to define the equivalent value profit of π(q, ξ), i.e., Π(Q) = π(q, r)dcrξ r, () [,+ )

34 Z. Guo: Optimal Inventory Policy for Single-Period Inventory Management Problem where the measure is induced by the credibility Crξ r [3]. Based on the notations above, we find the optimal order quantity by solving the next optimization problem max Π(Q) = π(q, r)dcrξ r [,+ ) (3) s. t. Q. In the next section, we shall discuss how to derive the optimal order quantity to problem (3) under two different conditions. 3 Model Analysis In this section, we find the optimal order quantity by maximizing the equivalent value profit of the retailer in two cases: demand has a discrete possibility distribution and demand has a continuous possibility distribution. 3. Demand Follows Discrete Possibility Distribution For a discrete fuzzy demand variable, we have the following result. Theorem. Let ξ be a discrete fuzzy demand variable with the possibility distribution Posξ = k = µ k, k =,,,..., i.e., ( )... N... ξ, µ µ µ... µ N... where µ k >, k =,,,.... If sup µ k = h with h (, ], then the optimal order quantity Q d k determined by the following formula Q d = min Q Crξ Q ( where Crξ k = µ i + h ) µ i /. i k i>k can be h(p + B c), (4) Proof. According to Eq. (), we know the retailer s profit is equal to the following formula π(q, ξ) = (p c)ξ (c s)(q ξ), ξ Q (p c)ξ (p c + B)(ξ Q), ξ > Q. (5) For convenience, we denote Φ(k) as the credibility of fuzzy event ξ k, i.e., Φ(k) = Crξ k. Substituting Eq. (5) into the problem (3) leads to Π(Q] = π(q, r)dcrξ r = [,+ ) + k= [Φ(k) Φ(k )]π(q, k) Q = [Φ(k) Φ(k )] [(p c)k (c s)(q k)] k= + [Φ(k) Φ(k )] [(p c)k (p c + B)(k Q)]. k=q+ (6) We use the difference method to find the maximum value of Π(Q). Let Π(Q) = Π(Q + ) Π(Q). (7)

Journal of Uncertain Systems, Vol., No.4, pp.3-3, 6 35 Then, Π(Q) is the change in equivalent value profit when we switch from Q to Q +. Substituting Eq. (6) into Eq. (7) leads to Π(Q) = (c s)[φ() Φ( )] + [Φ() Φ()] + [Φ() Φ()] + + [Φ(Q) Φ(Q )] + (p c + B)[Φ(Q + ) Φ(Q)] + [Φ(Q + ) Φ(Q + )] + [Φ(Q + 3) Φ(Q + )] +. (8) It is clear that Φ( ) = due to ξ. For simplification, denoting then we have S n = [Φ(Q + ) Φ(Q)] + [Φ(Q + ) Φ(Q + )] + + [Φ(Q + n) Φ(Q + n )], [Φ(Q + ) Φ(Q)] + [Φ(Q + ) Φ(Q + )] + [Φ(Q + 3) Φ(Q + )] + = lim S n = lim [Φ(Q + n) Φ(Q)] = h Φ(Q). (9) n + n + Substituting Eq. (9) into Eq. (8) leads to Π(Q)] = (c s)φ(q) + (p c + B)[h Φ(Q)] = Φ(Q)() + h(p + B c). It is easy to verify that Π(Q) is a decreasing function with respect to Q, so the graph of Π(Q) is concave. The optimal order quantity Q d is the lowest value of Q such that Π(Q), i.e., Q h(p + B c) d = min Q Φ(Q). According to the assumption p > c > s and B >, we have < h(p + B c)/() < h, where h (, ]. In addition, Φ(k) h because sup µ k = h. So we can determine the optimal order quantity by k the following formula Q h(p + B c) d = min Q Crξ Q. The theorem is proved. For a discrete fuzzy demand variable, the process to find Q d is summarized as follows. Algorithm I: Step. Calculate the value k = h(p + B c)/(). Step. Calculate the credibility Φ(k) = Crξ k and obtain the disjoint intervals: I k = (Φ(k ), Φ(k)], k =,,,..., where Φ( ) =, and lim k + Φ(k) = h. Step 3. If k I k, then return the optimal order quantity Q d = k. 3. Demand Follows Continuous Possibility Distribution In this subsection, we consider the single-period inventory problem with a continuous fuzzy demand, whose possibility distribution is a continuous function. We first give the following Lemma to prove our conclusion. Lemma. Let ξ be a fuzzy variable such that the Lebesgue integral + Crξ rdr is finite. Then lim rcrξ r =. Proof. Note that the Lebesgue integral + Crξ rdr is finite. For any given ε >, there exists a real number r >, when r < r/ < r, we have the following result r r Crξ xdx ε. ()

