News Release Survey on Privately Placed Real Estate Funds in Japan July 2012 Results

Similar documents
Survey on Private Real Estate Funds in Japan

Survey on Privately Placed Real Estate Funds in Japan January Results. Trends of Market Size of Privately Placed Funds and J REITs.

NEWS RELEASE Survey on Private Real Estate Funds in Japan January 2017 Results March 27, 2017 Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute Co.

News Release Survey on Private Real Estate Funds in Japan January 2018 Results March 15, 2018 Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute Co.

CBRE Releases Q Japan Investment MarketView

K.K. davinci Advisors (4314)

Star Asia Investment Corporation

Keiji Miyaishi General Manager, Treasury & Planning Department, REIT Division TEL:

Asset Managers Holdings. February 2010 Fiscal Year (March 2009 February 2010) Corporate Presentation

Ichigo Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (2337)

REIT Financial Report for the Fiscal Period ended July 31, 2018 (The 26 th Period) September 12, 2018

Regional Economic Report (Summary)

Highlights of the Financial Monitoring Report. for Financial Services Agency July 2015

Japanese Stock Market Outlook. SMAM monthly comments & views - August

Ichigo Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (2337)

Samty Residential Investment Corporation

Consolidated Financial Results April 1, 2012 December 31, 2012

Summary of Accounts for First Quarter of Term Ending December 2016 (Japanese GAAP) (Consolidated) May 9, 2016

Ichigo Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (2337)

Japan experiences of evaluating insurance effectiveness: The role of governments

Japan s Economy: Monthly Review

Table of Contents P 2 P 4 P 10 P 11 P 12 P 13 P 14 P 17 P 18 P 19

MK Capital Management Corporation

ZENKOKU HOSHO Co., Ltd.

White Paper on Local Public Finance, 2017

Market Operations in Fiscal 2016

KYOTO CHUO SHINKIN BANK ANNUAL REPORT 2011

HEIWA REAL ESTATE REIT, Inc. (8966) 34th Fiscal Period Financial Report

Prospect Reit Investment Corporation

Revenue and income for the first nine months hit record highs. Revenue: Operating income: Profit attributable to owners of parent :

Japanese Stock Market Outlook. SMAM monthly comments & views - November

FY2014 Settlement White Paper on Local Public Finance, Illustrated

Ichigo Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (2337)

Revenue and income set record highs for the fifth consecutive year. Revenue reached more than 300 billion on the 20th anniversary of the foundation.

dex.html Nobuhito Inatsuki, Executive Director

ORIX JREIT Inc. ARTICLES OF INCORPORATION

The Bank of Japan s Eligible Collateral Framework and Recently Accepted Collateral

Financial Results for FY15/16

Consolidated Financial Results April 1, 2012 June 30, 2012

Ratio of net income to equity

2018 H1 Taiwan Life Insurance Market Overview

Financial Results for the Six Months Ended September 30, ZENKOKU HOSHO Co., Ltd. November 2018

First Quarter of the Fiscal Year Ending September 30, 2018 Results of Operations. Evolable Asia Corp. TSE 1st Section : 6191 February 14, 2018

K.K. davinci Select Private Placement Presentation for Investors

SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RESULTS (REIT)

Financial Results for the Fiscal Period from March 1, 2018 to August 31, 2018

Business Outline. Business Report

Ordinary income 55.7% 75.6% 61.7% 61.8% % 0.2% -1.0%

3. Equity markets. (Chart 16) Global equity prices. (Chart 17) US equity market and crude oil price. (Chart 18) Equity prices of China-related sectors

Global One Real Estate Investment Corp. (Code: 8958) Semiannual Report. For the 29th Period. From 1 October 2017 to 31 March 2018

Financial System Report Annex Series. inancial ystem eport. Annex. Financial Results of Japan s Banks for Fiscal 2016

Ratio of net income to equity. Distribution Ratio of per unit

Life Insurance Fact Book (2017)

Japanese Stock Market Outlook. SMAM monthly comments & views - October

Consolidated Financial Results April 1, 2009 June 30, 2009

Business performance <FY2018>

JETRO s activities Promoting Inward Foreign Direct Investment

ORIX JREIT Inc. ARTICLES OF INCORPORATION

Consolidated Financial Results from April 1, 2017 to (U.S. GAAP Financial Information for ORIX Corporation and its Subsidiaries) Corporate Name: ORIX

Mizuho Economic Outlook & Analysis

Flash Report on the Consolidated result for the third quarter ended November 30, 2006

Growth Potential of the J-REIT Market

million yen % million yen % million yen % million yen % (214) (215)

To Our Shareholders, Employees and Customers

Jan-Mar st Preliminary GDP Estimate

Basel III Information

Basel III Information

Mid-Year Survey of Hedge Fund Investor Sentiment

4th Fiscal Period Asset Management Report Mitsui Fudosan Logistics Park Inc.

