NEWTON MULTI-ASSET INCOME FUND

Similar documents
We are living longer. Life expectancy (at birth) Europe Oceania Americas Global Average Asia. Africa

NEWTON MULTI-ASSET INCOME FUND

Update on charity funds

Asset allocation achieving the right mix

Global Equities. Q&A roadshow #QAroadshow2016. Gavin Marriott Product Manager

NEWTON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME STRATEGY. February 2019

The objective of an occupational DB pension scheme is simple pay members their

UNCOVERING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN A WORLD OF DISRUPTION

Navigating the storm Investing in ideas to aid diversification

Short exposure to US equities

Presentation The role of fixed income today. Quentin Fitzsimmons. Senior Portfolio Manager, Fixed Income T. Rowe Price

Global Tactical Asset Allocation

The Realities of Diversification

Global House View: Market Outlook

NEWTON GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS STRATEGY

The increasing importance of multi asset solutions genuine diversification to reduce total risk

Investment Update. Adventurous Portfolio February 2018 RUSSELL INVESTMENTS

Investment Update. Multi Asset Growth I February 2019 RUSSELL INVESTMENTS

Global Investment Outlook

Aberdeen Asset Management

Rethink your income strategy

Short exposure to US equities, used as a risk hedge. Exposure to commodities

Man AHL Diversified Futures

Man AHL Diversified (Guernsey)

High yield and emerging market bonds continue rally

For professional advisers only. Schroders. for Bonds. Strength. in bonds. Best Large Fixed-Interest House

Reasons why: European high yield

Week in Markets. FTSE Equity Indices Week MTD Jul 12 Jun 12 QTD YTD. MSCI Equity Indices Week MTD Jul 12 Jun 12 QTD YTD

Pioneer Alternative Investments Funds of Hedge Funds. Mark Barker. Co-CIO Pioneer Alternative Investments FOHFs May 2008

Week in Markets. FTSE Equity Indices Week MTD Mar 17 Feb 17 QTD YTD. MSCI Equity Indices Week MTD Mar 17 Feb 17 QTD YTD

Performance Report - Quarterly Update 30 September 2012 London Borough of Barnet Superannuation Fund

Senior Loans: Potential to provide stable returns in uncertain markets Graham Rainbow

SHORT DURATION BONDS

Multi-asset capability Connecting a global network of expertise

MONTHLY INCOME BOND FUND FOR PROFESSIONAL NOT SUITABLE FOR RETAIL INVESTORS.

Blackstone Alternative Alpha Fund (BAAF)

Outlook for 2014 Title 1. David Greene, Pioneer Investments

What happened last month?

Quarterly Economic and Market Update

Please scroll to find the 2018 and 2019 global fund holiday calendars.

2018 Investment and Economic Outlook

HSBC Global Strategy Portfolios

Capital Market Review

Does greater risk equal greater reward?

Emerging Market Debt attractive yield with solid fundamentals

Schwab Indexed Retirement Trust Fund 2040

Corporate bonds resurgent in March

EUROPEAN LEVERAGED LOAN MARKET IMPACT OF THE CREDIT CRISIS

Beginning Date: January 2016 End Date: June Managers in Zephyr: Benchmark: Morningstar Short-Term Bond

Is there still a case for European Small Caps?

2015 Market Review & Outlook. January 29, 2015

KB Elite Multi Asset Balanced Fund

Blackstone Alternative Alpha Fund (BAAF)

ETF portfolio review, 30th September ETF portfolios with ESG overlay. market overview. portfolio performance

Income Solutions Beyond Investment Grade Bonds

Beginning Date: January 2016 End Date: September Managers in Zephyr: Benchmark: Morningstar Short-Term Bond

INVESTMENT MARKET UPDATE UBC FACULTY PENSION PLAN

M&G Investments. Michael McLintock and Grant Speirs

CF ABSOLUTE RETURN CAUTIOUS MULTI ASSET FUND ALL TERRAIN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT

Citi Dynamic Asset Selector 5 Excess Return Index

ALPHA GENERATION IDENTIFYING TALENT

An introduction to Invesco s Equity Long/Short Strategies

Investment Update. Secure Portfolio October 2018 RUSSELL INVESTMENTS

Euroland Bond How to generate excess returns in a challenging interest rate environment

Theta Capital Management. Distressed Investing - Deep value opportunities through the cycle

Capturing equity gains whilst protecting portfolios

W.E. Donoghue Power Dividend Total Return Index TM (PWRDXTR)

BNY MELLON LONG-TERM GLOBAL EQUITY FUND

Market & Product Opportunity S E P T E M B E R 3 0,

Deutsche Global Infrastructure Fund (TOLLX)

Commodity Overview Bloomberg Commodity Index - 15 Year Performance to Mar 31, 2018

Global Macro & Managed Futures Strategies: Flexibility & Profitability in times of turmoil.

