Margin improvement / portfolio management / capital structure François Roger: Chief Financial Officer

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Transcription:

Margin improvement / portfolio management / capital structure François Roger: Chief Financial Officer 1 September 26, 2017 Investor Seminar

Disclaimer This presentation contains forward looking statements which reflect management s current views and estimates. The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments. 2

Agenda Margin improvement Portfolio management Capital structure Working capital / ROIC / disclosure 3

Agenda Margin improvement Portfolio management Capital structure Working capital / ROIC / disclosure 4

Margin improvement / bottom line focus at a time of lower organic growth Targeted underlying trading operating profit (TOP) margin improvement by 2020 +150 bps to + 250 bps 16% 17.5% to 18.5% 2016 2020 5

Main focus of cost reduction: structural costs Structural costs: circa 20% of sales 1. Manufacturing 2. Procurement 3. General & Administrative (G&A) 6

Manufacturing Objective Sweat our assets: Results 2016/2017 Going forward Reduce conversion costs Optimize our industrial footprint and factories Increase capacity utilization Full factory footprint review concluded 11 factories closed or sold, 6 further closures announced Further simplification of manufacturing footprint globally Reduction of conversion costs in key categories (e.g. U.S. ice cream) 7

Procurement Objective Increase global buying from 40% to 60% of total Optimize purchasing back-office Results 2016/2017 Global hubs in Switzerland, Malaysia and Panama fully operational Incremental savings of CHF 160 million in 2017 Going forward CHF 500-600 m incremental savings by 2020 compared to 2016 8 CHF 100 million reduction in working capital

G&A: Nestlé Business Excellence Objective Business Excellence FUEL FOR GROWTH SIMPLIFY. STANDARDIZE. SHARE Results 2016/2017 Shared services penetration to 17% (vs. 13% in 2015) Processes and technologies redesigned for four out of six end-to-end flows E-invoices up 10% to 50% Going forward Increase shared services penetration to 50% Complete redesign of new processes and technologies for all six end-to-end flows E-invoices increase >70% Online purchasing tool coverage of CHF 1.3 billion with 50% automated orders Online purchasing tool spend coverage increase >10x to CHF 15 billion 9

G&A: Optimize real estate, simplify structures, pension management Objective Optimize real estate assets Results 2016/2017 Office consolidation, most significantly of Nestlé U.S. HQ and Group HQ Going forward Consolidate Vevey area sites Consolidate 7 Paris sites to 1 Simplify local structures to reduce costs Reduce pension management costs De-layering, e.g. in Mexico and Brazil, Skin Health restructured Exited internal pension asset management, saving CHF 25 million in 2017 Further simplify structures in the markets Leverage above-market centers of competence 2018 incremental savings of CHF 120 million over 2016 10

Significant value drivers to support margin improvement In CHF billion Initiatives Savings 2020 * 1. Manufacturing 0.6 0.8 2. Procurement 0.5 0.6 3. G&A 0.9 1.1 Permanent savings 2.0 2.5 * Savings versus 2016 11

Restructuring costs Around CHF 2.5 billion estimated restructuring costs from 2016 to 2020 12

Governance on savings program Aligned with short-term incentives Full board and management commitment Well-defined ownership of projects Full tracking and monitoring Permanent search for new initiatives 13

Target: from savings to margin Underlying trading operating profit margin (TOP) to increase by 150-250 bps * from 2016 to 2020 NCE savings to continue, but largely re-invested for growth Structural cost savings to be the main driver of margin development * Base: 2016 underlying TOP of 16% 14

Agenda Margin improvement Portfolio management Capital structure Working capital / ROIC / disclosure 15

Market attractiveness Strong portfolio with profitable growth platforms and leading positions High Sales 2016 Low Scope: Group excluding US confectionery and divested businesses 16 Ability to win High Source: ATLAS