Ratio of net income to unitholders equity 6, % 1.0% 35.0% Ratio of distribution amount to net assets 9th Period. per unit

Iino Kaiun Kaisha, Ltd. (Iino Lines)

Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices

Mitsubishi Estate Logistics REIT Investment Corporation

[TRANSLATION] Notice Regarding Execution of Merger Agreement between Japan Rental Housing Investment Inc. and Prospect Reit Investment Corporation

Company Name: Shimano Inc. Stock Exchange: Tokyo, First Section Code Number: 7309 URL:

Consolidated Financial Summary (for the three months ended June 30, 2018) July 27, 2018

MORI TRUST Sogo Reit, Inc. MORI TRUST Asset Management Co., Ltd. 17th Fiscal Period (April 1, 2010 to September 30, 2010) Information Package

Measures Announced as of February 15, 2012

Elderly people based on seven types of data

Zenith Monthly Economic Report October 2011

Creation of Kansai Mirai Financial Group. Kansai Mirai Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Year ended March 31, 2004 Information Package for Financial Briefing

Japan's Unconventional Monetary Policy and Initiatives toward Ensuring Stability of the Global Financial System

IPD Global Quarterly Property Fund Index 4Q 2013 results report March 2014

Economic activity gathers pace

Basic Policy for Employees Pension Insurance Benefit Adjustment Fund

Monthly Report of Prospects for Japan's Economy

Financial Results for the Six Months Ended September 30, ZENKOKU HOSHO Co., Ltd. November 2017

Japan Securities Finance Co., Ltd.

Notice Regarding Execution of Memorandum of Understanding for Merger of Investment Corporations

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG)

Financial Results for 1Q FY18/19 (1 April 2018 to 30 June 2018)

Summary of Financial Results for the Third Quarter of the Fiscal Year Ending March, 2012 [Japan GAAP] (Consolidated)

Six-month Consolidated Financial Report for the Fiscal Year Ending October 31, 2012 [Japan GAAP]

Basic Policy for the Administration and Investment of Employees' Pension Insurance Benefit Association Reserve Fund

Japanese Stock Market Outlook. SMAM monthly comments & views - January

HEIWA REAL ESTATE REIT, Inc. (8966) 33rd Fiscal Period Financial Report

Jul-Sep nd Preliminary GDP Estimate

Consolidated Financial Results. and Sony Life s Market Consistent Embedded Value as of September 30, 2015

NEWS RELEASE. R&I Affirms Ratings: Mizuho Financial Group. Rating and Investment Information, Inc. (R&I) has announced the following:

Transcription:

Survey on ly Placed Real Estate Funds in Japan July Results Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute Co., Ltd Starting in, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute Co., Ltd. has conducted the Survey on ly Placed Real Estate Funds as part of its research activities concerning real estate investment markets. This is the th survey based on responses to questionnaires received from 66 real estate investment management companies Survey subject: Real estate investment management companies that set up and manage privately placed real estate funds which are focused on domestic real estate Number of companies to which questionnaires were sent: Number of companies responded: 6 (ratio of valid responses: 8.9%) Time of survey: July Survey method: Distribution and collection of questionnaires by post and e-mail Based on the results of the survey, hearings and published information, we estimated the market size of privately placed real estate funds (on an invested asset basis) as of the end of June to be 8. trillion yen. This figure involves Japanese assets of global funds that we were already aware of. The market size as of the end of December was 7.8 trillion yen, which is an increase of approximately billion yen (.) over a six-month period from the previous January survey. In this survey, we have revised the past figures to reflect additional data obtained. <The market size of privately placed real estate funds is 8. trillion yen, this includes Japanese assets of global funds> The Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute has been conducting estimates of the market size of privately placed real estate funds since based on surveys and hearings from investment management companies (hereafter called the managers ) as well as published information. As of the end of June the market size including Japanese assets of global funds( )is estimated to be 8. trillion yen, which is an increase of approximately billion yen (.) over a six-month period from the 7.8 trillion as of the end of December. In this survey some managers appeared to have decreased their assets under management by selling property and liquidating the funds. While some managers increased their assets by acquiring new properties in light of the improved conditions from six months ago for launching funds, including the gradual recovery in investment property transactions, favorable conditions for debt financing, and the increasing appetite of equity investors. As a result, there was an increase in the overall assets under management. Looking at the breakdown of these assets, the growth rate of funds that only invest in domestic real estate showed an increase at the end of June compared to the end of and this increase notably exceeded that of the increase in global funds. (*) We define the global fund as a fund targeting real estate investments in various countries including Japan.

