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Education, Employment and Skills Board July 2017 Performance Dashboard Contents

Content Report RAG Rules Key performance indicators (KPI) updates and other significant updates Other updates Key Points Employment Perspective Survey 2016 released, which shows businesses are lowering their recruitment criteria which correlates to the skills shortage issue highlighted in the previous Employer Skills Survey 2015 Inequality gap is growing at level 2 and 3 between average attainment and free school meals attainment

Report Employer Perspective Survey Last month, the Department for Education released the Employer Perspective Survey (EPS) 2016 (previously collected and released by UKCES). This is a biennial study which focuses on what drives employer s around recruitment and employee development, as well as looking into work experience, apprenticeships and traineeships. The EPS series complements the Employer Skills Survey (ESS) series, which looks at the skills challenges employers face and their response in terms of investment in skills and training, which is conducted in alternate years to the EPS. The new study had a strong focus on recruitment methods, an area which has vastly changed since 2014 due to how employers now use the internet and social media, and on apprenticeships which has continued to be a focus for the government. The study showed that the Swindon and Wiltshire LEP (SWLEP) had an 18% increase in employers with vacancies in the past 12 months, up to 64% and significantly higher than the national average (53%). Below, figure 1. indicates the recruitment methods used by employers in the previous 12 months. 60% 55% 50% 40% 30% 20% 42% 32% 29% 29% 24% 24% 20% 19% 20% 10% 9% 9% 5% 10% 0% Relied on word of mouth or personal recommendations Placed adverts on their website to recruit Placed adverts on social media to recruit Used some other form of paid-for recruitment service Used a government recruitment service or scheme Paid someone to place adverts on their website or social media Used school, college or university job fairs or careers services Swindon and Wiltshire LEP National Average Figure 1. Recruitment methods by employers (Employer Perspective Survey, 2016). Furthermore in terms of recruitment it suggests that SWLEP employers are putting less emphasis on candidates having specific levels of qualifications, with the proportion citing that candidates having a particular level of achievement of academic qualifications (e.g. GCSEs, A levels or a degree) is either a critical or significant factor when recruiting dropped from 55% to 41% and the proportion citing that candidates having Maths and English GCSE to at least level 2 or GCSE A*-C is either a critical or significant factor when recruiting dropped from 61% to 53%. This could be linked to the rise in skills shortage vacancies reported for the SWLEP in the Employer Skills Survey 2015, which showed that the LEP had the 3rd highest density of skill-shortage vacancies in the country, as such expectations of who employers could expect to hire appears to have lowered.

The study also showed that there was a rise in employers having work experience placements (up from 30% to 40% of employers), as well as the amount of employers hiring 16-18 year olds (16%), 19-24 year olds (32%), 50+ year olds (23%) all of which were above national averages. In terms of apprenticeships, close to two fifths of employers either have or offer them which matches the national average; with a further 13% planning to offer an apprenticeship in the future who don t currently. Interestingly, only half of employers in the LEP, and slightly less than that nationally, are aware and have a good knowledge of apprenticeships/have or offer them, which means approximately 12,400 employers aren t aware of/don t have a good knowledge of apprenticeships or have/offer them. Pay Rates In the previous Education, Employment and Skills Performance Dashboard, we discussed the difference in workplace pay rates between Wiltshire and its statistical neighbours; since 2008 when Wiltshire was above the average pay rate compared to its neighbours and only 33.70 behind the highest paid county, to 2016 where Wiltshire is now significantly below the neighbours average and has seen the lowest amount of pay rate growth over that period ( 30.90 compared to its statistical neighbours average of 70.30). In trying to answer the question poised in the previous dashboard why have Wiltshire workplaces had the smallest increase in pay over the last 8 years when the majority of other counties growth in pay has been double the amount that Wiltshire has seen? we have looked into public vs private sector businesses to see if this has a contributing factor. In 2016, the private sector made up 99.14% of businesses in Wiltshire, with 98.90% being small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and 0.23% of businesses being a large employer (50 enterprises). Wiltshire has very similar levels in its private sector compared to its statistical neighbour s average and a similar picture is also evident in the proportion of public sector employers; please see table 1. Table 1. Proportions of private and public sector enterprises (Inter Departmental Business Register, Nomis, 2016). Private Sector Employment sizeband Micro (0-9) Small (10-49) Medium (50- Large Total 249) (250+) Wiltshire 89.62% 8.00% 1.28% 0.23% 99.14% Statistical Neighbours Public Sector 88.76% 8.88% 1.36% 0.30% 99.29% Wiltshire 0.61% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% 0.86% Statistical Neighbours 0.50% 0.05% 0.10% 0.05% 0.71% However, if we examine the growth of public and private enterprises from 2010 to 2016 an interesting picture is drawn. Wiltshire has seen higher than average growth in the amount of public and private sector enterprises compared to its statistical neighbours, however over this period Wiltshire saw 0% growth in large enterprises and its main growth in micro enterprises employing 0-9 employees: please see Table 2.

