Group Results Presentation for the six months ended 31 March 2016

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Transcription:

Group Results Presentation for the six months ended 31 March 2016

Index Overview Financial performance Operational performance Outlook 2

Overview Noel Doyle Chief Operating Officer

Disclaimer Forward-looking statement This document contains forward looking statements that, unless otherwise indicated, reflect the company s expectations as at 24 May 2016. Actual results may differ materially from the company s expectations if known and unknown risks or uncertainties affect the business, or if estimates or assumptions prove to be inaccurate. The company cannot guarantee that any forward looking statement will materialise and, accordingly, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements. The company disclaims any intention and assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward looking statement even if new information becomes available as a result of future events or for any other reason, save as required to do so by legislation and/or regulation. 4

Defensive portfolio delivers growth Resilient domestic performance in highly inflationary environment o Strong turnover growth with positive volume leverage o Operating margins impacted by foreign exchange and soft commodity headwinds o Increased marketing investment to support brands o Continued focus on operational disciplines Mixed performance of Exports and International o Haco turnaround and strong deciduous fruit (LAF) performance o TBCG sale 5

Strong underlying performance* Overall volume growth of 1% o Turnover growth of 9% Rbn 18 o Operating income up 7% despite significant inflationary pressures 16 14 14.6 15.9 o Marketing investment ahead of turnover growth 12 10 up 23% to R502m 8 6 o Group operating margins at 12.9% 4 2 13.2% 12.9% 1.9 2.1 o On track with cost savings initiatives 0 H1 15 H1 16 Turnover Operating income** Operating margin** * From continuing operations ** Before abnormal items and IFRS 2 charges 6

Dividend growth in line with EPS EPS* 7% to 1 021 cents HEPS* flat at 978 cents Cents 365 360 355 350 345 340 Interim dividends 339 363 Interim dividend 7% to 363 cents 335 330 325 H1 15 H1 16 * From continuing operations 7

Financial performance Funke Ighodaro Chief Financial Officer

Group financial highlights* Strong underlying performance Volumes 1% Turnover 9% to R15.9bn Total gross margin -0.7% to 32.2% Operating income** 7% to R2.1bn Total operating margin** -0.3% to 12.9% Share of income from associates 56% to R371m Headline earnings per share 978 cents (flat on prior year) Marketing investment 23% to R502m Effective tax rate*** +4.7% to 30.6% * From continuing operations ** Before abnormal items and IFRS 2 charges *** Before abnormal items and associate income 9

Solid growth despite inflationary pressures in Grains Grains Consumer Brands Food HPCB Exports & International Group* Volume growth flat 5% 5% 8% 1% Turnover growth R6.2bn 10% R5.8bn 8% R1.3bn 13% R2.6bn 8% R15.9bn 9% Operating income** R0.9bn 1% R0.6bn 4% R0.3bn 18% R0.3bn 34% R2.1bn 7% Operating margin** 14.3% 10.5% 20.7% 11.1% 12.9% * From continuing operations ** Before abnormal items and IFRS 2 charges 10

Margin compression reflects investment in growth Operating margin* 13.2% 0.8% 12.9% (0.7%) (0.4%) o Significant inflationary pressures due to rand weakness and effects of drought in Southern Africa o Responsible price / volume management o Good progress on cost containment initiatives o Increased investment in brands H1 2015* Raw materials & conversion costs Marketing investment Other operating expenses H1 2016* * From continuing operations, before abnormal items and IFRS 2 charges 11

Income from associates Associates deliver strong growth Total income from associates (Rm) 238 299* 267* Y-Y growth (%) (11%) 26% Contribution (%)** 16% 19% 26 16 111 42 26 133 32 21 133 85 98 81 H1 2015 H1 2016 H1 2016 constant currency Empresas Carozzi Oceana Group UAC of Nigeria National Food Holdings * Excludes capital profits of R72m in Carozzi ** As a % of net profit after tax from continuing operations 12

Cash flow statement Disciplined working capital management and debt reduction post TBCG exit Rm 31 Mar 2016 30 Sept 2015 31 Mar 2015 Cash operating profit 2 344 4 396 2 164 Working capital (483) (811) (744) Finance costs net of dividends received 16 (71) (39) Taxation paid (601) (1 159) (606) Cash available from operations 1 276 2 355 775 Dividends paid (1 025) (1 643) (1 047) Capital expenditure (257) (882) (363) Disposal of TBCG debt 1 142 - - Oceana rights issue - (525) - Other including effects of exchange rate (44) 396 152 Cash flow for the period 1 092 (299) (483) Opening balance net debt (3 788) (3 489) (3 489) Closing balance net debt (2 696) (3 788) (3 972) 13