Assets under management (Trillion yen). 8. 6.... 8. 6...... 6.. Trends of Market Size of ly Placed Funds and s 7. 7.6 7.8 7. 6.9 7.7 7. 7.8 8...7.6..8.9.7.8.9.9.. 6.8 7. 7. 7. 7.6 7.8 7.8 8. 8. 8.7 6. 6.7 6/66/7/67/8/68/9/69//6//6//6 s ly Placed funds that only invest in domestic real estate ly Placed global funds (Assets located in Japan) Survey on ly Placed Real Estate Funds July Survey Results (Note) [n] shown in the charts throughout this document indicates the number of effective responses.. Current Status of Fund Management )Breakdown of Commingled Funds and Separate Accounts This survey categorized privately placed funds into two categories, commingled funds that are managed for multiple investors, and separate accounts which are managed for single investors. AUM of the commingled funds, which is managed by the respondents, stood at,8. billion yen (), while separate accounts stood at,7. bilion yen (6%). The share of comingled funds decreased from 8% in the January Survey. Fig. Breakdown of Commingled Funds and Separate Accounts 8 6 % 6% 6% 6% 7% 9% % 9% 9% 7% % % 7% 6% 6% % 8% 6% 6% 6% 8% 7/ 9/ 9/7 / /7 / /7 / /7 (n=7) (n=) (n=7) (n=) (n=6) (n=) (n=6) (n=) (n=9) Commingled funds Separate accounts )New Funds Launched From January to June ~New Launch, Type, Style, and Period~ Out of a total of 6 respondents, 6 (%) answered that they launched new funds during the period from January to June, which was an increase from the 9 (8%) in the July survey. The reasons for the increase are considered to be the favorable environment for launching funds, including the improved financing environment, and to an extent, an increase in the appetite of real estate equity investors. The number of newly launched funds was 9, which was an increase from the in the July survey. Of the newly launched funds, the number of Fixed Property Type was, which was an increase from the in the July survey. With regard to the investment style, the number of Core style funds was 8, which is a great increase from the 8 in the July survey. With regard to the investment period, the number of the funds with periods of between five and seven years was 6, and the number of funds with periods of seven years or more was 7. The percentage of funds with long terms of five years or more rose. It seems probable that the number of funds with stable returns over a long period actually increased in response to the needs of investors, especially investors in pension funds.

Fig. : Fund Manager s Activity of Launching New Funds in the First Half of Each Year 8 6 (responses) 7% 7 7% 6% 8% 9/7 (n=6) /7 (n=66) Launched /7 (n=67) Didn't launch Fig. : Investment Style 9/7 (n=8) 8 /7 (n=9) /7 (n=7) 9% % /7 (n=6) 8 /7 (n=8) Core Value added Opportunity Development (responses ) 9/7 (n=9) /7 (n=) Fixed Property type Discretionary investment type (responses) 9 /7 (n=7) /7 (n=8) Additional acquisition type Open ended 6 6 9/7 (n=7) Fig.: Type of Funds Fig. : Investment Period /7 (n=) /7 (n=7) 7 6 9 /7 (n=8) Within year ~ years ~ years ~7 years More than 7 years ~LTV Ratio~ The average LTV Ratio of funds launched from January to June was 6. of the total amount of investment, and 6. of the acquisition price, which rose 8.% and 7.% respectively from the July survey. One reason for the increase in the average LTV ratio is that the number of funds with an LTV ratio of around 7 increased given the favorable conditions in debt financing, as described below. 6. 6... Fig.6:LTV Ratio LTV (of the total amount of investment) 6. LTV (of the acquisition price) 6. 8.6% 7.6%.%.%.8%.% 9/7 /7 /7 /7 ~Reasons for Not Having Launched Funds~ About 6 percent of respondents answered that they did not launch any new funds during the period from January to June (Fig ). As the reasons for this, the most common answer was There are few opportunities in the market to invest in suitable properties with 7 respondents, followed by Difficulty in equity raising, Can t agree on real estate sales prices ( respondents each). Compared to the July survey, where the main reason was Difficulty in equity raising (7 respondents), indicates that the main factor preventing the launch of funds is the lack of opportunities in the market to invest in suitable properties, rather than difficulties in raising equity.