The Year of the Snake: Investing in a Rising Rate Environment

Performance Report October 2018

Investment-grade and high-yield credit interest rates, spreads, defaults and liquidity keep

Investment Update. Multi Asset Growth III September 2018 RUSSELL INVESTMENTS

4Q17 Global & International Equity GLOBAL EQUITY. 10+ Years of Providing High Income Through Global Dividends

Smaller Companies. June Andrew Paisley

Investment Update. Balanced Portfolio July 2018 RUSSELL INVESTMENTS

Manager Comparison Report June 28, Report Created on: July 25, 2013

European Equity Update

Boussard & Gavaudan Convertible A compartment of Boussard & Gavaudan SICAV

Economic and Market Outlook

Boussard & Gavaudan Convertible A compartment of Boussard & Gavaudan SICAV

MANAGING INTEREST RATE RISK WITH AN ABSOLUTE RETURN APPROACH

Preference. Fund Performance Booklet. Performance Data. Risk Rating

Outlook and Strategy Income Funds

HSBC Global Strategy Portfolios

European Equity Update

UBC FACULTY PENSION PLAN PENSION FORUM M R. J O O S T B L O M, C H A I R, B O A R D O F T R U S T E E S M S. O R L A C O U S I N E A U, E X E C U T I

Asset Strategy for Matching Adjustment Business Challenges and Choices

MANAGED PORTFOLIO SERVICE

John Deehan - Investment Sales Manager

Global Convertible Bonds Investment Rationale

Quarterly Investment Briefing February 5, 2014

Blackstone Alternative Alpha Fund (BAAF)

Moving On Up Today s Economic Environment

Market and Economic Charts. Retail Fund Management Team Investec Asset Management

Equity Markets in a Late-Cycle Environment: Balancing Opportunity and Risk

Schroder ISF Global Multi-Asset Income

Transcription:

NEWTON MULTI-ASSET INCOME FUND Jon Bell / Paul Flood January 2018 FOR PROFESSIONAL INVESTORS ONLY Please read the important information at the back of this material PRE00311

Investment process Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund LEARNING POINTS CHALLENGES FACING CLIENTS REQUIRING INCOME Market characteristics that have reduced traditional sources of yield Fundamental, active & flexible WHY A SUSTAINABLE INCOME IS IMPORTANT High yield can often imply high-risk RISK APPETITE Example assets Safe havens (protective qualities) Core (attractive risk/return attributes) Opportunities (higher growth profile) USE OF ALTERNATIVES AS A SOURCE OF INCOME Areas of opportunity that offer sustainable income and low sensitivity to the economic cycle Income focused flexibility is key 1

Newton s investment philosophy Global thematic investing since 1978 We believe in GLOBAL THEMES ANALYSIS CONVICTION Thinking globally, evaluating each idea in a global context Using themes to understand the forces driving global change Conducting rigorous fundamental analysis incorporating ESG 1 considerations Constructing investment portfolios incorporating our highest conviction ideas Note: 1 Environmental, Social and Governance. Our primary objective is delivering results for our clients 2

Income diversification has moved on Infrastructure REITs UK Equities 60% UK Equities TRADITIONAL DISTRIBUTION FUND 40% UK Government Bonds Alternatives NEWTON MULTI-ASSET INCOME FUND Overseas Equities UK Government Bonds EMD Corporate Bonds Overseas Government Bonds You have to make the rules, not follow them Sir Isaac Newton 3

Financial repression $8.8trn of global fixed income with negative yields Bond ownership by central banks 44.3% 37.9% 35.8% $2.47 trn $338 bn 32.5% 31.2% 29.8% 27.8% 27.0% 23.4% $2.37 trn $3.92 trn Japan Germany Finland Ireland Austria Denmark France Nth'lands Belgium Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Fixed Income Markets Index and Bloomberg, 30 June 2017. All figures in USD Source: Bank of England, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 31 July 2017 Need to think differently, invest differently 4

Inflation missing in action? Or hiding in plain sight? Total return performance in local currency since January 2009 229.2 221.6 FINANCIAL ASSET PRICES REAL ECONOMY PRICES 183.3 160.7 158.0 122.1 124.3 80.3 61.6 50.5 40.8 32.4 22.2 32.3 19.5 18.3 15.3 15.6 15.3 11.3 4.4-28.6 Source: Bloomberg, June 2017. Wide dispersion between real economy & financial asset price inflation 5

