Understanding the prudential balance sheet Lars Dieckhoff Principal expert Solvency II
Understanding the prudential balance sheet Content Overview of the prudential balance sheet Solvency Capital Requirement Long-term guarantees measures 2
Objective of the prudential balance sheet Protection of policyholders Insurers are able to fulfil insurance contracts, also under adverse circumstances Insurers hold sufficient assets to pay expected insurance benefits and bear unexpected losses 3
Prudential balance sheet Assets (Investments: government bonds, corporate bonds, shares, real estate) Own funds Liabilities ( Technical provisions, i.e. provisions for insurance obligations) Free own funds SCR MCR SCR - Solvency Capital Requirement MCR - Minimum Capital Requirement 4
Capital requirements and own funds SCR Risk-based and prospective Underwriting risks, Market risks, Credit risks and Operational risks Calculated with standard formula specified in the law or internal model developed by the insurer and approved by the supervisor MCR Minimum level of security Calculated in simple manner Usually between 25% and 45% of the SCR Own funds Insurers need to hold own funds to cover the SCR and the MCR. Own funds should absorb losses and be of sufficient quality (permanently availabile, subordinated, sufficient duration). Based on market-consistent valuation of assets and liabilities 5
What if SCR or MCR are breached? The SCR corresponds to the amount of own funds needed to withstand the worst annual loss expected to occur over the next 200 years Breach of the SCR intensified supervision, undertaking required to take measures to meet SCR again within 6 months The MCR reflects the minimum level of protection of the policyholders and beneficiaries; breaching the MCR would amount to an unacceptable level of risk Breach of the MCR leave the market unless MCR is met again within short period of time 6
Solvency Capital Requirement SCR standard formula SCR OpRisk Basic SCR Lossabsorbing Non-life underwriting risk Life underwriting risk Health underwriting risk Market risk Counterparty default risk Premium Reserve CAT Longevity Mortality Similar Life Similar NL IR Spread Lapse Disability Expense CAT Equity RE Revision Lapse FX Concentration CAT 9. December 2015 7
Solvency Capital Requirement Undertaking-specific parameters Some parameters of the SCR for insurance risk can be replaced by undertaking-specific parameters. Standardised method Set out in the law Data + Specific to the = undertaking. Approved by the supervisor Undertakingspecific parameter Undertaking-specific parameters can be introduced on initiative of insurer or supervisor in the latter case the impact is disclosed. 9. December 2015 8
Solvency Capital Requirement Internal models Internal model requirements Use test Statistical quality standards Calibration standards Validation standards Documentation standards Internal model can be introduced on initiative of insurer or supervisor Main differences between internal models and standard formula will be disclosed 9. December 2015 9
Solvency Capital Requirement Capital add-ons Supervisors may impose add-ons to the SCRs of insurers. Reasons: o Risk profile deviates significantly from the assumptions underlying the SCR calculation o Risk profile deviates significantly from the assumptions underlying the long-term guarantees measures o System of governance deviates significantly from legal standards Disclosure of impact and justification of capital add-ons Annual report of EIOPA on capital add-ons 9. December 2015 10
Long-term guarantees measures Stable extrapolation Volatility adjustment Matching adjustment Short-term volatility of financial markets is only reflected in the balance sheet to the extent meaningful. Transitional measures Smooth transition to Solvency II Extension of the recovery period Flexible supervisory action in exceptional adverse situations 11
Long-term guarantees measures Discounting technical provisions Significant impact on amount of technical provisions Example: Value of payment of 100 euros in 30 years: 41 euros with discount rate of 3% 55 euros with discount rate of 2% Discounting with risk-free interest rates: current swap rates or government bond rates adjusted for credit risk Risk-free interest rates and information on adjustments are set out in the law and updated regularly. EIOPA publishes risk-free interest rates on a monthly basis for information. 9. December 2015 12
Long-term guarantees measures Stable extrapolation Observed rates Extrapolated interest rates Forward rate converges to UFR of 4.2% Forward rates 4.2% 13
Long-term guarantees measures Volatility adjustment (VA) VA = 65% of the risk-corrected spread of a representative portfolio of assets Yield of representative assets 65% of risk-corrected spread = VA Risk correction (credit risk and other risks) Risk-free interest rate 14
Long-term guarantees measures Volatility adjustment (VA) VA = 65% of the risk-corrected spread of a representative portfolio of assets Impact of spread widening on the balance sheet with VA Assets Liabilities Liquidity planning required. In some Member States supervisory approval of VA required. Insurers will disclose also financial position without VA. 15
Long-term guarantees measures Volatility adjustment (VA) Some examples for end-february 2016 Country Euro area members (except Greece) Volatility adjustment (in bps) 33 Greece 98 Hungary 24 Poland 9 Sweden 7 UK 47 16
Long-term guarantees measures Volatility adjustment (VA) Risk-free interest rates with VA VA Risk-free interest rates without VA 17
Long-term guarantees measures Matching adjustment (MA) MA = risk-corrected spread of the insurer s assets Requirements: Supervisory approval Cash-flow matching between assets and liabilities Predictable cash-flows Separation of assets and liabilities subject to the MA. Insurers will disclose description of the matching adjustment, description of assets and liabilities and also the financial position without MA. 18
Long-term guarantees measures Transitional measures Two transitional measures insurers can apply Solvency I valuation approach to: Discount rates Amount of technical provisions Transitionals apply only to contracts concluded before 2016. Phase-in of Solvency II valuation approach over 16 years Phase-in plan if SCR not met without transitionals: realistic plan how to meet SCR at end of transitional period Transitional will be withdrawn if phase-in plan becomes unrealistic. Insurers will disclose also financial position without transitional. 19
Long-term guarantees measures Extension of the recovery period Breach of the SCR: usually insurers are required to recover within 6 months. EIOPA declares exceptional adverse situation where significant share of insurers are affected by: unforeseen, sharp and steep fall in financial markets, persistent low interest rate environment, or high-impact catastrophic event. Consequence: National supervisors can extend recovery period for affected insurers by up to 7 years. Progress report to supervisor every 3 months without significant progress withdrawal of extension. 20