Fig.7:Reasons for Not Having Launched Funds n=6(respondents 8) There are few opportunities in the market to invest in suitable properties Difficulty in equity raising Can t agree on real estate sales prices Should put more emphasis on the operation of existing funds Uncertainty over the rental market Taking a wait and see attitude Anticipating further decline in price Difficulty in debt financing Investors are concerned about the risk of earthquakes 8 9 7 )Circumstances of Debt Finance Regarding debt financing, respondents answered by choosing from (most severe) to (least severe). The most frequent answer was with respondents, followed by with respondents. The respondents of and increased from the July survey, in which had 7 respondents and had respondents. Responding to a question on how debt finance circumstances changed between the January-June period and the July-December period, answers for Slightly improved and Improved together accounted for % of the total and no respondents chose More severe. This indicates a continuous improvement in debt financing. Regarding specific improvement, of the respondents who answered Slightly improved and Improved, of them specified Contraction of interest spread, followed by Expansion of underwriting areas and types which accounted for %, and Increase of lenders considering new lending which accounted for. The answers indicate that due to the limited number of lending opportunities, there was more competition among lenders, which resulted in lower interest rates. Fig.8 Circumstances of Debt Financing Jan Survey (Respondents 6) Jul Survey (Respondents 6) severe (quantity of responses) (quantity of responses) Jan Survey Jul Survey Improved 8% More severe % (Respondents 6) Improved % More severe (Respondents 6) Slightly Improved Unchanged % Slightly Improved 8% Unchanged 8%

) Circumstances of Equity Raising a. Appetite of Equity Investors With respect to the appetite of equity investors, 7% of respondents answered Unchanged. Compared to the January survey, Rising increased from 6% to 8%, and Declining decreased from to %. The July survey, which was 8 6 8% 6% 7% 9% 6/ (n=) 9% % 7/ (n=7) Fig.9 Appetite of Equity Investors % 6% 8/7 (n=) 8 % % 9/ (n=8) % % 9/7 (n=6) 7% 6% % % % % % % % 6% 6% 6% % 7% 8% / /7 / /7 / /7 (n=) (n=67) (n=6) (n=66) (n=8) (n=6) Rising Unchanged Declining conductedsoon after the Great East Japan Earthquake, showed that partly because of the effects of the earthquake and the problems with the nuclear power plants, the investment appetite, which had been improving in the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers collapse, began to deteriorate. However, the July survey indicates that the upward trend shown in the January survey continued. b. Increases and Decreases in Investment Volume by Investor Category Of all the investor categories, those Fig. Expectation for Volume Change By Investor surveyed said that they expected Foreign Domestic pension funds Institutional Investors ( votes) would Domestic union financial increase their investment volume, followed by Domestic major banks Domestic regional banks Foreign Pension Funds ( votes), and Domestic other institutional banks Domestic Pension Funds (8 votes). The Domestic corporations Domestic high net worth three most common answers were the same as Foreign pension funds Foreign institutional those reported in the January survey. Foreign high net worth The ratios of domestic investors and Sovereign funds Fund of funds overseas investors across all categories were % and 6%, while the ratios of domestic investors exceeded those of overseas investors. Compared to the January survey, in which the domestic-overseas ratio was 9% and %, this survey suggests that managers have been focusing more on domestic investors. However, Domestic Major Banks and Domestic Regional Banks were expected to decrease their investment volume. These received and votes, respectively. Increase n=(respondents 6) Decrease n=6(respondents ) c. Expectation of Cash Inflow from Investors by Region Managers expectations of a cash inflow from foreign investors by region improved from the January survey in each region. Regarding the Middle East, the combined total of Increase and Slightly increase rose significantly to 6% from % in the January survey, also North America increased from % to. With respect to inflows from investors in Europe, in the January survey, the combined total of Decrease and Slightly decrease accounted for %. However, in this survey, the combined total of Increase and Slightly increase accounted for 7%. Inflows from investors have clearly recovered since January, when there were concerns about a decline in the appetite of equity investors due to the European debt crisis.

