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Transcription:

INVESTOR PRESENTATION Q3 2017 RESULTS October 31, 2017 October 26, 2016 (updated on November 8, 2017) ASM proprietary information 2017 ASM

CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements: All matters discussed in this presentation, except for any historical data, are forward-looking statements. Forwardlooking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. These include, but are not limited to, economic conditions and trends in the semiconductor industry generally and the timing of the industry cycles specifically, currency fluctuations, corporate transactions, financing and liquidity matters, the success of restructurings, the timing of significant orders, market acceptance of new products, competitive factors, litigation involving intellectual property, shareholders or other issues, commercial and economic disruption due to natural disasters, terrorist activity, armed conflict or political instability, epidemics and other risks indicated in the Company's reports and financial statements. The Company assumes no obligation nor intends to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect future developments or circumstances. October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 2

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS ALD is a key growth market ALD market expected to grow by double digits from 15 to 20-21 ASMI has leadership position in ALD Outperforming in 2011-2016 Sales grown at a CAGR of 11% in last six years, outperforming broader equipment market Single wafer ALD market on track for a clear improvement in 2017 Structurally improved profitability Operating margin improved in first nine months of 2017 from 12.3% to 14.7% Temporary impact of newly introduced products (Epi and PECVD) on gross margin in Q3 Solid balance sheet Strong cash position, no debt Third consecutive 100m share buyback program completed on August 31, 2017 New 250m share buyback program started on September 22, 2017 Stable dividend of 0.70 per share paid in 2017 October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 3

Q3 2017 KEY RESULTS Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 New orders 122.6 205.9 160.4 Net sales 144.2 202.0 185.3 Gross profit margin % 44.2% 43.7% 40.0% Operating results 16.8 37.7 25.7 Normalized result from investments 26.7 30.9 32.1 Amortization intangible assets resulting from the sale of the 12% stake of ASMPT (6.7) (7.3) (5.4) Result from 5% sale and dilution of ASMPT stake - 83.8 - Net earnings 33.1 132.1 42.2 Normalized net earnings (excl. amortization intangible assets resulting from the sale of the 12% stake of ASMPT and result from sale and dilution of ASMPT stake ) 39.8 55.6 47.6 October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 4

SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT MARKET ASM focuses on deposition equipment ASM is a market leader in ALD Positions in Epitaxy, PECVD and Vertical Furnaces Other Wafer Processes 4.1bn Equipment market segments (US$) Test 4.7bn Assembly 4.5bn Lithography 10.7bn Process Diagnostics 6.2bn Deposition 11.8bn Etch and Clean 14.2bn VLSI Research, October 2017 ASM s focus is on deposition equipment October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 5

EQUIPMENT MARKET OUTLOOK Gartner forecasts WFE spending to increase by 26% in 2017, followed by a slight increase in 2018 Investment in leading edge equipment remains the key driver Wafer Fab Equipment Spending US$bn 50 45 +25.9% +0.4% -9.8% +7.3% -1.0% +11.4% 40-1.0% 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Gartner, October 2017 Gartner forecasts a strongly growing Wafer Fab Equipment market in 2017 October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 6

SEMICONDUCTOR GROWTH DRIVERS SEMICONDUCTOR SALES BY KEY APPLICATION US$bn 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Gartner, October 2017 Servers Industrial Electronics Automotive Solid State Drives Smartphone Premium Smartphone Basic Tablet PC / Tablet Hybrid PC Ultramobile Clamshell PC Desktop & Notebook CAGR 16-21 +11% +10% +9% +15% +5% +5% -1% +18% +7% -5% Current drivers are mobile devices, but long term growth rate is slowing New growth drivers are Solid State Drives, Servers and Industrial/Automotive (MtM) October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 7

WAFER FAB EQUIPMENT SPENDING BY NODE US$bn 50 45 Share of 14nm, 10nm and 7nm and below of total Equipment spending increasing in 2017-2020 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 7nm and below 10nm 14nm 22nm 32nm 45nm 65nm and above 5 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Gartner, October 2017 Advanced nodes: market segments with high expected growth Continued strength in 45nm mainly driven by 3D NAND spending October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 8

