Endowment Funds Performance (Year ending June 30 th, 2013)

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Transcription:

Endowment Funds Performance (Year ending June 30 th, 2013) prepared for Investment Subcommittee (Note: all returns and values are expressed in Canadian Dollars- CAD s) 1

Quarterly Market Overview Canadian Equity The S&P/TSX index returned -4.1% for the quarter but remained positive for the 1 year period. Materials sector declined sharply ( -23.3%) due to fears of slowdown in China and a strengthening US dollar. Gold stocks also came under intense selling pressure as the price of gold neared $1200/ounce. On the other hand the sharp rise in bond yields contributed to the underperformance of interest sensitive sectors including Telecom (-11.6%), REITs (-7.1%) and utilities. Bank of Canada kept the overnight rate steady at 1% International Equity The MSCI EAFE index returned 3.1% over the quarter. The Japanese market posted an impressive 8.4% return for the quarter and 26.7% for the one year period. The MSCI emerging markets index returned -4.4%, with the Latin American markets dropping -12.3%. The one year performance of the MSCI EM index remained positive at 6.8%. Markets seem to have been negatively impacted by a slowdown in manufacturing activity in China and continued sluggish growth in Europe. The plunge in emerging market equity prices has driven the valuations down towards their lowest levels in 5 yrs. U.S. Equity The U.S markets continued their strong run before reversing course slightly in June amongst increasing worries from the federal reserve. S&P 500 index returned 6.9% over the quarter with all 10 S&P sectors posting positive performance led by the Financial and Consumer Discretionary sectors which posted returns of 11.4% and 10.9% respectively. The Utilities sector posted the weakest return of 1%. Fixed Income Bond yields rose sharply towards the end of the quarter as a result of comments by US Fed Chairman. The Dex Bond Universe returned -2.4% for the second quarter and -0.2% for the 1 year period ending June 30, 2013. Long term bonds produced the biggest negative return this quarter, returning -4.6%, followed by mid-term bonds at - 2.85%. Short term bonds posted a slightly negative return of 2-0.57% for the quarter.

Endowment Results: Relative to major asset class indices (Gross Returns for the 12 Months Ended June 30 th, 2013) Canadian Equity Outperformed the index by 9.9%. Within the industry sectors, Materials was the largest contributor to relative outperformance. Despite poor results in this sector for the index, manager stock selection led to outperformance. Consumer staples was the best performing sector in the portfolio led by Loblaws which had a return of 52% over the last year. International Equity Underperformed the MSCI EAFE (Net) index by 1.2% and outperformed the MSCI Emerging markets index by 1.9% After consistently outperforming the index for the last few years Tweedy Browne underperformed (by 1.7%) as a result of their rising cash reserves, however they are still ahead of the benchmark on a YTD basis. LSV had better relative performance beating the index by 3.3%. LSV s Emerging Markets mandate beat the index by 1.8%. The portfolio s deep value and small cap bias relative to the benchmark help up pretty well through to the end of June. U.S. Equity Outperformed the S&P 500 index by 4.4% Exposure to US small and mid cap stocks continue to benefit the portfolio as they outperformed the larger cap stocks. Within the mid and small cap portfolios the best performing sectors were Health Care (45.3%), Consumer Discretionary (35.5%) and Financials (35.2%). The largest contributor to the relative outperformance was Information technology which returned 25.5% vs 11.5 % for the index. Approximately 57 % of the US equity exposure is a large cap passive index ETF ( SPDR S&P 500 ETF) which is expected to track the index return. Fixed Income 0.5% versus -0.2% for the Dex Bond Universe. The performance over this period includes the return of the previous Core plus manager that was terminated in August 2012. This is a passive mandate and normal variance to the index is expected to be relatively small Infrastructure On May 16 th, 2013 the Investment Committee hired Brookfield Asset Management Inc. as the Infrastructure manager committing $19 million to Brookfield Infrastructure Fund II 3

Total Endowment Portfolio Vs Benchmark (Gross Of Fees) Annualized Periods Ending June 30 th, 2013 Endowment Policy Benchmark : 30% DEX Bond Universe + 20% S&P/TSX Composite + 25% S&P 500 ($CAD) + 20% MSCI EAFE Net ($CAD) + 5% MSCI Emerging Markets Index 4

