CORPORATE PRESENTATION 3Q12 RESULTS

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Transcription:

CORPORATE PRESENTATION 3Q12 RESULTS November 2012 1

Disclaimer The information contained in this presentation concerning projections of Votorantim Industrial S.A. and its subsidiaries ( Votorantim ) may be deemed to include statements which constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and other projections, and are based on assumptions, data or methods which, although considered reasonable by Votorantim at the time, may turn out to be incorrect or imprecise, or may not be possible to realize, or may differ materially from actual results, due to a variety of factors. Votorantim cannot guarantee that expectations disclosed in this presentation will prove to be correct and does not undertake, and specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only for the date they are made. The market and competitive position data, including market forecasts, used throughout this presentation were obtained from internal surveys, market research, publicly available information and industry publications. Although Votorantim has no reason to believe that any of this information or these reports are inaccurate in any material respect, Votorantim has not independently verified the competitive position, market share, market size, market growth or other data provided by third parties or by industry or other publications and therefore do not make any representation as to the accuracy of such information. This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without Votorantim s prior written consent. 2

Agenda Financial Highlights Operational Performance Closing Remarks 3

Agenda Financial Highlights Operational Performance Closing Remarks 4

Margin (%) Portfolio diversification: Cement, Long Steel and Pulp partially offset Metals weak operational results Net Revenues (R$ bn) Highlights 23.7 20.7 2010 2011 EBITDA (R$ bn) 5.3 5.3 2010 2011 25.4% 22.2% 2% 6.3 6.5 3Q11 3Q12 8% 1.5 1.3 3Q11 3Q12 22.9% 20.7% Cement 3Q12 Revenues Breakdown 7% 14% 37% 36% 40% Metals 12% 9% 21% 18% 58% 42% Long Steel 3Q12 EBITDA Breakdown 61% Pulp Cement Investments in production capacity increased revenues and EBITDA on the back of solid Brazilian infrastructure and housing markets Long steel Prices and EBITDA recovery due to improvement in the industry dynamics Pulp Firm demand, stable prices in the international market and cost control resulted in higher EBITDA margin Metals Weaker than expected operational performance coupled with lower LME prices had a negative effect on EBITDA Management focused on EBITDA recovery and performance improvement 5

Selective approach to expansion projects in connection with deleverage commitment Total Investments (1) (R$ bn) 3Q12 CAPEX breakdown by business units (1) 5.8 1.6 4.2 2010 4.3 0.1 4.2 2011 3.3 0.1 3.2 9M11 22% 2.6 0.1 2.5 9M12 1.2 3Q11 36% 0.8 3Q12 Pulp Long Steel 9% 7% 39% Metals 44% Cement Capex Acquisition Highlights Expansion projects amounted to R$389 million or 51% of total CAPEX in 3Q12 Cement: Increase in production capacity represented 59% of total expansion CAPEX (R$230 million) in the quarter Metals: Mainly sustaining in Brazil (R$124 million) and expansion of Cerro Lindo mine (R$103 million) in Peru Long Steel: Expansion CAPEX focused on Sitrel project, which will increase laminated capacity by 150 kt in 2013 Pulp: Forest development and industrial maintenance (1) Pulp: Fibria @ 29.42% 6

Smooth amortization schedule allows VID to focus on further improvement of funding mix Debt Amortization schedule (R$ bn) as of 09/30/12 Average Debt Maturity (years) 3.3 Dec-09 3.8 6.0 1.1 1.2 5% 5% 1.9 1.6 8% 6% 1.8 8% 3.3 13% 2.4 10% 4.0 16% 2.2 2.3 2.7 9% 9% 11% Dec-10 Dec-11 7.1 Set-12 5.5 7.9 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022+ Cash (1) (3M) Revolving Credit Facility Funding Mix Highlights BRL 32% EUR 8% 60% USD Local Debentures Trade Related Debt Bank Loans 6% 15% 14% 21% BNDES & ECAs 43% Bonds Average debt maturity of 7.9 years Cash equals 3.4 years of debt amortization No funding requirement in the short term and continuous focus on liability management (1) Cash and cash equivalent (2) Last twelve months 7

