RESULTS PRESENTATION 1H August 1 st, 2013

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Transcription:

RESULTS PRESENTATION 1H 2013 August 1 st, 2013 1

Highlights EBITDA stood at 259.9M, slightly below (-0.7%). This is mainly due to the decrease in electricity s RAB remuneration (- 11.9M, -12.1%), as a consequence of a decrease in electricity s base rate of return (down from 9.76% to 8.03% y.o.y.); Opex decreased by 2.3M (-4.2%) against, and Core Opex was 1.4M higher (+3.3%) essentially due to the change in actuarial assumptions related to the pensions liabilities and the reinstatement of the CLA in May 2012; Net financial income improved 2.1% y.o.y. to - 65.7M, mainly due to the positive contribution of dividends registered (5,3M vs 2,0M in ); Net Income stood at 64.1M, a 9.3% y.o.y. decrease (- 6.5M). Recurrent Net Income decreased by 7.2% (- 4.7M), from 65.0M to 60.3M. These figures show that the decrease in Net Income is smoothing out along the year, in line with expectations; Total Capex amounted to 58.9M, a decrease of 16.0M (-21.4%) versus. 2

Main financial indicators M Δ% Δ Abs. EBITDA 261.7 259.9-0.7% -1.8 Net Financial Income -67.2-65.7 2.1% 1.4 Net Income 70.6 64.1-9.3% -6.5 Recurrent Net Income 65.0 60.3-7.2% -4.7 Average RAB 3,320.2 3,416.4 2.9% 96.1 CAPEX 74.9 58.9-21.4% -16.0 Net Debt 2,452.2 2,499.4 1.9% 47.2 3

Transfers to RAB decreased by 113.6M impacted by the LNG terminal project conclusion CAPEX TRANSFERS TO RAB -16.0 M (-21.4%) -113.6 M (-92.9%) 74.9 0.1 122.3 22.8 58.9 0.1 11.9 102.6 52.0 46.9 Other Natural gas Electricity 19.7 8.7 8.0 0.7 4

Portugal s perceived sovereign debt risk has decreased despite the recent political uncertainty PT 10Y Treasury Bond Yields (1) and PT 5Y CDS Base RoR Electricity Gas (1) 8.03% 9.76% 8.00% 780 (RoR 9%) 01 Oct Source: Bloomberg CDS values have dropped as a result of an improvement in Portugal s macro economic imbalances and in the management of the Eurozone crisis - negative impacted on RoR values. (1) Natural Gas RoR is calculated as a function of the average PT 10Y TB from 1 st July. 5

Return on RAB decreased due to the evolution of RoR and despite the increase in the asset base RAB REMUNERATION ELECTRICITY (ex. land) RAB REMUNERATION NATURAL GAS (ex. tariff smoothing effect) -11.9M (-12.1%) + 4.1M Impact of the increase in asset base by 95M to 1,998M. + 0.6M (+1.4%) 98.3 40.5 86.4 39.0 + 0.5M Impact of the change in asset mix assets with premium weight increased to 41% in 2013 from 38% in 2012. 43.7 44.3 Impact of the 14.8M increase in the asset base, to a total of 1,107M, thanks to the conclusion of the Sines LNG Terminal expansion. 57.8 47.4-16.5M Impact of indexation of the base rate of return to 9.5% from 11.3% in assets with premium, and to 8.0% from 9.8% in assets without premium. Electricity with premium Electricity without premium 6

Average RAB grew by 2.9% As usual, with an increasing weight of premium RoR assets RoR 8.9% 1 2.8% 8.0% 8.0% 9.5% 7.9% 1 99 3,416 3,320-14 15-4 RAB Average RAB Lands Natural gas Electricity without premium Electricity with premium Average RAB 1) RoR is equal to the specific remuneration, divided by average RAB. 7

OPEX down 2.3M OPERATIONAL COSTS 54.1-5.4 (-23.1%) 2.1 (8.0%) -2.3 M (-4.2%) 2.3 (n.m.) -1.2 (-17.0%) 51.8 OPEX Δ External Supplies and Services Δ Personnel Costs (1) 2012 Budget law impact Δ Other Operational Costs OPEX (1) Includes 1.9M due to the change in actuarial assumptions in 2012 related to the pensions liabilities. Excludes the impact of the 2012 Budget Law. Note: values do not include costs incurred with the construction of concession assets (IFRIC 12): 46.7M in and 61.0M in. 8