Asset Class Performance Annualized Periods Ending June 30 th, 2013 YTD 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10 Yr % % % % % % % % % % % Total Gross of Fees 7.3 15.0 8.3 10.8 10.3 6.3 3.5 4.9 4.7 5.2 6.2 *Total Net of Fees 7.1 14.5 7.8 10.3 9.8 5.8 3.0 4.4 4.2 4.7 5.7 Total Fund ex Currency Overlay (Gross) 1 8.4 15.7 8.9 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- **Endowment Benchmark 6.0 12.3 6.6 9.2 8.8 3.9 1.9 3.8 4.1 4.5 5.5 Canadian Equity 7.3 17.8 4.8 9.5 9.4 3.2 3.3 5.8 6.7 9.1 10.6 S&P/TSX Comp Index -0.9 7.9-1.6 5.4 7.0-0.5 0.6 3.5 5.4 6.8 8.4 US Equity 21.8 29.2 18.3 19.3 17.1 10.7 4.8 6.1 4.8 3.7 4.9 S&P 500 Total Return Index ($CAD) 20.6 24.8 17.9 18.2 14.6 7.8 3.2 4.9 4.1 3.3 4.6 Non-North American Equity 8.1 21.6 7.5 12.2 10.2 4.3 0.3 3.4 4.7 4.5 6.8 MSCI EAFE Net ($CAD) 10.3 22.8 5.7 9.8 6.4 0.1-2.5 0.6 2.3 2.5 5.0 Fixed Income -1.6 0.5 4.8 4.9 5.6 6.1 6.0 5.8 4.9 5.6 5.4 Dex Bond Universe -1.7-0.2 4.6 4.6 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.6 4.8 5.6 5.3 **Endowment Policy Benchmark: 30% DEX Bond Universe + 20% S&P/TSX Composite + 25% S&P 500 ($CAD) + 20% MSCI EAFE Net ($CAD) + 5% MSCI Emerging Markets Index 1 Currency hedging manager was added in November 2010 * 8-10 Year Net of Fee returns are internal estimates 5

Endowment Fund Results: Relative to Endowment Policy Benchmark (for the 12 Months Ended June 30 th, 2013) Endowment Fund Policy Benchmark: 30% DEX Bond Universe + 20% S&P/TSX Composite + 25% S&P 500 ($CAD) + 20% MSCI EAFE Net ($CAD) + 5% MSCI Emerging Markets Index 12-month Total Gross Portfolio return of 15.0% versus Composite Benchmark returns of 12.3%. The chart below summarizes the attribution of returns relative to the Benchmark. The selection effect measures the investment manager s ability to select securities within a given segment relative to a benchmark. The allocation effect measures the value added by deviating from the benchmark weights. The combined effect is the Net Management Effect. The Chart below shows strong security selection across the board. % 4.00 Performance Attribution by Asset Class 3.00 2.8 Allocation Effect 2.00 1.9 Selection Effect 1.00 0.00 1.3 0.3 0.4 Net Management Effect -1.00-1.1-2.00 Total Fund Canada Equity US Equity International Equity Fixed Income Cash Note : Emerging Market equity is combined with EAFE equity and shown as international equity. Cash return includes currency hedging effect. 6

Endowment Asset Mix as of June 30 th, 2013 (Total Assets $ 262.9 Million) Actual Policy EAFE Equity, $47M, 18% EM Equity $12.7M, 5% Cash $7.7M, 3% Canadian Fixed Income, $71.7M, 27% EAFE Equity 20% EM Equity 5% Cash 0% Canadian Fixed Income 30% U.S. Equity, $75.2M, 29% Canadian Equity, $48.6M, 18% U.S. Equity 25% Canadian Equity 20% 5.00% 3% Asset Allocation vs. Policy 4% 0.00% 0% -5.00% Cash -3% Canadian Fixed Income -1% -2% Canadian Equity U.S. Equity EAFE Equity EM Equity Note : Cash includes manager residual cash balances. Internal cash balance of $ 131K and a negative currency hedging position of -1.27 mill 7

