Lowell Group Q Investor Presentation. 29 th August 2014

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Transcription:

Q3 2014 Investor Presentation 29 th August 2014

Introduction To Today s Speakers James Cornell CEO 16 years of relevant experience Founder and CEO of Lowell since 2004 Previous roles: Head of Risk at Caudwell Group; Commercial Director of the B2B Division at Equifax PLC Colin Storrar CFO 20 years of relevant experience Joined Lowell in early 2013 Previous roles: CFO at HSBC First Direct and Head of HSBC Contact Centres; Senior finance roles at GE Capital Bank and GE Money after 10 years with Arthur Andersen 2

Overview of Current Position Q3 FY14: Another strong quarter for portfolio purchases and financial growth Highly diversified origination strategy the key to another quarter of significant acquisition spend with 120m spend achieved as at Q3 and a committed spend of 150m being achieved as at the end of August Strong financials evident in: 17% collections growth LTM June 2014 v LTM June 2013 Q3 adjusted EBITDA up 25% versus same period in 2013 June 2014 84 month ERC stands at 654m, 141m (28%) up on June 2013 3

Change in Ownership Structure OTPP acquire significant minority interest in the business in August On August 11 th 2014, Lowell announced that Teachers Private Capital, an investment division of the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board, has agreed to acquire a significant minority interest in Each of the current investors in Lowell will remain shareholders, each selling a proportionate amount of their current holding Strong endorsement of management s strategy and Lowell s strong positioning and prospects We are delighted to also have the continued support of TDR Capital, underlining their belief in the growth opportunities that lie ahead Agreement is subject to regulatory clearances and other consents The Ontario Teachers Pension Plan is the largest single profession pension plan in Canada, with over $140 billion in net assets administering the pensions of 307,000 teachers. Teachers has been active in Europe since 1992 and has invested CAN $20bn in private equity globally 4

Balance Sheet Another quarter of impressive growth Portfolio Purchases ( m) Diversified Purchases in the Quarter of 36m YTD Purchased 2014 Committed +22% 2013 FY Spend 150 21% 13% 29% 123 49% +15% 120 104 YTD 2013 June 13 YTD 2014 June 14 84M Gross ERC ( m) +28% 66% 120M Gross ERC ( m) +26% 513 548 654 577 609 725 5

Collections & Returns Continued growth with strong profitability Gross Cash Collections ( m) Adjusted EBITDA +17% +14% 29% +30% 157 184 +25% 107 122 49% 39 21% 51 26 33 Q3 13 Q3 14 LTM Jun 13 LTM Jun 14 Q3 13 Q3 14 LTM Jun 13 LTM Jun 14 YTD Operating Profit (Underlying)* m Double Digit Growth Continues Across Key Metrics +95% 45 30% growth in qtr on qtr cash collections 23 Adjusted EBITDA growth of 25% qtr on qtr 95% growth in YTD Operating Profit versus prior year YTD Jun 13 *Figures exclude exceptional items YTD Jun 14 Q3 2014 RESULTS Monthly Financial Reporting 6

Liquidity Strong underlying cashflow Cashflow ( m) Q3 13 Q3 14 LTM June 14 ERC 512.7 654.2 654.2 Reported portfolio purchases 41.3 36.3 138.8 Net debt 264.7 337.7 337.7 Cash generation: Collections/income on owned portfolios 39.2 51.1 184.5 Other income 0.1 0.0 0.3 Servicing costs 13.0 18.4 62.2 Adjusted EBITDA 26.2 32.7 122.2 Capital expenditure (0.4) (1.1) (4.8) Subsidiary Acquisition (29.0) Movement in working capital (1.7) (3.7) (19.0) Cash flow before debt and tax servicing 24.1 28.0 98.4 Cash asset return * 21.5% Cash asset return of 21.5% represents a significant and rapid conversion of ERC into cashflow, thereby reducing risk and providing substantial liquidity for new purchases Working capital movement in LTM June 2014 driven by: Strong Liquidity and Cash Visibility Continues Upfront cash outlay, deferred to the balance sheet relating to litigation on the back book 200 150 100 50 185 135 84M ERC Profile ( m) 103 80 62 49% to be delivered within 24 months 49 39 Fees associated with 115m secured notes issued in March 2014 Upfront payments made on invoices, including contracts with credit bureau agencies and licensing the IT estate 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Year *Cash asset return definition: LTM adjusted EBITDA/ average LTM Gross ERC 7