Table 2. Change in amount of Enterprises for the private and public sector from 2010 to 2016 (Inter Departmental Business Register, Nomis, 2016). Private Sector Employment sizeband Micro (0-9) Small (10-49) Medium (50- Large Total 249) (250+) Wiltshire 15.87% 8.56% 23.91% 0.00% 15.33% Statistical Neighbours Public Sector 11.67% 14.59% 10.22% 25.83% 11.90% Wiltshire 350.00% 100.00% 150.00% 0.00% 245.45% Statistical Neighbours 179.29% 190.83% 1130.00% 17.50% 162.19% The fact that Wiltshire had 0% growth in large public sector enterprises is not too striking as this matches Hampshire, West Sussex, Bath and North East Somerset, Dorset and Shropshire. But the 0% growth in large private enterprises is well below the statistical neighbour s averages (28.83%), the South West (25.25%) and Great Britain (13.63%). As such with the increase in micro businesses in the county, the proportions of enterprises in the county and 0% growth in large businesses may be a contributing factor why growth in pay has not increased in line with our neighbours. Further analysis into the growth of businesses, as well as surrounding counties pay rates is now needed to continue to provide a clearer answer for Wiltshire s low pay rate growth.

RAG Rules Arrows The Arrows show how the current data compares the previous reported data. Up shows Wiltshire has improved on the last Horizontal shows that Wiltshire has remained the same Down shows that Wiltshire has not performed as well and is down on the last set of data. Colours The colours indicate how Wiltshire compares to its statistical neighbours, or other comparator if statistical neighbours data in unavailable or not comparable. Green equal to or better than Statistical Neighbours Within a close amount of Statistical Neighbours (0.5%) Amber Slight concern If amounts are declining and Wiltshire is beginning to fall behind Statistical Neighbours Less than 3% difference More than 3% difference but good signs of improvement and projects/programmes started which have begun to help Red Significant difference More than 3% difference Sudden negative increase in gap between Wiltshire and its Statistical Neighbours Apprenticeships quantities and 2 data compared to previous years. Participation Digest compared to the National average.

Key performance indicators (KPI) updates and other significant updates 2 8 There were no jobs created in the fourth quarter 2016/17. However there are approximately 4150 potential jobs in the pipeline. This measure only reflects new jobs created with direct Wiltshire Council involvement. This data was sourced from the Economic Development and Planning Performance figures for Q4 (Jan-Mar) 2016/17.

Wiltshire is back to pre-recession levels for the amount of people claiming at least one form of out of work benefit (16,010 individuals). The main out-of-work benefits include the groups: job seekers, ESA and incapacity benefits, lone parents and others on income related benefits. Wiltshire compares favourably with the national average (8.4%) and also better than its statistical neighbours (5.8%). Wiltshire is ranked well nationally at 24. This data was sourced from NOMIS (Key out-of-work benefits) November 2016. 9 As of November 2016 Wiltshire had 1,660 individuals claiming Job Seekers Allowance, which ranks Wiltshire highly at joint 21 nationally out of 152 counties. Wiltshire matches its statistical neighbours (0.6%), and is better than the National average (1.1%). This data was sourced from NOMIS November 2016. 10

