Assessing territorial impact at various spatial levels: Contributions from ESPON TIA

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The RSA Network on EU Cohesion Policy Assessing territorial impact at various spatial levels: Contributions from ESPON TIA Jiannis Kaucic & Stephanie Essig Austrian Institute for Regional Studies and Spatial Planning (ÖIR) RSA WORKSHOP EU Cohesion Policy: Focus on the Territorial Dimension Lisboa, 05 e 06 de Novembro de 2015

ESPON TIA project & Main questions Project duration: December 2013-October 2014 Project tender: European Observation Network for Territorial Development and Cohesion (ESPON) Project team: OIR, Austria & AIDICO, Spain Main objectives: Development of a practical and user friendly web application for territorial impact assessment (TIA) Tool based on the TIA quick check developed by the ESPON ARTS project (2010-2011) Possibility to identify potential territorial impacts of EU Legislations, Policies and Directives (LPD) Simple menu Regularly update of data User friendly Accessible via ESPON Website

Background Impact assessment as standard procedure to prepare evidence for political decision-makers Advantages and disadvantages of policy options by assessing their potential impact (see EC, 2009: 4) Territorial impact assessment (TIA) enriching this by showing a regional differentiation of the impact of policies Including analyses of different administrative and political levels, types of regions as well as functional areas (see EC, 2013: 2) ESPON programme putting forward numerous projects, focusing on expost and ex-ante point of views: ESPON TIPTAP (2010), ESPON ARTS (2011), ESPON EATIA (2012), ESPON TIA (2014)

Different for each policy proposal The vulnerability concept Policies Exposure Regions Territorial sensitivity Independant of policy proposal Territorial impact

ESPON TIA s 9 steps (1) How to get started (6) Which regions will be hit in which fields? (7) Do the results make sense? (2) The conceptual model (5) What is the territorial impact in European regions? (8) What are the policy implications? (3) Which types of regions are affected (branching & regional exposure) (4) What is the intensity of exposure on different fields? (9) How to communicate the results?

ESPON TIA s 9 steps (1) How to get started (6) Which regions will be hit in which fields? (7) Do the results make sense? (2) The conceptual model (5) What is the territorial impact in European regions? (8) What are the policy implications? (3) Which types of regions are affected (branching & regional exposure) (4) What is the intensity of exposure on different fields? (9) How to communicate the results?

Focus on step 2: The conceptual model Translation of the policy proposal into cause/effect relations describing the intervention logic of the directives Depicted as flowcharts Direct & indirect effects Broken down into thematic fields, measured by indicators Source: Committee of the Regions, 2014, TIA Workshop Smooth Phasing out of the milk quotas in the European Union, CoR, 27 th November 2014, Brussels

Results of the ESPON TIA tool Judgments about the potential impact of EU policy in different thematic fields for a range of indicators Feed into the web-based tool Based on the different sensitivity of regions, expert judgments are translated into maps showing the territorial impact of EU policy on NUTS3 level Maps can serve as starting point for further discussion on impact of EU policy on regions Combining statistics with interactive elements and facilitating an iterative process fostering multi-level governance and decision making

Results of the ESPON TIA tool - example Potential impact on Utilised Agricultural Area predominantly rural, remote regions Source: Committee of the Regions, 2014, TIA Workshop Smooth Phasing out of the milk quotas in the European Union, CoR, 27 th November 2014, Brussels

Advantages of the tool Database with a wide range of indicators at NUTS3 level for all EU28 MS. Possibility to upload additional indicators and types of regions Assessment not only based on a statistical model but also considers the input of stakeholders as equally important Result of the tool is more than just one map of territorial impact; it is also a process and a discussion of data and coherences

Need to deepen the territorial dimension Strategies needed for balanced regional development call for a better understanding of different geographical regions General trend of higher divergence within the Member States Regional challenges need analysis at NUTS 2, NUTS 3 or even LAU level Lack of disaggregated data: role of ESPON in the further development of TIA by providing the relevant disaggregated data

data at the subnational level Data available at the subnational level improved over the last few years (Eurostat, DG Regio, Joint Research Centre, ESPON, OECD) Need for new methods and structures for data collection and small area estimation ESPON TIA approach of combining and critically reviewing existing data with regional expertise can serve as positive example Tap on regional knowledge when producing datasets In return, TIA will benefit from a further breaking down of the analysis to lower territorial levels, which will foster integrated place-based programmes and projects.

Example: Combining Census and Survey Information Step 1: calculation of Regr. Koeff Survey Step 2: calculation indicators Census Source: EC/World Bank

Example Microdata: World Bank Poverty Mapping Source: EC/World Bank

The RSA Network on EU Cohesion Policy Getting started http://tiatool.espon.eu/tia/ Jiannis Kaucic & Stephanie Essig Austrian Institute for Regional Studies and Spatial Planning (ÖIR) kaucic@oir.at, essig@oir.at

Sources Committee of the Regions (2015): Feasibility of Mapping the Social Dimension of the EMU. ESPON (2012): ESPON ARTS. Assessment of Regional and Territorial Sensitivity. ESPON (2014): ESPON TIA Quick Check. Moderator s Guide and Methodological Background. European Commission (2009): Impact Assessment Guidelines. European Commission (2010): COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT. ( ). Conclusions of the fifth report on economic, social and territorial cohesion: the future of cohesion policy. {COM(2010) 642 final} European Commission (2013): Commission Staff Working Document. Assessing territorial impacts: Operational guidance on how to assess regional and local impacts within the Commission Impact Assessment System. SWD(2013) 2 final. Fischer, T.B.; Gore, T.; Golobic, M.; Marot, N. (2013): Territorial Impact Assessment a new policy assessment tool to support territorial cohesion. Fischer, T.B.; Sykes, O.; Gore, T.; Marot, N.; Golobic, M.; Pinho, P., Waterhout, B.; Perdicoulis, A. (2014): Territorial Impact Assessment of European Draft Directives The Emergence of a New Policy Assessment Instrument.