Endowment Currency Exposure as of June 30 th, 2013 100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% Other 60.00% Swiss Franc 50.00% British Pound Japanese Yen 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% Canadian Dollar, 46.2% Canadian Dollar, 73.7% Euro Currency Unit U.S. Dollar Canadian Dollar 10.00% 0.00% June 30th 2013 Unhedged June 30th 2013 Hedged Currency June 30 th, 2013 Unhedged % Gross Exposure (CAD in millions ) Hedge (CAD in millions) June 30 th, 2013 Hedged % Net Hedged Exposure (CAD in millions) Canadian Dollar 46.18 $122.0 $71.8 73.71 $193.8 U.S. Dollar 36.49 $96.4 -$50.6 17.43 $45.8 Euro Currency 6.45 $17.0 -$8.9 3.08 $8.1 Japanese Yen 2.73 $7.2 -$3.4 1.46 $3.8 British Pound 3.82 $10.1 -$5.1 1.90 $5.0 Swiss Franc 2.61 $6.9 -$3.4 1.32 $3.5 Other 1.7 $4.6 -$1.7 1.1 $2.9 8

Growth of Endowment Assets Net Annual Returns and Market Values at June 30 th, 2013 300.0 20.0% 250.0 15.2% 13.6% 15.6% 14.5% $262.9 15.0% $ M Endowmwent Market Value 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 $137.0 8.5% 3.2% $152.8 $161.0 $182.3 $166.7-10.1% $181.8 $153.4-8.8% 8.1% $215.8 $226.4 1.4% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% Net Annual Returns 0.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-15.0% Heritage General Total % CAD$ Return (Net) Total Endowment portfolio increased $ 36.5 M to $ 262.9 M consisting of: Net additions of $ 4.4 M Annual return (net of investment management fees) of 14.5 % compared to 1.4 % for the same period in 2012. 9

Investment Return Summary for June 2004 - June 2013 Annualised Return Summary YTD 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Years 6 Years 7 Years 8 Years 9 Years 10 Years Total Fund Gross 7.3% 15.0% 8.3% 10.8% 10.3% 6.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% *Total Fund Net 7.1% 14.5% 7.8% 10.3% 9.8% 5.8% 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.7% 5.7% Benchmark 6.0% 12.3% 6.6% 9.2% 8.8% 3.9% 1.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% Annual Return Summary YTD 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Total Fund Gross 7.3% 15.0% 1.9% 16.1% 8.6% -8.3% -9.6% 13.9% 3.6% 8.9% 15.5% *Total Fund Net 7.1% 14.5% 1.4% 15.6% 8.1% -8.8% -10.1% 13.6% 3.2% 8.5% 15.2% Benchmark 6.0% 12.3% 1.2% 14.6% 7.6% -13.7% -7.4% 15.9% 6.5% 7.1% 15.7% Endowment Policy Benchmark : 30% DEX Bond Universe + 20% S&P/TSX Composite + 25% S&P 500 ($CAD) + 20% MSCI EAFE Net ($CAD) + 5% MSCI Emerging Markets Index * 8-10 Year Net of Fee returns are internal estimates 10

Asset Mix by Manager as of June 30 th, 2013 Manager Date Hired Asset Mandate Market Value % of Portfolio Mandate Objective over 4 yrs Management Fees ($M) (%) Burgundy Aug-12 Canadian Equity 36.0 13.7% S&P/TSX Total Return + 1.5% 0.45 Sionna All Cap Sep-07 Canadian Equity 15.7 6.0% S&P/TSX Total Return + 1.6% 0.45 CIBC Aug-12 Canadian Fixed Income 71.7 27.3% Dex Bond Universe 0.06 Tweedy Browne Dec-03 EAFE Equity 33.0 12.6% MSCI EAFE Index ( CAD $) + 3.0% 1.35 LSV Asset Mgmt. Sep-07 EAFE Equity 21.3 8.1% MSCI EAFE Index ( CAD $) + 2.5% 0.66 LSV - Emerging Mkts Oct-10 EM Equity 12.7 4.8% Outperform MSCI EM Index 1.00 Wedge Oct-06 U.S. Midcap 15.2 5.8% Russel Midcap Value + 2.0% 0.70 Wedge Small Cap Jun-08 U.S. Small Cap 16.6 6.3% Russel Small Cap Value + 2.3% 1.00 SPDRS (ETF) Aug-12 U.S. Equity 41.8 15.9% S&P 500 0.10 Internal Cash 0.13 0.0% Mesirow Nov-10 Passive Currency Hedge -1.27-0.5% Hedge 50 % of Foreign Currency 0.04 Total $ 262.9 100.0% Note: Market Values include Cash & Equivalents 11