Wiltshire has only 11,990 individuals claiming Employment Support Allowance, which represents 4.1% of the counties working age (16-64) population. This figure compares favourably with national levels (6.1%) and is back to pre-recession levels; it is also slightly better than Wiltshire's statistical neighbours (4.5%). The amount has remained largely static, with an early intervention strategy in place to contact ESA claimants earlier. Wiltshire was one of the topped ranked counties nationally, ranking joint 25 out of 152. This data is sourced from NOMIS November 2016. 11 In May 2017 93.3% of 10,460 individuals aged 16-17 (academic age) were in education, employment or training. This ranks Wiltshire joint 49 nationally and is better than its statistical neighbours (91.3%) and the national average (91.9%). This data was sourced from the national client caseload information system May 2017.

18 The gap between Wiltshire (25.6%) and its statistical neighbours (27.08%) has increased compared to the previous year, but the attainment was an increase on the year before and for the 5th year running and above the national average (24.1%). Wiltshire is ranked 61 out of 152 counties for this measure. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. Other significant updates this quarter PI Ref Performance Indicator 21 22 46 % of establishments who have recruited anyone aged 16-18 in the past 12 months % of establishments who have recruited any education leavers in the last 2-3 years Intermediate Apprenticeship Success rate Most Recent Data 16.0% 26.0% 69.4% RAG rating & Direction of Travel Notes The 16% represents approximately 3,990 establishments in the Swindon and Wiltshire LEP area who recruited a 16-18 year old in the last 12 months. This figure is significantly better than the national average (12%) and as a LEP, Swindon and Wiltshire are ranked joint 3 out of the 39 LEPs nationally. This data was sourced from the Employer Perspective Survey 2016 produced by the UKCES. Data for RAG Previous rating & Reporting Direction Period of Travel 11.0% The 26% represents 6,490 establishments in the Swindon and Wiltshire LEP area who recruited an education leaver in the last 2-3 years. This is significantly below the national average (31%), 32.0% and as a LEP, Swindon and Wiltshire are ranked joint 33 out of the 39 LEPs nationally. This data was sourced from the Employer Perspective Survey 2016 produced by the UKCES. 69.4% of the cohort (2,480 individuals) completed their intermediate Apprenticeships in 2015/16, a significant decrease on the previous years, but significantly higher than the national 77.0% success rate average (66.5%) and higher than Wiltshire's statistical neighbours (67%). This data was sourced from the national achievement rates tables 2015/16.

48 50 63 64 65 66 68 Advanced Apprenticeship Success 70.9% rate Higher Apprenticeship Success rate Inequality gap in level 2 qualification Inequality gap in level 2 qualification including English and maths 70.6% 27.9% 39.0% Attainment of a level 2 qualification 59.5% by the age of 19 FSM pupils Attainment of level 3 qualification pupils eligible for FSM Inequality gap in the achievement of a level 3 qualification 23.2% 39.0% 70.9% of the cohort (1,540 individuals) completed their intermediate Apprenticeships in 2015/16, a significant decrease on the previous years, but higher than the national success rate 75.5% average (68.5%) and Wiltshire's statistical neighbours (68.4%). This data was sourced from the national achievement rates tables 2015/16. Of the 50 individuals due to finish a higher Apprenticeship in 2015/16, 70.6% completed theirs. Wiltshire had a significant increase on the previous year and the counties success rate has risen above the average rate nationally (58.3%) and with its 60.0% statistical neighbours (60.5%). It should be noted that Wiltshire has a very small cohort size. This data was sourced from national achievement rates tables 2015/16. Over the last year, the gap has continued to grow between Wiltshire and the national rate (17.5%). Wiltshire has seen a continued rise for the 4th year in a row. Wiltshire's gap has increased by 1.49% compared to its statistical neighbours (23.84) 24.6% who have had a slight increase of 1.71%. Wiltshire is ranked 145 and is in the bottom quartile. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. Wiltshire has had a significant increase in the attainment gap compared to the previous year by 6.3%. Wiltshire has seen a continued rise for the 4th year in a row. Wiltshire has a significantly higher rate than the national average (26.9%) and its 32.7% statistical neighbours (32.78%). As a county Wiltshire is ranked 148 out of 152 counties nationally for this measure. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. Of the 335 individuals eligible for free school meals 59.5% achieved a Level 2 qualification by the age of 19. This was a significant drop compared to the previous year and a continued drop for the 4th year in a row. The county is significantly below 63.1% the national average (70.4%) and its statistical neighbours (63.84%). Wiltshire is ranked 140 and is in the bottom quartile nationally. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. Of the 335 individuals eligible for free school meals 23.2% achieved a Level 3 qualification by the age of 19. This was a significant drop compared to the previous year and a continued drop for the 4th year in a row. The county is significantly below 28.5% the national average (36.2%) and its statistical neighbours (28.35%). Wiltshire is ranked 145 and is in the bottom quartile nationally. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. Wiltshire has seen a continued rise for the 4th year in a row for the gap in achievement of level 3 qualifications by 19 years of age. Wiltshire has had a significant increase in the attainment gap compared to the previous year, and is significantly above the average for its statistical neighbours (32.25%), and who are also 33.5% significantly above the national average (24.5%). Wiltshire is ranked 149 nationally and is in the bottom quartile for this performance indicator. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016.

