Status of Offshore Oil and Gas and Considerations Relating to Article 82: An Industry Perspective

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Financial institutions Energy Infrastructure, mining and commodities Transport Technology and innovation Life sciences and healthcare........ Status of Offshore Oil and Gas and Considerations Relating to Article 82: An Industry Perspective W. Wylie Spicer Q. C. of Counsel April 16, 2014 Norton Rose Fulbright Canada LLP

Outline 1. UNCLOS Article 82 2. Current offshore drilling activity. 3. Applications to the CLCS. 4. The path to development - what industry needs to know. 5. Practical considerations regarding the "payments" due under Article 82. 6. Interpretation Guidelines: production; value; and site. 7. Conclusions 2

1. UNCLOS Article 82: Payments and contributions with respect to the exploitation of the continental shelf beyond 200 nautical miles 1. The coastal State shall make payments or contributions in kind in respect of the exploitation of the non-living resources of the continental shelf beyond 200 nautical miles from the baselines from which the breadth of the territorial sea is measured. 2. The payments and contributions shall be made annually with respect to all production at a site after the first five years of production at that site. For the sixth year, the rate of payment or contribution shall be 1 per cent of the value or volume of production at the site. The rate shall increase by 1 per cent for each subsequent year until the twelfth year and shall remain at 7 per cent thereafter. Production does not include resources used in connection with exploitation. 3. A developing State which is a net importer of a mineral resource produced from its continental shelf is exempt from making such payments or contributions in respect of that mineral resource. 4. The payments or contributions shall be made through the Authority, which shall distribute them to States Parties to this Convention, on the basis of equitable sharing criteria, taking into account the interests and needs of developing States, particularly the least developed and the land-locked among them. 3

1. UNCLOS Article 82: Payments and contributions with respect to the exploitation of the continental shelf beyond 200 nautical miles 1. The coastal State shall make payments or contributions in kind in respect of the exploitation of the non-living resources of the continental shelf beyond 200 nautical miles from the baselines from which the breadth of the territorial sea is measured. 2. The payments and contributions shall be made annually with respect to all production at a site after the first five years of production at that site. For the sixth year, the rate of payment or contribution shall be 1 per cent of the value or volume of production at the site. The rate shall increase by 1 per cent for each subsequent year until the twelfth year and shall remain at 7 per cent thereafter. Production does not include resources used in connection with exploitation. 3. A developing State which is a net importer of a mineral resource produced from its continental shelf is exempt from making such payments or contributions in respect of that mineral resource. 4. The payments or contributions shall be made through the Authority, which shall distribute them to States Parties to this Convention, on the basis of equitable sharing criteria, taking into account the interests and needs of developing States, particularly the least developed and the land-locked among them. 4

2. Current offshore drilling activity. Much has changed since UNCLOS was finalized. Move to drill for oil and gas in deeper water: Gulf of Mexico West Coast Africa Brazil East Coast Canada Russia Norway 5

2. Current offshore drilling activity. 6 Source: Mustang Engineering

2. Current offshore drilling activity. Deep Water Discoveries by year (Gulf of Mexico, USA) 7

2. Current offshore drilling activity West Africa Exploration Blocks 8 Source: West Africa Offshore Magazine

2. Current offshore drilling activity Offshore Exploration Blocks - Brazil 9 Source: www.chevron.com

2. Current offshore drilling activity East Coast Canada 10 Source: CNOPB

2. Current offshore drilling activity East Coast Canada, Flemish Pass and Carson Basin 11 Source: CNOPB

2. Current offshore drilling activity Norwegian Sea 12 Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate

2. Current offshore drilling activity Russia, Shtokman Field (Barents Sea) 13 Source: PetroNord

3. Applications to the CLCS. Over 76 extended continental shelf applications received to date, many from existing offshore mineral producers. 14 Source: http://www.un.org/depts/los/clcs_new/clcs_home.htm

3. Applications to the CLCS. Although there is no necessary connection between Article 82 and 76 it is noteworthy that the number of states making applications under 76 is significantly greater than was originally contemplated. A considerable number of such applications seem to be driven by the potential for resource extraction. Canada, Norway and the USA are already notifying lessees of obligations under UNCLOS. 15

4. The path to development - what industry needs to know. Major resources producers are constantly evaluating exploration opportunities around the world. Only the investments with the most attractive rates of return proceed beyond exploration. Deep offshore resource recovery is capital intensive and high risk. 16

4. The path to development - what industry needs to know. What goes into making a final investment decision (FID)? FID is the calculation of the net present value of expected future cash flows as well as anticipated rates of return Factors to consider include: 1. Calculation of estimated costs including: exploration costs; production costs; maintenance costs; cost of capital and contingency costs 2. Anticipated cash flows based upon: forecasted prices; rates of return; commodity hedging; long term purchase agreements; spot prices etc. 3. Estimated quantity of resource recoverable (life of the reservoir): existing vs. future technologies 17

4. The path to development - what industry needs to know. What does this mean to the International Seabed Authority? Already significant uncertainty. Limited number of players with the experience and resources necessary to execute a project beyond 200 nm. Regulatory uncertainty affects several aspects of the FID decision, and could dissuade developers from proceeding. 18

5. Practical considerations regarding the "payments" due under Article 82. Some jurisdictions have multiple levels of government involved in resource recovery. Separation of the federal obligation to make payments to the ISA (as a coastal state) and the provincial entitlements to financial cash flows. Some jurisdictions collect a "tax" instead of a "royalty". 19

6. Interpretation Guidelines: production, value, and site. 20 What do these words mean? To what extent are deductions eligible? Where is "value" defined? Fair market value? Well-head value? Payments are due annually, but when is value determined? Annually? Monthly? What is "production" gross production? net production? What does "site" mean? What if there are multiple producing wells on one lease?

6. Interpretation Guidelines: "production", "value", and "site". Does production include: Test production? Resources re-injected into the reservoir to enhance production? Wastage? Spillage? Flared substances? How much resource can a producer consume? How are exclusions to payment obligations determined (ie. developing states)? Are exemptions permanent? Who is required to make payments? 21

7. Conclusions 1. Although there is no certainty that any particular state would utilize a ISA glossary of terms in determining what the words of 82 are meant to mean, it can only be helpful for the O&G industry to advise what the common understanding is of these terms. For one thing, if states were to utilize these understandings it has the possibility of making the FID process a bit more straightforward. It is likely that the 82 payment will in some way come from the royalty/tax structure of the payor state. It just makes sense for the industry to have its voice, as I understood it did, when the time lines and %s of Article 82 were created. Now that the time is approaching when 82 will come to life it seems sensible to ask the industry what are the rules they use to determine cost and return. 2. In recognition that the real issues of 82 implementation are very much current, I would urge the ISA to quickly go ahead with the Beijing recommendation concerning the operative words of 82 and that it devise a methodology to ensure that the industry experience in utilizing these concepts for generations plays an important part. 22

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