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Transcription:

F I R S T- Q U A R T E R 2 0 1 8 R E S U LT S M a y 1, 2 0 1 8

F O RWA R D - L O O K I N G S TAT E M E N T S Statements contained in this presentation that include company expectations or predictions should be considered forward-looking statements that are covered by the safe harbor protections provided under federal securities legislation and other applicable laws. It is important to note that actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements. For additional information that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, refer to ONEOK s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. This presentation contains factual business information or forward-looking information and is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities of ONEOK. All references in this presentation to financial guidance are based on news releases issued on Jan. 22, 2018, Feb. 26, 2018, and May 1, 2018, and are not being updated or affirmed by this presentation. P A G E 2

I N D E X FINANCIAL STRENGTH NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS NATURAL GAS GATHERING AND PROCESSING NATURAL GAS PIPELINES FIRST-QUARTER 2018 VS. FOURTH-QUARTER 2017 SEGMENT VARIANCES 2018 FINANCIAL GUIDANCE NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mont Belvieu I fractionator Gulf Coast

F I N A N C I A L S T R E N G T H INCREASING EXCESS CASH AND IMPROVED LEVERAGE METRICS Continued growth since Q2 2017: 78% increase in DCF in excess of dividends 23% increase in adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA growth driving increased DCF in excess of dividends and improved leverage metrics A d j u s t e d E B I T D A G r o w t h ( $ i n m i l l i o n s ) $517.2 $547.7 $570.3 $1.2 billion equity offering in January prefunded a significant portion of ONEOK s capital-growth projects, immediately reducing debt $462.3 D i s t r i b u t a b l e C a s h F l o w ( D C F ) i n E x c e s s o f D i v i d e n d s P a i d ( i n m i l l i o n s ) $116 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 D e b t - to- E B I T D A R a t i o ( t r a i l i n g 1 2 m o n t h s ) $65 $81 $80 5.1x 4.9x 4.6x 3.8x Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 P A G E 4

N AT U R A L G A S L I Q U I D S VOLUME UPDATE 2018 volume growth expected to be driven primarily by increased producer activity in the STACK and SCOOP areas and increased ethane recovery in the Mid-Continent First quarter 2018 volumes impacted due to seasonal weather Ethane rejection on ONEOK s system expected to decrease to approximately 70,000 bpd by the end of 2018 Approximately $100 million of incremental adjusted EBITDA expected during 2018 compared with 2017 Six to nine third-party natural gas processing plant connections expected in 2018 An existing third-party plant connection on ONEOK s system in the STACK and SCOOP area was expanded in the first quarter G a t h e r e d V o l u m e ( M B b l /d) 850 1,000 812 769 770 533 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018G Region/Asset Fourth Quarter 2017 Average Gathered Volumes First Quarter 2018 Average Gathered Volumes Average Bundled Rate (per gallon) F r a c t i o n a t i o n V o l u m e ( M B b l /d) Bakken NGL Pipeline 136,000 bpd 136,000 bpd ~30 cents* Mid-Continent 529,000 bpd 527,000 bpd < 9 cents* West Texas LPG system 202,000 bpd 192,000 bpd < 3 cents** 522 552 586 621 650-725 Total 867,000 bpd 855,000 bpd 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018G *Includes transportation and fractionation **Transportation only P A G E 5

N AT U R A L G A S G AT H E R I N G A N D P R O C E S S I N G VOLUME UPDATE G a t h e r e d V o l u m e s ( M M c f / d ) Mid-Continent Increased producer activity in the STACK and SCOOP areas expected to be largest driver of 2018 natural gas volume growth Expect to connect approximately 150 wells in 2018 35 well connects completed in the first quarter Approximately 11 rigs on ONEOK s dedicated acreage Williston Basin Bear Creek natural gas processing plant expansion to 130 MMcf/d expected to be complete in the third quarter 2018 First-quarter 2018 volumes impacted due to seasonal weather Expect to connect approximately 500 wells in 2018 112 well connects completed in the first quarter Approximately 28 rigs on ONEOK s dedicated acreage Region P A G E 6 Fourth Quarter 2017 Average Gathered Volumes First Quarter 2018 Average Gathered Volumes Fourth Quarter 2017 Average Processed Volumes First Quarter 2018 Average Processed Volumes Mid-Continent 915 MMcf/d 965 MMcf/d 792 MMcf/d 845 MMcf/d Rocky Mountain 904 MMcf/d 911 MMcf/d 892 MMcf/d 888 MMcf/d Total 1,819 MMcf/d 1,876 MMcf/d 1,684 MMcf/d 1,733 MMcf/d 1,524 1,561 1,680 862 781 839 965-1,075 662 780 841 875-975 2015 2016 2017 2018G* 1,280 658 Rocky Mountain 653 Mid-Continent P r o c e s s e d V o l u m e s ( M M c f / d ) 1,409 622 756 829 890-960 723 860-940 2015 2016 2017 2018G** Rocky Mountain 1,552 Mid-Continent *2018 guidance gathered volumes (BBtu/d): 2,430-2,700 **2018 guidance processed volumes (BBtu/d): 2,310-2,500 1,840 2,050 1,750 1,900