Other updates PI Ref Performance Indicator Most Recent Data RAG rating & Directio n of Travel Notes Data for Previous Reportin g Period RAG rating & Directio n of Travel Business and Job Creation 23 % of eligible 2 year olds in receipt of funding 78.0% All 3 to 4-year-olds in England can get 570 hours of free early education or childcare per year, with some 2 year olds also eligible. For those 2 year olds in Wiltshire who are eligible to receive child care funding, 78% actually receive it (990 2year olds). This is in line with Wiltshire s statistical neighbours (78.3%) and is significantly better than the national average (71%). This data was sourced from DWP Eligibility list January 2016. 77.0% 27 %16-17 year olds in employment without regulated qualifications 0.7% Less than 1% of the 10,460 16-17 year olds (academic age) in the county, are in employment without regulated qualifications. As such, Wiltshire is broadly in line with its statistical neighbour s average (0.9%) and the national average (0.8%). Overall, Wiltshire is ranked joint 72 out of the 152 counties nationally. This data is sourced from the national client caseload information system May 2017. 0.9% 28 % of 16 and 17 year olds in employment with regulated qualifications 3.5% More than three times as many 16-18 year olds (3.4% of 10,460 individuals) in Wiltshire are in employment with regulated qualifications than with no regulated qualifications. Wiltshire also has a higher amount in employment with training than its statistical neighbours (0.6%) as well as the national average (0.8%). For this measure, Wiltshire is ranked 2 nationally for this measure. This data is sourced from the national client caseload information system May 2017. 3.5% Claimants 51 % of Claimant Count (JSA, national insurance credits and universal credits with the reason of being unemployed) of Working Age Population 0.9% Wiltshire s Claimant Count was 2,720 individuals in May 2017. Claimant count includes: receiving JSA, National Insurance Credits and Universal Credits with the reason of being unemployed. For this performance indicator Wiltshire is ranked joint 14 nationally and compares well with the county's statistical neighbours (1.0%) and against the national average (2.0%). This data was sourced from NOMIS May 2017. 1.0% 52 % of Claimant Count aged 18-24 1.8% Claimant Count for individuals aged 18-24 is currently at 1.8% representing 570 individuals. Wiltshire has broadly the same rate as its statistical neighbours (1.5%), and Wiltshire compares well with the national average (2.8%). This data was sourced from NOMIS May 2017. 1.8% 53 18-24 year olds as a proportion of the Claimant Count 21.0% Wiltshire has seen a decrease in the 18-24 year olds as a proportion of the entire claimant count (570/2,720 individuals) then the previous month and has reduced the gap to its statistical neighbours (20.1%) and the National average (20.4%). This data was sourced from NOMIS May 2017. 21.7% 54 50+ year olds as a proportion of the Claimant Count 27.9% Wiltshire has seen a slight increase in the proportion of 50+ year old claimants (760/2,720 individuals) compared to the previous month but has remained relatively consistent around 27%, and this compares well with its statistical neighbours (28.7%), but is slightly higher than the National average (25.3%). This data was sourced from NOMIS May 2017. 26.7%