Fig. Expectation of Cash Inflow from Foreign Investors By Region Jan Survey Jul Survey North America (n=) Europe (n=9) Middle East (n=) China (n=7) Australia (n=6) Asia excl. China (n=6) % 7% 8% % % 8% % 8% 6% 6% 6% % % % 7% % 9% % 6 8 Increase Slightly increase Unchanged Slightly decrease Decrease North America (n=) Europe (n=) Middle East (n=8) China (n=) Australia (n=7) Asia excl. China (n=) 6% % 9% % % 9% % % 8% 6 7% % 7% % 9% % 6% 6 8 Increase Slightly increase Unchanged Slightly decrease Decrease 9% 7% % ~Reasons for Foreign Investors investing or not Investing in the Japanese Real Estate Market~ As for the reasons for investors moving into the Japanese real estate market, the most comon responses were The size of the real estate market is large and Relatively attractive due to the yield gap, followed by Highly stable income. The share of Allocation as part of the global portfolio, which was the most common response in the January survey, decreased slightly. As for the reasons for investors not investing in Japan, the most common response was Lack of growth potential in GDP, consumption, population, etc., followed by Low growth potential in rental income. These results suggested that managers believed that some investors appreciated the large size of the real estate market and the highly stable income, while other investors did not invest because of the low growth potential as a nation and the relatively small rental increase. Fig. Reasons for foreign investors investing in Japan The size of the real estate market is large 9 7% % 8% % % Relatively attractive due to the yield gap 8 7 6 7% % 7% 8% % 6% 8% 8% % % Highly stable income Allocation as part of the global portfolio Allocating investments in Japan, a mature market, while expanding investments in Asia Undervalued real estate prices offer investment opportunities 7% % 7% % 9% % Making investments in Japan as part of investment strategies in Asia, while avoiding other cities where there are risks of a fall in prices in the future Politically and economically stable 9% 8% % 6% % 6% 8% % 7% 8% % % 9% % 6% % % % % % % % % % /7 / /7 / (n=) (n=) (n=9) (n=6) / (n=7) /7 (n=89) The effects of the European debt crisis are relatively limited Highly transparent real estate market The nuclear power plant problems have been addressed to a certain extent Income with growth potential :Since the /7 survey this has been changed from "Yield gap due to low-interest rate in the / survey :This category has been included since the July Survey. :This category has been included since the January survey. 6

Fig.: Reasons for Foreign Investors Not Investing in the Japanese Real Estate Market 9 8 7 6 % % 8% 8% % 6% / (n=97) % 7% /7 (n=8) % 6% 7% 6% 9% 7% % % % 6% 6% 7% % % 9% 7% 7% 8% 7% 9% % % % % % % % % / (n=8) % % % % /7 (n=) / (n=) 8% /7 (n=9) :This category has been included since the January survey. :This category included only in the January survey Lack of growth potential in GDP, consumption, population, etc Low growth potential in rental income Lack of attractive investment opportunities Decrease in benefits from investments due to the strong yen Risk of earthquakes Cannot embark on investment given uncertainty on the rental market outlook Low transparency in the real estate market No end of the decline in real estate prices in sight Declining investment value due to a contraction in the yield gap Stagnant economy since the Great East Japan Earthquake Inability to promptly end nuclear power plant problems Few opportunities in the market to invest in suitable properties Concerns over radioactive contamination from accidents in the nuclear power plant No sign of botomming out on the rental market :This category included only in the July survey :This category has been included since the July survey. ) Circumstances for Acquisition and Disposition of Properties With respect to the acquisition of properties, in this survey the most common response (% of respondents) was Acquired. In the January survey, the most common response () was Sought acquisition opportunities but did not agree on prices, suggesting that the circumstances for acquisition have been improving. With respect to the disposition of properties, the most common response (% of respondents) was The severe status remains unchanged, Meanwhile, Improved (%) and Improved significantly (7%) together accounted for 9%, indicating that about half of the respondents see signs of improvement. 8 6 Fig. Circumstances for Acquisition % % % % % % % 8% 8% % % 7% % 9% 9% 7% % 7% % % / /7 / /7 / /7 (n=8) (n=6) (n=6) (n=6) (n=6) (n=6) No opportunity was available Had no plan to acquire 8 6 Sought acquisition opportunities but did not agree on prices Acquired % % % % 8% % 8% % 7 Fig. Circumstances for Disposition 6% 7% % 8% 7% 7% % % 7% / /7 / /7 / /7 (n=6) (n=6) (n=) (n=6) (n=7) (n=7) :This category was not included in the January survey and the January survey. :This category in the Jan survey, the Jan survey, and the Jan survey was "Slightly improved" 9% % More severe Improved significantly Improved The severe status remains unchanged 6) Exit Strategies With respect to the exit options available over the next one year, the largest share of % chose Sale to the third party other than REITs or private funds. The second largest share ( of respondents) was Extension of investment period with refinance, the latter has been on a declining trend since the January survey. Meanwhile, Sale to third party REITs accounted for %, continuing a steady rise from 6% in the July 9 survey. 7

