Q Trading Update. May 4, 2016

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Transcription:

Q1 2016 Trading Update May 4, 2016

Forward looking statements This Presentation may include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements regarding or based upon our management s current intentions, beliefs or expectations relating to, among other things, Ontex s future results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies or developments in the industry in which we operate. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or future events to differ materially from those expressed or implied thereby. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding trends or current activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this Presentation. 2

Table of contents Ontex Highlights 04 Trading Review 06 Outlook 16 Q&A 18 Appendix 19 3

Ontex Highlights

Q1 2016 highlights Strong growth in developing markets and integration of Grupo Mabe underway LFL revenue growth Reported Group revenues of 452.4 million for Q1 2016 Q1 reported revenue +6.4%, including Grupo Mabe as from March 1 2016 Q1 like-for-like (LFL) revenues 1 +1.0% Q1 revenue at constant currency (CC) and on a pro-forma basis 2 +3.9% Adjusted EBITDA 3 margin expansion Adjusted EBITDA +9.6% to 57.0 million in Q1 2016 including Grupo Mabe as from March 1 2016 Adverse currency impact of - 13.2 million Adjusted EBITDA margin up 37 bps to 12.6%, driven by efficiency gains and cost savings Net leverage Net debt of 701.7 million at end of March 2016, including 104.1 million of acquisition related earn-outs subject to achievement of pre-agreed targets to be paid in 2016, 2017 and 2018 Management estimates leverage between 2.7x and 3.0x based on LTM EBITDA including Mabe estimate Working Capital and Capex under control in Q1 2016; FY capex/sales incl. Mabe expected between 3.5%-4.0% Q1 2016 LFL revenues 1 +1.0% CC revenues 2 +3.9% Adj. EBITDA 3 margin 12.6% Net debt 701.7 million Note 1: LFL revenues are defined as revenues at constant currency excluding change in perimeter or M&A Note 2: Pro-forma assuming consolidation of Grupo Mabe for Q1 in both 2015 and 2016 Note 3: Adjusted EBITDA is a non-ifrs measure, defined as EBITDA plus non-recurring expenses and revenues excluding non-recurring depreciation and amortization and has consistently been applied throughout reporting periods. EBITDA is a non-ifrs measure, defined as earnings before net finance cost, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA margin is Adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue. Ontex Highlights 5

Trading Review

Further revenue growth Higher volumes and strong FX headwinds Group revenue review Sales bridge Q1 2016 ( m) 452 Reported revenue up +6.4% in Q1 2016, including Grupo Mabe as of March 1 2016 Like-for-like revenues up +1.0% in Q1 2016 Revenue +3.9% yoy at constant currency including Q1 Grupo Mabe in 2015 and 2016 425 Q1 2015 Volume Price/Mix FX Mabe Q1 2016 Top line performance thanks to fast growing developing markets Contribution driven by higher volumes Grupo Mabe included for 1 month Q1 Reported and LFL (%) 425 Rep. +6.4% LFL +1.0% 452 Grupo Mabe Ontex Q1 Pro-forma at CC (%) +3.9% 554 533 Strong FX headwinds for the first three months of 2016 amounted to 13.1 million Q1 15 Q1 16 Q1 15 Q1 16 Trading Review 7

Mature market retail: 47% of Q1 reported group sales Securing profitability with disciplined pricing approach LFL Revenue ( m) and sales growth Like-for-like revenue decline, in line with expectations, due to elevated price competition in Western Europe Q1 2016 revenue higher year-on-year (yoy) in Poland, offset by declines in the UK and France 228-6.2% 214 Continuing to pursue profitable business opportunities within the Division Negative currency impact largely due to the British Pound and Polish Zloty; reported revenue decline of 6.5% including 2.2 million of sales contribution from Mabe s European business Q1 15 Q1 16 Divisional Trading Review review 8

Americas retail: 8% of Q1 reported group sales March 2016 first month of consolidation; Q1 pro-forma double digit growth at constant currency Q1 2016 Revenue ( m) Post completion of Grupo Mabe acquisition, activities consolidated from March 1 under a new fifth division called Americas Retail. 34 Business performing in line with management s expectations at the time of the transaction Solid progress in Mexico in Babycare, Adult Inco and Femcare Pro-forma Q1 2016 revenue +16.2% yoy at constant currency Pro-forma revenue for Q1 2016 up 5.0% despite negative FX impact from Mexican Peso Q1 16 Trading Review 9

Growth markets: 8% of Q1 reported group sales Higher volumes driving revenue growth Like-for-like revenues +27.2% in Q1 2016 LFL Revenue ( m) and sales growth Q1 2016 continues to be driven by increasing volumes in most markets, especially in Russia and Central Eastern Europe Retailers looking to build their own brands 31 +27.2% 40 In Russia, industry-wide price adjustments, implemented last year, partially offset negative FX impacts Negative FX impact, mainly due to the Russian Rouble; reported revenue growth of 17.9% Q1 15 Q1 16 Trading Review 10