Policy impacting corporate bond markets Yield to worst at all time lows 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 0.6% 2.0 0.0 Oct-07 Jun-09 Feb-11 Oct-12 Jun-14 Feb-16 Oct-17 BoA ML Euro Corporates Index BoA ML US Corporate Index HY yielding 2.7% for most levered part of corporates market 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 2.4% 5.0 0.0 Oct-07 Jun-09 Feb-11 Oct-12 Jun-14 Feb-16 Oct-17 BoA ML European Currency High Yield Constrained Index BoA ML US High Yield Index For illustrative purposes only. Source: Bloomberg, 31 October 2017. Opportunity cost of cash is at all time lows 6

Inflation around the world US CPI 5.5 4.5 Bond 10 year yield US Treasury 2.5% UK Gilt 1.2% German Bund 0.4% 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5-0.5 Mar-11 May-12 Jun-13 Jul-14 Sep-15 Oct-16 Nov-17 US CPI UK CPI German CPI For illustrative purposes only. Source: Bloomberg, 4 January 2017. No protection against the ravages of inflation 7

US consumer business sentiment strong Small business optimism 110 105 100 95 90 85 Nov-10 Jan-12 Mar-13 Apr-14 Jun-15 Jul-16 Sep-17 Small Business Optimism Index Nominal wage growth of US individuals 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 Nov-10 Jan-12 Mar-13 Apr-14 Jun-15 Jul-16 Sep-17 Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker Source: Bloomberg, 30 September 2017. Dislocation between economy and markets? 8

What you pay influences future returns Aggregate valuations stretched Observations over 100 years S&P valuation level (cycle-adjusted) vs. 10-year average annual returns 16. Financial and economic risks are high. Probability of sharp drawdowns is elevated 12 8 4 0-4 Sept 2017 31x -8 Valuation increases 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Cycle-adjusted P/E multiple, x Source: Prof Robert Shiller, Yale University, http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/ie_data.xls, Newton, 30 September 2017. Chart depicts 100 years of monthly data points. Potential return for taking risk is low 9

Central bank liquidity has been the key support for financial markets An attempt to reduce the size of central bank balance sheets Central Bank Net Asset Purchases 1 Today 300 250 200 150 300 250 200 150 COMMODITY BUST 1.0 EUROZONE DEBT CRISIS EM & COMMODITY BUST FORECASTS??? 100 100 50 50 0 0-50 -50-100 -100-150 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-150 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sweden US UK Japan Euro Area China 6 Economy Aggregate Note: 1 (3MMA, $Bn), 2009-2019F Source: Bloomberg, Newton, September 2017. Liquidity to be withdrawn 10

Alternatives demonstrate strong thematic attributes Stable and growing income RENEWABLES AVIATION PROPERTY INFRASTRUCTURE Diversifying portfolio income, returns and risk 11

Stock selection bringing the process to life Greencoat UK Wind FUNDAMENTALS Beneficiary of attractive secular trends Strong position in growing renewables market Strong management team with proven track record Dual income Electricity exported to grid ROCS (Renewable Obligation Certificate) VALUATION 6% dividend yield (1.8x covered) Retail Price Index (RPI or inflation) linked growth Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 7 9% The securities mentioned are only for illustrating the investment process of Newton Investment Management. These opinions should not be construed as investment or any other advice and are subject to change. This slide is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to invest. P/E = Price/Earnings. For illustrative purposes only. Source: Newton, May 2017. Focused on the best risk/return opportunities 12

Considering risk and return at the portfolio level duration risk Infrastructure performance over 10 years 200 150 Infrastructure 10 year correlation With FTSE UK Gilts Over 10yrs 0.11 With FTSE 100 0.41 100 50 0-50 Jul-07 Mar-09 Nov-10 Jul-12 Feb-14 Oct-15 Jun-17 Newton Multi-Asset Diversified Return Fund - Infrastructure holdings FTSE 100 FTSE UK Gilts Over 10yrs For illustrative purposes only. Source: Newton, 31 July 2017. 13

Considering risk and return at the portfolio level duration risk Renewables performance since 28 February 2013 60 50 Renewables correlation With FTSE UK Gilts Over 10yrs -0.07 With FTSE 100 0.24 40 30 20 10 0-10 Feb-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Newton Multi-Asset Diversified Return Fund - Renewables holdings FTSE 100 FTSE UK Gilts Over 10yrs For illustrative purposes only. Source: Newton, 31 July 2017. 14

