Mondi Group Capital Markets Day October 2017

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Transcription:

Mondi Group Capital Markets Day October 2017

Agenda for the day 9:00-9:35 Welcome and Mondi Group overview 9:35-10:05 Packaging Paper 10:05-10:30 Fibre Packaging 10:30-10:55 Break 10:55-11:30 Consumer Packaging 11:30-12:00 Uncoated Fine Paper 12:00-12:10 Wrap-up 12:10-12:30 Q&A 12:30-13:30 Lunch 13:30 Leave for airport 2

Speakers today Peter Oswald Group CEO Andrew King Group CFO Clemens Willée Packaging Paper CEO Erik Bouts Fibre Packaging CEO Georg Kasperkovitz Consumer Packaging CEO Peter Orisich UFP CEO Viv McMenamin South Africa CEO 3

Mondi Group Capital Markets Day 2017 Continuing to deliver value accretive growth Peter Oswald 17 October 2017

Since listing, Mondi has delivered strong profit growth... Underlying operating profit and ROCE million 20.3% 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 10.6% ~x2 0.6 CAGR ~8% 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 502 441 294 458 622 574 699 767 957 981 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 0.1 0 Underlying operating profit ROCE % Mondi Group overview 5

...tripled underlying EPS... Underlying EPS cents per share 140 120 100 80 12.7% CAGR ~ x3 60 40 20 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Mondi Group overview 6

...generated strong cash flows through the cycle... Cash flow generation 1 million 648 538 705 516 648 549 715 796 1,039 1,061 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 7.2 bn cash generated 2007 2016 1 Cash flow generation based on net cash generated before capital expenditure, shareholder distributions, acquisitions and disposals Mondi Group overview 7

...and has outperformed on TSR Mondi plc total shareholder return (TSR) vs benchmarks Cumulative return since listing in % 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0-50 -100 Source: GBP. Bloomberg, 2 July 2007 12 October 2017 Mondi FTSE 100 Bloomberg EMEA Forest Products & Paper Index Bloomberg EMEA Packaging & Containers Index Mondi Group overview 8

How will Mondi continue to drive value accretive growth? 9

Our proven business model will continue to drive value accretive growth Mondi Group overview 10

Mondi drives performance along the entire value chain... Culture of continuous improvement in all elements of value chain Commercial excellence Lean processes Centralised procurement Operational excellence Rigorous quality management Efficient logistics Productivity (paper) Tonnes/employee, indexed 183 83 100 Entrepreneurial and dynamic culture 2007 2016 Mondi Group overview 11

...while retaining a relentless focus on portfolio management Number of sites divested or closed (2008-2016) 30 25 81 sites divested or closed since listing 20 15 Closed 10 5 0 Divested 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Divested Closed Mondi Group overview 12

Our assets have a clear cost advantage providing a strong platform for future growth Mondi paper capacity by quartile of industry cost curve 1 4.6 bn invested in the asset base 2007-2016 2 nd quartile: 23% 1 st quartile: 66% Strong capital investment programme under way Cost advantage Q1 x driving performance = value accretive growth 1 Key grades; see appendix for details Mondi Group overview 13

Inspiring our people will sustain long-term success Bi-annual employee survey The Mondi Way 90% Participation in survey Purpose Strategy Operating Framework Culture & Values 81% passion Of employees have a for performance Feedback shows we continue to make progress "Encouraged to come up with +17% new or better ways." 75% Source: Employee survey, changes are calculated over the last 4 years "Think ahead and act quickly." +8% 83% Mondi Group overview 14

Our focus is on responsible, sustainable growth Greenhouse gas reduction In tonnes CO 2 e/tonne product 2004-16 -34% 100% Owned & leased forests certified 1 2014-16 -9% Included in CDP s Climate A-list 67% Total procured wood certified 2 Employee & contractor safety Total recordable cases 2005 595 2016 237-60% Partnership since 2014, extended to 2020 1 Forest Stewardship Council (FSC ) and ISO 14001 2 Certified to FSC or PEFC; all procured wood meets our Supply Chain and Responsible Sourcing Policy which stipulates compliance with the standard for Controlled Wood (FSC-STD-40-005) Mondi Group overview 15

Mondi partners with a diverse range of customers for innovation Mondi Group overview 16