Net Debt &Leverage Covenants well within requirements Key Coverage Measures Q3 13 Q2 14 Q3 14 Key Financial Metrics ERC 512.7 623.1 654.2 Gross debt 275 405 390 Cash 10.3 88.4 52.3 Net debt 264.7 316.6 337.7 Annual interest payable 32.4 40.4 40.5 Adjusted EBITDA (LTM) 107.2 117.5 122.2 Leverage & Coverage Ratios LTV ratio 51.6% 50.8% 51.6% Net debt/adjusted EBITDA 2.5 2.7 2.8 EBITDA/total interest payable 3.3 2.9 3.0 Portfolios forecast to generate 654 million in cash collections (ERC) in the next 84 months, a 28% YoY increase: 49% of cash collections expected to be generated within the next 24 months 77% of cash collections expected to be generated within the next 48 months 120 Month ERC = 725m Notes: The numbers for all 3 quarters for gross debt, net debt, cash, annual interest payable and the resulting ratios are on a pro forma basis Key ratios remain well within covenants Leverage &Coverage ratios calculated on same basis as presented in the Offering Memorandum Summary Consolidated Financial Data Gross Debt, Cash and Net Debt are presented on a pro forma basis relating to the issuance included within the Offering Memorandum The Group continues to explore financing options including M&A and IPO 8

Conclusion Strong performance continues in a growing marketplace Strong financials business remains on track to achieve growth, high returns, and predictable earnings Well positioned to grow purchase volume and take advantage of a buoyant marketplace Ongoing focus on compliance and maintaining a strong, customer centric relationship with the FCA Investment by OTPP, one of the largest pension funds in the world, demonstrating institutionalisation of the sector and a significant endorsement of Lowell s positioning and prospects 9

Disclaimer By reading or reviewing the presentation that follows, you agree to be bound by the following limitations. This presentation has been prepared by ( the Company ) solely for informational purposes. For the purposes of this disclaimer, the presentation that follows shall mean and include the slides that follow, the oral presentation of the slides by the Company or any person on their behalf, any question and answer session that follows the oral presentation, hard copies of this document and any materials distributed in connection with the presentation. By attending the meeting at which the presentation is made, dialing into the teleconference during which the presentation is made or reading the presentation, you will be deemed to have agreed to all of the restrictions that apply with regard to the presentation and acknowledged that you understand the legal regulatory sanctions attached to the misuse, disclosure or improper circulation of the presentation. The Company has included certain non GAAP financial measures in this presentation, including estimated remaining collections ( ERC ), Adjusted EBITDA, Unlevered Net IRR, Net Debt and certain other financial measures and ratios. These measurements may not be comparable to those of other companies and may be calculated differently from similar measurements under the indenture governing the Company s 10.75% Senior Secured Notes due 2019 & 5.875% Senior Secured Notes due 2019. Reference to these non UK GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to GAAP financial measures, but should not be considered a substitute for results that are presented in accordance with GAAP. The information contained in this presentation has not been subject to any independent audit or review. A significant portion of the information contained in this document, including all market data and trend information, is based on estimates or expectations of the Company, and there can be no assurance that these estimates or expectations are or will prove to be accurate. Our internal estimates have not been verified by an external expert, and we cannot guarantee that a third party using different methods to assemble, analyze or compute market information and data would obtain or generate the same results. We have not verified the accuracy of such information, data or predictions contained in this report that were taken or derived from industry publications, public documents of our competitors or other external sources. Further, our competitors may define our and their markets differently than we do. In addition, past performance of the Company is not indicative of future performance. The future performance of the Company will depend on numerous factors which are subject to uncertainty. Certain statements contained in this document that are not statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, any statements preceded by, followed by or including the words targets, believes, expects, aims, intends, may, anticipates, would, could or similar expressions or the negative thereof, constitute forward looking statements, notwithstanding that such statements are not specifically identified. In addition, certain statements may be contained in press releases, and in oral and written statements made by or with the approval of the Company that are not statements of historical fact and constitute forward looking statements. Examples of forward looking statements include, but are not limited to: (i) statements about future financial and operating results; (ii) statements of strategic objectives, business prospects, future financial condition, budgets, projected levels of production, projected costs and projected levels of revenues and profits of the Company or its management or board of directors; (iii) statements of future economic performance; and (iv) statements of assumptions underlying such statements. Forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions which are difficult to predict and outside of the control of the management of the Company. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward looking statements. We have based these assumptions on information currently available to us, if any one or more of these assumptions turn out to be incorrect, actual market results may differ from those predicted. While we do not know what impact any such differences may have on our business, if there are such differences, our future results of operations and financial condition, and the market price of the notes, could be materially adversely affected. You should not place undue reliance on these forward looking statements. All subsequent written and oral forward looking statements concerning the proposed transaction or other matters and attributable to the Company or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements referenced above. Forward looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are made. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. The presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue, or the solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe to or acquire the Company or the Company s securities, or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation, inducement or sale would be unlawful prior to registration, exemption from registration or qualification under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This presentation is not for publication, release or distribution in any jurisdiction where to do so would constitute a violation of the relevant laws of such jurisdiction nor should it be taken or transmitted into such jurisdiction. 10