Leverage temporarily affected by lower LME prices and BRL depreciation Net Debt / EBITDA ratio 0.28x 0.34x 0.06x 3.36x (0.13x) 3.91x 2011 Net Debt BRL LTM EBITDA others 3Q12 decrease Depreciation decrease (ex-fx) (debt) Highlights Excluding FX effect, net debt decrease reinforces VID s commitment to financial discipline 8% BRL depreciation increased YTD total debt by R$1.5 billion Challenging market conditions reflected by lower LME prices and weaker than expected operational performance in Metals decreased LTM EBITDA by 9% Management commitment towards EBITDA recovery and financial discipline shall change the leverage ratio trend in December 2012, assuming stable LME prices and FX Cash flow structurally long in USD benefits from BRL devaluation 8

Current leverage was negatively impacted by 4Q11 and 1Q12 EBITDA R$ million EBITDA 1,157 980 1,317 1,338 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 3,635 9M12 TOTAL DEBT 22,434 23,290 24,629 24,412 NET DEBT 17,672 15,456 17,422 18,130 LTM EBITDA 5,254 5,014 4,908 4,792 NET DEBT / EBITDA 3.36x 3.08x 3.53x 3.91x Highlights VID s quarterly EBITDA has been over R$ 1.3 billion in the last two quarters. 4Q12 perspectives: Robust Cement business continuing to deliver solid results Maintenance of EBITDA margin due to price outlook for Long Steel Positive Pulp market momentum supportive of current prices and EBITDA margin Focus on Metals operational performance to improve LTM EBITDA 9

Agenda Financial Highlights Operational Performance Closing Remarks 10

3Q12 3Q11 3Q12 3Q11 Margin (%) Cement 61% of VID s EBITDA Revenues (R$ bn) EBITDA (R$ bn) 8.5 8.9 6% 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 5% 0.8 0.8 2010 2011 3Q11 3Q12 2010 2011 3Q11 3Q12 33.1% 30.7% 31.2% 30.9% Sales Volume (k t) Brazil and LatAm North America Highlights Revenues and EBITDA increase supported by solid Brazilian operations and stronger North America market. Prices were up 4% in Brazil 6,358 883 Volumes highlights include a 15% increase in the Southern region of Brazil on the back of additional installed capacity BRL 214/t 6,383 918 US$105/t Lower pet coke prices (4%) along with a 5% increase in energy efficiency contributed to EBITDA improvement Average Prices BRL 222/t US$102/t Mr. Walter Schalka resigned as CEO. Mr. Paulo Henrique O. Santos, a Votorantim senior executive for 20 years, was appointed as the interim CEO 11

3Q12 3Q11 3Q12 3Q11 3Q12 3Q11 Margin (%) Metals 18% of VID s EBITDA Revenues (R$ bn) EBITDA (R$ bn) 7.9 2010 8.9 2011 1% 2.3 2.4 0.3 0.4 2.0 2.0 3Q11 3Q12 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 29% 0.2 0.1 0.1 2010 2011 3Q11 3Q12 Milpo 20.9% 18.9% 14.5% 10.2% Sales Volume (k t) Highlights Zinc Aluminum Nickel Substantial decrease in LME prices negatively impacted all Metals businesses, with the exception of zinc 181 US$2,264/t 111 US$2,400/t 9 US$22,255/t Aluminum: Weaker EBITDA as a result of higher exports and offgrade aluminum production on the back of continued operational adjustments. Production capacity has been stabilized 178 117 8 Nickel: Higher cost and nickel concentrate inventory negatively impacted EBITDA in the quarter Average Prices US$1,889/t US$1,922/t US$16,223/t Zinc: Solid performance in the Brazilian market along with lower imports supportive of 10% EBITDA increase y-o-y 12