ALD IS AN ENABLING TECHNOLOGY ALD technology is a key enabler of Moore s Law Strengths of Atomic Layer Deposition: high-precision deposition of smooth and conformal ultra-thin films, ability to deposit new materials Device scaling, new materials and 3D architectures drive increased demand for ALD ASMI has leading positions in ALD Leadership in high-k metal gate, spacer defined multiple patterning and several new applications ALD continued to account for clearly more than half of ASM s equipment revenue in 2016 Strong market outlook ALD Drivers are further deployment of ALD in volume manufacturing, new applications and process steps The CAGR of the single wafer ALD segment is expected to be the highest within the deposition equipment market in the next years October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 9

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES Focused player, differentiated technologies Track record of innovation Global network, streamlined operations Leadership in ALD Developing ALD technology since 1999 Leading market share in ALD Close cooperation with the leading IC manufacturers Strong IP portfolio October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 10

CUSTOMER CONCENTRATION Engaged with all of the top-10 semiconductor capital equipment spenders Increase in contribution top-3 in 2016 driven by Logic/Foundry 100% 75% 50% 25% ASMI revenue 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Top 3 Nr 4-10 Rest Growing share of wallet with top clients October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 11

HIGHLIGHTS Solid growth expected for the ALD market For 2017, we expect a clear improvement in the single wafer ALD market We expect the single wafer ALD market to reach a size of approx. US$1.5 billion by 2020-2021 Growth in newly introduced products Q3 sales included strongly increased Epi contribution and also multiple PECVD tools Shareholder remuneration New 250 million share buyback started on September 22, 2017, related to the proceeds of the 5% stake sale ASMPT last April 100 million 2016/2017 share buyback program completed on August 28, 2017 Stable dividend of 0.70 per share paid in 2017 Sale of 9% stake in ASMPT announced on November 2, 2017 Part of proceeds are intended to be used for a tax efficient capital return October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 12

STAKE IN ASMPT REDUCED TO 25% On Nov. 2, 2017, ASMI sold a 9% stake in ASMPT for proceeds of approx. 450 million 37 million shares in ASMPT were placed at a price of HK$111 per share through an accelerated bookbuild offering Part of proceeds will be used for a tax efficient capital return, proposal thereto will be placed on the agenda of the 2018 AGM With this 9% stake sale Management Board aims to take an important further step in creating long term value for the company Next to continuous efforts in strengthening the company s Front-end operations Management Board remains of the opinion that, at this moment, a significant stake in ASMPT is of strategic value to ASMI With a remaining stake of approximately 25% in ASMPT the company believes that this strategic value is still maintained Last April, ASMI sold a 5% stake in ASMPT for proceeds of 245 million Proceeds of this 5% stake sale are used for a new 250 million share buyback program which started on September 22, 2017 October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 13

ASMPT RESULTS Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Sales ASMPT (HK$ million) 4,197 4,424 5,110 Net profit ASMPT excluding one-offs ( million, 100% based) 68 88 95 Normalized result from investments (including ASMI s share of ASMPT net profit) 26.7 30.9 32.1 Amortization intangible assets resulting from the sale of the 12% stake of ASMPT (6.7) (7.3) (5.4) Result from 5% sale and dilution of ASMPT stake - 83.8 - As of March 2013 our share in ASMPT s net earnings is included in result from investments On April, 24, 2017, we announced the sale of a stake of approximately 5%, reducing our holding in ASMPT from 39% to 34%. Net earnings in Q2 2017 included a result of 84m on the 5% sale and dilution of the ASMPT stake October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 14

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 15

Q3 2017 HIGHLIGHTS Revenues down 8% q-o-q (down 3% q-o-q on a currency comparable basis) and up 28% y-o-y Bookings down 22% q-o-q and up 31% y-o-y. Book-to-bill ratio of 0.9 Q3 backlog of 180m compared to 210m at the end of Q2 Gross margin of 40.0% in Q3 was for 5%-points negatively impacted by initial costs related to new product introductions Operating margin of 13.9% in Q3 2017 vs. 18.7% in Q2 and 11.7% in Q3 2016 Free cash flow of 19m positive in Q3 2017 Normalized net earnings* of 48m in Q3 2017, down from 56m in Q2 but up from 40m in Q3 2016 Normalized net earnings were impacted by translation differences in financial results: negative 8m in Q3 2017 vs. negative 11m in Q2 and negative 3m in Q3 2016 * excl. amortization intangible assets resulting from the sale of the 12% stake of ASMPT and result from sale and dilution of ASMPT stake October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 16