These results showed that, in light of the ongoing improvement in the appetite of REITs and private funds to acquire properties, as shown below, the exit strategies of funds appear to have been gradually shifting from Extending the investment period with refinancing. and Sale to general business companies, to Sale to third-party REITs and Sale to third-party private funds. Fig.6 Exit Options Available Over the Next One Year 8 6 % % 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% % % 7% % 7% % 6% % 9% % 9% % 6% % 6% % 6% % % % 7% 9% % % % % % 8% 7% % % % 6% % % 6% 6% % % % % % % % % % % 7/ 8/7 (n=8) (n=) 9/ (n=) 9/7 (n=) / (n=) /7 (n=) / (n=7) /7 (n=6) / (n=) /7 (n=6) Sale to the third party other than REITs or private funds Extension of investment period with refinance Sale to the third party REITs Sale to the third party private funds Sale to affiliate REITs Sale to the affiliate private funds. Outlook for the Market )The Bottoming out of Rents Fig. 7: The Bottoming out of Rents With respect to the bottom-out timing of office rents, the largest number of managers answered it would be hit Already hit the peak from July-December. With that in mind, in the January survey, the largest number of managers answered it would be hit from July-December. This indicated that many managers have not changed their expectation that the timing of the bottoming out of office rents would be in. Regarding the bottoming-out of rents in the residential sector, respondents expected that rents had already July to December January to June July to December January to June Since January to June Office Residential hit the peak, suggesting that a majority of managers believed that residential rents had already bottomed out. )Cap Rates Forecast by Area The majority of managers answered that the office cap rate would Remain unchanged. However, for the central wards of Tokyo, the wards of Tokyo and the Tokyo metropolitan area, the share of Decline exceeded that of Rise, indicating that a majority of managers believed that the office cap rate decline is well underway in Tokyo, Kanagawa, Saitama, and Chiba. The majority of managers answered that the residential cap rate would Remain unchanged. Meanwhile, the share of Decline exceeded the sum of Rise and Substantially rise. This shows that a certain amount of managers believed that the residential cap rate would decline not only in Tokyo but also in local regions. 8

Fig. 8:Forecast for Cap Rates by Area 8 6 Office 8% 7% 6% 77% 6% 6% 7% 8 6 Residential 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 67% 7% % Central wards of Tokyo (n=6) 8% wards of Tokyo (n=6) 6% 8% Tokyo metropolitan area (n=6) Kinki area (n=6) % Nagoya area (n=6) Decline Remain unchanged Rise Substantially rise % % Central wards of Tokyo (n=6) wards of Tokyo (n=6) Tokyo metropolitan area (n=6) Kinki area (n=6) Nagoya area (n=6) Decline Remain unchanged Rise Substantially rise )Environment and Forecast for Real Estate Transactions Responding to a question on how the transaction environment in the January to June period changed compared with the July to December period, the largest share of % chose Slightly increase, and the sum of Slightly Increase and Increase significantly accounted for, suggesting that half of the respondents have experienced an increase in real estate transactions. For transactions by J-REITs, the combined total of Slightly Increase and Increase significantly accounted for 7%, meanwhile, transactions by privately placed funds accounted for 6%. No respondents answered that the transactions by J-REITs would Slightly decrease and Decrease significantly. This showed that many managers expected that transactions by J-REITs would expand earlier and those by privately placed funds would also increase at a later date in the footsteps of the J-REITs. Fig.9: Real Estate Transactions (July-Dec to Jan-Jun ) 9% 8% 8% (Respondents 6) Slightly increase % Remain unchanged Slightly decrease Increase significantly Decrease significantly Fig.: Forecast for Transactions by privately placed funds and J-REITs 8 6 <> % % 8% % 67% 8% /7 (n=6) <J-REIT> /7 (n=6) Decrease significantly Slightly decrease Remain unchanged Slightly increase Increase significantly. Business Environment of Real Estate Investment Management )Managers Involvement with Open-ended Funds With respect to the involvement with open-ended funds, the largest share, with 6% of respondents, answered that they Seek to develop a better understanding and gather information, but not working on a detailed study. Meanwhile, Decided not to launch after consideration, but may consider again in the future (), Preparing for a launch after consideration (%) and Have already launched (%) accounted for % in total, suggesting that a certain amount of managers have an interest in the open-ended funds. As for the target investors of open-ended funds, the largest number of managers chose Domestic Pension Funds, suggesting that currently a majority of managers target domestic investors including domestic pension funds. 9