Semiconductors Driving Innovation Globally Big Data / Cloud Semiconductors More and more things 70 GB/day 3 Smart car Artificial Intelligence 1 PB/day 2 Smart Factory Offshore Wind Farm ~$400 billion 1 market and expanding 50 PB/day 2 Public Safety 1 Source: Gartner September 2017 2 Source: Cisco global Cloud Index White paper 2016. 3 Source: Intel Data is the New Oil 8 July 2017. Source (images): Shutterstock, 2017. 40 TB/day 2 Connected Plane 15

Investment process Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund LEARNING POINTS CHALLENGES FACING CLIENTS REQUIRING INCOME Market characteristics that have reduced traditional sources of yield Fundamental, active & flexible WHY A SUSTAINABLE INCOME IS IMPORTANT High yield can often imply high-risk RISK APPETITE Example assets Safe havens (protective qualities) Core (attractive risk/return attributes) Opportunities (higher growth profile) USE OF ALTERNATIVES AS A SOURCE OF INCOME Areas of opportunity that offer sustainable income and low sensitivity to the economic cycle Income focused flexibility is key 16

Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund Aiming to deliver sustainable and growing income. Strong heritage of managing multi-asset portfolios Aiming to deliver sustainable and growing income Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund Income 130% of 60% equities / 40% bonds reference. A long-term focused process. An experienced team committed to a rewarding relationship Seeking to deliver attractive income and total returns through: Stable and growing income Fundamental, active & flexible Harnessing the power of compounding The 60% MSCI AC World, 40% hedged BoAML Global Broad Market index is used as an income reference for this fund. The fund does not aim to replicate either the composition or the performance of the index. Note: 1 Based on performance from inception to 30 September 2017. Sustainable income and attractive total returns 1 17

Performance since inception to 31 December 2017 Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund Stable and growing income 40 35 30 Current annual yield Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund 4.0% Reference yield target 2.7% 25 20 15 10 5 0-5 -10 Income received¹ Total return² 1 Source: Newton, GBP Inc share class, 31 December 2017. Total income received from holdings smoothed daily for illustrative purposes. 2 Source: Lipper, midday prices, total return, income reinvested, net of 0.63% annual management charge, Inst W Acc share class, in GBP, 31 December 2017. Aiming to deliver robust and stable returns 18

Current positioning by industry, as at 31 December 2017 Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund Fundamental, active & flexible Currency hedging 0.2% Basic Materials 0.0% Cash 3.1% Derivatives 0.0% Oil & Gas 1.9% Direct Lending 1.7% CLO Equity 1.9% Industrials 7.2% Property 6.8% Consumer Goods 9.2% Infrastructure 6.5% Weight; 3.3% Health Care 2.6% Weight; 28.4% Renewables 11.5% Yield; 5.5% Weight; 52.7% Consumer Services 9.4% Weight; 15.6% Yield; 5.0% Yield; 3.1% Telecommunication 2.9% Emerging Market Bonds 2.6% Utilities 0.6% Sub Investment Grade Bonds 5.4% Government Bonds 3.0% Corporate Bonds 2.5% Convertible Bonds 2.0% Index Linked 0.2% Technology 6.4% Banks 5.0% Financials 7.5% Source: Newton, 31 December 2017. Active, flexible and directly invested 19

Total return performance since launch 1 vs sector peers Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund Fundamental, active & flexible 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0-5 -10-15 Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund IA Mixed Investment 20%-60% Shares IA Mixed Investment 40%-85% Shares IA Flexible Investment Note: 1 Inception date: 5 February 2015. Source: Lipper, midday prices, total return, income reinvested, net of 0.63% annual management charge, Inst W Acc share class, in GBP, 31 December 2017. Strong relative performance 20

