Watts Water Technologies 4Q and FY 2017 Earnings Conference Call

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Transcription:

Watts Water Technologies 4Q and FY 2017 Earnings Conference Call February 13, 2018

Forward Looking Statements Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are related to forecasts of sales, margins, earnings, earnings per share, capital expenditures, water market growth, acquisition strategy, the impact of tax legislation and management goals and objectives. Watts cautions investors that any such forward-looking statements made by Watts are not guarantees of future performance. All forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and contingencies, many that are beyond the control of Watts, which may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forwardlooking statements. Factors that might affect forward-looking statements include overall economic and business conditions, competitive factors, changes in laws affecting Watts, future acquisitions of material assets or businesses by Watts, the demand for Watts products and services and other factors identified in Item 1A. Risk Factors in Watts most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and in subsequent reports filed with the SEC. 2

Overview Completed Transformation Enhanced Commercial Excellence Captured expected savings Enhanced customer experience Resources pivoted to growth / LEAN Successful year for training centers Engaged Voice of Customer Continuing to expand training 2018 Target Areas Accelerate organic growth Drive margin expansion Continue reinvestment Optimize U.S. tax benefits Seed Planting Success Geographic expansion - Korea, LATAM New products well received Key account management focus 2018 Markets Record Financial Results Adjusted FY operating margin +50 bps Adjusted FY EPS +13% Free cash flow 129%* conversion Supportive end markets Recent volatility * Excludes impact of tax reform see slide 18 for reconciliation Fiscal policy / geopolitical Record Performance in 2017; Favorable Outlook in 2018 3

4Q 2017 Financial Summary (M except per share amounts) 4Q17 4Q16 Sales $366 $342 7% Increase +3% organic,+3% FX,+1% acquisition Product rationalization (3) impact (1%) Operating Profit (1) Margin % $42 11.4% $37 10.9% 12% Increase Volume, transformation, productivity Record 4Q margin performance Net Income (1) $25 $22 14% Increase Driven primarily by operations EPS (1) $0.74 $0.64 16% Increase Tax Rate 31.7% 32.9% Operations +$0.07, FX / tax +$0.03 Record 4Q EPS FY Free Cash Flow (2) $127 $102 24% Increase FCF conversion 129% (1) Organic sales growth, Operating Profit, Operating Margin, Net Income and EPS are non-gaap financial measures, see slides 15 and 16 for reconciliation (2) Free Cash Flow = Cash Flow from Operations Less Capital Expenditures, a non-gaap measure, see slide 18 for calculation and reconciliation. (3) Product rationalization represents the exit of low-margin non-core products Another Quarter of Record Operating Margin & EPS 4

Americas (M) Sales Reported +5% Organic (1) +3% Operating Margin (1) Up 90 bps $233.6 16.2% $223.3 15.3% 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 Broad-based growth in plumbing, drains & water quality products Heating & Hot Water platform down slightly Canada growth driven by drains & water quality products Operating profit (1) $37.8M Up $3.6M or 11% Operating margin (1) +90 bps Volume, price Productivity, transformation Investments, materials (1) Organic sales growth, Operating Profit and Operating Margin are non-gaap financial measures, see slides 15 and 17 for reconciliation Solid Top-Line Growth and Strong Margin Trends 5

Europe (M) Sales Reported +14% Organic (1) +5% $115.7 Operating Margin (1) 10.2% Up 140 bps 8.8% (2) $101.7 (2) 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 Solid growth in plumbing, electronics & drains FX impact +9%; product rationalization (3) (1%) France, Germany, Nordics up; Italy down Operating profit (1) $11.8M Up $2.9M or 33% Operating margin (1) +140 bps Volume, price Productivity / restructuring Investments, materials (1) Organic sales growth, Operating Profit and Operating Margin are non-gaap financial measures, see slides 15 and 17 for reconciliation (2) Adjusted for segment composition change, see slide 20 for details (3) Product rationalization represents the exit of low-margin non-core products Strong Growth & Productivity Driving Margin Improvement 6