Core OPEX slightly increased by 3.3% Mainly due to actuarial assumptions and the reinstatement of the CLA CORE OPEX 54.1-4.8-1.4 0.0-0.1-4.4 43.5 OPEX 51.8 System services and cross-border costs -0.7 Costs with NG transportation -1.6 Forest clearing -0.3 Overhead lines deviation 0.0 Costs with ERSE -4.4 Core OPEX + 1.4M (+3.3%) 44.9 OPEX System services and cross-border costs Costs with NG transportation Forest clearing Overhead lines deviation Costs with ERSE Core OPEX Note: values do not include costs incurred with the construction of concession assets (IFRIC 12): 46.7M in and 61.0M in. CLA = Collective Labor Agreement 9

EBITDA decreased slightly by 0.7% 261.7-13.7 (-9.9%) -1.8 M (-0.7%) 6.6 (32.1%) 259.9 4.8 (n.m.) 3.1 (3.6%) -0.8 (-17.4%) -1.7 (-12.3%) EBITDA Δ Return on RAB (1) Δ Recovery of depreciation Δ Hydro land remun. Δ Own works Δ Interest on tariff deviation Δ Other EBITDA (1) Includes Δ- 2.4M of NG tariff smoothing effect. 10

Below EBITDA, financial costs improved slightly DEPRECIATION +2.9 M (+3.0%) NET FINANCIAL INCOME TAXES (1) +3.3 M (+12.2%) 97.1 100.0 +1.4 M (2.1%) 26.9 30.2-67.2-65.7 (1) includes a non-recurrent effect of -5,6M 11

Net Income down by 9.3% (- 6.5M) 70.6-1.8 (-0.7%) -6.5 M (-9.3%) -4.8 (-2.5%) 64.1 Net Income Δ EBITDA Δ Below EBITDA Net Income 12

Net debt started to decrease in NET DEBT -13.0 M (-0.5%) 2,512-233 88-25 6 2,499 75 76 Dec 2012 Operating Cash Flow Capex (payments) Interest (net) Dividends (receivedpaid) Tariff deviations Other 1H 2013 The average cost of debt was 5.65% (5.70% in 2012); Net debt/ebitda slightly improved (down to 4.81x from 4.91x). Operating cash flow = EBIT + Depreciation + Provisions Non cash items 13

MAIN CONCLUSIONS REN s operational results were in line with expectations, displaying a decrease due to the asymmetry of the impact of interest rate reductions in the revenue and in the cost sides of the P&L (impact on revenues is immediate while impact on financial costs is delayed); The average cost of debt, which suffered heavily from the sovereign debt crisis over the past three years, started to revert its upward trend; the stock of debt also started to decrease reflecting the reduction in CAPEX; The dividend related to fiscal year 2012 amounted to 90.8M and was paid on May 27 th, representing a dividend yield of 7.7%; The new regulatory framework for natural gas was published on June 14 th. As expected, the main change in the regulatory model was the introduction of a rate of return linked to the average value of the yields of the 10-year treasury bonds, with a floor and a cap; furthermore, the incentive mechanisms and the definition of efficiency goals for operational expenses were extended to the underground storage activity; The second quarter results show that the decrease in the first quarter is being smoothed along the year, in accordance with our expectations. 14

Visit our web site at www.ren.pt or contact us: Ana Fernandes Head of IR Alexandra Martins Telma Mendes Av. EUA, 55 1749-061 Lisboa Telephone: +351 210 013 546 ir@ren.pt 15

Disclaimer This presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation do not constitute, or form part of, a public offer, private placement or solicitation of any kind by REN, or by any of REN s shareholders, to sell or purchase any securities issued by REN and its purpose is merely of informative nature and this presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation may not be used in the future in connection with any offer in relation to securities issued by REN without REN s prior consent. 16

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