Agenda Review. Business Plan Update. Delivering on the Plan. Closing Remarks

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Transcription:

Agenda 06 Review Business Plan Update 3 Delivering on the Plan 4 Closing Remarks

Cautionary Statement The following presentation includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events, such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our operations, operating results or the industries or markets in which we operate or participate in general. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecast in such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that may prove to be incorrect and are difficult to predict such as our ability to complete the sale of our San Juan Basin Assets and certain of our assets in western Canada (together, the Sale Transactions) on the timeline currently anticipated, if at all; the possibility that regulatory approvals for either of the Sale Transactions will not be received on a timely basis, if at all, or that such approvals may require modification to the terms of either of the Sale Transactions or our remaining business; business disruptions during or following the Sale Transactions, including the diversion of management time and attention; our ability to liquidate the common stock issued to us by Cenovus Energy Inc. as part of our sale of assets in western Canada at prices we deem acceptable, or at all; the ability to deploy net proceeds from the Sale Transactions in the manner and timeframe we currently anticipate, if at all; operational hazards and drilling risks; potential failure to achieve, and potential delays in achieving expected reserves or production levels from existing and future oil and gas development projects; unsuccessful exploratory activities; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and exchange controls; potential liability for remedial actions under existing or future environmental regulations or from pending or future litigation; limited access to capital or significantly higher cost of capital related to illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and international economic and political conditions, and changes in tax, environmental and other laws applicable to ConocoPhillips business; and other economic, business, competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting ConocoPhillips business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). We caution you not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which are only as of the date of this presentation or as otherwise indicated, and we expressly disclaim any responsibility for updating such information. Use of non-gaap financial information This presentation may include non-gaap financial measures, which help facilitate comparison of company operating performance across periods and with peer companies. Any non-gaap measures included herein will be accompanied by a reconciliation to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure either within the presentation or on our website at www.conocophillips.com/nongaap. Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves. We use the term "resource" in this presentation that the SEC s guidelines prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the oil and gas disclosures in our Form 0-K and other reports and filings with the SEC. Copies are available from the SEC and from the ConocoPhillips website. 3

06 Operating Performance Financial Operational 5% 9% $3B $.3B 6 3% % Capital Reduction Adjusted Operating Cost Reduction Initiated share buyback program in midnovember Disposition Proceeds Project Startups Achieved Production Growth Incident Rate Improvement 06 vs. 05 Strategic 06 vs. 05 Adjusted operating cost is a non-gaap measure. A non-gaap reconciliation is available on our website. Production growth is adjusted for Libya, downtime and dispositions. 06 06 06 vs. 05 06 vs. 05 4

Delivering Results With a Relentless Focus on Safety and Execution Life Saving Rules Personal safety performance best on record in 06 Improved process safety performance A safety leader in peer group Life Saving Rules embedded in culture and showing positive impact Focus on process safety and human performance drive improvements 0.8 ConocoPhillips Injury Rate Sector Injury Rates 4 0.6 3 0.4 0. 0.0 008 0 06 0 Construction Industry Utilities Oil & Gas Injury rate refers to OSHA Total Recordable Rate and is defined as the number of safety incidents per 00,000 hours. 008 data represents Upstream business from previously integrated ConocoPhillips. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Incidence rates and numbers of non-fatal occupational injuries by private industry sector, 05 (latest available). 5

Environment and Sustainable Development Record year for the West Arnhem Land Fire Abatement project.9 MILLION TONNES CO EMISSIONS OFFSET TO DATE BY THE WEST ARNHEM LAND FIRE ABATEMENT PROJECT IN AUSTRALIA New water gathering facility commissioned in the Permian Recognized as an industry leader on the Corporate Human Rights Benchmark REDUCING WATER USAGE MILLION GALLONS OF PRODUCED WATER REUSED OR RECYCLED SINCE 03 Committed to SPIRIT Values through the cycles 6

Total Shareholder Return Total Shareholder Return 06 33% 0% Total Shareholder Return Since Spin % -3% Independent Peer ConocoPhillips S&P 500 E&P Companies Integrated Peer Period from Jan., 06 Dec. 3, 06 Period from May, 0 April 8, 07 7

Transforming the Company for a Cyclical and Volatile Future Brent Price ($/BBL) A view that prices will be lower and more volatile 40 0 Annual Average Volatile Positioning the business for cycles, but not chasing them up or down 00 80 60 50 40 30 0 Daily 06 07 Mindset shift to manage the business for free cash flow generation Clear free cash flow allocation priorities that include attractive distributions to shareholders 60 40 0 Cyclical 0 03 04 05 06 Performance driven by a low breakeven, low cost of supply resource base, capital flexibility and a strong balance sheet No compromise on safety and environmental stewardship Free cash flow and breakeven are non-gaap measures and are defined in the non-gaap reconciliation on our website. 8

Strategy on a Page Disciplined and Resilient, Yet Flexible >$60/BBL Brent $50-$60/BBL Brent <$50/BBL Brent Value-based cash flow allocation Maintain discipline on costs and capital Strong balance sheet Cash flow allocations balanced between distributions and organic growth Exercise flexibility Our goal is to deliver double-digit total returns to shareholders annually ~$50/BBL Brent Cash Allocation Priorities >$50/BBL Brent st Priority Flat production for <$5B capex nd Priority Annual dividend growth 3 rd Priority Debt of $5B ; target A rating 4 th Priority >5% shares repurchased 5 th Priority Up to % high-return production growth Choices Cash allocated to maximize total shareholder returns CLEAR PRIORITIES DRIVE DISCIPLINED ALLOCATION OF CASH FLOW By year-end 09. 07 production. 9

Taking Action to Accelerate and Deliver the Plan $5B CAPITAL PROGRAM IN 07 Maintaining Discipline. Up to % production growth in 07 6% DIVIDEND INCREASE IN Q 07 Delivering annual dividend growth >$6B OF STRATEGIC DISPOSITIONS IN 07 Improved underlying margins $7B DEBT REDUCTION PLANNED IN 07 Significantly improved leverage position $6B SHARE REPURCHASE PROGRAM Doubled size of program announced in 06. Tripling 07 buybacks 0

Market Response to Actions Taken Total Shareholder Return Since Nov. 06 8% -4% Independent Peer ConocoPhillips S&P 500 E&P Companies Integrated Peer Period from Nov. 0, 06 (Analyst & Investor Meeting) April 8, 07

Size, Scale & Scope A Global E&P Company Largest Independent E&P.6 MMBOED Alaska Norway Canada U.K. World Class Resource 4 BBOE <$50/BBL CoS U.S. Lower 48 Colombia Gulf of Mexico Libya Qatar China Malaysia Brunei Indonesia Timor-Leste Australia $5B Capital in 07 Largest US Independent E&P spend Chile Canada Largest independent E&P by production and proved reserves. Assumes all 07 dispositions are effective Jan., 07. Cost of Supply (CoS) is the Brent equivalent price that generates a 0 percent return on a point forward and fully-burdened basis. Resources are post Canada and San Juan dispositions. Countries represent current focus areas.

Positioned for Differential Value Creation SMART GROWTH Disciplined growth, within cash flows Enabled by a world class portfolio; 4 BBOE with a cost of supply under $50/BBL Brent SUPERIOR RETURNS Double-digit total returns goal Balance sheet strength to deliver through the cycles SPIRIT VALUES Relentless focus on safety and execution Committed to responsible and sustainable development Cost of Supply (CoS) is the Brent equivalent price that generates a 0 percent return on a point forward and fully-burdened basis. 4 BBOE of resource is post Canadian and San Juan dispositions. 3

Committed to SPIRIT Values 4