APMEA (M) Sales Reported flat Organic (1) (1%) $17.0 $17.0 (2) Operating Margin (1) Down 350 bps 11.8% (2) 8.3% 4Q17 4Q16 4Q17 4Q16 Product rationalization (3) impact (10%) 9% growth excluding product rationalization China +22%; valve strength, heating slowdown Outside China +1%; Australia / SEA solid growth offsetting Korea / Middle East (project timing) Operating profit (1) $1.4M Down $0.6M Operating margin (1) (350 bps) Volume, affiliate sales down 11% Growth investments (1) Organic sales growth, Operating Profit and Operating Margin are non-gaap financial measures, see slides 15 and 17 for reconciliation (2) Adjusted for segment composition change, see slide 20 for details (3) Product rationalization represents the exit of low-margin non-core products Solid Top Line; Margin Impacted by Affiliate Volume 7

Full Year 2017 Financial Summary Sales ($B) +4% Organic (1) +1% Operating Margin (1) 11.9% +50 bps $3.02 EPS (1) +13% Growth $1.46 $1.40 11.4% $2.67 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 (1) Organic sales growth, Operating Margin and EPS are non-gaap financial measures, see slides 15 and 16 for reconciliation Another Record Year for Watts 8

Impact of U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Acts Q4 17 provisional charge of $25M Includes tax on deemed repatriated earnings, partially offset by re-measurement of deferred taxes One-time repatriation tax payable over 8 years; ~ $4M payment in 2018 Impacts incorporated into 2018 Outlook 2018 effective tax rate ~ 28% Cash repatriation Expect to repatriate ~$125M in 2018 Evaluate future repatriations in line with capital requirements and tax planning opportunities SEC guidance allows use of reasonable estimate with one year measurement period Tax Reform Positive; Additional Planning in Process 9

2018 Planning Framework HEADWINDS MONITORING TAILWINDS Commodities Growth investments Product rationalization US fiscal policies China fundamentals Geopolitical concerns Pricing Restructuring US tax reform FX translation Balanced Outlook 10

2018 Outlook FY 2018 Outlook by Region Org Rev Growth Margin Rate Item Other Key Inputs Expectation AMERICAS 3-5% Positive Corporate Costs ~$37M Interest Expense ~$17M EUROPE 1-3% Positive Effective Tax Rate ~28% APMEA 7-10% Positive CAPEX / D&A ~$38M / ~$50M WATTS ~3% 50 to 70 bps Includes $10M Investments Free Cash Flow Conversion Share Count >100% ~34.4M shares Forecasting Another Good Year 11

Summary Strong Finish to 2017; Delivered Record Results Completed Transformations and Strengthened Foundation Continued End Market Growth in 2018; More Recent Uncertainty Focused on Operational and Commercial Excellence Strong Margin Expansion and Free Cash Flow; Disciplined Capital Allocation Approach Executing on Our Strategy 12

APPENDIX

Consolidated Statements of Operations (M) (Unaudited) Fourth Quarter Ended 2017 2016 B/(W) % Net sales $366.3 $342.0 $24.3 7% Cost of goods sold 217.1 204.3 (12.8) (6%) Gross profit 149.2 137.7 11.5 8% 40.7% 40.3% +0.4p Selling, general & administrative expenses 107.5 106.5 (1.0) (1%) 29.3% 31.1% +1.8p Restructuring / impairment 4.2 (0.4) (4.6) (1,150%) Operating income 37.5 31.6 5.9 19% 10.2% 9.2% +1.0p Other expense 4.5 4.5 - - Income before taxes 33.0 27.1 5.9 22% Provision for income taxes 35.3 9.6 (25.7) (268%) Net (loss) income $(2.3) $17.5 $(19.8) (113%) Diluted (loss) earnings per share $(0.07) $0.51 $(0.58) (114%) 14