Leading market positions provide a platform for profitable growth... # 1 # 2 # 3 Kraft paper Global Industrial bags Global Uncoated fine paper Europe Virgin containerboard Europe Consumer flexible packaging Europe Containerboard Emerging Europe Commercial release liner Europe Uncoated fine paper South Africa Extrusion coatings Europe Corrugated packaging Emerging Europe Please see sources and definitions at the end of this document Mondi Group overview 17

...strongly leveraging global industry trends Emerging markets growth Nominal, 2016-2017F Key global industry trends +2.2% +7.3% +15.0% E-commerce From rigid to flexible Convenience Lightweighting Sustainability Western Europe GDP 1 Eastern Europe GDP 1 Mondi sales H12017 vs. H12016 2 1 Source: IHS Markit 2 Emerging Europe and Russia Mondi Group overview 18

Our proven business model will continue to drive value accretive growth Mondi Group overview 19

Questions?

Market positions sources and definitions Mondi region definitions: Europe - Europe including Russia and Turkey Emerging Europe - Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Georgia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Malta, Moldova, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine North America - Canada, Mexico, USA Sources for market position estimates: Virgin containerboard (VCB) Europe and Containerboard emerging Europe based on capacity - Source: RISI European Paper Packaging Capacity Report and Mondi estimates Kraft paper global based on capacity - Source: RISI European Paper Packaging Capacity Report, RISI Mill Asset Database, Pöyry Smart Terminal Service and Mondi estimates Industrial bags based on sales volume - Source: Mondi estimates Corrugated packaging emerging Europe based on production - Source: Henry Poole Consulting and Mondi estimates Extrusion coatings Europe based on sales volumes - Source: AWA Extrusion Coated Materials European Market Study and Mondi estimates Commercial release liner Europe based on sales volumes - Source: AWA European Release Liner Market Study 2016 and Mondi estimates Uncoated Fine Paper (UFP) Europe based on sales volumes, Ilim JV considered separate from IP Source: Eurograph delivery statistics, EMGE Woodfree Forecast, EMGE World Graphic Papers, Pyrabelisk / Eastconsult and Mondi estimates Uncoated Fine Paper South Africa based on management estimates Consumer goods packaging Europe based on sales Source: PCI Wood McKenzie Flexible Packaging - European Supply/Demand report to 2021 Mondi Group overview 21

Production capacity cost curve distribution notes Key grades capacity by quartile Includes following grades: unbleached kraftliner, white-top kraftliner, semi chemical fluting, testliner, recycled fluting, sack kraft paper, uncoated fine paper, BHKP. Based on delivered costs to Frankfurt except BHKP (delivered to Shanghai) and uncoated fine paper from Merebank (delivered to South Africa). Excludes Tire. UFP includes value added grades Source: RISI and Mondi estimates, Q1 2017 Mondi Group overview 22

Forward-looking statements disclaimer This document includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included herein, including, without limitation, those regarding Mondi s financial position, business strategy, market growth and developments, expectations of growth and profitability and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are sometimes identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as believe, expects, may, will, could, should, shall, risk, intends, estimates, aims, plans, predicts, continues, assumes, positioned or anticipates or the negative thereof, other variations thereon or comparable terminology. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Mondi, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements and other statements contained in this document regarding matters that are not historical facts involve predictions and are based on numerous assumptions regarding Mondi s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Mondi will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. No assurance can be given that such future results will be achieved; various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements. Such factors include in particular but without any limitation: (1) operating factors, such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein, continued success of product development plans and targets, changes in the degree of protection created by Mondi s patents and other intellectual property rights and the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition, prevailing and future global market prices for Mondi s products and raw materials and the pricing pressures thereto, financial condition of the customers, suppliers and the competitors of Mondi and potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in Mondi s principal geographical markets or fluctuations of exchange rates and interest rates. Mondi expressly disclaims a) any warranty or liability as to accuracy or completeness of the information provided herein; and b) any obligation or undertaking to review or confirm analysts expectations or estimates or to update any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in Mondi s expectations or any events that occur or circumstances that arise after the date of making any forward-looking statements, unless required to do so by applicable law or any regulatory body applicable to Mondi, including the JSE Limited and the LSE. Mondi Group overview 23