Annualized Manager Performance Periods Ending June 30 th, 2013 YTD 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10 Yr % % % % % % % % % % % Burgundy Canadian Equity (Gross)* 8.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Burgundy Canadian Equity (Net)* 7.9 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Sionna (Gross) 4.0 12.6 4.0 8.7 10.4 3.7 -- -- -- -- -- Sionna (Net) 3.8 12.2 3.6 8.3 10.0 3.3 -- -- -- -- -- S&P/TSX Comp Index -0.9 7.9-1.6 5.4 7.0-0.5 0.6 3.5 5.4 6.8 8.4 SPDR US Equity(Gross)* 21.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- SPDR US Equity(Net)* 21.3 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- S&P 500 Total Return Index ($CAD) 20.6 24.8 17.9 18.2 14.6 7.8 3.2 4.9 4.1 3.3 4.6 CIBC (Gross)* -1.6 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- CIBC (Net)* -1.6 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Dex Bond Universe -1.7-0.2 4.6 4.6 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.6 4.8 5.6 5.3 Wedge (Gross ) 22.2 31.8 19.0 19.9 18.9 11.8 5.8 -- -- -- -- Wedge (Net ) 21.8 31.1 18.4 19.3 18.3 11.1 5.1 -- -- -- -- Russell Midcap Value 23.0 32.1 17.9 19.2 18.9 9.7 3.9 5.6 5.4 6.0 8.1 Wedge Small Cap (Gross) 21.2 29.7 16.0 18.7 16.2 -- -- -- -- -- -- Wedge Small Cap (Net) 20.6 28.5 14.9 17.5 15.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- Russell Small Cap Value 21.2 29.1 15.9 17.0 16.4 9.4 2.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 6.6 Tweedy Browne (Gross) 11.0 21.6 12.2 15.1 13.8 9.1 4.9 7.3 7.7 7.5 -- Tweedy Browne (Net) 10.3 20.2 10.8 13.7 12.5 7.8 3.6 6.1 6.6 6.4 -- LSV (Gross) 12.3 26.6 6.4 10.8 7.0 0.9 -- -- -- -- -- LSV (Net ) 12.0 25.8 5.8 10.1 6.3 0.3 -- -- -- -- -- MSCI EAFE Comp ($CAD) 10.7 23.3 6.2 10.3 6.9 0.6-2.0 1.1 2.8 2.9 5.5 LSV EM (Gross) -3.6 8.6-1.9 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- LSV EM (Net ) -4.0 7.6-2.9 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- MSCI Emerging Markets Index -4.0 6.8-2.5 3.5 5.8 0.7 0.6 5.3 7.4 9.1 11.2 * New mandates added in Q3-2012 ; Former Managers; PH& N(June 1995 December 2001), EBS (September 2006-January 2010), JF (July 1999 - August 2012) 12

Market Values and Cash Flows June 30 th, 2013 (in millions $) HERITAGE FUND: 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Market Value of Fund Balance at Quarter end 96.8 81.0 75.7 62.0 51.6 54.1 57.9 49.7 45.9 42.0 Capital Additions to Fund in period 3.9 4.1 3.8 6.4 2.3 4.0 3.0 3.7 1.7 0.8 Distributions to University in period - - - - - -1.9-1.5-1.5-1.5-1.5 GENERAL ENDOWMENT: Market Value of Fund Balance at Quarter end 166.1 145.4 140.1 119.8 101.8 112.6 124.4 111.3 106.9 95.0 Capital Additions to Fund in period 0.5 3.4 1.9 10.1-1.7 0.2 1.5 4.7 0.0 Distributions to University in period - - - - -0.8-1.0-2.0-0.5-1.0-1.1 TOTAL MARKET VALUE OF ENDOWMENTS 262.9 226.4 215.8 181.7 153.4 166.7 182.3 161.0 152.8 137.0 13