Fig. Managers involvement with Open-ended Funds Fig. Target Investors of Open-ended Funds (Respondents 6) n=(respondents ) % % 7% % 6% Seek to develop a better understanding and gather information, but not working on a detailed study Have heard of the name, but have not considered involvement Decided not to launch after consideration, but may consider again in the future Have already launched Preparing for a launch after consideration Decided not to launch after consideration and not likely to reconsider in the future Have not heard of the name and have not considered involvement Domestic pension funds Domestic major banks Domestic regional banks Domestic other institutional banks Domestic corporations Foreign pension funds Domestic other institutional banks Foreign institutional Sovereign funds Foreign high net worth Domestic high net worth Fund of funds 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 With respect to the factors necessary for the expansion of the open-ended funds market, the largest number, respondents, answered Expansion of the investor base. The main investors are domestic institutional investors, including pension funds in the present circumstances. However, a majority of managers consider that raising funds from a wide range of investors is necessary for the market expansion.. Meanwhile, a certain amount of managers chose Increase in frequency of disclosure and Standardization of items to be disclosed. These responses showed that not an insignificant number of managers consider disclosure to be an important factor as well as publicly traded J-REITs. As many as respondents answered Support of sponsors which suggests that managers believe that some investors pay attention to the sponsor support systems associated with the acquisition and sale of properties, including pipeline support agreements, and other investors feel that the creditworthiness of sponsors affects a fund financing. Fig.: Factors Necessary for the Expansion of the Open-ended Funds Market n=(respondents 7) Expansion of the investor base Increase of the number of funds and assets under management Support of sponsors Increase in frequency of disclosure Standardization of items to be disclosed Review of laws and regulations, and tax accounting 9 Further development of compliance structure ) Managers Involvement in the Overseas Real Estate Management Business With respect to the question of fund managers involvement in the overseas real estate management business, % of managers said that they had No plans now or in the future, which increased from % in the January survey. As for the reasons for not engaging in the overseas real estate management business, the most common answer was Inadequate internal systems and investment management systems (9%), followed by Will focus on investments in Japan (8%). The survey showed that many managers focus on the domestic real estate management business at present.

Fig.: Managers Involvement with the Overseas Real Estate Management Business 9% % No plans now or in the future Currently considering Have already launched Will launch (Respondents 6) Fig.: Reasons for Not Doing the Overseas Real Estate Management Business Inadequate internal system and investment management system Will focus on investments in Japan Large risks in investing in real estate overseas (Respondents ) 8% 6 9% ) Important Factors for Improvement in the ly Placed Real Estate Funds Market With respect to important factors necessary for the recovery of the privately placed real estate funds market, the most common answer was Recovery of the real estate rental market, followed by Recovery of the J-REIT market, and Increase in the volume of real estate transactions. The share of responses for Inflow of global investment money, which was the second-largest share (9%) in the January survey, decreased to. There are many managers who think that for improvement in the privately placed real estate funds market, a recovery in the domestic real estate rental market is of more importance than the inflow of global investment money. Fig.6: Important Factors for Improvement in the ly Placed Real Estate Funds Market Jan Survey Recovery of the real estate rental market Inflow of global investment money Recovery of the market Sale of distressed properties on the market Increase in the volume of real estate transactions Relaxation of regulations by the government Ending of the European debt problems to a certain extent Eliminating concerns of investors over the nuclear power plant problems Development of new products such as open ended funds Development of investment indexes Improvement in the debt financing environment 6% % % (Respondents 6) 69% 9% % % 9% 9% 6 8 Jul Survey Recovery of the real estate rental market Recovery of the market Increase in the volume of real estate transactions Sale of distressed properties on the market Inflow of global investment money Ending of the European debt problems to a certain extent Relaxation of regulations by the government Development of investment indexes Eliminating concerns of investors over the nuclear power plant problems Improvement in the debt financing environment Advance of recovery from the Great East Japan Earthquake 7% % 7% % 6% % (Respondents 6) 9% 6 8

) Managers Requirements for Future Growth and Sustainability of their Businesses The most common answer to the question regarding requirements for the future growth and sustainability of their businesses was Improving property-acquisition abilities, followed by Enhancement of AM capabilities and Enhancement of equity raising capabilities. The six most common answers were the same as those reported in the January survey. The share of managers who chose Improving property-acquisition abilities increased to 69% from 6% in the January survey. In the July survey, it has become apparent that both investors appetite and the transaction situation has improved and as a result many managers are now looking at the acquisition availability of desirable properties for launching new funds. Fig.7: Manager s Requirements for Future Growth and Sustainability of their Businesses Jan Survey Improving property acquisition abilities Enhancement of AM capabilities Enhancement of equity raising capabilities Management strategy and its accountability Enhancement of relations with investors Enhancing the ability to handle foreign investors Reinforcement of compliance structure Competence in special expertise Enhancement of research capabilities Enhancement of corporate strength Enhancement of debt financing capabilities Development of new products such as open ended funds Reinforcement of information disclosure Expansion of foreign real estate fund that targets businesses Building a bad debt investment system % 9% 6% 6% 6% % % 9% % % (Respondents 6) 6% % 7% % 6 Jul Survey Improving property acquisition abilities Enhancement of AM capabilities Enhancement of equity raising capabilities Management strategy and its accountability Enhancement of relations with investors Enhancing the ability to handle foreign investors Competence in special expertise Reinforcement of compliance structure Enhancement of research capabilities Entry into open ended funds business Reinforcement of information disclosure Enhancement of corporate strength Enhancement of debt financing capabilities Enhancement of debt financing capabilities Expansion of target property types Expansion of foreign real estate fund that targets businesses 9% % % 6% 6% 6% % % % (Respondents 6) 69% 6 8