36 Z. Guo: Optimal Inventory Policy for Single-Period Inventory Management Problem Since the credibility Crξ r is a nonincreasing function with respect to r, then r r Crξ xdx r Crξ r. () According to Eqs. () and (), we can get rcrξ r/ ε, i.e., rcrξ r ε, Thus rcrξ r =. lim The lemma is proved. From Lemma, we deduce the following result. Theorem. Let ξ be a continuous fuzzy demand variable such that its credibility Crξ r is a continuous function, and lim Crξ r = h with h (, ]. If Lebesgue integral + Crξ rdr is finite, then the optimal order quantity Q c is determined by the following formula Q h(p + B c) c = inf Q Crξ Q =, () where Crξ r = Pos(ξ r) + h Pos(ξ > r) /. Proof. According to Eq. (5), the equivalent value profit in problem (3) can be obtained by the following formula. Π(Q) = π(q, r)dcrξ r = [(p c)r (c s) (Q r)]dcrξ r [,+ ) + (Q,+ ) = (p c)µ (c s) [,Q] [(p c)r (p c + B) (r Q)]dCrξ r [,Q] where µ is the equivalent value of ξ, i.e., µ = rdcrξ r] = [,+ ) = rcrξ > r([, + )) + (Q r)dcrξ r (p c + B) (r Q)dCrξ r, (Q,+ ) [,+ ) + rd(h Crξ > r) = rdcrξ > r [,+ ) + Crξ > rdr = lim rcrξ > r + Crξ > rdr. Note that the Lebesgue integral + Crξ rdr is finite. From Lemma, we have lim Consequently, µ is a finite constant such that For simplification, denoting U = [,Q] µ = + (Q r)dcrξ r = (Q r)crξ r([, Q]) + where Crξ = due to ξ. Let (3) rcrξ > r =. Crξ > rdr. (4) Q Crξ rdr = Q Crξ rdr, (5) V = (Q,+ ) (r Q)dCrξ r = = (r Q)Crξ > r ((Q, + )) + (Q,+ ) + Q (r Q)d(h Crξ > r) = (Q,+ ) (r Q)dCrξ > r + Crξ > rdr = lim rcrξ > r + Crξ > rdr. Q (6)

Journal of Uncertain Systems, Vol., No.4, pp.3-3, 6 37 It is clear that + Crξ > rdr is a function with respect to Q and lim rcrξ > r =. From the Q Eq. (6), we deduce the following result V = + Q Crξ > rdr. (7) From the Eqs. (4), (5) and (7), the equivalent value profit in Eq. (3) can be re-written as It is easy to show that Π(Q) = (p c)µ (c s) dπ(q) dq Q Crξ rdr (p c + B) + = (c s)φ(q) + (p c + B) [h Φ(Q)]. It follows from the assumption p > c > s and B > that d Π(Q) dq = [(c s) + (p c + B)] dφ(q) dq. Q Crξ > rdr. (8) So Π(Q) is a concave function with respect to Q. If there is a unique point Q that satisfies dπ(q) dq =, then the first order condition is sufficient and necessary to determine the optimal order quantity Q c that maximizes Eq. (8). As for the actual economic significance, we should select the smallest order quantity if there are multiple values of Q that satisfy the equation dπ(q) dq =. Then the optimal order quantity can be determined by the following formula The theorem is proved. Q c = inf Q Crξ Q = h(p + B c). For a continuous fuzzy demand variable, the process to find Q c is summarized as follows. Algorithm II: Step. Calculate the value r = h(p + B c)/(). Step. Calculate the credibility Φ(r) = Crξ r for r R. Step 3. If Φ(r) is strictly increasing function in the neighborhood of r, then we have Q c = Φ (r ). Otherwise proceed to the next step. Step 4. Calculate the pessimistic value ξ inf (r ) = infr Φ(r) = r of ξ, and return Q c = ξ inf (r ). According to Theorem, we have the following conclusion to the common continuous fuzzy demand variables. Corollary. Consider problem (3), if fuzzy demand follows any one of the following distributions: () triangular possibility distribution; () trapezoidal possibility distribution; (3) normal possibility distribution; (4) Erlang possibility distribution; (5) exponential possibility distribution; then the optimal order quantity Q is determined by the following formula Q = inf Q Crξ Q = h(p + B c). (9)