Key statistics Improved balance sheet position 31 Mar 2016 30 Sept 2015 31 Mar 2015 Net (debt) / cash (Rm) (2 696) (3 788) (3 972) Net debt / equity (%) 18 28 28 RONA 30 26 24 Financial ratios restated for impact of TBCG exit Net interest cover (times) 14 17 18 Operating margin* after IFRS 2 charges (%) 12.6 14.0 12.9 Effective tax rate (%)** 30.6 25.6 25.9 Working capital per R1 of turnover 23 23 23 Net working capital days 100 102 103 Stock days 90 90 86 Debtor days 41 39 43 Creditor days 32 27 25 * Before abnormal items ** Before abnormal items and associate income 14

Operating performance Noel Doyle Chief Operating Officer

Grains Overall volumes maintained despite unprecedented inflation o Responsible price / volume management o Volumes unchanged despite decline in Maize & Sorghum o Earnings maintained in Millbake wheat value chain o Strong growth from other Grains Revenue up 11% Operating income up 11% o Marketing investment up 36% to drive visibility & brand awareness Rm 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 5 612 6 158 15.9% 14.3% 890 881 H1 15 H1 16 Turnover Operating income Operating margin 16

Grains Soft commodity prices impacted by weak rand and effects of drought Mar 2016 Mar 2015 % Change US wheat price (USD) 207 250 (17%) Exchange rate (R/USD) 15.45 12.07 28% US wheat price (ZAR) 3 198 3 018 6% 5 000 4 000 Safex wheat price (R/t) Duty 1 224 461 166% 3 000 Safex 4 620 3 876 19% Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 5 000 Sorghum price (R/t) 6 000 Maize price (R/t) 4 000 3 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 2 000 Mar-16 Feb-16 Jan-16 Dec-15 Nov-15 Oct-15 Sep-15 Aug-15 Jul-15 Jun-15 May-15 Apr-15 Mar-15 Mar-16 Feb-16 Jan-16 Dec-15 Nov-15 Oct-15 Sep-15 Aug-15 Jul-15 Jun-15 May-15 Apr-15 Mar-15 17

Groceries Consolidates recovery o Turnover up 12% Driven by solid volume growth Prudent pricing in a competitive environment o Operating income up 12% o Marketing investment up 12% o Further price increases in H2 likely to negatively impact volumes Rm 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 2 289 2 565 9.2% 9.1% 210 234 H1 15 H1 16 Turnover Operating income Operating margin 18

Snacks, Treats & Beverages Beverages deliver strong growth o Revenue up 17% Strong volume growth - Oros - Energade - Ready-to-drink Rose s led by new innovation iced tea Underpinned by brand strength Rm 2 000 1 000 1 762 1 874 14.9% 13.5% 262 252 Revenue in Snacks & Treats unchanged o Category under pressure o Supply issues in Gums & Jellies impact service levels o Sugar category impacted by increased competition 0 H1 15 H1 16 Turnover Operating income Operating margin 19

Home, Personal & Baby Care (HPCB) Home Care and Baby deliver strong growth in operating income o Strong performance underpinned by Home Care* Revenue up 27% largely driven by Pest o Baby delivers satisfactory performance driven by strong in-store presence Increased share of fast growing pouch segment o Personal Care impacted by increased competitor activity Largely price led Rm 2 000 1 000 0 1 162 1 317 19.9% 20.7% 231 272 H1 15 H1 16 Turnover Operating income Operating margin * Excluding Stationery 20

Exports and International Strong revenue and operating income growth o Mixed underlying performance o Chococam sustains strong performance Revenue up 26% Operating income up 33% driven by innovation & increased market penetration o East Africa operations recover o Deli Foods impacted by inability to recover cost push following effective Naira devaluation o LAF strong performance driven by weak rand & product mix o Exports impacted by local currency devaluation & forex availability in key markets Delayed sales into Mozambique following appointment of new distributor in Nov 2015 Rm 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 2 451 2 641 8.9% 11.1% 219 292 H1 15 H1 16 Turnover Operating income Operating margin 21

Outlook Noel Doyle Chief Operating Officer

Outlook Operating environment remains challenging o Full impact of rand depreciation in second half will result in further inflationary pressures Negative impact on volumes and margins o Disciplined price / volume management o Focus on costs 23

Appendices

Contribution to turnover* 17% 27% 17% 27% 8% 8% 1% H1 16 2% H1 15 7% 5% 12% 7% 4% 11% 7% 16% 8% 16% * From continuing operations Milling and baking Other grains Groceries Snacks and treats Beverages Value added meat products Out of home HPCB Exports and international 25

Contribution to operating income* Before IFRS 2 charges 14% 11% 13% 2% 4% 36% 12% 2% 4% H1 16 H1 15 5% 38% 5% 7% 11% 8% 9% 11% 8% Milling and baking Other grains Groceries Snacks and treats Beverages Value added meat products Out of home HPCB Exports and international * From continuing operations, before abnormal items 26

Income from associates Carozzi includes R72m of capital profits Rm H1 2016 H1 2015 % Change Carozzi 170 85 100% Oceana 133 111 20% UAC Foods 26 16 63% National Food Holdings 42 26 62% Total 371 238 56% 27

Investor Relations Nikki Catrakilis-Wagner Group Investor Relations Executive Nikki.wagner@tigerbrands.com T: +27 11 840 4841