Swisscom - solid as a rock

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Transcription:

Swisscom - solid as a rock 22 August 2002

Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements This communication contains statements that constitute "forward-looking statements". In this communication, such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements relating to our financial condition, results of operations and business and certain of our strategic plans and objectives. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the statements. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors which are beyond Swisscom s ability to control or estimate precisely, such as future market conditions, currency fluctuations, the behaviour of other market participants, the actions of governmental regulators and other risk factors detailed in Swisscom s past and future filings and reports filed with the U.S. Security and Exchange Commission and posted on our websites. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only of the date of this communication. Swisscom disclaims any intention or obligation to update and revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Agenda Brief strategy update Jens Alder, CEO Headlines first half 2002 and outlook Jens Alder, CEO Group financial performance Ueli Dietiker, CFO Results by segment Ueli Dietiker, CFO Summary and conclusion Jens Alder, CEO

Brief strategy update Jens Alder, CEO

Swisscom s ultimate aim: Optimising capital efficiency A company committed to strong fundamentals and financial discipline Innovative multi-service focused company Disciplined investor in options with both defensive and offensive character Return surplus cash Superior performance in core domestic and mobile service provider businesses Underline domestic focus by moves into adjacent and complementary businesses Build a number of smaller options in various phases of development as a hedge Investments in international opportunities with a balanced risk/reward profile Continue further returns of surplus cash to shareholders Stabilise cash flow Grow cash flow Return surplus cash

Investment criteria Ongoing focus Assessment Sustainability Focus on cash generating ability of business model Reasonable Continued to be strictly applied Strategic fit Pure focus on direct synergies with core businesses Reasonable, but limits investment options Potentially, other value aspects should be included Management Good management in place that is an asset to the Swisscom group Reasonable Continued to be strictly applied Price DCF based valuation on current and possible cash flows Reasonable Continued to be strictly applied Size Transactions should not put our existing business at risk; should leave the risk profile of the group largely unchanged Reasonable Continued to be strictly applied

Headlines first half 2002 and outlook 2002 Jens Alder, CEO

Swisscom - solid as a rock in CHF million 3,500 3,543 3,517 3,612 1,000 1,102 1,168 1,100 559 679 602 250 308 203 311 Net revenue EBITDA EBIT CAPEX average quarter 2001 1st quarter 2002 2nd quarter 2002

Headlines first half 2002... Successfully completed 10% share buyback; Swiss Confederation now holds 62.7% stake from 65.5% previously Introduction of renumbering with automated local CPS as per 1 April 2002 Introduced substantial fixed line tariff rebalancing with unified rates nation-wide as per 1 May 2002 ADSL roll out strategy well on track - adding more customers than competition is Innovative launches in first half year 2002 ULL debate continues

... and outlook 2002 Guidance unchanged, full year EBITDA 2002 similar to 2001 However: Fixed line operations and debitel expected to be weaker than in 2001 Mobile operations, and IT operations to compensate EBIT development (before exceptional items) positive due to lower depreciation and amortisation charges Net profits substantially lower than in 2001 due to absence of one-off gains on the sale of 25% of Swisscom Mobile and the sale of real estate However: first time positive effect of share buy back on share ratios (EPS, CPS)

Group financial performance *) Ueli Dietiker, CFO *) All results in this presentation are under IAS and unaudited. 2001 results have been restated to reflect the new segment reporting structure as introduced in 2002.

Group key figures (in CHF million) 30.06.2001 30.06.2002 ý Net revenue 7,013 7,129 1.7% EBITDA 2,280 2,268 (0.5)% as % of net revenue 32.5% 31.8% EBIT before exceptional items 1 1,211 1,281 5.8% as % of net revenue 17.3% 18.0% EBIT 5,622 1,281 Net income EPS (in CHF) 2 5,358 72.85 Almost flat EBITDA, but improved EBIT due to lower depreciation and amortisation 780 11.27 1 Exceptional items in 2001: gain on sale of real estate CHF 524 million and the gain on partial sale of Swisscom Mobile CHF 3,887 million 2 Average number of outstanding shares: 73.550 million as per end HY 2001; 69.223 million as per end HY2002 n.m.