Very consistent growth within the portfolio FY 2016 organic growth (OG) % 4.6 5.0 5.3 3.2 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.7 Total Milk products & ice cream Confectionery Nutrition and Health Science Prepared dishes and cooking aids Powdered and liquid beverages Water Petcare 17

Two dimensions to portfolio management Internal Allocate resources CAPEX Marketing spend HR External Acquire Combine Dispose Access to innovation R&D Technology 18

With flexibility to apply different strategies FY 2016 Results Category Sales CHF million) Marketing spend vs. LY (CHF million) OG Market over/under performance Margin vs. LY Harvest 6 340-127 1.5% -1.0% +540 bps Source: Nestlé ATLAS 19

Acquire: organic and natural petcare Business performance: Sizable market and strong growth rates (2014-16): Market size: CHF 8.6 billion CAGR: 15% Complementary to existing portfolio Attractive channel mix 20

Combine: ice cream JV with Froneri Successful go-live in Q4 2016 Strong business performance in H1 2017: Double-digit growth Profit ahead of budget Market share +200 bps 21

Review: U.S. confectionery Review of strategic options for U.S. confectionery business: Specific decision related only to U.S. confectionery Strong local brands But limited ability to win Better use of resources on other leading categories 22

Portfolio management to access external innovation Universities and public research Start-ups and biotechs Innovation partnerships Complement internal competencies with external innovations, technologies and science 23

Innovation fund: direct and indirect investment Investment focus on New food and beverage business models Nutrition science and food technology Digital technologies Investment channels Direct investment in innovative companies (e.g. Freshly) Investment alongside focused external venture capital funds 24

Minority Stake: Freshly High growth, direct-to-consumer (DTC), healthy, prepared meals Access to new business model: DTC Technology-enabled Real-time consumer feedback Minority stake with board seat Access to food and manufacturing knowledge: R&D Nutrition Sourcing Expand and rapidly scale reach 25

Acquisition: Sweet Earth Access to US plant-based food segment market worth USD 5 billion Manufacturer of plant-based and vegan foods Growth in excess of 40% in 2017 Complementary to Nestlé frozen portfolio Millennial trends Modern health for all meal occasions Strong consumer feedback on taste, quality, nutritional benefits and convenience 26

Agenda Margin improvement Portfolio management Capital structure Working capital / ROIC / disclosure 27

Factors taken into consideration Cost of debt Access to capital markets Flexibility for external growth Dividend practice Cash flow generation Sales growth Margin improvement Working capital EPS growth expectations / competitive shareholder returns 28

Outcome of capital structure review Leverage our balance sheet Keep flexibility for external growth Comfortable with A rating Up to CHF 20 bn approved for share buyback Share buyback to be spread evenly over three years until June 2020 Buyback will be adapted in event of large M&A 29

Agenda Margin improvement Portfolio management Capital structure Working capital / ROIC / disclosure 30

Further working capital improvement identified Five quarter average working capital as a % of sales 8.5% 6.5% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 2012 * 2013 2014 2015 2016 *: Sales restated 31

ROIC development 29.7% 30.1% 30.4% 29.9% 31.7% ROIC before goodwill and intangibles 13.9% 12.7% 10.8% 10.9% 11.2% ROIC after goodwill and intangibles 2012 * 2013 2014 2015 2016 *: Sales restated 32

Amendments to external reporting as of 2018 Underlying TOP margin target provided (i.e. before restructuring costs) Alignment between underlying EPS and underlying TOP Retain full TOP transparency 33

Summary Improve Margins and Returns CHF 2.0-2.5 billion incremental structural cost savings by 2020 over 2016 Targeting 150 to 250 bps of margin improvement by 2020 Supporting EPS and ROIC growth Cash Flow Further working capital reduction Capital Structure Portfolio Management Leverage our balance sheet Up to CHF 20 billion share buyback, spread evenly until June 2020 Clear action and execution plans to drive growth and returns Open innovation and direct/indirect investment in fast growing assets Disclosure Move to underlying TOP with direct reconciliation to underlying EPS 34

Thank you! 35