SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Analysts/Investors Presentation FY/Q Results. Zurich, 24 March 2016

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Transcription:

SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Analysts/Investors Presentation FY/Q4 2015 Results Zurich, 24 March 2016

1 2 3 BUSINESS REVIEW FULL-YEAR 2015 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE FULL-YEAR / FOURTH QUARTER 2015 ROADMAP & OUTLOOK 2016 2

DISCLAIMER This publication constitutes neither a prospectus within the meaning of article 652a and/or 1156 of the Swiss Code of Obligations nor a listing prospectus within the meaning of the listing rules of the SIX Swiss Exchange. This publication constitutes neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy securities of SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH. The securities have already been sold. This document shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any sale of securities referred to herein in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration, exemption from registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction. The securities referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States or to U.S. persons (as such term is defined in Regulation S under the Securities Act) absent registration or an exemption from registration under the Securities Act. The issuer of the securities has not registered, and does not intend to register, any portion of the offering in the United States, and does not intend to conduct a public offering of securities in the United States. Forward-looking statements Information in this presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including presentations of developments, plans, intentions, assumptions, expectations, beliefs and potential impacts as well as descriptions of future events, income, results, situations or outlook. They are based on the Company s current expectations, beliefs and assumptions, which are subject to uncertainty and may differ materially from the current facts, situation, impact or developments. 3

1 BUSINESS REVIEW FULL-YEAR 2015 4

Headwinds dominated the year Business environment» A challenging year with four major unfavourable trends: global overcapacities put pressure on base prices dramatic oil price drop severely hit important oil and gas industry commodity prices declined by 30% to 45% to multi-year lows for nickel, scrap steel, chromium, molybdenum, leading to a write-off on inventories EUR / CHF devaluation impacted Swiss operations» Business sentiment deteriorated towards year-end; no immediate improvement going into 2016 Business Review Full-Year 2015 5

Industry & Regional recap Automotive sector solid, Oil & Gas sector hit hard Industry sectors» Differentiated development in our customer industries: automotive sector with moderate, but stable growth throughout the year demand from the mechanical & plant engineering industry lower as expected oil price continues to burden oil & gas industry with an acceleration towards year-end oil rig count > 60% lower than at the beginning of 2015 Regional development» Asia/Africa/Australia recorded sales volume growth of 9%, from a low base» Sales volumes in Europe and America declined 8.2% respectively 6.9% Business Review Full-Year 2015 6

Africa/Asia/Australia and higher margin products gaining Revenue by region 2015 (2014 * ), in % Africa/Asia/Australia 6.4 (5.4) Germany 38.9 (40.8) Revenue by product group 2015 (2014 * ), in % Other 2.9 (2.7) America 16.3 (15.9) Other Europe 18.6 (18.2) Switzerland 1.7 (2.0) Italy 11.0 (10.3) France 7.1 (7.4) Tool steel 15.6 (14.8) Stainless steel 38.0 (37.4) Engineering steel 43.5 (45.1) * Restated due to deconsolidation of discontinued operations.» Higher share of revenues from America due to appreciation of USD against EUR» Favourable shift to higher margin tool steel and stainless steel Business Review Full-Year 2015 7

Sales volume and revenue by product groups Change in sales volume* and revenue* (FY 2015 to FY 2014) in % 1.7 Change in sales volume* and revenue* (Q4/2015 to Q4/2014) in % -2.9-3.2-5.0-3.7-3.6-6.6-1.7-1.4-7.7-4.9-4.1-10.0-15.1-15.7-19.1 Tool steel Stainless steel Engineering steel Total Tool steel Stainless steel Engineering steel Total Change sales volume Change revenue Change sales volume Change revenue * Restated due to deconsolidation of discontinued operations» Continuing fall in prices for scrap and alloying elements, particularly in the second half-year, and further pressure on base prices resulted in lower revenue.» Product mix improved, with higher share of group revenue from tool steel, stainless steel Business Review Full-Year 2015 8

