Britvic plc. Interims presentation 2015

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Transcription:

Britvic plc Interims presentation 2015

Gerald Corbett Chairman

John Gibney Chief Financial Officer

Continued strong earnings growth in challenging trading conditions -0.7% +6.2% +60bps +11.6% 0.4x +9.8% Group Revenue Group EBITA Group EBITA margin Adjusted EPS of Reduction in net debt to EBITDA Interim DPS 650.3M 64.7M 9.9% 16.4p 447.7M 6.7p Continuing to invest in long-term drivers of growth International, marketing & innovation A&P up 14.6% EBITA is defined as operating profit before exceptional and other items and amortisation. Only amortisation attributable to intangibles on acquisition is added back, in the period this is 1.5m (2014: 1.5m AER). Adjusted earnings per share adds back the amortisation attributable to intangibles on acquisition. The share base is the weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue during the period, excluding shares held by Britvic to satisfy employee share-based incentive programmes. Numbers are on a constant currency, pre-exceptional and other items basis. 4

GB soft drinks market grew, but was deflationary Deflationary consumer pricing in soft drinks in 2015 1 Take Home Soft Drinks Market 3 Apr-15 Volume +2.4%, Value +0.5% Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Negative price/mix -1.9% Consumer Spend Growth/Decline Year on Year 2 Market growth continued to be led by plain water. Market value exwater declined 0.6% Brands outperformed private label 1: The Grocer price index; 2: Visa Europe UK expenditure Index YOY change to April 15; 3: Nielsen 6 month to 11 th April 2015 5

Soft drinks market in France was subdued, whilst Ireland improved France YTD Value +0.6%, volume -0.2% Q2 Value -1.4%, volume -2.4% Syrups and kids drinks categories grew value ahead of the market Ireland Value +1.1%, volume +2.9% Carbs value -2.9%, stills value +5.0% Growth led by plain water and juice drinks Source: France IRI 6 months to 5 th April 2015 and ROI Nielsen 6 months to 22 March 2015 6

GB Stills 2015 m 2014 m % change Volume 184.5 189.6 (2.7) ARP per litre 86.9p 88.3p (1.6) Revenue 160.3 167.4 (4.2) Brand contribution 76.2 82.9 (8.1) Brand margin % 47.5% 49.5% (200)bps Competitive squash category impacted in H1 Major innovation and brand investment, will benefit revenue from H2 7

GB Carbonates 2015 m 2014 m % change Volume 616.7 616.7 0.0 ARP per litre 46.5p 46.1p 0.9 Revenue 286.8 284.6 0.8 Brand contribution 113.1 104.8 7.9 Brand margin % 39.4% 36.8% 260bps Strong performance in a competitive environment and lapping revenue +6.8% LY Margin benefits from improved pack mix 8

France 2015 m 2014 m % change % constant currency Volume 142.6 141.5 0.8 0.8 ARP per litre 83.1p 90.0p (7.7) 0.7 Revenue 118.5 127.4 (7.0) 1.5 Brand contribution 34.0 30.3 12.2 22.3 Brand margin % 28.7% 23.8% 490bps 490bps Value share growth in all branded categories Strong branded revenue growth offset by decline in private label 9

Ireland 2015 m 2014 m % change % constant currency Volume 103.0 99.5 3.5 3.5 ARP per litre 50.2p 53.1p (5.5) 0.8 Revenue 61.7 64.2 (3.9) 2.5 Brand contribution 22.1 21.0 5.2 13.9 Brand margin % 35.8% 32.7% 310bps 360bps Building momentum with second quarter of revenue growth Volume and value growth ahead of the market 10

International 2015 m 2014 m % change % constant currency Volume 17.8 20.5 (13.2) (13.2) ARP per litre 129.2p 132.2p (2.3) 1.5 Revenue 23.0 27.1 (15.1) (11.9) Brand contribution 8.0 10.7 (25.2) (23.1) Brand margin % 34.8% 39.5% (470)bps (500)bps One-off impact due to move from distributor to direct model in the Netherlands Continued in-market progress in the USA 11

A&P and Overheads 2015 m 2014 m AER % change Total A&P spend (35.4) (30.9) (14.6) A&P % revenue 5.5% 4.7% (80)bps Non-brand A&P (5.4) (5.1) (5.9) Fixed supply chain (49.3) (54.5) 9.5 Selling costs (64.0) (65.6) 2.4 Overheads & other costs (71.5) (65.5) (9.2) Total cost base (190.2) (190.7) 0.3 Embedded a cost conscious culture On-track with delivery of 30m cost savings Investing in the future growth drivers: A&P, innovation and International 12

EBIT to Earnings 2015 m 2014 m % change % constant currency EBIT 63.2 59.0 7.1 6.4 Interest (12.2) (13.7) 10.9 10.3 Profit before tax 51.0 45.3 12.6 11.4 Tax (12.0) (11.3) (6.2) (6.2) Effective tax rate 23.5% 24.9% 140bps 140bps Profit after tax 39.0 34.0 14.7 13.0 Interest down following successful bank refinancing Strong leverage through the P&L to earnings 13