N AT U R A L G A S P I P E L I N E S WELL-POSITIONED AND MARKET-CONNECTED Expect more than 95 percent fee-based earnings in 2018, and: Approximately 95 percent of transportation capacity contracted Approximately 65 percent of natural gas storage capacity contracted Firm demand-based contracts serving primarily investmentgrade utility customers 6,757 N a t u r a l G a s T r a n s p o r t a t i o n C a p a c i t y C o n t r a c t e d ( M D t h /d) 6,452 6,593 6,642 6,779 Well-positioned for additional natural gas takeaway options out of the Permian Basin and STACK and SCOOP areas 100 MMcf/d westbound expansion of ONEOK Gas Transportation Pipeline out of the STACK completed Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 N a t u r a l G a s T r a n s p o r t a t i o n C a p a c i t y S u b s c r i b e d 92% 92% 94% 95% 2015 2016 2017 2018G P A G E 7

B U S I N E S S S E G M E N T P E R F O R M A N C E Q1 2018 VS. Q4 2017 ADJUSTED EBITDA VARIANCES Natural gas liquids increased $25.9 million increase in optimization and marketing due primarily to wider location price differentials and the sale of NGL inventory previously held $14.5 million increase due to lower operating costs, offset partially by higher property taxes $6.3 million decrease in exchange services related to volume impacts from seasonal weather across ONEOK s operating footprint and lower volumes in the Barnett Shale, offset partially by higher volumes in the STACK and SCOOP areas $2.7 million decrease in transportation and storage services due primarily to lower volumes on the North System* due to seasonal demand Natural gas gathering and processing decreased $9.5 million decrease due primarily to higher third-party processing costs, temporary system constraints and the impact of seasonal weather primarily in the Williston Basin $4.6 million decrease due to higher operating costs from the growth of ONEOK s operations, offset partially by lower employee-related costs $2.0 million increase due to higher realized condensate and NGL prices Natural gas pipelines increased $2.6 million increase due primarily to higher interruptible transportation volumes $1.7 million increase due to higher natural gas storage services *The North System is a FERC-regulated NGL pipeline that transports NGL purity products and various refined products throughout the Midwest markets, particularly near Chicago, Illinois P A G E 8

2 0 1 8 F I N A N C I A L G U I D A N C E S U M M A RY Adjusted EBITDA: $2,215 million $2,415 million Distributable cash flow: $1,615 million $1,815 million Target dividend coverage ratio of 1.2 times Net income: $955 million $1,155 million Capital expenditures: $2,090 million $2,480 million Growth: $1,950 million $2,300 million Maintenance: $140 million $180 million D i v i d e n d s P a i d P e r S h a r e P e r Y e a r $3.25 - $3.31 $2.43 $2.46 $2.72 $2.13 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* Second quarter dividend increased 2.5 cents per share on April 19, 2018. 2 0 1 8 A d j u s t e d E B I T D A G u i d a n c e 2018 Guidance ($ in millions) Natural Gas Liquids Natural Gas Gathering and Processing Natural Gas Pipelines Other ~15% Natural Gas Liquids Adjusted EBITDA $1,300 $1,430 $575 $625 $335 $355 $5 ~25% ~60% Natural Gas Gathering and Processing Natural Gas Pipelines Other *Dividend paid in fourth quarter 2017, annualized, with previously announced 9-11% annual growth. Note: Adjusted EBITDA, distributable cash flow and coverage ratio are non-gaap measures. Reconciliations to relevant GAAP measures are included in the appendix. P A G E 9

NON- GAAP R E C O N C I L I AT I O N ANNOUNCED JAN. 22, 2018 2018 Guidance Range (Millions of dollars) Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow Net Income $ 955 - $ 1,155 Interest expense, net of capitalized interest 495-455 Depreciation and amortization 425-435 Income taxes 310-360 Noncash compensation expense 35-25 Other noncash items and equity AFUDC (5) - (15) Adjusted EBITDA 2,215-2,415 Interest expense, net of capitalized interest (495) - (455) Maintenance capital (140) - (180) Equity in net earnings from investments (140) - (150) Distributions received from unconsolidated affiliates 185-205 Other (10) - (20) Distributable cash flow $ 1,615 - $ 1,815 P A G E 10

NON- GAAP R E C O N C I L I AT I O N ANNOUNCED JAN. 22, 2018 2018 Guidance Range (Millions of dollars) Reconciliation of segment adjusted EBITDA to adjusted EBITDA Segment adjusted EBITDA: Natural Gas Liquids $ 1,300 - $ 1,430 Natural Gas Gathering and Processing 575-625 Natural Gas Pipelines 335-355 Other 5-5 Adjusted EBITDA $ 2,215 - $ 2,415 P A G E 11

Bear Creek plant Williston Basin