Wind Loss Mitigation Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology October 29, 2009

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Transcription:

Wind Loss Mitigation Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology October 29, 2009

Role of a Florida Domestic Property Insurance Company Develop and manage a portfolio of insured properties. Collect premiums for financing risk. Spread the risk throughout the world using reinsurance and other risk transfer mechanisms. (40% of Premium) Pay attritional losses and wind retention (30% of premium). Commission and other expenses (25%). Profit (5%) 2

Role of a Florida Domestic Property Insurance Company Companies are intermediaries that participate in the experience of their business. Balance premiums received against costs and reinsurance premiums. Reinsurance costs and regulatory constraints on prices can change rapidly and are not in the company s control. Price changes by the company take time to get approved, to be effective, and may require a history of unprofitability. 3

Role of a Florida Domestic Property Insurance Company When costs exceed premiums, there is a loss, and that reduces the company s surplus. The company s ability to absorb losses is limited by the amount of surplus they have above the amount required by regulators and for wind retention. The 100,000 foot view of WLM in its entirety is that it reduced premiums substantially WITHOUT reducing costs and the difference has been taken out of surplus. 4

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Where did all of the surplus go? 13

Problems with WLM Discounts No premium offset when implemented. A premium offset for the doubling could have increased our surplus more than 25% in the past 12 months. Does NOT show up in the indicated change. Is NOT recouped. No clear process to adjust rates now to compensate. Minimal reduction in costs to offset the discounts. Existing housing stock is not being hardened against hurricane at anything close to the rate of discount application. No reduction in reinsurance costs. Fraud and errors in inspection process and coding of discount data. Data quality not good enough to use secondary modifiers in the modeling process. 14

Security First Response New WLM Inspection / Re-Inspection Process Education for all company personnel. Preparing data to present rate change proposal. 15

Security First WLM Inspection Program Created Preferred Inspection Network with a single transparent internet platform for WLM inspections. New business inspected through our network is not subject to re-inspection. Special price for preferred network inspections. If OIR-1802 is submitted by a non-preferred inspector, we apply the credits as required and immediately order a reinspection. Initiated a process to re-inspect all in-force policies at an ultimate potential cost of over $4,000,000. Re-Inspections thus far in Miami-Dade County only. 16

Security First WLM Inspection Program Initial Results WLM Inspections Ordered 2,447 # Pending Appointments 1884 # Scheduled Appointments 73 # Completed 490 # Processed By underwriting 368 Average Annual Premium Change Per Inspection $ 160.31 No Change to Premium 115 31% Lower Premium 41 11% Higher Premium 212 58% 100% $0 - $500 Increase 169 80% $501-$1,000 Increase 33 16% > $1,000 Increase 10 5% 100% 17

OIR Proposed Form Revisions Revisions to OIR-B1-1802. Approach uses Building Code to determine the WLM credits without provision as to whether the home actually qualifies. Homes are not required to be maintained or repaired to code, and there is no provision to accurately flag noncompliant structures. Homes built under the Panhandle Exception continue to have new Construction credits applied, regardless of whether their construction complies with the code. Proposed change to the form would grant an automatic 88% discount to all 1995-2001 homes in Miami-Dade and Broward counties by according them FBC 2001 compliance. Could result in a premium loss of 1% over our entire book of business. Will discourage companies from writing in these counties. Could increase Citizens policies there at lower rates. 18

OIR Proposed Form Revisions Revisions to OIR-B1-1802. Who can sign an 1802. What is important to us is not who signs it but whether we have confidence that it is correct. Defining classes of approved inspectors is irrelevant to us. The entire process needs to be secure. The time period that the form is valid is irrelevant to us. The form becomes invalid as far as we are concerned when we re-inspect and find that it is incorrect. The form may become invalid as soon as the rules change. 19

OIR Proposed Form Revisions Revisions to OIR-B1-1655. This form is required to accompany policy documents to the insured so that they will understand what additional WLM credits may be available to them. States unequivocally that a home built under the 2002 Florida Building Code or later (also including the 1994 South Florida Building Code for homes in Miami-Dade and Broward Counties) are eligible for a minimum 68% discount on the hurricane portion of your premium. Homes built under the Panhandle Exception continue to have new Construction credits applied, regardless of whether their construction complies with the code. No requirement that a home must be maintained to the minimum standards of that code. Repairs and additions that are completed without a building permit. 20

Inspection Issue Is Cost Companies will create their own inspection networks and do re-inspections. As business moves between companies it will be subject to additional inspections and re-inspections. The cost will find its way into the premiums eventually. My Safe Florida Home Program could provide a base to build a statewide inspection process and database that would reduce costs overall. Can be funded by insurance companies accessing data and licensing of inspectors. No government funding needed. Inspectors upload inspections electronically eliminating fraud from changing the paper forms. Provides a source of information on mitigation and ultimately the effectiveness of mitigation. 21

Challenge - Getting from the Science of Wind Mitigation to Practical Application Extension of study results to structures, policy types and coverage that were not studied. Application of year built in place of individual dwelling attributes. Implementation of changes without provision for premium offset. 22

Werner E. Kruck Sr. Vice President Security First Insurance Company 140 South Atlantic Ave. Ormond Beach, FL 32176 wkruck@securityfirstflorida.com Phone: 386-523-2301 23