Cash flow and net debt 2015 m 2014 m EBIT 63.2 59.0 Depreciation and amortisation 22.3 23.6 EBITDA 85.5 82.6 Working capital (42.4) (55.8) Capital spend (22.0) (23.4) Pension contributions (20.8) (20.8) Other spend (31.8) (13.4) Underlying free cash flow (31.5) (30.8) Dividends (36.4) (31.8) Adjusted net debt (447.7) (479.4) Net debt to EBITDA ratio 2.2x 2.6x 31.7m reduction in adjusted net debt, 0.4x reduction in leverage Capital spend H2-weighted 14

2015 guidance remains unchanged Markets conditions remain challenging More favourable raw material cost environment, enabling further investment in long-term growth drivers A&P, Innovation and International business unit Effective tax rate of 23.5% to 24.0%, coupon interest rate of 5.0% to 5.5% Capital spend in the range of 80m to 90m Minimum underlying free cash flow of 65m EBIT guidance anticipated in the range of 164m to 173m 15

Summary - continued momentum in creating shareholder value Continued strong earnings growth in challenging trading conditions Deleveraging the balance sheet and strong cash flow generation to deliver superior shareholder returns Major marketing campaigns and innovations launched will benefit revenue in H2 Confident of delivering EBIT in the guidance range of 164m to 173m 16

Simon Litherland Chief Executive Officer 17

Agenda Executing our strategy two years of strong progress Focused on delivering future growth Growing our portfolio of leading brands Investing to realise our international ambitions Summary 18

Executing our strategy two years of strong progress 19

We have made strong progress in the last two years Leverage portfolio Global opportunities Culture & efficiency Trust & respect Invested in innovation and marketing capability Established International business unit Completed bulk of programme to deliver 30m cost savings Achieved 2 star Business In The Community rating Invested in building brand-equity Ireland returned to profitability & growth Significant progress in the USA Launched in India and direct route to market in Netherlands New operating model established Embedding a cost conscious culture Ongoing calorie reduction, with 2020 commitments Inspiring and enabling people to lead active lives 20

This has translated to a very strong 2 year financial performance EBITA +20.3% EBITA MARGIN +140BPS EPS +30.3% DPS +24.1% NET DEBT DOWN 11.1% NET DEBT/EBITDA down 0.7X FCF GENERATION 185.3M INTERNATIONAL FRUIT SHOOT REVENUE + 33% Source: Britvic interim results 2013 to 2015 and management data 21

Focused on delivering future revenue and profit growth Revenue & margin accretion through growth of our owned-brand portfolio Launch margin-enhancing innovation that drives category growth Continue to eliminate unnecessary cost through a cost conscious culture Assessing other initiatives to deliver significant, sustainable cost savings Significant revenue and profit potential by realising international opportunities Private Label > Bottlers > Brand Owners Source: Most recently disclosed full year financial results 22

Growing our portfolio of leading brands 23

An extensive marketing and innovation programme in 2015 TO DELIVER GROWTH IN THE SECOND HALF 24

We have a clear framework to deliver long-term growth in dilutes DELIVER QUALITY PRODUCTS WORTH PAYING MORE FOR CREATE EXCITEMENT FOR KIDS & ADULTS DELIVER SOLUTIONS WHICH CREATE NEW OCCASIONS DELIVER SHOPPER ENGAGEMENT 25

We began the journey with Squash d and Teisseire Launched on-the-go consumption solutions Squash d in GB and Ireland, Teisseire MIX & GO in mainland Europe New flavours to extend consumer appeal Opportunity to capitalise on growth of plain water category Extended into mixing with alcohol and hot drinks Teisseire Barman range for alcohol, Gourmet Drops for personalising hot drinks Launched Teisseire pack format for soda machines in France *Source: Nielsen Total Coverage (Share of Squash) 15.02.15 **Kantar KWP data to 4/1/15 26

Now we are rejuvenating Robinsons to drive long-term growth Reformulated to create the best tasting liquid and deliver significant taste preference versus competitors Adding 4 exciting new flavours to the range that tap into emerging flavour trends Compelling pack design that creates stronger fruit associations Exclusively no added sugar in our everyday range, leading to a reduction of 6.9bn calories World class consumer & shopper engagement that makes the brand easier to find in-store 27

In-store sampling TV World class consumer and shopper engagement OUTDOOR DIGITAL Social Media Retailer online In-store POS 28

Communicating our health credentials 29

Investing to realise our international ambitions 30

Fruit Shoot in the USA Single-serve momentum continues Fruit Shoot #2 in the category Share by region continued to grow In-market sales up circa 1/3 on last year Potential for strong future growth Optimising the multi-pack solution Manufacturing capability established On-going evaluation of optimum route to market Long-term scale opportunity Every region delivered single-serve value share growth. Total share up 240bps vs LY Source: IRI 011815 / Total USA / Multi-outlet/ Latest 52 Weeks / Single Serve volume 31

Summary A strong first half performance and confident in our second half plans Great progress executing our strategy Investing in the long-term drivers of revenue growth Confident of continued margin and profit progression Driving improved shareholder returns

Appendix 33

Exceptional costs and other items Item 2015 M Financial derivatives 0.8 Strategic cost programme related (3.3) Gain on held for sale property in Northern Ireland 0.8 Gain on disposal of impaired assets 0.4 Total (1.3) Cash impact 0.2m 34