MENA: 13% of Q1 reported group sales Ontex brands continue to grow Like-for-like revenues +16.5% in Q1 2016 LFL growth was broad-based Volume gains across most markets with Canbebe in Babycare and Canped in Adult Incontinence LFL Revenue ( m) and sales growth 57 +16.5% 66 Further progress in strengthening our distribution network in North Africa Reported growth at 4.9%, due to negative FX impact from the Turkish Lira Q1 15 Q1 16 Trading Review 11

Healthcare: 24% of Q1 reported group sales Branded volumes grew further LFL Revenue ( m) and sales growth Like-for-like revenues +0.6% +0.6% 109 109 Higher revenue in Italy and in the UK in home delivery, offset by lower sales in France and Germany Continued progress on re-grouping our 2 production sites in northern France Negative FX impact mostly due to the British Pound; reported revenue stable compared with Q1 2015 Q1 15 Q1 16 Trading Review 12

Our categories Growth in our largest categories LFL sales growth Babycare LFL revenue up 0.7%, with higher sales mostly in developing markets and lower revenue in developed markets Revenue +10.4% including Mabe and a negative FX impact % Q1 reported group sales 1 55% 0.7% 32% 11% 1.3% Adult Inco revenue +1.3% LFL on the back of: Stable revenue in institutional channels 6% growth in retail channels Revenue +1.6% including Mabe and a negative FX impact Q1 16 Q1 16 Q1 16-2.0% Femcare down 2.0% for Q1 2016, in line with the change in Western European market revenue for the category Revenue -0.4% including Mabe and a negative FX impact Babycare Note 1: Category split excludes 2% of Other Adult Inco Femcare Trading Review 13

Adjusted EBITDA margin Expansion achieved despite significant currency headwinds Key margin drivers Adjusted EBITDA margin up by 37bps to 12.6% in Q1 2016 Including Grupo Mabe as from March 1 2016 Tailwinds from raw material costs, mainly for oil-based commodities as fluff pulp remains at historically high levels, more than offset by negative FX Portfolio of savings and efficiency projects supported profitability despite slower revenue growth, underscoring resilience Ongoing investments in sales, marketing and administrative capabilities Negative foreign exchange impact on Adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2016 Q1 2016: - 13.2 million due to the Turkish Lira, Russian Rouble, Polish Zloty and US Dollar Trading Review 14

Net debt and liquidity Net debt increased following acquisition as anticipated Reported net debt position and liquidity as of 31 March, 2016 Net debt of 701.7 million, up from 405.5 million at the end December 2015, reflecting: 104.1 million for acquisition related earn-outs to be paid over 2016, 2017 and 2018 subject to achievement of pre-agreed targets Management estimates leverage between 2.7x and 3.0x including estimate of LTM Mabe EBITDA Available liquidity increased from 100.0 million to 225.0 million with the addition of a term loan C, to ensure adequate funds are available for earn-out payments Net Debt Calculation ( m) Gross debt 787.0 Cash & cash equivalents (85.3) Net debt 701.7 Liquidity ( m) Cash & cash equivalents 85.3 Revolving credit facility of 100.0m (of which drawn: 0.0m) Term Loan C of 125.0m (of which drawn: 0.0m) 225.0 Available liquidity 310.3 Trading Review 15

Outlook

Outlook Based on current FX rates and outlook on commodity pricing: Expectations for 2016 like-for-like (LFL) growth remain unchanged We anticipate to see a better LFL performance in Mature Market Retail in the second half of the year, with Q2 2016 lower than the first quarter We expect strong LFL performances in 2016 from our expanded portfolio of business in Growth Markets, Middle East North Africa and from March 1 2016, Americas Retail Healthcare LFL is anticipated to continue growing slightly ahead of the stable Western European market We will continue to capture efficiencies, savings, and as of Q2, synergies following completion of the Mabe acquisition. Including the dilutive impact of Grupo Mabe, we expect to have a Group Adjusted EBITDA margin for FY 2016 in line with FY 2015 (12.4%) on a much larger revenue base Outlook 17

Q&A

Appendix

Performance overview for Q1 2016 In millions of Euro Q1 2016 Q1 2015 % as reported % LFL Per Division Mature markets retail 213.5 228.4 (6.5%) (6.2%) Americas Retail 33.8 0.0 n.a n.a Growth markets 36.9 31.3 17.9% 27.2% Healthcare 108.4 108.4 0.0% 0.6% MENA 59.8 57.0 4.9% 16.5% Per Category Babycare 250.0 226.5 10.4% 0.7% Femcare 50.6 50.8 (0.4%) (2.0%) Adult incontinence 144.6 142.3 1.6% 1.3% Other (Traded goods) 7.2 5.5 30.9% 34.5% Per Geographic Area Western Europe 259.6 280.1 (7.3%) (7.4%) Eastern Europe 70.5 60.8 16.0% 22.4% Americas 36.7 2.7 N.M 11.1% Rest of the world 85.7 81.5 5.2% 13.9% n.a: not applicable N.M: Not meaningful Appendix 20

Thank you