Key risks Newton Multi-Asset Income Fund Investment performance Dec-16 to Dec-17 % Dec-15 to Dec-16 % 12 month returns Dec-14 to Dec-15 % Dec-13 to Dec-14 % Dec-12 to Dec-13 % Fund 12.96 18.64 N/A N/A N/A Index N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A YTD 2017 % 2016 % Calendar year returns 2015 % 2014 % Fund 12.96 18.64 N/A N/A N/A Index N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Performance is stated gross of management fees. The impact of management fees can be material. A fee schedule providing further detail is available on request.. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Your capital may be at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested. You should read the Prospectus and the Key Investor Information Document (KIID) for each fund in which you want to invest. The Prospectus and KIID can be found at www.bnymellonim.com. Tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each client and may be subject to change in the future. Newton is not a tax expert and independent tax and/or legal advice should be sought. 2013 % Key investment risks. There is no guarantee that the Fund will achieve its objective.. This Fund invests in international markets which means it is exposed to changes in currency rates which could affect the value of the Fund.. The Fund will use derivatives to generate returns as well as to reduce costs and/or the overall risk of the Fund. Using derivatives can involve a higher level of risk. A small movement in the price of an underlying investment may result in a disproportionately large movement in the price of the derivative investment.. Investments in bonds are affected by interest rates and inflation trends which may affect the value of the Fund.. The Fund holds bonds with a low credit rating that have a greater risk of default. These investments may affect the value of the Fund.. The Fund may invest in emerging markets. These markets have additional risks due to less developed market practices.. The Fund may invest in investments that are not traded regularly and are therefore subject to greater fluctuations in price.. The Fund may invest in small companies which may be riskier and less liquid (i.e. harder to sell) than large companies. This means that their share prices may have greater fluctuations.. The Fund takes its charges from the capital of the Fund. Investors should be aware that there is potential for capital erosion if insufficient capital growth is achieved by the Fund to cover the charges. Capital erosion may have the effect of reducing the level of income generated.. The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation or one of its affiliates ( BNYM ) has invested in the Fund. As a result of restrictions under the Volcker Rule, which has been adopted by US Regulators, BNYM must reduce its shareholding percentage so that it constitutes less than 15% of the Fund within, generally, three years of the Fund's establishment (which starts when the Fund's manager begins making investments for the Fund). Risks may include: BNYM may initially own a proportionately larger percentage of the Fund, and any mandatory reductions may increase Fund portfolio turnover rates, resulting in increased costs, expenses and taxes. Details of BNYM's investment in the Fund are available upon request.. A complete description of risk factors is set out in the Prospectus in the section entitled Risk Factors. Source: Newton, close of business prices, total return, income reinvested, gross of fees, in GBP, 31 December 2017. Key investment risks 21

Important information For professional investors only This is a financial promotion. Issued in the UK by Newton Investment Management Limited. Portfolio holdings are subject to change at any time without notice and should not be construed as investment recommendations. Any reference to a specific security, country or sector should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell this security, country or sector. Where an index is used as a comparative index, this strategy does not aim to replicate either the composition or the performance of the comparative index. Where the portfolio has exposure to hedge funds, gold, private equity and property via publicly quoted transferable securities, there are additional risks associated with these sectors. The portfolio may hold derivatives. An investment in derivatives may be volatile, but the volatility of the strategy is not expected to be any greater than that of the underlying stock and fixed income markets. Where the fund is invested in sub-investment grade bonds, which typically have a low credit rating and carry a high degree of default risk, please be aware that this may affect the capital value of your investment. The value of overseas securities will be influenced by fluctuations in exchange rates. A concentrated portfolio does not have the diversity of investment that is generally expected. This means that each stock within the portfolio may have a more significant effect on its performance. Assets under management include assets managed by Newton Investment Management Ltd and Newton Investment Management (North America) Limited. In addition, AUM for Newton may include assets managed by Newton s officers as employees of The Bank of New York Mellon and assets of wrap fee account(s) for which Newton Investment Management (North America) Limited provides subadvisory services to the primary manager of the wrap program. Newton Investment Management (North America) Limited and Newton Investment Management Limited are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK, and Newton Investment Management (North America) Limited is registered as an investment adviser with the SEC. The enclosed material is confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed without the prior written consent of Newton Investment Management Limited. Nothing herein constitutes an offer to sell, or solicitation of an offer to purchase, any securities. Newton refers to the following group of affiliated companies: Newton Investment Management Limited, Newton Investment Management (North America) Limited and Newton Investment Management (North America) LLC. NIMNA LLC personnel are supervised persons of NIMNA Ltd and NIMNA LLC does not provide investment advice, all of which is conducted by NIMNA Ltd. Except for Newton Investment Management (North America) LLC and Newton Investment Management (North America) Limited, none of the other Newton companies offer services in the US. The opinions expressed in this document are those of Newton and should not be construed as investment advice. Newton claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS ). To receive a list of composite descriptions of Newton and/or a compliant presentation, contact the RFP Team at Newton-RFP-team@bnymellon.com or write to Newton Investment Management Limited, BNY Mellon Centre, 160 Queen Victoria Street, London EC4V 4LA, Tel: 020 7163 9000. Newton Investment Management Limited BNY Mellon Centre 160 Queen Victoria Street London EC4V 4LA Tel: 020 7163 9000 Registered in England No. 01371973 www.newtonim.com BNY Mellon Fund Managers Limited BNY Mellon Centre 160 Queen Victoria Street London EC4V 4LA Tel: 020 7163 9000 Registered in England No. 01998251 Registered office: as above. Both firms are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, are members of the IA and are Bank of New York Mellon Companies SM 22