Immediate actions taken to mitigate weak markets» Commodity price drop net working capital reduction maintain surcharge pricing group-wide purchasing» EUR / CHF devaluation cost cutting / restructuring working time extension supplier renegotiations (raw materials)» Weak oil and gas industry adapt workforce develop new markets, reduce dependency from oil & gas Business Review Full-Year 2015 120 100 80 60 Nickel Scrap Steel 40 Molybdenum Jan 15 Apr 15 Jul 15 Oct 15 1.30 1.20 1.10 1.00 EURCHF 0.90 Jan 15 Apr 15 Jul 15 Oct 15 3000 2000 1000 0 Indexed, 1 Jan 2015 = 100 North American Oil And Gas Rotary Rig Count Data Jan 15 Apr 15 July 15 Oct 15 Source: Bloomberg 9

and work on building a stronger S+B despite market turbulences» Divestment of non-core assets sale of distribution units in Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands and Austria transaction closed in July 2015» Business combination consolidation of all three North American production operations into one integrated Business Unit Finkl Steel» Uniform market presence production and distribution activities of former S+B Bright Bar bright steel entities combined, operating under the name Steeltec» Focus on growth markets inauguration of new Sales & Services sites in China, Japan, and Thailand» Roll-out One group one goal initiative: corporate culture, integration of Business Units» Corporate Centre transferred to Lucerne fully operational since October 2015 Business Review Full-Year 2015 10

2 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE FULL-YEAR & FOURTH QUARTER 2015 11

Sales volumes and revenues reflect challenging business conditions in m EUR (all figures continuing operations) FY 2015 FY 2014 Change Production crude steel (kilotonnes) 1 907 2 014 5.3% Sales volume (kilotonnes) 1 763 1 829 3.6% Revenues 2 679 2 869 6.6% Adjusted EBITDA / adjusted EBITDA margin 169.6 / 6.3% 256.6 / 8.9% EUR 119.0 m / 260 bps EBITDA / EBITDA margin 159.0 / 5.9% 246.6 / 8.6% EUR 87.6 m / 270 bps Earnings after taxes (EAT) 35.4 52.0 n/m Net income/loss (EAT) 1) 166.8 50.0 n/m 1) includes impairment of EUR 128 m from discontinued operations» Sales volumes in 2015 were lower than in the prior year on account of considerable declines in the oil and gas business» Revenue decreased more than sales volumes due to sharply falling commodity prices» Impairment loss of EUR 128 million from the divestment of distribution units Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 12

Business Unit performance higher revenues in Sales & Services, lower EBITDA in both Divisions Production and Sales & Services Revenues (in m EUR) FY 2015 FY 2014 Change (%) Q4 2015 Q4 2014 Change (%) Production 1) 2 452.8 2 668.6 8.1 514.8 628.4 18.1 Sales & Services 1) 543.5 496.9 +9.4 117.3 124.0 14.3 SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Group 1) 2) 2 679.9 2 869.0 6.6 571.3 677.5 15.7 EBITDA (in m EUR) FY 2015 FY 2014 Change (in m EUR) Q4 2015 Q4 2014 Change (in m EUR) Production 1) 155.0 236.7 81.7 36.1 62.9 26.8 Sales & Services 1) 17.4 22.2 4.8 2.0 3.2 1.2 SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Group 1) 2) 159.0 246.6 87.6 36.2 60.3 24.1 1) Continuing operations 2) Group figures include Other and consolidation/eliminations Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 13

EBITDA significantly affected by unfavourable market developments, acceleration in the second half-year EBITDA bridge full-year 2015, by quarters in m EUR 246.6 8.6 5.7 12.4 11.9 3.1 3.4 33.6 Q1 Volume Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Margin Q3 27.3 Q4 12.3 5.7 0.0 11.8 10.0 2.2 5.0 18.8 159.0 Personnel expenses Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Other Q3 Q4 2014 Actual Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 2015 Actual 14