3Q12 3Q11 3Q12 3Q11 3Q12 3Q11 Margin (%) Long Steel 9% of VID s EBITDA Revenues (R$ bn) EBITDA (R$ bn) 3.7 3.1 13% 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.06 120% 0.13 2010 2011 3Q11 3Q12 2010 2011 3Q11 3Q12 19.7% 6.7% 7.3% 15.2% Sales Volume (k t) Highlights Brazil Argentina Colombia Favorable long steel market coupled with weaker BRL supportive of revenues and EBITDA increase 274 79 105 Improved prices and sales volume (9% and 7%, respectively) in Brazil along with lower energy cost contributed to higher margin BRL 1,824/t 293 79 ARS 4,260/t COP 1.677 MM/t 86 In Colombia, EBITDA increased on the back of lower natural gas (3%) and coke costs (9%) BRL 1,981/t ARS 4,649/t COP 1.594 MM/t Higher prices in Argentina (9%) were partially offset by flat volumes and higher cost inflation Average Prices 13

3Q12 3Q11 Margin (%) Pulp 12% of VID s EBITDA (at 29.42% participation) Revenues (1) (R$ bn) EBITDA (1) (R$ bn) 6.3 5.9 1.4 7% 1.6 2.6 2.1 0.5 20% 0.6 2010 2011 3Q11 3Q12 2010 2011 3Q11 3Q12 41.3% 35.6% 32.8% 36.8% Sales Volume (k t) Highlights Sales volume increased by 2% driven by strengthened market pulp demand in the quarter, mainly from China 1,244 US$820/t 1,268 US$800/t EBITDA was up 20% y-o-y, mostly due to the higher average net pulp prices in BRL Deleverage commitment: Sale of Losango s forest assets in Rio Grande do Sul totaled R$ 615 million Average Prices CIF Europe (1) FIBRIA @ 100% 2010 and 2011 figures no longer include Conpacel and KSR 14

PULP CIF N. EUROPE LONG STEEL CEMENT NORTH AMERICA CEMENT BRAZIL 2012 Outlook 3Q11 2012 outlook Price Evolution Price Trend (Quarter (Quarter Average) Average) 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 CURRENT PRICE (1) 2012 FCST HIGHLIGHTS R$/ton 214 216 219 222 222 221 Consistent demand supportive of current prices US$/ton 105 105 107 102 102 101 Positive perspective arising from stable growth in North America R$/ton 1,825 1,834 1,876 1,887 1,981 1,989 BRL depreciation supportive of price recovery US$/ton 820 727 740 786 800 800 Positive market fundamentals and demand pick-up, especially in Asia (1) Company figures as of September, 2012 15

COPPER ALUMINUM NICKEL ZINC 2012 Outlook (cont.) 3Q11 2012 outlook Price Evolution Price Trend (Quarter (Quarter Average) Average) 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 CURRENT PRICE 2012 AVG HIGHLIGHTS US$/ton (1) 2.264 1.917 2.024 1.928 1.889 1.853 1.847 Modest signs of improvement. Supply growing slower then consumption US$/ton (1) 22.255 18.272 19.577 17.018 16.223 15.855 15.952 Short term still pressured reflecting a weak period for stainless steel consumption US$/ton (1) 2.400 2.089 2.177 1.977 1.922 1.909 1.904 Potential recovery in prices driven by supply adjustments US$/ton (1) 9.104 7.529 8.299 7.863 7.713 7.607 7.649 Chinese copper demand uncertainties cushion expectations over prices in the last quarter of 2012 (1) Source: Bloomberg as of November 5 th, 2012. Current price: LME cash prices. 2012 AVG: Average 2012 forward curve 16

Agenda Financial Highlights Operational Performance Closing Remarks 17

Closing remarks Consistent performance from Cement, Long Steel and Pulp businesses Leverage deviated from the target as a result of both effects: Debt was negatively impacted by BRL depreciation Metals EBITDA frustration due to weaker than expected operational performance coupled with decreased LME prices Management committed to pursue operational excellence and deleverage 18