Definitions of Terms The definitions of terms used in this report are as follows; ly placed real estate fund: The privately placed real estate fund is a structure under which investors funds are managed by professional investment managers. In this report, commingled funds that are designed for multiple investors, and separate accounts, investment programs for single investors are both categorized as privately placed funds. This does not include products governed by the Act Concerning Designated Real Estate Joint Enterprises. Fixed property type: Additional acquisition type: Discretionary investment type: Closed-ended fund: Open-ended fund: <Management Style> Core style: Opportunity style: Value-added style: Development style: <Investment Area> Tokyo Metropolitan Area: Kinki Area: Nagoya Area: LTV(Loan To Value): IRR (Gross) : A type of fund in which properties to be invested have been identified at the launch of the fund A type of fund in which certain percentage of properties to be invested have been identified at the launch of the fund, leaving additional investments after the launch usually at the discretion of manager subject to pre-determined investment guidelines A type of fund in which the properties to be invested have not been identified at the launch of the fund, and properties are acquired after the launch at the discretion of a manager subject to pre-determined investment guidelines; Also called a blind pool type This refers to privately placed real estate funds with stipulations on the management period. This refers to privately placed real estate funds without stipulations on the management period. The system enables participation, cancellation and reimbursement for a certain period. The value of the holding is calculated based on the appraisal value at the time. An investment style in which stable long-term investments are envisaged by investing in sound properties generating steady income flows. An investment style in which high-risk high-return investments are contemplated, such as investments in currently unstable properties seeking for a large capital gain by increasing value with improvement of asset and/or management, by betting on the market cycle, or by employing a large discount power for bulk transactions. Opportunity style may exploit various opportunities, such as investment in development type projects and corporate stocks. An investment style that lies between Core and Opportunity, and aiming at both income gains and capital gains. An investment style that specializes in achieving development gains. Tokyo excluding Wards, Kanagawa, Saitama, and Chiba Prefecture Osaka, Kyoto, Hyogo, Nara, Wakayama, and Shiga Prefecture Aichi, Gifu, and Mie Prefecture The Loan to Value (LTV) ratio is a ratio of debt against asset value. Asset value represents the appraisal value, actual acquisition price, or total investment cost for acquisition. The internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the discount rate that makes the present value of future cash flow of an investment equal to its current value of the investment.

Contact: Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute Co., Ltd F Kamiyacho Central Place. --, Toranomon, Minato-ku, Tokyo -, Japan https://www.smtri.jp/english/contact/form-private/private_fund.html http://www. smtri.jp/ Disclaimer:. Any materials provided by Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Research Institute (hereafter, SMTRI ), including this document, are for informational purposes only, and are not intended to invite, solicit, mediate, broker, or sale products including real estate and financial instruments, services, rights or other transactions. Please use your own judgment when making final determinations on securities selection, investment decisions or use of this document.. Although any materials provided by SMTRI, including this document, are prepared based on information which SMTRI considers reliable, SMTRI cannot be held responsible for their accuracy or completeness. In addition, as this document was prepared based on the information available at the time of preparation or research, all contents provided herein represent the judgments at the time at which the material was prepared. The contents of this document are subject to change without prior notice.. All rights related to this document are reserved by SMTRI. Copying, reproduction or revision of this document, in whole or in part, is not permitted without the prior consent of SMTRI, irrespective of the purpose or method.. SMTRI is not a real estate appraiser, nor provide clients with any appraisal reports on real estate properties. SMTRI is a real estate investment advisor authorized by the related Japanese law and regulation, and conducts advisory services for investment judgments based on the values or value analyses of investment products. In the process of implementing advisory services, SMTRI may calculate asset values of real estate properties. However, such calculations are for the necessity of implementing advisory services, and calculated values are not indicated with single values, but with multiple indications, ranges or distributions.