Group net income (in CHF million) EBIT including exceptional items 1 Net financial result Income before income taxes, equity in net income of affiliated companies and minority interest Income tax expense Equity in net income (loss) of affiliated companies Minority interest Net income 30.06.2001 5,622 11 5,633 (186) (7) (82) 5,358 30.06.2002 1,281 (60) 1,221 (361) 67 (147) 780 Lower net income due to absence of exceptional items 1 Exceptional items in 2001: gain on sale of real estate CHF 524 million and the gain on partial sale of Swisscom Mobile CHF 3,887 million

Group cash flow (in CHF million) 30.06.2001 EBITDA 2,280 Change in net operating assets (177) Net cash provided by operating activities 2,103 Capital expenditures (483) Proceeds from sale of real estate 1,631 Proceeds from partial sale of Swisscom Mobile, first tranche 2,032 Investments in subsidiaries and affiliated companies, net (479) Investments in securities and fixed-term deposits (1,722) Other cash flows from investing activities (29) Net cash from investing activities 950 Net cash used in financing activities (1,537) Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 1,516 Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 3,781 30.06.2002 2,268 (559) 1,709 (514) (116) 1,746 46 1,162 (5,856) (2,985) 801

Net cash/(debt) development Net cash provided by operating activities 1,709 Net cash 31.12.2001 2,899 (514) CAPEX (in CHF million) (4,264) Share buyback (728) Dividends (300) Dividends to Vodafone (153) Other (1,351) Net debt 30.06.2002 Successful share buyback lead to improved capital structure

Group capital structure (in CHF million) 31.12.2001 30.6.2002 Short term debt Long term debt Interest bearing debt Long term net finance lease obligation Less: financial assets from lease-and-leaseback transactions Less: cash, cash equivalents and securities Net debt (net funds) Shareholders equity Balance sheet total Book leverage ¹ Equity ratio ² 1 Book leverage = Net debt / Shareholders equity 2 Equity ratio = Shareholders equity / Total assets 1,757 2,413 4,170 1,330 (1,295) (7,104) (2,899) 12,069 24,349 (24.0)% 49.6% Solid balance sheet, still conservatively leveraged 2,065 1,487 3,552 1,193 (1,163) (2,231) 1,351 7,863 18,855 17.2% 41.7%

Results by segment *) Ueli Dietiker, CFO *) All results in this presentation are under IAS and unaudited. 2001 results have been restated to reflect the new segment reporting structure as introduced in 2002.

Fixnet - financial performance (in CHF million) 31.12.2001 30.06.2001 30.06.2002 ý External net revenue 4,894 2,428 2,470 1.7% Net revenue 6,561 3,232 3,241 0.3% EBITDA 1,989 1,018 967 (5.0)% as % of net revenue 30.3% 31.5% 29.8% EBIT 909 488 439 (10.0)% as % of net revenue 13.9% 15.1% 13.5% Capital expenditures 597 266 288 8.3% Number of FTE employees 8,639 8,311 8,381 0.8% Flat revenue development, lower EBITDA mainly driven by higher restructuring charges

Traffic 1 - volumes and market trends Decreased traffic volume...... due to renumbering and lower market shares Traffic volume (in million minutes) (7.7)% HY 2001 HY 2002 12'500 Other 82% Local 67% 10'000 7'500 VAS International 68% DLD 67% 5'000 F2M DLD 65% F2M 64% 2'500 Local 56% International 54% 0 HY 2001 HY 2002 1 Traffic represents the traffic generated by Fixnet and Enterprise Solutions

Fixnet - compensating effects for volume declines New unified tariff system: higher local prices,but lower DLD prices Tariffs (Cents/min) 16 12 8 4 0 Local DLD 1999 2000 2001 2002 Further ISDN channel growth Number of ISDN-channels (in thousands) 2,050 1,900 1,750 January 01 June 02 National wholesale traffic increase thanks to renumbering Traffic volume (in million minutes) 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 0,000 120,000 90,000 60,000 30,000 0,000 4,224 4,841 8,579 9,470 2nd Q 01 2nd Q 02 HY 2001 HY 2002 ADSL access revenues growing through increased penetration Total ADSL access January 01 June 02

