Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

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Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors May, 1 Dr. Ed Yardeni 1-- eyardeni@ Joe Abbott -- jabbott@ Mali Quintana --1 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at blog. thinking outside the box

Table Of Contents Table Of Contents EMU Sectors Stock Price Indexes EMU Sectors Versus -Dma EMU Sectors Forward Earnings EMU Sectors Forward Revenues EMU Sectors Forward Profit Margin EMU Sectors Forward P/Es EMU Sectors Relative Forward P/Es EMU Sectors Market Cap & Earnings Shares EMU Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index 11 EMU Sectors STRG vs STEG vs LTEG May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

EMU Sectors Stock Price Indexes Figure 1. EMU MSCI* 1 -day moving average 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -day moving average * EMU MSCI price indexes in euros on ratio scales. Source: MSCI and Haver Analytics. Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Figure. EMU MSCI* (price index as percentage of -day moving average) % from -dma (1.) (.) (-1.) (1.) EMU Sectors Versus -Dma (-1.) (-.) (.) (.) (.) (.) TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES (-.) (.1) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Source: MSCI and Haver Analytics. Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

Figure. EMU MSCI* (Forward earnings) EMU Sectors Forward Earnings Annual Forward** 1 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * Ratio scale. ** Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: MSCI and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

Figure. EMU MSCI* (Forward revenues) Annual Forward** EMU Sectors Forward Revenues 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 * Ratio scale. ** Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: MSCI and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

11 Figure. EMU MSCI (Forward profit margin) Annual Forward* (.) 1 1 (.) EMU Sectors Forward Profit Margin 1 (.) (.) 1 1 (.) 1 (.) 1 1 1 1 (.) 1 (.) 1 1 1 (.) 1 (.) 1 (.) 1 (.) 1 11 11 * Time-weighted average of the consensus estimates for current and next year. Source: MSCI and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

EMU Sectors Forward P/Es Figure. EMU MSCI (Forward P/Es) (.) (1.) (11.) (.) (.) (1.) 1 1 1 1 1 (1.) (.) (1.) TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES (1.) 1 (.) (1.) 1 1 Source: MSCI and Haver Analytics. Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

1. 1.1 Figure. EMU MSCI (Relative forward P/Es*) EMU Sectors Relative Forward P/Es 1. 1. 1.. 1. 1.1... 1. (.) (1.1) 1.... 1. 1. 1.. (.) (1.) 1. 1. 1. 1.. 1. 1. 1. 1.. 1. 1. 1.. (1.) (.) (1.1) (1.). 1. 1. 1. 1.... 1. 1. 1. 1.. 1.... (.) TELECOMMUNICATIONS SERVICES (.). 1. 1. 1. 1... 1. 1. 1. 1... (1.) (1.). 1. 1. 1. 1.. * MSCI EMU relative to MSCI World, sectors are relative to MSCI EMU. Source: MSCI and Haver Analytics. Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

1 1 1 1 1 1 Figure. EMU MSCI (trillion euros) Total Capitalization (.) Total Forward Earnings (.) (1.) (.) (.) (.) (.) (.1) EMU Sectors Market Cap & Earnings Shares (.) (.) (.) (.) * Using consensus -month forward earnings forecasts. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S......1. (percent for sectors) Market cap share (.1) Earnings share (1.) (.) (.) (.) (.) (1.) (1.) (.) (.1) (.) (.) 1 1.. 1. 1... 1 Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

- - - Figure. EMU MSCI Net Earnings Revisions Index* NERI (-.) 1 11 1 1 (-.) EMU Sectors Net Earnings Revisions Index 1 11 1 1 - - (-.) - 1 11 1 1 (-.) 1 11 1 1 - - - - - - - - - - (-.) 1 11 1 1 (.) 1 11 1 1 - - - - - - - - - (.) 1 11 1 1 (-1.) 1 11 1 1 (-.) 1 11 1 1 (-.) 1 11 1 1 - - - - - - - - - (-.) 1 11 1 1 (-.) 1 11 1 1 - - * Three-month moving average of the number of estimates up less number of estimates down, expressed as a percentage of the total number of estimates. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page 11 / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

- - - - - - - - - - Figure. EMU MSCI (percent) STRG* (.) STEG* (.) LTEG* (.) capped at % (.1) (.) (.) (1.) (.) (.1) (.) (11.) (.) capped at % (1.) (11.) (.) EMU Sectors STRG vs STEG vs LTEG (.) (.) (.) (.) (.) (.) capped at % (.) (.) (1.) STEG capped at % (.) (.) (.) Capped at % (.) (.) (.) (.1) (.) (11.) * STRG: -month forward consensus expected revenue growth. STEG: -month forward consensus expected earnings growth. LTEG: -year forward consensus expected earnings growth. Source: Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. (1.) (.) (.) - - - - - - - - - - - - Page / May, 1 / Global Index Briefing: EMU MSCI Sectors

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