By Age 19 60 % of residents achieving Level 2 qualification by the age of 19 85.6% Of the 5,290 individuals 85.6% achieved a Level 2 qualification by the age of 19. Wiltshire is marginally better than the national average (85.3%) and matches its statistical neighbours (85.6%). Wiltshire is ranked 73 out of 152 counties for this performance indicator. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. 86.2% 61 % of residents achieving Level 3 qualification by the age of 19 59.7% Of the 5,290 individuals 59.7% achieved a Level 3 qualification by the age of 19.This was above the national average (57.1%), as well as better than Wiltshire's statistical neighbours (57.79%). Wiltshire is ranked 50. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. 60.0% 62 % of residents achieving Level 2 qualification with English and maths by the age of 19 69.2% Of the 5,290 individuals 69.2% achieved a Level 2 qualification with English and maths by the age of 19. Wiltshire was slightly lower than its statistical neighbours (70.23%), but better than the national average (68.6%). Wiltshire is ranked 62 out of 152 counties. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. 69.0% 67 Attainment of level 3 qualification pupils not eligible for FSM 62.2% Of the 4950 individuals not eligible for free school meals 62.2% achieved a Level 3 qualification by the age of 19. This was a slight increase compared to the previous year and a continued increase for the 8th year in a row. Wiltshire has a higher attainment level than its statistical neighbours (60.61%), and the national average (60.7%). Wiltshire is ranked 58 nationally. This data is sourced from the LAIT June 2017 showing March 2017's data for people aged 19 in 2016. 62.0% School Performance 69 No. of Wiltshire Secondary schools with good or outstanding provision 94% Wiltshire has 27/29 of its Secondary Schools and 5/6 of its Special Schools rated as good or outstanding by Ofsted. This compares well to Wiltshire's statistical neighbours (86%). Currently Wiltshire has no Secondary School rated as inadequate. This Ofsted data is taken from DFE school performance tables, as of July 2017. 94% 70 No. of Wiltshire Secondary schools with 6th forms or Colleges with good or outstanding provision Participation 71 72 % of 16-17 year olds NEET (academic age) 92% 2.8% % of Unknown & Expired 2.5% Wiltshire has 20/22 of its Sixth Forms Schools/Colleges and 3/3 of its Special Schools rated as good or outstanding by Ofsted. This compares well to Wiltshire's statistical neighbours (88%). Currently Wiltshire has no Sixth Form or College rated as inadequate. This Ofsted data is taken from DFE school performance tables, as of July 2017. Wiltshire remained the same as the previous month for academic age 16-17 year olds who were not in education, employment or training (NEET), which represents 290 individuals. This is marginally lower than the national level (3.0%), and broadly in line with its statistical neighbours (2.6%). Wiltshire is ranked joint 60 nationally for this performance indicator. This data was sourced from the national client caseload information system May 2017. Wiltshire's Unknown rate has remained relatively the same as the previous month for those individuals academic aged 16-17 who are unknown or expired to the Local Authority (representing 260 individuals). This level is lower than the national average (3.0%) and Wiltshire's statistical neighbours average (3.7%). Wiltshire is currently ranked joint 84 nationally. 92% 2.8% 1.8%

This data was sourced from the national client caseload information system May 2017.

This document was published by Employment and Skills at Wiltshire Council. You can contact us in the following ways: By telephone 01225 716890 By post Wiltshire Council, County Hall, Bythesea Road, Trowbridge, Wiltshire BA14 8JN By email workwilts@wiltshire.gov.uk By web www.workwiltshire.co.uk

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