FINANCIAL OUTLOOK Based upon the current backlog and our current visibility: We continue to expect a clear year-on-year improvement in the single wafer ALD market in 2017, with demand in the Logic/Foundry segment remaining healthy and a strong increase in the 3D-NAND segment. For Q4, on a currency comparable level, we expect sales of 190-210 million and an order intake of 170-190 million. In 2017, the company benefits from a very strong wafer fab equipment market. For 2018, market watchers currently expect this market to increase with a low to mid single digit percentage. We aim to outgrow the wafer fab equipment market in 2018. October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 17

NET EARNINGS Q3 EUR million Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2017 vs Q2 2017 Q3 2017 vs Q3 2016 New orders 122.6 205.9 160.4 (22)% 31% Backlog 154.4 209.6 179.8 (14)% 16% Book-to-bill 0.9 1.0 0.9 Net sales 144.2 202.0 185.3 (8)% 28% Gross profit 63.7 88.2 74.1 (16)% 16% Gross profit margin % 44.2% 43.7% 40.0% Selling, general and administrative expenses (21.4) (25.2) (25.9) 3% 21% Research and development expenses (24.2) (25.1) (22.5) (10)% (7)% Restructuring expenses (1.3) (0.2) - n/a n/a Operating result 16.8 37.7 25.7 12.0 8.9 Operating margin % 11.7% 18.7% 13.9% Financing costs (3.1) (10.6) (7.7) 2.9 (4.6) Income tax (0.7) (2.4) (2.5) (0.1) (1.9) Normalized result from investments 26.7 30.9 32.1 1.1 5.4 Amortization intangible assets resulting from the sale of the 12% stake of ASMPT (6.7) (7.3) (5.4) 2.0 1.3 Result from 5% sale and dilution of ASMPT stake - 83.8 - (83.8) n/a Net earnings 33.1 132.1 42.2 (89.9) 9.2 Normalized net earnings (excl. amortization intangible assets resulting from the sale of the 12% stake of ASMPT and result from sale and dilution of ASMPT stake ) 39.8 55.6 47.6 (8.1) 7.8 Normalized net earnings per share, diluted 0.65 0.93 0.80 (0.13) 0.15 October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 18

R&D EXPENDITURE EUR million Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 R&D expenditure (26.7) (29.1) (27.6) Capitalized development expenditure 6.8 8.8 8.4 Amortization capitalized development expenditure (4.3) (3.5) (3.3) Impairment capitalized development expenditure - (1.4) - R&D expenses (24.2) (25.1) (22.5) October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 19

CASH FLOW EUR million Q3 2016 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Normalized net earnings 39.8 55.6 47.6 Depreciation, amortization and impairments 12.8 13.6 11.3 Result from investments (26.7) (30.9) (32.1) Other adjustments 2.9 (1.1) (1.2) Change in working capital 2.4 (51.4) 8.3 Net cash from operating activities 31.2 (14.2) 36.2 Capital expenditure (12.2) (17.0) (8.5) Capitalized development expenditure (6.8) (8.8) (8.4) Dividend received from investments 14.8 18.1 18.3 Proceeds of disposal ASMPT stake - 245.6 - Other (1.9) (0.7) (0.7) Net cash from investing activities (6.0) 237.2 0.7 Dividend paid to ASMI shareholders (5.5) (41.5) - Share buyback (26.9) (40.0) (32.5) Other 1.0 3.3 0.3 Net cash from financing activities (31.4) (78.2) (32.2) October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 20

BALANCE SHEET EUR million Dec 31, 2016 Sept 30, 2017 Cash and cash equivalents 378 525 Accounts receivable 137 129 Inventories 112 150 Other current assets 23 21 Investments and associates 1,236 1,005 Property, plant and equipment 95 101 Capitalized development costs 88 92 Other non-current assets 79 74 Total Assets 2,148 2,098 Accounts payable 61 72 Short-term debt - - Other current liabilities 57 67 Long-term debt - - Other non-current liabilities 15 14 Equity 2,016 1,945 Total Liabilities and Equity 2,148 2,098 October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 21

WORKING CAPITAL EUR million 250 140 Days 200 120 150 100 100 80 50 60 0 Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3 40 Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3 12 13 14 15 16 17 12 13 14 15 16 17 Working capital Quarterly sales Days of working capital October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 22

HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT EUR million EUR million 250 200 150 100 50 40 30 20 10 0-10 250 200 150 100 50-20 50-30 0 Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17-40 0 Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Net Sales (lhs) EBIT (rhs) Bookings Backlog October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 23

October 31, 2017 ASM proprietary information 24