38 Z. Guo: Optimal Inventory Policy for Single-Period Inventory Management Problem Proof. We proof the corollary according to the following four cases. Case I: Consider a bounded continuous fuzzy demand variable ξ M, where M >, it is clear that Crξ r = if r M. Therefore, the Lebesgue integral + Crξ rdr is finite. From Theorem, the optimal order quantity Q is determined by Eq. (9) if the fuzzy demand is a triangular fuzzy demand or a trapezoidal fuzzy demand. Case II: Consider a normal fuzzy demand variable η = n(m, σ) with the possibility distribution µ η (r) = exp (r m) /σ. From the definition of credibility Crη r, we deduce the following result Crη r = exp (r m) σ, r m exp (r m) σ, r > m. Without loss of generality, we consider the case m >. It follows from Eq. () that + Crη rdr = m = m For simplification, denoting It is clear that W >, so ( exp (r m) σ m exp (r m) σ < W = + m ) + dr + dr + m πσ exp (r m) σ dr. 4 exp (r m) σ dr () πσ Crη rdr < m +. () 4 From Eq. (), we know + Crη rdr is finite. From Theorem, the optimal order quantity Q is determined by Eq. (9) if η is a normal fuzzy demand variable. Case III: Consider an Erlang fuzzy demand variable ζ with the possibility distribution µ ζ (r) = ( r kρ )k expk r ρ, where r, ρ > and k N +. For any r, we have ( ) k r kρ exp k r ρ Crζ r = ( ) k r kρ exp k r ρ Then, we have + ( kρ Crζ rdr = ( r kρ = kρ kρ ( r kρ ( k = ρ k + + n=, r kρ, r > kρ. ) k exp k ρ ) r + dr + kρ ) k exp k r ρ (k )! (k n)! dr + + kρ ( ) n (k )! k ( r kρ ( ) k r exp k r kρ ρ ) k exp(k)) ( k ) k exp k r dr ρ From Eq. (), we know + Crζ rdr is finite. From Theorem, the optimal order quantity Q is determined by Eq. (9) if ζ is an Erlang fuzzy demand variable where ρ > and k N +. Case IV: Consider an exponential fuzzy variable τ with the possibility distribution µ τ (r) = r ρ exp r. ρ It is clear that an exponential fuzzy variable is a special case of an Erlang fuzzy variable. The corollary is proved.. dr ()

Journal of Uncertain Systems, Vol., No.4, pp.3-3, 6 39 4 Numerical Examples In the following example, we employ Algorithm I to solve the single-period inventory problem with a discrete fuzzy demand variable. Example. Suppose the selling price, the salvage value of unit residual product and the costs of unit product are p = 4, s =, c = 3, B = 5, respectively. Demand is estimated to be about products. The possibility distribution µ k defined on the discrete domain 6, 7,..., 4 is given in Table. Table : The possibility distribution of demand ξ 6 7 8 9 3 4 µ.5.5.75.75.5.5 It is clear that h = max µ k =. By calculation, h(p + B c)/() =.75. According to Table 6 k 4, we can obtain the credibility of fuzzy event ξ r, Crξ r =, r < 7.5, 7 r < 8.5, 8 r < 9.375, 9 r <.65, r <.75, r <.875, r < 3, 3 r < +. So we can achieve the disjoint intervals: I 7 = (,.5], I 8 = (.5,.5], I 9 = (.5,.375], I = (.375,.65], I = (.65,.75], I = (.75,.875], I 3 = (.875, ]. Because.75 I, the optimal order quantity is Q =. In the following examples, we employ Algorithm II to solve the single-period inventory problem with a continuous fuzzy demand variable. Example. Consider a single-period inventory problem with a trapezoidal fuzzy demand, i.e., ξ = (, 4, 6, ). Suppose the selling price, the purchase cost of unit product and the salvage value of unit product are p =, c =, s = 4, respectively. In addition, let