Reconciliation of Reported Sales to Organic Sales (M) (Unaudited) (in millions except per share information) Fourth Quarter Ended Americas Europe* APMEA* Total Reported net sales 4Q'17 $233.6 $115.7 $17.0 $366.3 Reported net sales 4Q'16 223.3 101.7 17.0 342.0 Dollar change $10.3 $14.0 $ $24.3 Net sales % increase 5% 14% % 7% (Increase) due to foreign exchange -9% -1% -3% (Increase) due to acquisition -2% -1% Subtotal -2% -9% -1% -4% Organic sales increase (decrease) 3% 5% -1% 3% Year Ended Americas Europe* APMEA* Total Reported net sales December 31, 2017 $951.9 $440.3 $64.5 $1,456.7 Reported net sales December 31, 2016 900.9 431.3 66.2 1,398.4 Dollar change $51.0 $9.0 ($1.7) $58.3 Net sales % increase (decrease) 6% 2% -3% 4% (Increase) due to foreign exchange -1% (Increase) due to acquisition -5% -2% -3% Subtotal -5% -1% -2% -3% Organic sales increase (decrease) 1% 1% -5% 1% * 2016 results retrospectively adjusted to reflect the change in composition of reportable segments moving Watts Middle East out of Europe and into APMEA. 15

Reconciliation of GAAP As Reported to Adjusted Non-GAAP Excluding Effect of Adjustments for Special Items (M) (Unaudited) (in millions except per share information) Fourth Quarter Ended Year Ended 2017 2016 2017 2016 Net Sales $366.3 $342.0 $1,456.7 $1,398.4 Operating income - as reported $37.5 $31.6 $162.3 $145.0 Operating margin % 10.2% 9.2% 11.1% 10.4% Adjustments for special items: Other long-lived asset impairment charges 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 Acquisitions / divesture related costs 3.4 0.2 (4.7) Restructuring 3.2 (0.9) 6.8 4.7 Transformation 2.3 2.9 14.2 Other costs 0.3 0.3 $4.2 $5.6 $10.9 $15.0 Operating income - as adjusted $41.7 $37.2 $173.2 $160.0 Adjusted operating margin % 11.4% 10.9% 11.9% 11.4% Net (loss) income - as reported $(2.3) $17.5 $73.1 $84.2 Adjustments for special items - tax affected: Other long-lived asset impairment charges 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 Acquisitions / divestiture related costs 2.0 0.1 (6.8) Restructuring 2.3 (0.4) 4.7 3.2 Transformation costs 1.5 1.9 8.8 Other (0.3) 1.2 (1.6) 2.6 U.S. Tax Reform 25.1 25.1 $27.7 $4.7 $30.8 $8.2 Net income - as adjusted $25.4 $22.2 $103.9 $92.4 Earnings per share Diluted (loss) earnings per share - as reported $(0.07) $0.51 $2.12 $2.44 Adjustments for special items 0.81 0.13 0.90 0.23 Diluted earnings per share - as adjusted $0.74 $0.64 $3.02 $2.67 16

Adjusted Operating Income by Segment (M) (Unaudited) (in millions) Fourth Quarter Ended 2017 Americas Europe* APMEA* Corp. Total Fourth Quarter Ended 2016 Americas Europe* APMEA* Corp. Total Reported operating income (loss) $36.3 9.1 1.4 (9.3) 37.5 Operating margin % 15.5% 7.9% 8.3% 10.2% Adjustments for special items $1.5 2.7 4.2 Adjusted operating income (loss) $37.8 11.8 1.4 (9.3) 41.7 Adjusted operating margin % 16.2% 10.2% 8.3% 11.4% $31.4 7.7 2.0 (9.5) 31.6 14.1% 7.6% 11.8% 9.2% $2.8 1.2 1.6 5.6 $34.2 8.9 2.0 (7.9) 37.2 15.3% 8.8% 11.8% 10.9% Year Ended 2017 Americas Europe* APMEA* Corp. Total Reported operating income (loss) $146.8 47.6 4.7 (36.8) 162.3 Operating margin % 15.4% 10.8% 7.3% 11.1% Adjustments for special items $6.5 3.8 0.6 10.9 Adjusted operating income (loss) $153.3 51.4 5.3 (36.8) 173.2 Adjusted operating margin % 16.1% 11.7% 8.3% 11.9% Year Ended 2016 Americas Europe* APMEA* Corp. Total $127.1 40.0 15.1 (37.2) 145.0 14.1% 9.3% 22.8% 10.4% $15.9 4.6 (7.0) 1.5 15.0 $143.0 44.6 8.1 (35.7) 160.0 15.9% 10.3% 12.2% 11.4% * 2016 results retrospectively adjusted to reflect the change in composition of reportable segments moving Watts Middle East out of Europe and into APMEA. 17

Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operations to Free Cash Flow (M) (Unaudited) Year Ended 2017 2016 Net cash provided by operations - as reported $155.9 $138.1 Less: additions to property, plant, and equipment (29.4) (36.0) Plus: proceeds from the sale of property, plant, and equipment 0.4 0.1 Free cash flow $126.9 $102.2 Net income - as reported $73.1 $84.2 Cash conversion rate of free cash flow to net income 173.6% 121.4% Net income - as reported $73.1 $84.2 Impact of U.S. Tax Reform 25.1 - Net income excluding the impact of U.S. Tax Reform $98.2 $84.2 Cash conversion rate of free cash flow to net income excluding the impact of U.S. Tax Reform 129.2% 121.4% 18

Reconciliation of Long-term Debt (including current portion) to Net Debt to Capitalization Ratio (M) (Unaudited) December 31, 2017 December 31, 2016 Current portion of long-term debt $22.5 $139.1 Plus: Long-term debt, net of current portion 474.6 511.3 Less: Cash and cash equivalents (280.2) (338.4) Net debt $216.9 $312.0 Net debt $216.9 $312.0 Plus: Total stockholders' equity 829.0 736.3 Capitalization $1,045.9 1,048.3 Net debt to capitalization ratio 20.7% 29.8% 19

Retrospective Adjustment Segment Information (M) (Unaudited) NET SALES For the Quarter Ended Year Ended April 3, 2016 July 3, 2016 October 2, 2016 December 31, 2016 December 31, 2016 December 31, 2015 Americas $222.3 $239.5 $215.8 $223.3 $900.9 $978.5 Europe 108.3 114.3 107.0 101.7 431.3 436.0 APMEA 13.6 17.3 18.3 17.0 66.2 53.2 Total $344.2 $371.1 $341.1 $342.0 $1,398.4 $1,467 GAAP Operating Income (Loss) For the Quarter Ended Year Ended April 3, 2016 July 3, 2016 October 2, 2016 December 31, 2016 December 31, 2016 December 31, 2015 Americas $28.1 $35.4 $32.2 $31.4 $127.1 $109.9 Europe 9.8 10.2 12.3 7.7 40.0 (99.6) APMEA 1.7 9.8 1.6 2.0 15.1 0.5 Corporate (8.4) (9.7) (9.6) (9.5) (37.2) (100.9) Total $31.2 $45.7 $36.5 $31.6 $145.0 $(90.1) Adjusted Operating Income (Loss) For the Quarter Ended Year Ended April 3, 2016 July 3, 2016 October 2, 2016 December 31, 2016 December 31, 2016 December 31, 2015 Americas $33.0 $39.5 $36.3 $34.2 $143.0 $135.7 Europe 10.2 12.8 12.7 8.9 44.6 40.0 APMEA 2.4 1.6 2.1 2.0 8.1 6.5 Corporate (8.3) (9.8) (9.7) (7.9) (35.7) (33.8) Total $37.3 $44.1 $41.4 $37.2 $160.0 $148.4 Note: The tables contains a retrospective revision of the quarterly, year-to-date, and annual operating results by operating segment of the Company for 2016 and the annual operating results by operating segment for 2015 to reflect the change in composition of reportable segments moving Watts Middle East out of Europe and into APMEA. Note the four quarters may not sum to full year due to rounding. See our current report on Form 8-K dated April 28, 2017 in the Investor Relations section of our website (www.wattswater.com), including a reconciliation of GAAP and Non-GAAP numbers. 20