Enterprise Solutions - financial performance (in CHF million) 31.12.2001 30.06.2001 30.06.2002 ý External net revenue 1,513 742 700 (5.7)% Net revenue 1,612 791 741 (6.3)% EBITDA 114 60 43 (28.3)% as % of net revenue 7.1% 7.6% 5.8% EBIT 81 45 28 (37.8)% as % of net revenue 5.0% 5.7% 3.8% Capital expenditures 29 13 11 (15.4)% Number of FTE employees 1,558 1,521 1,536 1.0% Price pressure in leased line business, local CPS and higher cost for restructuring have adverse impact on EBITDA development

Mobile - financial performance (in CHF million) 31.12.2001 30.06.2001 30.06.2002 ý External net revenue 3,127 1,528 1,593 4.3% Net revenue 3,983 1,952 2,023 3.6% EBITDA 1,876 937 991 5.8% as % of net revenue 47.1% 48.0% 49.0% EBIT 1,585 798 861 7.9% as % of net revenue 39.8% 40.9% 42.6% Capital expenditures 315 99 131 32.3% Number of FTE employees 2,121 1,906 2,256 18.4% Robust performance thanks to focus on quality subscribers

Mobile - a snapshot by 30 June 2002 Key facts Swiss penetration rate of 74% 3.5 million subs of which 64% postpaid Market share of 65% Average monthly churn on a low level of 1.4% 243,000 subscriber retention offers (increase of 79% yoy) Average acquisition costs per new postpaid subscriber of CHF 269 (-7.5% yoy) Average retention costs per postpaid subscriber of CHF 225 (flat yoy) Stable ARPU of CHF 85 compared to 1st quarter 02 Data share in ARPU close to 10% Subscriber development Subscribers in thousands 8.2% 2,223 2,055 Postpaid 1,265 1,143 Prepaid HY 2001 HY 2002 10.7%

Mobile - benefits from a strong subscriber base ARPU development Monthly ARPU (in CHF per month) incl. mobile terminating (in CHF per month) ARPU data development 90 Total Postpaid Prepaid 127 120 85 19.1% 7.2 8.1 6.8 25 25 HY 2001 HY 2002 HY 2001 2001 HY 2002

debitel - financial performance (in CHF million) 31.12.2001 30.06.2001 30.06.2002 ý External net revenue 3,808 1,896 1,918 1.2% Net revenue 3,808 1,896 1,918 1.2% EBITDA 187 93 85 (8.6)% as % of net revenue 4.9% 4.9% 4.4% EBIT 1 136 69 55 (20.3)% as % of net revenue 3.6% 3.6% 2.9% Capital expenditures 66 27 27 0.0% Number of FTE employees 3,544 3,246 3,552 9.4% Picking up after a weak first quarter 1 EBIT before amortisation of goodwill

Other - financial performance (in CHF million) 31.12.2001 30.06.2001 30.06.2002 ý External net revenue 742 371 409 10.2% Net revenue 1,403 698 716 2.6% EBITDA 136 52 109 109.6% as % of net revenue 9.7% 7.4% 15.2% EBIT (93) (68) (8) n.m. as % of net revenue n.m. n.m. n.m. Capital expenditures 173 46 48 4.3% Number of FTE employees 1 4,417 4,193 4,434 5.7% First time consolidation of AGI as EBITDA driver 1 first time consolidation of 493 employees of AGI as per year end 2001

Corporate - financial performance (CHF million) 31.12.2001 30.06.2001 30.06.2002 ý External net revenue 91 48 39 (18.8)% Net revenue 750 387 353 (8.8)% EBITDA 107 120 73 (39.2)% as % of net revenue 14.3% 31.0% 20.7% EBIT 5 64 43 (32.8)% as % of net revenue 0.7% 16.5% 12.2% Capital expenditures 54 31 7 (77.4)% Number of FTE employees 1,049 1,012 1,020 0.8% EBITDA decrease partially due to sale of real estate in 2001

Summary and conclusion Jens Alder, CEO

Share price performance 2002 in CHF 525 475 425 Swisscom 375 325 275 Swiss Market Index (index-linked) DJ EU Stoxx Telecom Index (index-linked) 225 28.12.2001 11.02.2002 28.03.2002 12.05.2002 26.06.2002 10.08.2002

Thank you for your attention For further information, please contact: Swisscom - Investor Relations ph. +41 31 342 2538 fax +41 31 342 6411 or visit our homepage: www.swisscom.com/ir