the lost sale penalty cost for unit unmet demand B be a variable. In this case, one has Crξ r =, r < r, r < 4 8 5 4 r 8 3, 4 r < 6, 6 r <, r. It is clear that lim Crξ r = h =. From Theorem and Corollary, we discuss the following three cases. Case I: In the case that r = p + B c/() <.5, i.e., p + B c < c s, we have Q = + 8r. Case II: In the case that r = p + B c/() =.5, i.e., p+b c = c s, we have Q = ξ inf (r ) = 4. Case III: In the case that r = p + B c/() >.5, i.e., p + B c > c s, we have Q = + 8r. In the case that B is variable, the corresponding results are provided in Table, where the maximum profit is determined by Eq. (8). Example 3. Consider a single-period inventory problem with a normal fuzzy demand η = n(5, ). Suppose the selling price, the purchase cost of unit product and the lost sale penalty cost for unit unmet demand are p =, c =, B = 4, respectively. Assume that the salvage value of unit product s is variable.

3 Z. Guo: Optimal Inventory Policy for Single-Period Inventory Management Problem Table : The optimal order quantity and maximum profit Condition The lost sale penalty cost The optimal order quantity The maximum profit B = p + B c < c s B =.7 9 B = 3. 6.4 B = 3 3.6 4. p + B c = c s B = 4 4 B = 5 6.3. p + B c > c s B = 8 7 9 B = 7.6 7. B = 6 8 6 In this case, one has Crη r = (r 5) exp 8, r 5 (r 5) exp 8, r > 5. Since Φ(r) = Crη r is strictly increasing function with respect to r, we have ( ) h(p + B c) Q = Φ, where h =. From Theorem and Corollary, we discuss the following three cases. Case I: In the case that r = p + B c/() <.5, i.e., p+b c < c s, we have Q = 5 8 ln r. Case II: In the case that r = p + B c/() =.5, i.e., p + B c = c s, we have Q = 5. Case III: In the case that r = p + B c/() >.5, i.e., p + B c > c s, we have Q = 5 + 8 ln ( r ). In the case that s is variable, the corresponding results are provided in Table 3. Table 3: The optimal order quantity and maximum profit Condition The salvage value The optimal order quantity The maximum profit s = 3.66 3.7 p + B c < c s s = 3.89 4.73 s = 3 4. 7. p + B c = c s s = 4 5 6 s = 5 5.87 3.93 p + B c > c s s = 6 6.34 4.49 s = 8 7.36.68 s = 9 8.7 9.6 From Tables and, we can see that the optimal order quantity is an increasing function with respect to the lost sale penalty cost B or the salvage value s. We adopt underage cost (c u = p + B c) and overage cost (c o = c s) perspective to explain the single-period inventory management problem. By means of the examples above, we should order relatively lower quantity when c u c o, and vice-versa. The above results are logical in economics. 5 Conclusions In this paper, a single-period inventory problem with fuzzy demand was analysed based on the equivalent value criterion. The major results of the paper are summarized as follows. (i) Based on the credibility measure, we defined the equivalent value profit of retailer by using L S integral. (ii) In the sense of the equivalent value profit, the analytical expressions of the optimal order quantity were derived in two cases: a discrete fuzzy demand variable and a continuous fuzzy demand variable. Since

