IFRS 17 and its business implications. What is IFRS 17 and how it is going to change the life of accountants and actuaries

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IFRS 17 and its business implications What is IFRS 17 and how it is going to change the life of accountants and actuaries

Agenda A quick overview of the new standard Recognition of profit or loss under IFRS 17 Case study for life assurance Practical implications

Current status of the project July 2010 Exposure Draft (2010 ED) June 2013 Revised Exposure Draft (2013 ED) Publication of IFRS 17 (Replaces IFRS 4) 1 January 2018 Effective date of IFRS 9 2021 Q2 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2016 Q4 2016 May 2017 Field work (June October 2013, August October 2016) Drafting 1 January 2021 Effective date of IFRS 17* 1 January 2020 Beginning of the earliest period presented under IFRS 17 * An entity may apply IFRS 17 before 1 January 2021, if it also applies IFRS9 and IFRS15 on or before the date of initial application of IFRS17

Definition of an insurance contract A contract under which one party (the issuer) accepts significant insurance risk from another party (the policyholder) by agreeing to compensate the policyholder if a specified uncertain future event (the insured event) adversely affects the policyholder. Risk is uncertainty about, at least one of the following aspects: Probability of the insured event; Amount payable under the event; Timing of the payment

Significant insurance risk It is assessed based on scenarios with commercial substance and on a Present value basis Contract-by-contact basis Before reinsurance Insurance risk is significant if, and only if, an insured event could cause the issuer to pay additional amounts that are significant in any single scenario, excluding scenarios that have no commercial substance

Boundary of the contract (1/2) Cash flows are within the boundary of an insurance contract if they arise from substantive rights and obligations that exist during the reporting period in which the entity can compel the policyholder to pay the premiums or in which the entity has a substantive obligation to provide the policyholder with services

Boundary of the contract (2/2) A substantive obligation to provide services ends when: a) The entity has the practical ability to reassess the risks of the particular policyholder and, as a result, can set a price or level of benefits that fully reflects those risks; OR b) Both of the following criteria are satisfied: i) the entity has the practical ability to reassess the risks of the portfolio of insurance contracts that contains the contract and, as a result, can set a price or level of benefits that fully reflects the risk of that portfolio; ii) the pricing of the premiums for coverage up to the date when the risks are reassessed does not take into account the risks that relate to periods after the reassessment date

Separation of components from an insurance contract Client contract Insurance components Distinct investment components Embedded Derivatives Distinct goods or noninsurance services The new Insurance Contracts Standard IFRS17 Under the new Financial Instruments Standard IFRS 9 Under the new Revenue Recognition Standard IFRS 15

Level of aggregation An entity shall identify portfolios of insurance contracts. A portfolio comprises contracts subject to similar risks and managed together An entity shall divide a portfolio of insurance contracts issues into a minimum of a group of contracts that are onerous at initial recognition, if any; a group of contracts that at initial recognition have no significant possibility of becoming onerous subsequently, if any; and a group of the remaining contracts in the portfolio, if any.

The Building Block Approach (BBA) Liability Contractual Service Margin Risk Adjustment Expected Cash Flows Fulfilment cash flows Expected cash flows Explicit and current Entity s perspective but not in contrast with observable market variables Risk Adjustment (RA) Includes diversification benefits Reflects entity s risk aversion Contractual Service Margin (CSM) Unearned profit Discount rate Consistent with observable market prices Excludes any factors which are not relevant to CFs of the insurance contract Time Value of Money

Expected cash flows Should include all cash inflows and cash outflows that relate to the fulfilment of the portfolio of insurance contracts Cash flows should Be current Be explicit, unbiased and probability-weighted estimates Reflect the perspective of the entity (but should not contradict to observable market data) Incorporate all information about the amount, timing and uncertainty Comprise only CFs within the Contract Boundary