One-time EBITDA effects and market movements not fully compensated One-time effects impact 2015, in m EUR Inventory write-downs ~ 30 Delay new cooling bed Siegen ~ 5 Market movements Oil & Gas market (mainly H2) ~ 25 Exchange rate EUR/CHF ~ 20 Offsetting measures impact 2015, in m EUR FTE reduction 6 Raw materials 10 Lower repair & Maintenance 6 Other discretionary expenses 14 Total positive impact 36 Tariffs, volumes, prices Total negative impact 80 Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 15

Net debt reduced by approximately EUR 120 million year-end 2015 year-end 2014 Change (%) end Q3/2015 Net debt EUR m 471.1 587.2 19.8 543.7 Net debt/adjusted EBITDA 1) factor 2.8 2.3 0.5 points Shareholders equity EUR m 750.6 900.9 16.7 765.7 Equity ratio % 35.6 35.9 30 bps 34.9 1) LTM» Decrease in net debt attributable to structural reduction of NWC and lower raw material prices» Increase of net debt/adjusted EBITDA ratio» Further improved headroom after amendment of financial covenants for 2016 Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 16

Structural NWC reduction further cash preservation in 2016/2017 Net working capital development in m EUR 789 50 48 691 structural improve- ment 2015 50 2016e structural improvement 31 Dec 2014 1)2) 31 Dec 2015 1) 31 Dec 2016 1) 1) Continuing operations lower volumes, one-off measures 2) Adjusted for FX, raw material prices, other 641 Net Working Capital» Targets defined» Sustainable reduction of NWC with a focus on inventories» NWC cockpit and guidelines introduced» Best Practice Groups for inventories, accounts receivable and accounts payable Examples:» Warehouse optimization» Improve throughput of work-in-process (WIP)» Reduction of scrap inventory Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 17

Additional capex in 2015 balanced against disposal proceeds Capex Capex project in m EUR Acq. of property in Dusseldorf, Germany 42 Cooling bed in Siegen, Germany 12 AT landfill in Siegen, Germany 7 Additional capex in 2015 61 Proceeds from disposal 48.6 Reported Capex FY 2015 157.5» Capex in 2015 above sustainable level due to a few one-off investments of EUR 61 m» Capex above sustainable capex level nearly covered by proceeds from disposals» Guidance for capex in 2016 approximately EUR 100m Sustainable capex ~ 100 Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 18

Solid funding structure maintained Net debt as of 31 Dec 2015 in million EUR Financial headroom as of 31 Dec 2015 in million EUR 587.2 54.2 167.7 205.8 471.1 43.3 167.7 370.4 72.1 478.2 53.0 110.6 188.5 Other financial liabilities Bond 94.2 14.3 72.1 245.9 10.5 53.2 135.4 ABCP financing program Syndicated loan One-off fin. exp./accrued interest Cash and cash equivalents 204.1 314.6 Syndicated loan ABCP financing program Cash and cash equivalents 2014 2015 2014 2015» Unused financing lines and cash around EUR 478 million as of 31 December 2015 Financial Performance Full-Year / Q4 2015 19

3 ROADMAP & OUTLOOK 2016 20

Outlook 2016 markets will remain challenging Macroeconomic environment» Outlook for global economic growth remains subdued» Development of commodity prices especially for scrap steel and important alloy metals nickel, ferrochrome and molybdenum are currently unpredictable» SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH expects market conditions to remain challenging throughout 2016 Industry Sectors» Weakness in demand from oil & gas industry expected to continue» Automotive industry remains on a moderate growth path» Mechanical & Plant Engineering with zero growth Roadmap and Outlook 2016 21

Outlook roadmap for 2016 To cope with the adverse economic environment, SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH will:» Continue to implement its strategy with a focus on capturing the synergy potentials of an integrated steel producer» Realignment of Business Unit Deutsche Edelstahlwerke» Implement additional cost saving measures, with a focus on efficient procurement and logistics» Further decrease net debt through structural improvement of net working capital» Strengthen global Sales & Services network by opening new locations Roadmap and Outlook 2016 22