Journal of Uncertain Systems, Vol., No.4, pp.3-3, 6 3 common continuous fuzzy demand variables satisfy the condition of Theorem, it is easy to determine the optimal order quantity in the cases. (iii) We provided some numerical examples to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed model. The computational results conformed with the economic significance. When the possibility distribution function of fuzzy demand variable is neither discrete nor continuous, the optimal order quantity needs to be analyzed in our further research. Acknowledgments This work was supported by the Youth Science Foundation of North China Institute of Aerospace Engineering (KY-5-3). References [] Arrow, K.J., Harris, T., and J. Marshak, Optimal inventory policy, Econometrica, vol.9, no.3, pp.5 7, 95. [] Carter, M., and B.V. Brunt, The Lebesgue-Stieltjes Integral, Springer-Verlag, New York,. [3] Chen, S.P., and Y.H. Ho, Optimal inventory policy for the fuzzy newsboy problem with quantity discounts, Information Sciences, vol.8, pp.75 89, 3. [4] Dutta, P., Chakraborty, D., and A.R. Roy, An inventory model for single-period products with reordering opportunities under fuzzy demand, Computers and Mathematics with Applications, vol.53, no., pp.5 57, 7. [5] Hu, J.S., Liu, F.X., Xu, Y.J., Xu, R.Q., and Y. Zhou, Newsboy problem with random fuzzy demand, Operations Research and Management Science, vol.3, pp.67 7,. [6] Hu, J.S., Zheng, H., Xu, R.Q., Ji, Y.P., and C.Y. Guo, Supply chain coordination for fuzzy random newsboy problem with imperfect quality, International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, vol.5, no.7, pp.77 784,. [7] Ishii, H., and T. Konno, A stochastic inventory problem with fuzzy shortage cost, European Journal of Operational Research, vol.6, no., pp.9 94, 998. [8] Kao, C., and W.K. Hsu, A single-period inventory model with fuzzy demand, Computers and Mathematics with Applications, vol.43, no.6, pp.84 848,. [9] Khouja, B., The single period (news-vendor) problem: literature review and suggestions for future research, Omega, vol.7, pp.537 553, 999. [] Li, L., Kabadi, S.N., and K.P.K. Nair, Fuzzy models for single-period inventory problem, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, vol.3, no.3, pp.73 89,. [] Liu, B., and Y.K. Liu, Expected value of fuzzy variable and fuzzy expected value model, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems, vol., no.4, pp.445 45,. [] Liu, Y.K., and B. Liu, Expected value operator of random fuzzy variable and random fuzzy expected value models, International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-Based Systems, vol., no., pp.95 5, 3. [3] Liu, Y.K., and Y. Liu, Measure generated by joint credibility distribution function, Journal of Uncertain Systems, vol.8, no.3, pp.39 4, 4. [4] Petrovic, D., Petrovic, R., and M. Vujosevic, Fuzzy models for the newsboy problem, International Journal of Production Economics, vol.45, no., pp.435 44, 996. [5] Qin, Y., Wang, R.X., Vakharia, A.J., Chen, Y.W., and M.H. Seref, The newsvendor problem: review and directions for future research, European Journal of Operational Research, vol.3, no., pp.36 374,. [6] Silver, E.A., Pyke, D.F., and R. Peterson, Inventory Management and Production Planning and Scheduling, Wiley, New York, 998. [7] Xu, Y., and J. Hu, Random fuzzy demand newsboy problem, Physics Procedia, vol.5, pp.94 93,. [8] Xue, F., Tang, W.S., and R.Q. Zhao, The expected value of a function of a fuzzy variable with a continuous membership function, Computers and Mathematics with Applications, vol.55, no.6, pp.5 4, 8. [9] Yager, R.R., A procedure for ordering fuzzy subsets of the unit interval, Information Sciences, vol.4, no., pp.43 6, 98. [] Yu, Y., Zhu, J., and C.W. Wang, A newsvendor model with fuzzy price-dependent demand, Applied Mathematical Modelling, vol.37, no.5, pp.644 66, 3. [] Zhu, Y.G., and X.Y. Ji, Expected values of functions of fuzzy variables, Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems, vol.7, no.5, pp.47 478, 6.