Risk Adjustment Confidence Level Conditional Tail Average of the shaded field Cost of Capital Risk Adjustment X% Risk Adjustment Risk Adjustment Expected cash flows 50% Distribution of expected CFs Expected cash flows Expected cash flows Capital required to fulfil liabilities in future, discounted at CoC rate An entity shall disclose the confidence level used to determine the risk adjustment for non-financial risk

Discount rates An entity should determine the fulfilment cash flows by adjusting the estimates of future cash flows for the time value of the money, using discount rates that reflect the characteristics of those cash flows Discount rates should Be consistent with observable current market prices for instruments whose characteristics reflect the insurance liability (e.g. timing, currency and liquidity) AND Exclude the effect of any factors that influence the observable market prices but that are not relevant to the cash flows of the insurance contract

Contractual Service Margin (1/2) The Contractual Service Margin (CSM) is initially set to eliminate gains at inception whereas losses are to be recognized immediately At initial recognition, an entity should recognize the CSM at an amount that is equal to the opposite sum of The fulfilment cash flows for the contract at initial recognition; AND Any pre-coverage cash flows

Contractual Service Margin (2/2) The initially recognized CSM should be released over time during the coverage period or period of provision of the insurance services Interest should be accrued at locked-in rate on the remaining balance of the CSM and the CSM should be released over passage of time and expected number of in-force policies

Statement of financial performance An entity shall disaggregate the amounts recognised in the statement(s) of profit or loss and other comprehensive income (hereafter referred to as the statement(s) of financial performance) into: Insurance service result, comprising insurance revenue and insurance service expenses; Insurance finance income or expenses

Insurance service result (1/2) (83) An entity shall present in profit or loss insurance revenue arising from the groups of insurance contracts issued. Insurance revenue shall depict the provision of coverage and other services arising from the group of insurance contracts at an amount that reflects the consideration to which the entity expects to be entitled in exchange for those services. (84) An entity shall present in profit or loss insurance service expenses arising from a group of insurance contracts issued, comprising incurred claims (excluding repayments of investment components), other incurred insurance service expenses and other amounts as described in paragraph 103(b) (85) Insurance revenue and insurance service expenses presented in profit or loss shall exclude any investment components. An entity shall not present premium information in profit or loss if that information is inconsistent with paragraph 83.

Insurance service result (2/2) (B121) The total consideration for a group of contracts covers the following amounts: (a) Amounts related to the provision of services, comprising: i) Insurance service expenses, excluding any amounts allocated to the loss component of the liability for ii) iii) remaining coverage; The risk adjustment for non-financial risk, excluding any amounts allocated to the loss component of the liability for remaining coverage; and The contractual service margin. b) Amounts related to insurance acquisition cash flows

Insurance finance income or expenses An entity should include in insurance finance income or expenses the effect of changes in assumptions that relate to financial risk An entity should make an accounting policy choice as to whether to disaggregate insurance finance income or expenses for the period between profit or loss and other comprehensive income. An entity shall apply its choice of accounting policy to portfolios of insurance contracts

Components of the profit or loss (1/2) Profit at inception CSM 1 2 Components of the profit or loss Release CSM Release RA RA Expected cash inflows Expected cash outflows Time value of money Fulfilment cash flows Expected CF 3 Real CF 4 5 Expected Real - Current period CFs - Future CFs Discount rate at inception vs. current discount rate + One year unwinding of the discount rate

Components of the profit or loss (2/2) 3 Insurance contract revenue Incurred claims and expenses Insurance service result x (x) X Release of Contractual Service Margin Release of Risk Adjustment Expected claims and expenses Insurance Contract Revenue (x) X x X 1 2 3 5 Investment income on assets Insurance investment expense on insurance liability Insurance finance income or expenses Profit or Loss X (x) X X Revenue and expense are recognised as earned or incurred Insurance investment expense is current or cost view, depending on accounting policy 4 Discount rate changes on insurance liability Comprehensive income X X If insurance investment expense is cost view, difference between current and cost basis is presented in OCI