Actual Performance Improvement Programs with an EBITDA Potential of EUR 70m Realignment DEW» Productivity improvement» Reduction of production cost Top-line - Yield improvement - Maintenance costs - Energy cost + efficiency - Lower raw material cost» New customer development for Finkl / Sorel» Sales development e.g. bars specialties Ugitech or new customers Steeltec» Product mix improvement Swiss Steel Purchasing» Improved supply chain for scrap at Swiss Steel» Usage of higher quantities of raw scrap instead of readyto-use-scrap» Renegotiation of key supply contracts Other» Reduction outgoing freight» Closing of warehouse and optimization of distribution» Reduction of general and administrative expenses» 2/3 achievement in 2016» EUR 10m expenses foreseen to support improvement projects» Enabler projects ongoing to improve focused steering and integration (e.g. Hedging, Benchmarking, VMV)» Further restructuring measures if no profitable capacity utilization can be achieved in current market environment Roadmap and Outlook 2016 23

Outlook 2016 and mid-term guidance Full-year 2016 targets:» Sales volumes to remain stable compared to full-year 2015» Adjusted EBITDA between EUR 150 million and EUR 190 million» Capex approximately EUR 100 million» A weaker first half-year and a stronger second half-year compared to 2015 Mid-term targets:» An adjusted EBITDA margin above 8% over an economic cycle» An adjusted EBITDA-Leverage (net debt/adjusted EBITDA) of < 2.5 times Roadmap and Outlook 2016 24

4 APPENDIX 25

Nickel price development 10 years 60'000 50'000 40'000 30'000 20'000 10'000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Bloomberg LME Nickel cash USD/mt Appendix 26

Nickel price development 1 year 17'000 16'000 15'000 14'000 13'000 12'000 11'000 10'000 9'000 8'000 7'000 Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 Jun 15 Jul 15 Aug 15 Sep 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 Source: Bloomberg LME Nickel cash USD/mt Appendix 27

Scrap steel price development 1 year 330 310 290 270 250 230 210 190 170 150 Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 Jun 15 Jul 15 Aug 15 Sep 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 Source: Bloomberg Steel scrap shredded fob Rotterdam USD/mt Appendix 28

Swiss listed company with supportive anchor shareholders Free Float (Shareholders <3%) 44.10% Liwet Holding AG1) 2) Lamesa Holding S.A. 2) 3) SCHMOLZ + BICKENBACH Holding AG 2) 40.89% Key facts ISIN Securities symbol Type of security Trading currency CH0005795668 STLN Registered share CHF Haefner, Martin 15.01% Shareholder Structure as of 31 December 2015 Listing Membership in indices SIX Swiss Exchange SPI, SPI Extra, SPI ex SLI, Swiss All Share Index Number of shares 945 000 000 Appendix Nominal value in CHF 0.50 1) Acquisition of assets and liabilities of Venetos Holding AG, in Zurich (CHE-114.533.183), pursuant to the merger agreement dated 18.2.2015 and balance sheet as at 29.12.2014 2) The Group also holds 11 168 772 purchase options, corresponding to an underlying holding of 1.18% 3) As at 31.12.2014, Venetos Holding AG, Switzerland, and Renova Industries Ltd., Bahamas, were direct shareholders. The beneficial owners did not change. 29

Financial calendar and contact Date Event 24 March 2016 Annual Report 2015, Media & Investors Conference, Zurich (Switzerland) 3 May 2016 Annual General Meeting 20 May 2016 Q1 Results Publication, Conference Call 11 August 2016 Q2 Results Publication, Conference Call 15 November 2016 Q3 Results Publication, Conference Call CONTACT Dr Ulrich Steiner Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications Phone +41 41 581 4120 u.steiner@schmolz-bickenbach.com Appendix 30