Transition (1/2) (C3) An entity shall apply IFRS 17 retrospectively unless impracticable (C4) To apply IFRS 17 retrospectively, an entity shall at the transition date identify, recognise and measure each group of insurance contracts as if IFRS 17 had always applied derecognise any existing balances that would not exist had IFRS 17 always applied; and recognise any resulting net difference in equity

Transition (2/2) (C5) If, and only if, it is impracticable for an entity to apply paragraph C3, an entity shall apply the following approaches instead of the retrospective approach The modified retrospective approach The Fair Value approach

A case study for life assurance (1/4) Liabilities at transition PVCF RA CSM Total IFRS 4 Liability 7 167 7 167 IFRS 17 Liability 6 868 69 127 7 064 Transition adjustment 104

A case study for life assurance (2/4) IFRS 17 reserve 7 064 5 869 4 865 4 271 3 914 Premiums 642 562 491 429 Investment income 5 17 24 30 Change in reserves B 1 195 1 004 594 356 Claims paid -1 746-1 488-1 023-736 Investment expenses -5-5 -5-4 Acquisition costs 6 1 0 0 Fulfilment expenses -56-52 -47-43 IFRS 17 profit excl. other exp. 41 39 35 32 Other expenses -14-13 -12-11 Total IFRS 17 profit 28 26 23 21 A

A case study for life assurance (3/4) B Revenue Insurance service expenses 1 185 1 008 611 381 Release RA 12 10 6 4 Release CSM 3 3 3 3 Incurred claims and expenses A -1 159-982 -584-354 Other expenses -14-13 -12-11 Insurance service result 28 27 24 23 Investment income 5 17 24 30 Insurance investment expense -5-18 -25-31 Insurance finance income or exp. 0 0-1 -1 Total IFRS 17 profit 28 26 23 21 * Premiums and repayments of investment components will not part of the revenue. Included are here only for illustrative purposes.

A case study for life assurance (4/4) Movements in In-Force Business PV CF RA CSM Total Opening balance IFRS 17 liability 6 868 69 127 7 064 Premiums received 642 642 Claims paid -1 746-1 746 Experience adjustments claims -13-13 Acquisition costs paid 6 6 Other fulfilment expenses paid -61-61 Experience adjustments expenses -4-4 Insurance investment expense 5 0 0 5 Changes in expected future cash flows against the CSM Changes in expected future cash flows recognized in PnL CSM recognized in period for prov. Services -3-3 Changes to the RA recognized in PnL -12-12 Impact of changes in discount rates and other mkt. var. -10 0-10 Closing balance IFRS 17 liability 5 687 57 124 5 869

Practical implications (1/4) We have 3,5 years for implementation Product classification Not all contract components may classify as insurance contracts Need deep knowledge of other IFRS s (IFRS 9, IFRS 15, ) Portfolios of insurance contracts IFRS 17 definition may not be fully consistent with business view Disclosure requirements at portfolio level

Practical implications (2/4) Transition Do we have information for the retrospective approaches? (Need to determine remaining CSM from inception of the contracts) Transition adjustments vs. tax legislation Deferred tax implications Actuarial models and data (Full) stochastic modelling (Need to disclose the level of confidence for Risk Adjustment)

Practical implications (3/4) Data collection and IT Collection of very granular data Probability-weighted estimates of cash flows Suitability of existing IT systems/programs Analysing historical costs Product design Definition of significant insurance risk Different contract components may change due to accounting implications

Practical implications (4/4) Market share How do we measure this without premiums? Solvency II vs. IFRS 17 Do we have the systems and time to run two completely separate calculations? Do we understand the links between these two standards Solvency II is about balance sheet but IFRS 17 is about the PnL

References S. Otzen: Understanding IFRS 4.2 (European Actuarial Academy, 2016) Floris van Diest Tim Schilders: Knowledge Sharing - IFRS 17 (www.zanders.eu) IFRS 17 Insurance Contracts, May 2017 http://www.ifrs.org/current+projects/iasb+projects/insuranc e+contracts/insurance+contracts.htm

Thank You! Imrich Lozsi lozsi@tools4f.com +420 724 244 949